Bitcoin triangle and support channels brokenBitcoin has broken the compressing triangle near the apex and now broke the closest support line based on triangle lows.
Oscillators also show broken structures.
If short placed before breakout good. Stick to it - It is not yet time to exit since nothing suggests otherwise. But adjust the stop loss to decent level in case of surprising reversal (wouldn't be surprised to be honest) and bear trap confirmation.
We shall see if we are going to see more sidway and price consolidation or continuation. If price consolidates for awhile and show some rejection from the downside showing bull presence it is more likely we could see massive pump to 7k levels. Too soon to hypothesise on that.
Atm short bias but not anymore a good time to enter now short until further evidence of weakness.. Time to be very careful because interest is still significantly low and this last move is indeed possibly a bear trap at weekly support levels.
Delta
Ethereum Classic getting ready...OK Ethereum Classic is one of those shitcoins looking in great position for possible long position. Would wait for one or two candles closing above the Hull MA (34) .
RSI 5 and 13 showing divergence. Yes i know recent close is not exactly same level or lower but the geometry of RSI is too steep to not consider these.
Volume increase on rejection also show interest in this zone. Definitely feels that something is going to happen soon.
DELTA AIRLINESDELTA GOING DOWN WITH SIGNIFICANT VOLUME???
I think that Delta Airlines is going down potentially past the 52.00 price level. Prices could of course have strong reversal near the V, are you prepared to ''BUY THE DIP'' One way to play this is to take half your profits off the trade as prices are approaching the 54.00 price level. If however you believe prices to go through the V, I think you need to be paying attention to the volume on this. As prices often penetrate the V with strong volume , your next target if this did occur would be near the 48.00 price level . It's up to you how you play this. I would be very cautious as prices approach the 54.00 level . It's totally up to you how you play this, with put options in this sort of scenario favours are in your favour regardless(2/3). It's just about maximising profits.
October 11 Earnings: Delta Airlines - Fuel, Fuel, FuelAll major airlines have enjoyed solid financial upbeat since Oil $USOIL has remained under $50/barrel.
Delta Airlines has subsequently hiked their dividend throughout the quarter and increased share buybacks.
The company is also committed to paying down debt while financial conditions allow for it.
The ITIA's latest data reports a Load Factor of 84.7% - Optimistic readings for airlines.
Traffic growth remains high at 6.8% as more people take to the skies and shipping increases.
I believe this quarter will be bullish for airlines following the summer season.
I'm starting Delta Airlines with a $55.00 PT for the post-earnings price action.
Bearish Doubling Down For Delta AirlinesOn April 26, 2017, Delta Airlines ( DAL ) crossed below its 150 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 41 times and the stock drops a minimum of 0.194%. It has a median loss of 6.485 % and maximum loss of 40.441% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 52.8562. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock recently moved up into a more neutral movement state.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -17.9842. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0188 and the negative is at 0.8566. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up, but the positive is dropping and negative is rising after today's session.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 71.7501 and D value is 61.2473. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is approaching overbought territory and should cycle down soon.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop another 3.82% over the next 15 trading days.
Just two days prior to our current downward DMA cross, Delta crossed over its 150 DMA. When the downward cross occurs a few trading days after an upward cross, the stock always drops. Since the end of the financial crisis in 2009 this has occurred in January 2011, October 2011, December 2011 (3 times), October 2012 (4 times), November 2012, July 2015, and April 2016. The stock dropped 6.369%, 12.993%, 5.483%, 3.879%, 2.317%, 3.535%, 4.814%, 5.100%, 5.572%, 3.560%, 1.261%, and 13.494% respectively. The median drop of these 12 occasions is 4.957%.
Significant Bearish Moving Average Cross For DeltaOn April 11, 2017, the Delta Airlines ( DAL ) 20 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 150 DMA. Historically this has occurred 9 times and the stock drops a minimum of 4.371%. It has a median loss of 11.715% and maximum loss of 42.018% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 39.2516. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral but has been trending down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -22.0315. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0215. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down, but at a decision point. This indicator could produce a crossover and the stock could move up.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 23.7070 and D value is 21.8876. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock could begin a reversal, however, it could still drop to an oversold level over the next 5-10 trading days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading down. A strong resistance down trend has been taking shape since March 7. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop another 4.00% over the next 15 trading days.
Gold Rebounds off the 7 Day Moving AverageGold dipped lower in the overnight session but then rebounded off the 7 day moving average. Price is now at the top of the weekly highs and looking to move above 1250.
I've added a second haDelta indicator which is set to track the weekly Heikin-Ashi candles. Now both the daily and weekly are aligned in blue. This is a great way to stay in the trade and to filter out noise. For example, yesterday was a down day but even though the sma on the daily haDelta moved down, the overall trend remained up. The Heikin-Ashi candles also remained Green.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Pauses and Moves SidewaysGold traded down 3.6 points on Thursday and while it was a down candle, the bull move is still supported by a green Heikin-Ashi candle. It would also be unusual for price to not move past the inner Bollinger Band. As you can see on the Heikin-Ashi version of the chart, the uptrend still appears to be strong;
The weekly chart below shows a possible transition to a bull market. This weeks candle is the second green one in a row (unless there's a big sell-off tomorrow) and is a strong move above the 21 week moving average. And while the haDelta indicator is still red, you can see the delta moving average poking above the 0 line, a strong harbinger that the downward trend may be ending.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Natural Gas Moves SidewaysNatural Gas today stayed range bound, unable to break the 3.087 price. That price is also at the middle Bollinger Band. Support for the day is provided by the 7 day moving average, the purple crosses on the chart. There are some signs that price wants to go higher. The Heikin Ashi Delta indicator is blue, signaling an upward move. And usually you would expect a touch of the outer Bollinger Band, currently at 3.16. However, if price can't move up in the next couple of days, then I would expect another downward leg.
For now, I am flat and remain neutral.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Please trade at your own risk.
Gold Extends Rally into 6th DayOn Wednesday, Gold continued to climb higher, extending its rally for a 6th straight day. On today's chart, I've put back my triple Bollinger Band setup so we can get a better idea on what price is doing. We are currently at the inner Band, which is set to 1.0 Standard Deviation from the 21 day moving average. It looks pretty certain that gold wants to move to the upper Band to complete, what I call a 'Coast to Coast' trade.
The Heikin-Ashi Delta indicator at the bottom also shows that the current trend is continuing to be bullish.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposed only. Please trade at your own risk.
Gold Continues to RiseGold closed higher today, up 12.3 points. In the first big push above the 21 day moving average, gold had started the day back under the 21 day moving average but didn't fall as far as the 6 day moving average before springing back up. The next target is up at 1269 where the upper Bollinger Band and the 200 day moving average are waiting.