Dell
DELL a chart earnings **Technical Analysis of Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) - Daily Chart**
**Overview:**
The daily chart of Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) reveals several key technical insights that can guide potential trading strategies.
**Trend Analysis:**
1. **Uptrend:** The stock has been following a well-defined uptrend since early 2023, marked by higher highs and higher lows. This trend is represented by a series of ascending trend lines.
2. **Trendline Break:** Recently, the stock has broken above another trendline, indicating a potential acceleration in the uptrend. This breakout suggests strong bullish momentum.
**Support and Resistance Levels:**
1. **Support Levels:**
- **$138.35:** This level has acted as a support zone where the stock has previously found a base before moving higher.
- **$63.34:** Another significant support level, which was tested and held in mid-2024.
- **$26.55:** A longer-term support level from a previous consolidation phase.
2. **Resistance Levels:**
- **$193.37:** This is the current resistance level where the stock has faced selling pressure.
- **$169.31:** An intermediate resistance level that the stock may test before a potential breakout.
**Volume Analysis:**
- **Volume Spike:** There was a noticeable increase in volume during the recent price movements, particularly around the breakout levels. This volume surge confirms the strength of the current trend.
**Technical Indicators:**
1. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** The RSI is currently near the top of its range, indicating that the stock might be overbought in the short term. This could suggest a potential pullback or consolidation before further upward movement.
2. **ECE Pattern:** The chart shows a series of ECE (Earnings Call Effect) labels, which might indicate that the stock experiences volatility around earnings announcements. Traders should be aware of these events for potential trading opportunities or risks.
**Key Observations:**
- The stock has shown resilience by holding above key support levels and breaking through resistance levels, indicating strong buying interest.
- The breakout above the trendline and resistance levels, coupled with increased volume, suggests a continuation of the uptrend.
**Trading Strategy:**
- **Long Position:** Consider entering a long position if the stock successfully breaks above $193.37 with strong volume. Set a stop loss below the recent support level at $169.31 to manage risk.
- **Short Position:** If the stock shows signs of overbought conditions (RSI nearing or above 70) and fails to break $193.37, a short position could be considered with a stop loss above this level.
**Conclusion:**
Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) is currently in a strong uptrend with recent breakouts confirming bullish momentum. However, traders should monitor the RSI for potential overbought conditions and watch for volume patterns around key support and resistance levels. Always consider broader market conditions and news events that might impact stock performance.
Can a Tech Giant Redefine the Future of Enterprise Computing?In an era where technology companies rise and fall with stunning rapidity, Dell Technologies has orchestrated a remarkable transformation that challenges conventional wisdom about legacy tech companies. The company's strategic positioning in the hybrid cloud market, coupled with recent market disruptions affecting competitors like Super Micro Computer, has created an unprecedented opportunity for Dell to reshape the enterprise computing landscape.
Dell's masterful execution of its hybrid cloud strategy, particularly through its groundbreaking partnership with Nutanix, demonstrates the power of strategic evolution. The integration of PowerFlex software-defined storage and the introduction of the XC Plus appliance represent more than mere product innovations—they exemplify a deeper understanding of how enterprise computing needs are fundamentally changing. This transformation is particularly evident in regions like Saudi Arabia, where Dell's two-decade presence has evolved into a catalyst for technological advancement and digital transformation.
The financial markets have begun to recognize this shifting dynamic, as reflected in Dell's impressive 38% year-over-year growth in infrastructure solutions revenue. However, the true significance lies not in the numbers alone, but in what they represent: a traditional hardware company successfully pivoting to meet the complex demands of the AI era while maintaining its core strengths in enterprise computing. For investors and industry observers alike, Dell's journey presents a compelling case study in how established tech giants can not only survive but thrive in an era of rapid technological change.
Shorts Trapped Into Insider Selling | DELL I've been actively trading DELL with my private community members and I believe the company is gearing up for another positive run. Despite the news about Michael Dell selling more shares, which may have trapped some short-sellers, DELL is making strategic moves such as reducing costs, rejoining the S&P500, and aiming to capture market share from SMCI.
With this in mind, I see two potential entry points:
a. Enter the trade above $121.50, aiming for $127.
b. Enter the trade once it breaks $127, targeting $138.
Personally, I prefer the second option. DM me with any questions!
Dell Triumphant Return to the S&P 500: What’s Driving the Rally?Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has made headlines with its upcoming re-inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, effective September 23. This marks a significant milestone for the tech giant, which was previously part of the S&P 500 from 1996 until 2013 before going private. The announcement has sent Dell’s stock price soaring, with shares jumping 6.1% in premarket trading on Monday. The re-entry into the S&P 500 is more than just symbolic; it represents renewed market confidence and a bright outlook for the company’s future.
Strong Market Position and Growth Drivers
Dell’s re-inclusion in the S&P 500 is not just about index rebalancing; it signals a broader positive trajectory fueled by several key factors. According to analysts at Citi Research, Dell’s fundamentals are strong, and the company is positioned to capitalize on multiple growth levers, making it a compelling buy.
1. Recovery in Enterprise Infrastructure Demand: Dell’s enterprise hardware products, including servers and storage solutions, are expected to benefit as businesses reinvest in critical infrastructure. After a period of constrained IT spending, Dell stands ready to capture significant market share as economic conditions improve.
2. PC Refresh Cycle: Dell is poised to gain from an upcoming global PC refresh cycle, expected to drive demand into 2025. As businesses and households upgrade aging PC systems, Dell’s personal computing segment is set to experience substantial sales growth. This cycle represents a critical growth driver for Dell’s core business.
3. AI Momentum: Dell’s focus on AI solutions positions it as a key player in the rapidly expanding AI market. As companies increasingly adopt AI workloads that require robust compute and storage resources, Dell’s expanding AI product portfolio could lead to significant revenue growth. The company’s expertise in providing the necessary hardware for AI applications aligns perfectly with emerging market needs.
4. Capital Returns and Valuation: Citi has set a target price of $160 for Dell, based on a 9.8x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to projected earnings over the next 24 months. This valuation reflects the company’s ability to execute and capitalize on growth opportunities. Compared to peers in the large enterprise hardware sector, Dell’s valuation strikes a balance that reflects both potential upside and inherent risks.
5. Challenges to Watch: While the outlook is positive, Dell faces challenges, including competition from hyperscalers and cloud computing solutions that pressure traditional enterprise hardware demand. The evolving landscape of cloud-enabled infrastructure and potential delays in the PC refresh cycle could impact Dell’s near-term growth prospects. Additionally, there is uncertainty around the pace at which Dell’s AI backlog will convert into tangible revenue.
Technical Outlook
Currently, Dell stock is up 4.48%, trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 4.83%, which suggests room for further growth.
1. Bullish Flag Pattern: Dell’s daily price chart shows a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that signals a potential upward breakout. If the stock price reaches the $150 pivot point, it would confirm a bullish reversal, setting the stage for a sustained rally.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Dell is trading just below its 200-day moving average, a key resistance level. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend and attract further buying interest.
3. Volume and Momentum Indicators: Increased trading volume accompanying the recent price surge adds conviction to the bullish outlook. Momentum indicators suggest that Dell is on the cusp of a significant move higher, particularly with the backdrop of strong fundamentals and market sentiment.
Looking Ahead
Dell’s upcoming S&P 500 re-inclusion, combined with its strategic positioning in key growth areas, presents a compelling case for investors. The company’s ability to navigate the complexities of the evolving enterprise hardware market while capitalizing on the AI boom and PC upgrade cycle underpins its long-term growth potential.
While challenges remain, Dell’s re-entry into the S&P 500 is a testament to its resilience and strategic execution. With strong fundamentals, technical momentum, and multiple growth levers at play, Dell is well-positioned for continued success in the coming years. For investors, the current setup presents a unique opportunity to participate in the resurgence of a tech powerhouse.
Dell Stock Rises After Company Reports Strong EarningsKey Takeaways:
- Dell's Q2 earnings surpassed expectations on both top and bottom lines, driven by strong AI-optimized server sales.
- Server and networking revenue rose 80% to a record $7.7 billion, with AI server demand increasing 23% sequentially.
- Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) rose over 5% in Friday's premarket trading, highlighting technical momentum.
Fundamental Analysis:
Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has solidified its position as a leading player in the AI server market, a rapidly expanding segment fueled by increasing investments from businesses and cloud providers in next-generation AI infrastructure. In its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, Dell posted revenues of $25.06 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $24.53 billion. The company's adjusted EPS of $1.89 also outperformed forecasts, underscoring strong execution in the current market environment.
The standout performance came from Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which includes servers and networking equipment. ISG revenue jumped 38% year-over-year to $11.65 billion, driven by an 80% surge in server and networking revenue to $7.76 billion, marking a record high. This was propelled by significant demand for AI-optimized servers, primarily those integrating Nvidia and AMD chips.
AI Sales Fuel Growth:
Dell (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has emerged as a top vendor for AI-oriented servers, benefiting from the industry's ongoing shift towards AI-driven solutions. AI server sales soared to $3.1 billion in the quarter, up from $1.7 billion in the previous quarter, highlighting robust sequential growth. According to Chief Operating Officer Jeff Clarke, Dell is actively competing and winning large-scale AI deals, further expanding its market share in this high-growth segment.
The AI-driven demand surge is not only boosting Dell’s top line but also creating a backlog of $3.8 billion in AI server orders and a multibillion-dollar pipeline of potential deals yet to be finalized. Despite a decline in Dell’s storage business, down 5% to $4 billion, and a 4% drop in its Client Solutions Group revenue, the explosive growth in AI servers has positioned Dell as a key player in the tech industry’s AI boom.
Guidance and Market Sentiment:
Dell’s slight upward revision of its full-year revenue guidance to $95.5 billion - $98.5 billion, up from the previous $93.5 billion - $97.5 billion, reflects management's confidence in sustaining growth momentum, particularly in its ISG division. Despite a 34% decline in Dell's stock since its last report, shares have rebounded strongly, gaining 48% year-to-date, supported by its robust earnings performance and growing AI server market share.
Technical Analysis:
On the technical front, Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) is showing promising signals of a bullish reversal. The stock surged over 5% in premarket trading on Friday, positioning the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at approximately 53, up from 49 on Thursday. This upward RSI movement suggests growing buying momentum, with a potential target zone of 60-65, which would confirm a bullish reversal.
The daily price chart displays a fading bullish flag pattern, an indicator of potential upward price movement if momentum continues. A breakout above the flag pattern, supported by sustained buying pressure, could propel the stock towards higher price targets, making Dell a strong candidate for further gains in the short to medium term.
Bullish Catalysts:
- The 80% year-over-year surge in server and networking revenue demonstrates Dell's effective capitalizing on AI-driven demand, particularly for servers optimized for advanced AI workloads.
- Dell's strategic focus on AI servers is generating substantial backlog and deal pipelines, positioning the company for sustained revenue growth.
- The company’s ongoing share repurchase and dividend strategy, with $1 billion spent in the quarter, enhances shareholder value and supports the stock’s upside potential.
Conclusion:
Dell's strong earnings report highlights its strategic pivot towards AI infrastructure, driving substantial gains in its ISG division and positioning the company as a leader in the AI server market. The fundamental strength, combined with positive technical indicators, sets the stage for continued upward momentum in Dell stock. Investors should watch for further confirmation of a bullish reversal, as rising RSI and potential breakouts in price patterns could signal additional upside for Dell shares in the near term.
DELL Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DELL Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%...
Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting.
After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
Dell (DELL): Analyzing Recent Trends and Future ExpectationsDell Technologies has experienced a remarkable rise of approximately 440% within a span of about one and a half years. However, this impressive ascent has been marked by a bearish divergence at the current top. The RSI has been forming lower tops while the price chart has been forming higher tops, indicating weakening momentum.
Current Situation:
Trend Channel: Dell shot above the trend channel, but quickly corrected downwards with a significant gap down, losing around 12% in a single day.
Support Level: The price found support within the trend channel, likely marking Wave A.
Expectations:
Wave B and C : We anticipate the formation of Wave B followed by Wave C, potentially moving into the open gap area. Although part of the gap between $94.44 and $104 has already been tagged, there is still some remaining that could be fully closed.
Critical Levels: It is crucial for the $80 level to hold. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards the $68 or even $60 range.
Key Points to Monitor:
Bearish Divergence: The bearish divergence on the RSI suggests potential further downside.
Gap Fill: Watch for a potential move to fill the remaining gap.
Support at $80: Maintaining support at $80 is critical to prevent deeper declines.
DELL moves higher in continuation LONGDELL on the weekly chart shows its bullish trend which accelerated this past March as shown
on the Prive Volume Trend. The relative volume indicator shows some spiking blue volume
bars of buying volume = 3 of the 13 weeks in the past quarter. I see this as a long swing trade
or even an investment to hold at an easy to get into price compared with SMCI. DELL may be
a bit overbought and overextended but I am convinced it is for good reasons and that a trade
here will pay profit over time. The dip of 5% in the past trading day provides a good entry.
Dell Technologies Shares Slump 17% in Premarket Trading Dell Technologies shares ( NYSE:DELL ) fell about 17% in premarket trading on Friday, as the PC and server maker expects significant AI investments to impact its quarterly profit. Dell is on track to lose more than $17 billion in market value if premarket losses hold. The stock has more than doubled this year. Companies like Dell have been investing heavily in expensive hardware to build advanced servers capable of processing complex artificial intelligence tasks as more businesses adopt the technology. High costs associated with in-demand AI servers are also expected to hurt the company's annual margin.
The company expects adjusted gross margin rate to decline about 150 basis points in fiscal 2025. It forecasts adjusted profit per share of $1.65, plus or minus 10 cents, for the second quarter, versus LSEG estimates of $1.84 at the time Dell reported results on Thursday. Morningstar analysts wrote in a note that AI-server sales continue to contribute only a small percentage to the firm's top line and are margin-dilutive.
Revenue from the company's mainstay client solutions group, which includes its personal computer business, was flat, with the consumer sub-segment down 15%. Dell has turned to pricing its models competitively in the consumer PC segment as the PC market emerges from a years-long slump.
Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) provided guidance for the second quarter, the full 2025 fiscal year, and the infrastructure solution group (ISG) segment. CFO Yvonne McGill said Dell expects second-quarter revenue to be between $23.5 billion and $24.5 billion, slightly above analysts' estimates compiled by Visible Alpha. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) raised its full-year outlook to between $93.5 billion and $97.5 billion, up from the range of $91 billion to $95 billion provided the quarter prior.
Dell's AI server backlog is primarily Nvidia-based, with H100 availability being better, H200 supply expected to improve in the second half of the year, and B200, Nvidia's Blackwell server, now in production. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) executives reassured investors that the company could be well-positioned to gain as enterprise customers integrate AI, with Clarke stating that Dell is "uniquely positioned to help customers with artificial intelligence" and noting that "strong AI momentum continues."
Dell Hits Record High Amid Rise in AI stocksDell Technologies shares ( NYSE:DELL ) hit a record high on Friday amid a rally in companies working on generative artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia, a major AI-heavyweight, posted strong quarterly results and forecasted current-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations, reinforcing that customers' spending on genAI will continue to hold strong.
Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) has recently launched AI-oriented personal computers and more powerful servers in collaboration with Nvidia. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) shares rose 6% to $162.82 after paring some gains in the afternoon and were on track to add $6.6 billion to its market value. Major chip firms were up between Nvidia's nearly 1% rise and Qualcomm's 4% gain. U.S.-listed shares of Arm Holdings were up 2.3%.
Shares of software companies C3.ai and Palantir Technologies were up 0.6% and 1.6%, respectively. Chip companies are expected to benefit heavily from AI chip-related orders, primarily from cloud providers, who have indicated a significant increase in their capex for 2024.
Dell Technologies boosts outlook with Tesla partnershipDell Technologies Inc. has seen a significant uptick in its market valuation following an upgrade by Evercore ISI, which raised its target price for Dell shares from 140 USD to 165 USD. This positive re-evaluation stems from Tesla’s decision to source most of its artificial intelligence server capacity from Dell Technologies. This partnership positions Dell advantageously within the rapidly growing AI sector, which is expected to expand as AI tools become increasingly integral to various industries.
Through its collaboration with Tesla, a leader in the electric vehicle industry, Dell not only penetrates the competitive AI technology market but also sets a precedent that could attract additional partnerships with other automakers.
Given this backdrop, let’s examine the potential trading opportunities for Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL):
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Dell’s stock has recently surpassed the resistance level at 150.30 USD, establishing support at 145.00 USD. The stock is in a stable uptrend, indicating the possibility of reaching new price highs. If there is a trend reversal, a potential downside target could be 130.05 USD.
The continuation of the uptrend offers a short-term target of 165.00 USD upon a rebound from the existing resistance. For a medium-term investment strategy, the stock price might ascend to 170.00 USD if the positive momentum is sustained.
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Dell Stock Hits Record High as it Secures Big AI Server OrdersDell Technologies ( NYSE:DELL ) has risen 9.45% to a record high after being called "the best way to play" in the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring. Dell stock ( NYSE:DELL ) surged 9.36% to 146.66 in midday trades on the stock market today. Woodring said Dell is benefiting from AI server sales momentum, inflecting storage demand and an improving PC market. He also called Dell stock a "top pick."
Morgan Stanley now forecasts Dell earnings per share of $8.06 in fiscal 2025 and $10.12 in fiscal 2026, both above consensus estimates. Dell's capital return program through dividends and share buybacks is an "added kicker," he said. Dell is now forecasted to earn earnings per share of $8.06 in fiscal 2025 and $10.12 in fiscal 2026, both above consensus estimates.
Dell shares rose over 9% on Wednesday to an all-time high after a note predicted the company would rake in sales from the insatiable demand for artificial intelligence servers. Most AI servers are built around Nvidia's chips, which have become prized in the technology industry because they are used to build and deploy advanced AI models from companies like Google, OpenAI, and Meta. Dell sells servers using the newest Nvidia AI chips, including its H100 GPU and the latest Blackwell-generation chips.
NYSE:DELL is expected to announce its April quarter earnings later this month, while Nvidia reports earnings for its quarter ending in April next week. Dell's other business, building PCs for consumers and businesses running Microsoft Windows, could get a boost next week when Microsoft reveals new capabilities at its conference, including long-awaited AI features that many analysts expect to drive demand for new PCs.
Technical Outlook
Dell stock ( NYSE:DELL ) is up 9.4% as of the time of writing trading within the overbought region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 73.52. Traders ought to be cautious of a trend reversal or correction.
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading
the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as
shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this
occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the
NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play?
The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the
last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall,
I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the
retracement seems inevitable.
DELL pushes price with a big earnings beat LONGDELL reported earnings 27% beyond the estimates and traders reacted. The indicators show
that relative volume was about 10X the running moving average. The RSI dual time frame
indicator ( by Chris Moody) showed a 50-level cross-over on 2/22 one week before earnings.
That was the best early entry and price is up 20% higher since then. The question is whether
is is overextending and so will retrace. The mass index indicator is suggestive of a reversal.
Overall, I will watch price action for bullish continuation while considering the possibility
of a short sell into a retracement if it evolves. No matter volatility is increased I intend
to make the best possible trade in response to what develops.
DELL leaps out of the shadows of SMCI LONGDELL has risen and is now at its all time highs. Apparently, its server intrastructure business
this thriving. It is chasing SMCI and does not have the high valuation ratios that make
SMCI look overextended. The indicators document the up trending price action. A price
forecast algorithm has DELL rising into a high pivot on April 18th with 35% upside to that
forecasted pivot. I am adding to my DELL position here for the anticipated two week trade.