Dell Technologies going up after retracementAfter raising from 33$ to 180$ in a span of ~1.5 years, Dell technologies had a major correction to 0.618 fibonacci level in 2 months. Since then the stock has seen a steady move upward in a narrow channel. Fibonacci extension level of 1.618 indicates price target of 237$ for the next 1-2 years.
Delltechnologies
Can a Tech Giant Redefine the Future of Enterprise Computing?In an era where technology companies rise and fall with stunning rapidity, Dell Technologies has orchestrated a remarkable transformation that challenges conventional wisdom about legacy tech companies. The company's strategic positioning in the hybrid cloud market, coupled with recent market disruptions affecting competitors like Super Micro Computer, has created an unprecedented opportunity for Dell to reshape the enterprise computing landscape.
Dell's masterful execution of its hybrid cloud strategy, particularly through its groundbreaking partnership with Nutanix, demonstrates the power of strategic evolution. The integration of PowerFlex software-defined storage and the introduction of the XC Plus appliance represent more than mere product innovations—they exemplify a deeper understanding of how enterprise computing needs are fundamentally changing. This transformation is particularly evident in regions like Saudi Arabia, where Dell's two-decade presence has evolved into a catalyst for technological advancement and digital transformation.
The financial markets have begun to recognize this shifting dynamic, as reflected in Dell's impressive 38% year-over-year growth in infrastructure solutions revenue. However, the true significance lies not in the numbers alone, but in what they represent: a traditional hardware company successfully pivoting to meet the complex demands of the AI era while maintaining its core strengths in enterprise computing. For investors and industry observers alike, Dell's journey presents a compelling case study in how established tech giants can not only survive but thrive in an era of rapid technological change.
Dell Triumphant Return to the S&P 500: What’s Driving the Rally?Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has made headlines with its upcoming re-inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, effective September 23. This marks a significant milestone for the tech giant, which was previously part of the S&P 500 from 1996 until 2013 before going private. The announcement has sent Dell’s stock price soaring, with shares jumping 6.1% in premarket trading on Monday. The re-entry into the S&P 500 is more than just symbolic; it represents renewed market confidence and a bright outlook for the company’s future.
Strong Market Position and Growth Drivers
Dell’s re-inclusion in the S&P 500 is not just about index rebalancing; it signals a broader positive trajectory fueled by several key factors. According to analysts at Citi Research, Dell’s fundamentals are strong, and the company is positioned to capitalize on multiple growth levers, making it a compelling buy.
1. Recovery in Enterprise Infrastructure Demand: Dell’s enterprise hardware products, including servers and storage solutions, are expected to benefit as businesses reinvest in critical infrastructure. After a period of constrained IT spending, Dell stands ready to capture significant market share as economic conditions improve.
2. PC Refresh Cycle: Dell is poised to gain from an upcoming global PC refresh cycle, expected to drive demand into 2025. As businesses and households upgrade aging PC systems, Dell’s personal computing segment is set to experience substantial sales growth. This cycle represents a critical growth driver for Dell’s core business.
3. AI Momentum: Dell’s focus on AI solutions positions it as a key player in the rapidly expanding AI market. As companies increasingly adopt AI workloads that require robust compute and storage resources, Dell’s expanding AI product portfolio could lead to significant revenue growth. The company’s expertise in providing the necessary hardware for AI applications aligns perfectly with emerging market needs.
4. Capital Returns and Valuation: Citi has set a target price of $160 for Dell, based on a 9.8x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to projected earnings over the next 24 months. This valuation reflects the company’s ability to execute and capitalize on growth opportunities. Compared to peers in the large enterprise hardware sector, Dell’s valuation strikes a balance that reflects both potential upside and inherent risks.
5. Challenges to Watch: While the outlook is positive, Dell faces challenges, including competition from hyperscalers and cloud computing solutions that pressure traditional enterprise hardware demand. The evolving landscape of cloud-enabled infrastructure and potential delays in the PC refresh cycle could impact Dell’s near-term growth prospects. Additionally, there is uncertainty around the pace at which Dell’s AI backlog will convert into tangible revenue.
Technical Outlook
Currently, Dell stock is up 4.48%, trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 4.83%, which suggests room for further growth.
1. Bullish Flag Pattern: Dell’s daily price chart shows a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that signals a potential upward breakout. If the stock price reaches the $150 pivot point, it would confirm a bullish reversal, setting the stage for a sustained rally.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Dell is trading just below its 200-day moving average, a key resistance level. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend and attract further buying interest.
3. Volume and Momentum Indicators: Increased trading volume accompanying the recent price surge adds conviction to the bullish outlook. Momentum indicators suggest that Dell is on the cusp of a significant move higher, particularly with the backdrop of strong fundamentals and market sentiment.
Looking Ahead
Dell’s upcoming S&P 500 re-inclusion, combined with its strategic positioning in key growth areas, presents a compelling case for investors. The company’s ability to navigate the complexities of the evolving enterprise hardware market while capitalizing on the AI boom and PC upgrade cycle underpins its long-term growth potential.
While challenges remain, Dell’s re-entry into the S&P 500 is a testament to its resilience and strategic execution. With strong fundamentals, technical momentum, and multiple growth levers at play, Dell is well-positioned for continued success in the coming years. For investors, the current setup presents a unique opportunity to participate in the resurgence of a tech powerhouse.
Dell Stock Rises After Company Reports Strong EarningsKey Takeaways:
- Dell's Q2 earnings surpassed expectations on both top and bottom lines, driven by strong AI-optimized server sales.
- Server and networking revenue rose 80% to a record $7.7 billion, with AI server demand increasing 23% sequentially.
- Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) rose over 5% in Friday's premarket trading, highlighting technical momentum.
Fundamental Analysis:
Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has solidified its position as a leading player in the AI server market, a rapidly expanding segment fueled by increasing investments from businesses and cloud providers in next-generation AI infrastructure. In its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, Dell posted revenues of $25.06 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $24.53 billion. The company's adjusted EPS of $1.89 also outperformed forecasts, underscoring strong execution in the current market environment.
The standout performance came from Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which includes servers and networking equipment. ISG revenue jumped 38% year-over-year to $11.65 billion, driven by an 80% surge in server and networking revenue to $7.76 billion, marking a record high. This was propelled by significant demand for AI-optimized servers, primarily those integrating Nvidia and AMD chips.
AI Sales Fuel Growth:
Dell (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has emerged as a top vendor for AI-oriented servers, benefiting from the industry's ongoing shift towards AI-driven solutions. AI server sales soared to $3.1 billion in the quarter, up from $1.7 billion in the previous quarter, highlighting robust sequential growth. According to Chief Operating Officer Jeff Clarke, Dell is actively competing and winning large-scale AI deals, further expanding its market share in this high-growth segment.
The AI-driven demand surge is not only boosting Dell’s top line but also creating a backlog of $3.8 billion in AI server orders and a multibillion-dollar pipeline of potential deals yet to be finalized. Despite a decline in Dell’s storage business, down 5% to $4 billion, and a 4% drop in its Client Solutions Group revenue, the explosive growth in AI servers has positioned Dell as a key player in the tech industry’s AI boom.
Guidance and Market Sentiment:
Dell’s slight upward revision of its full-year revenue guidance to $95.5 billion - $98.5 billion, up from the previous $93.5 billion - $97.5 billion, reflects management's confidence in sustaining growth momentum, particularly in its ISG division. Despite a 34% decline in Dell's stock since its last report, shares have rebounded strongly, gaining 48% year-to-date, supported by its robust earnings performance and growing AI server market share.
Technical Analysis:
On the technical front, Dell stock (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) is showing promising signals of a bullish reversal. The stock surged over 5% in premarket trading on Friday, positioning the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at approximately 53, up from 49 on Thursday. This upward RSI movement suggests growing buying momentum, with a potential target zone of 60-65, which would confirm a bullish reversal.
The daily price chart displays a fading bullish flag pattern, an indicator of potential upward price movement if momentum continues. A breakout above the flag pattern, supported by sustained buying pressure, could propel the stock towards higher price targets, making Dell a strong candidate for further gains in the short to medium term.
Bullish Catalysts:
- The 80% year-over-year surge in server and networking revenue demonstrates Dell's effective capitalizing on AI-driven demand, particularly for servers optimized for advanced AI workloads.
- Dell's strategic focus on AI servers is generating substantial backlog and deal pipelines, positioning the company for sustained revenue growth.
- The company’s ongoing share repurchase and dividend strategy, with $1 billion spent in the quarter, enhances shareholder value and supports the stock’s upside potential.
Conclusion:
Dell's strong earnings report highlights its strategic pivot towards AI infrastructure, driving substantial gains in its ISG division and positioning the company as a leader in the AI server market. The fundamental strength, combined with positive technical indicators, sets the stage for continued upward momentum in Dell stock. Investors should watch for further confirmation of a bullish reversal, as rising RSI and potential breakouts in price patterns could signal additional upside for Dell shares in the near term.
DELL Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DELL Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%...
Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting.
After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
Dell (DELL): Analyzing Recent Trends and Future ExpectationsDell Technologies has experienced a remarkable rise of approximately 440% within a span of about one and a half years. However, this impressive ascent has been marked by a bearish divergence at the current top. The RSI has been forming lower tops while the price chart has been forming higher tops, indicating weakening momentum.
Current Situation:
Trend Channel: Dell shot above the trend channel, but quickly corrected downwards with a significant gap down, losing around 12% in a single day.
Support Level: The price found support within the trend channel, likely marking Wave A.
Expectations:
Wave B and C : We anticipate the formation of Wave B followed by Wave C, potentially moving into the open gap area. Although part of the gap between $94.44 and $104 has already been tagged, there is still some remaining that could be fully closed.
Critical Levels: It is crucial for the $80 level to hold. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards the $68 or even $60 range.
Key Points to Monitor:
Bearish Divergence: The bearish divergence on the RSI suggests potential further downside.
Gap Fill: Watch for a potential move to fill the remaining gap.
Support at $80: Maintaining support at $80 is critical to prevent deeper declines.
Dell Technologies Shares Slump 17% in Premarket Trading Dell Technologies shares ( NYSE:DELL ) fell about 17% in premarket trading on Friday, as the PC and server maker expects significant AI investments to impact its quarterly profit. Dell is on track to lose more than $17 billion in market value if premarket losses hold. The stock has more than doubled this year. Companies like Dell have been investing heavily in expensive hardware to build advanced servers capable of processing complex artificial intelligence tasks as more businesses adopt the technology. High costs associated with in-demand AI servers are also expected to hurt the company's annual margin.
The company expects adjusted gross margin rate to decline about 150 basis points in fiscal 2025. It forecasts adjusted profit per share of $1.65, plus or minus 10 cents, for the second quarter, versus LSEG estimates of $1.84 at the time Dell reported results on Thursday. Morningstar analysts wrote in a note that AI-server sales continue to contribute only a small percentage to the firm's top line and are margin-dilutive.
Revenue from the company's mainstay client solutions group, which includes its personal computer business, was flat, with the consumer sub-segment down 15%. Dell has turned to pricing its models competitively in the consumer PC segment as the PC market emerges from a years-long slump.
Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) provided guidance for the second quarter, the full 2025 fiscal year, and the infrastructure solution group (ISG) segment. CFO Yvonne McGill said Dell expects second-quarter revenue to be between $23.5 billion and $24.5 billion, slightly above analysts' estimates compiled by Visible Alpha. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) raised its full-year outlook to between $93.5 billion and $97.5 billion, up from the range of $91 billion to $95 billion provided the quarter prior.
Dell's AI server backlog is primarily Nvidia-based, with H100 availability being better, H200 supply expected to improve in the second half of the year, and B200, Nvidia's Blackwell server, now in production. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) executives reassured investors that the company could be well-positioned to gain as enterprise customers integrate AI, with Clarke stating that Dell is "uniquely positioned to help customers with artificial intelligence" and noting that "strong AI momentum continues."
Dell Hits Record High Amid Rise in AI stocksDell Technologies shares ( NYSE:DELL ) hit a record high on Friday amid a rally in companies working on generative artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia, a major AI-heavyweight, posted strong quarterly results and forecasted current-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations, reinforcing that customers' spending on genAI will continue to hold strong.
Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) has recently launched AI-oriented personal computers and more powerful servers in collaboration with Nvidia. Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) shares rose 6% to $162.82 after paring some gains in the afternoon and were on track to add $6.6 billion to its market value. Major chip firms were up between Nvidia's nearly 1% rise and Qualcomm's 4% gain. U.S.-listed shares of Arm Holdings were up 2.3%.
Shares of software companies C3.ai and Palantir Technologies were up 0.6% and 1.6%, respectively. Chip companies are expected to benefit heavily from AI chip-related orders, primarily from cloud providers, who have indicated a significant increase in their capex for 2024.
Dell Stock Hits Record High as it Secures Big AI Server OrdersDell Technologies ( NYSE:DELL ) has risen 9.45% to a record high after being called "the best way to play" in the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring. Dell stock ( NYSE:DELL ) surged 9.36% to 146.66 in midday trades on the stock market today. Woodring said Dell is benefiting from AI server sales momentum, inflecting storage demand and an improving PC market. He also called Dell stock a "top pick."
Morgan Stanley now forecasts Dell earnings per share of $8.06 in fiscal 2025 and $10.12 in fiscal 2026, both above consensus estimates. Dell's capital return program through dividends and share buybacks is an "added kicker," he said. Dell is now forecasted to earn earnings per share of $8.06 in fiscal 2025 and $10.12 in fiscal 2026, both above consensus estimates.
Dell shares rose over 9% on Wednesday to an all-time high after a note predicted the company would rake in sales from the insatiable demand for artificial intelligence servers. Most AI servers are built around Nvidia's chips, which have become prized in the technology industry because they are used to build and deploy advanced AI models from companies like Google, OpenAI, and Meta. Dell sells servers using the newest Nvidia AI chips, including its H100 GPU and the latest Blackwell-generation chips.
NYSE:DELL is expected to announce its April quarter earnings later this month, while Nvidia reports earnings for its quarter ending in April next week. Dell's other business, building PCs for consumers and businesses running Microsoft Windows, could get a boost next week when Microsoft reveals new capabilities at its conference, including long-awaited AI features that many analysts expect to drive demand for new PCs.
Technical Outlook
Dell stock ( NYSE:DELL ) is up 9.4% as of the time of writing trading within the overbought region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 73.52. Traders ought to be cautious of a trend reversal or correction.
Dell's Soaring Stock: A Tale of Innovation Dell Inc. Founded by a college dropout in his dorm room, the company has emerged as a titan in the realm of computing, and its recent stock performance has only solidified its position as a beacon of success in the market.
Michael Dell, the visionary behind the company bearing his name, has seen his personal wealth skyrocket in tandem with Dell's stock price. Bloomberg reports a staggering increase of $27 billion in his net worth this year alone, placing him among the upper echelons of the world's wealthiest individuals. Such a meteoric rise not only highlights Dell's remarkable success but also underscores the potent force of innovation and determination in the tech industry.
At the heart of Dell's remarkable ascent lies its robust performance in the stock market. Dell (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has witnessed a jaw-dropping surge of over 68% in its stock price this year, propelling its market capitalization to over $91 billion. Such exponential growth is a testament to the company's strategic vision and ability to capitalize on emerging trends in the tech landscape.
One of the key drivers behind Dell's stellar performance is the resurgence of the PC industry, coupled with burgeoning demand in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. With a 22% market share in the PC industry, Dell is poised to reap the rewards of a projected 7% increase in PC sales this year, as estimated by Canalys, a leading analysis firm. Furthermore, Dell's foray into the realm of AI presents a lucrative opportunity for expansion, as the company positions itself at the forefront of innovation in this transformative field.
Looking ahead, Dell anticipates further growth, with revenue projected to reach between $91 billion and $95 billion. Such bullish optimism is supported by the company's commitment to rewarding shareholders, evidenced by a substantial repurchase of shares worth over $838 million and a 20% increase in dividends. Additionally, Dell's strategic initiatives, including workforce optimization measures, demonstrate a proactive approach to cost management in an ever-changing business landscape.
Despite the overwhelmingly positive sentiment surrounding Dell, some analysts caution against overvaluation of the stock. With an average target price of $122.6, lower than the current market price of $144, concerns linger regarding the sustainability of Dell's remarkable ascent. Furthermore, a forward PE ratio of 29.50, exceeding the sector median of 28.25, raises questions about the stock's valuation relative to its peers.
Nevertheless, the prevailing sentiment among analysts remains largely favorable, with the majority endorsing a buy or strong buy rating for Dell. With 11 out of 18 analysts advocating for a buy, coupled with the company's promising growth prospects in the PC and AI sectors, Dell appears poised to continue its upward trajectory in the foreseeable future.
In conclusion, Dell's remarkable journey from humble beginnings to global prominence serves as a testament to the power of innovation, resilience, and strategic vision. As the company continues to ride the wave of success in the ever-evolving tech landscape, investors and enthusiasts alike are left marveling at the boundless potential of Dell Inc.
Dell to 200+ by summerDell nice breakout on a great earnings. It is not crazy expensive. Earnings probably get bumped up to 10 dollars for next year from 7-8 dollars a share on the server backlog. Put an AI multiple on that and baby you got 20-30 times next years earnings of 10 dollars by summer, or a 200-300$ stock ha.
Dell Stock Surges on Strong AI Server Demand & Robust EarningIn a market characterized by uncertainty, Dell Technologies ( NYSE:DELL ) has emerged as a beacon of resilience and innovation. The tech giant's recent fourth-quarter earnings report exceeded all expectations, propelling its shares to soar by a staggering 15%. This surge was fueled by a resounding beat on both top and bottom lines, underscoring Dell's adeptness at navigating challenging economic landscapes. However, what truly captured investors' attention was the remarkable surge in demand for Dell's artificial intelligence (AI) servers, signaling a promising trajectory for the company's future.
Riding the AI Wave:
Dell's foray into AI-optimized servers has proven to be a strategic masterstroke. The company reported a monumental 40% sequential increase in orders for these servers during the fourth quarter, with the backlog nearly doubling—a testament to the burgeoning demand for AI-related infrastructure. This surge in AI server adoption underscores Dell's pivotal role in powering the digital transformation sweeping across industries. As businesses increasingly harness the power of AI to drive innovation and efficiency, Dell stands poised to capitalize on this burgeoning market, positioning itself as a frontrunner in the AI infrastructure space.
Financial Triumph Amidst Turbulent Times:
Despite prevailing macroeconomic headwinds, Dell delivered a stellar financial performance in its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter. With revenue clocking in at $22.32 billion—exceeding analyst estimates—the company showcased its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty. Notably, Dell's net income surged by an impressive 89% year-over-year, highlighting its ability to adapt and thrive in dynamic market conditions. Bolstered by these robust earnings, Dell announced a substantial 20% increase in its annual dividend—a move that underscores management's confidence in the company's future prospects.
Strategic Vision for Growth:
Looking ahead, Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) remains bullish on its growth prospects, buoyed by the momentum surrounding AI adoption. The company anticipates returning to growth in fiscal 2025, fueled by robust demand for AI infrastructure and a rebound in PC sales. Despite cautious sentiments among some customers regarding infrastructure costs, Dell ( NYSE:DELL ) remains optimistic about its long-term trajectory. Moreover, with a forecasted revenue range of $91 billion to $95 billion for fiscal 2025—above analysts' average estimates—Dell is charting a course for sustained growth and profitability.
Investor Confidence and Analyst Sentiment:
Dell's stellar performance has not gone unnoticed by investors and analysts alike. Following the earnings announcement, the company's shares surged by over 20%, adding billions to its market capitalization. Analysts have been quick to revise their price targets upwards, reflecting a widespread bullish sentiment towards Dell's future prospects. With over three-fourths of analysts maintaining a "buy" or higher rating and a median target price of $105, confidence in Dell's growth trajectory remains palpable.
DELL Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DELL here:
then Analyzing the options chain of DELL Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $47.5 strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.10
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DELL Excellent buy opportunity on the break-outDell Technologies (DELL) is testing the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the short-term Channel Down that started after the September 12 High. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is right above it, all within the wider pattern of the long-term Channel Down since the March 29 rejection on the 1D MA50.
However, while the price was on the Channel Down's Lower Lows, the 1D RSI has been on Higher Lows since September 27, waving a Bullish Divergence. As we just bounced near the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down, it is highly likely that we will extend the rebound and hit at least the All Time High Lower Highs trend-line (dashed). A good time to take profit and re-evaluate would also be when the RSI hits its 4 month Resistance Zone.
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