Demand Zone
XAUUSD 25/11/24Following last week's shift into a bullish narrative, we remain bullish on the higher timeframe. This outcome was anticipated in our previous reports, where we noted that failing to interact with key areas appropriately would likely result in a bullish shift.
As expected, the daily bias has also turned bullish, aligning with our forecast. We failed to engage with the liquid highs and areas of supply, resulting in a push upward and the establishment of a new upward trajectory. Currently, we have an unmitigated area of supply, representing a potential counter move. While this scenario is less likely, we are closely monitoring the area of demand at the base of the last major move. If the current upward trajectory breaks, this demand zone will be our focus.
As always, if the price continues downward to the demand area and fails to hold, we will look for lower points within the current range. Our bias will remain bullish unless the daily timeframe bias shifts again. However, if there is no pullback—as previously mentioned—this will be a counter-trend move, increasing the likelihood of another upward expansion. This would target pre-established highs and potentially breach the area of supply.
It’s also worth noting that there are several pockets of liquidity around the demand area, as well as liquidity above the major highs of our previous downward trade.
Trade safely, stick to your plan, and always follow your risk management rules.
GBP/USD Longs from this weekly demand This week, my analysis suggests that GU is likely to experience a bullish reaction from its current position. Price is sitting within a key weekly demand zone and has already surpassed the 50% retracement mark, signaling a potential area for long opportunities.
At the current level, there is a 1-hour demand zone nearby, with another demand zone just below it. I plan to watch for price accumulation in these areas, particularly to take out the weekly low. Once that occurs, I’ll look for my lower time frame confirmation to enter long positions. My primary target will be the Asian session high near the supply zone above.
Confluences for GBP/USD Longs:
- Liquidity Targets: Significant liquidity rests above, including the Asian session high.
- Supply Zone Mitigation: A strong supply zone above has yet to be mitigated.
- Retracement Setup: The bearish trend suggests the need for a retracement upward.
- Imbalances Above: Price has left clear imbalances that need to be filled.
- Weekly Demand Zone: Price is currently reacting within a high-probability weekly demand area.
P.S.: If price opens the week with bullish momentum but doesn’t provide a clear entry setup, I’ll shift my focus to the mitigation of the supply zone above. This would present potential sell opportunities to continue the broader bearish trend.
DOGE To Mars - The Elon RideDOGE got a memorable boost with the previous FOMO.
With the Crypto Markets preparing for the next boom, I think this one will go again.
This dog went to the Moon, now Elon's gonna take it to Mars.
I will not hesitate to get my hands on this Dogecoin at the $0.03-$0.01 range.
DOGEUSD ( DOGEUSDT , DOGEBUSD ) Tech. Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle A (white)
* Elliott Wave Correction: Primary A-B-C (red)
* Ending Diagonal: Primary C (red)
* Bullish Divergence
* Demand Zone
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 61.8% Fibonacci Extension
* Double Bottom
It might take a while, but it proved to be a nice meme coin.
So, might as well get some if it provides a better level.
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics ComboBitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D) is giving a fantastic trading setup.
It's preparing a BIG Bullish Swing.
From an Elliott Wave point of view, a bullish Impulse Wave is about to start.
In this case I'm talking about Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise).
Moving on to Harmonic Patterns, there are two:
The smaller one is the Bullish Shark, which is preparing its completion.
The second one, and the bigger view, is the Cypher Pattern, which will commence one the Shark is done.
So, bottom line: BTC.D is gonna start flying, and will push the Crypto market into a fantastic Bull Cycle.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise)
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Shark
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Cypher
* Double Bottom
* Bullish Divergence
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 61.8% Fibonacci Extension
* Demand Zone
Conclusion: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is and always will be the one and only driver of the Crypto Markets.
10% PUMP Incoming If...Keeping an eye on $GRASS here. Once level is #reclaimed, 10% pump to next #resistance more likely.
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Believe it or not, Bear Market is almost finishedhello traders
Bitcoin is outside its price range and approached a strong retracement area that is difficult to pass (MONTHLY IMBALANCE _ RESISTANCE BECOMES SUPPORT _ NOT FRESH DEMAND)
At least for the next period, Bitcoin will return to its price range, and there are other TARGETS that it can reach
UJ longsUJ is in a strong bullish trend right now, with a larger pullback at the moment which indicates that we can now wait for the accumulation in the HTF demand zone.
I will be waiting for price to slow down within this area, switch into a consolidation were liquidity will be build.
I will be monitoring price in this range on the 5 min TF, enter on the 2 min TF using my SMA crossover marker indicator and try to ride this thing all the way up to the HH target.
GU imminent buys to sell idea?My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) is still bearish at the moment, as the DXY (Dollar Index) has been very bullish. Additionally, GU has broken structure to the downside, and there's a clean supply zone that aligns with this bearish trend. However, as price is currently in my demand zone, I will be looking for confirmation to buy temporarily for a retracement.
If price does not respect the 1-hour demand zone, I expect it to accumulate slowly, approaching the demand zone below. In that case, I’ll wait for the price to reach this lower zone before looking to buy. If this scenario doesn't play out, I will wait for the price to rally up and then look for short opportunities to sell again.
Confluences for a GU Long:
- The market has been very bearish, and a pullback is likely.
- There is a lot of liquidity to the upside, including Asia session highs and trendline liquidity.
- A clean demand zone lies below a liquidity level, offering potential buy opportunities.
- The DXY has left imbalances below due to recent news, suggesting the dollar could decline temporarily.
Note: If price rallies up and breaks the current high, I would expect an upward continuation, as there's significant liquidity being built up above for GBP/USD.
Wishing you a successful trading week ahead!
GOLD BREAKDOWNA chart representation of what may happen on Gold in the week and beyond.
Monthly TF still looks significantly bullish as the Gold Market Price is currently still trading above the previous significant monthly lows. We don't need the price to just trade below but close below to ascertain the presence of weakness in the current bullish trend.
On the Weekly TF, price has shown a clear push signifying a building up in bearish momentum before and after the US elections last week. Nevertheless there is the monthly lows as support to hold off what sells we are seeing and resume bullish trend. Until the break of that area, we will only keep seeing the current push down as gathering liquidity to continue the preceding bullish pressure.
Coming to the lower TF, the chart clearly shows Possible rejection zones that may be used as indicated and based on special confirmations know to my trading style, I will be looking forward to join in for buys or sells where significant.
Fundamental - The uncertain nature of Trump's first approach upon assuming second term may stir trade tensions globally and mixed sentiments may have an effect on price volatility until his policy implementations are clearer.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
XAU/USD shorts from 2,760 or Longs from 2,720This week, my analysis suggests that gold may continue to drop, targeting the trendline liquidity formed below. Once that liquidity is taken out, I anticipate a bullish reaction, potentially around the demand zone I have identified. If the price retraces up to the supply zone, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities to follow this short-term bearish trend.
Since my overall bias is bullish, I am more inclined towards long positions due to the higher time frame outlook. However, if the price surpasses any of my nearby Points of Interest (POIs), I’ll watch for a deeper retracement around the demand at 2,680 or the supply at 2,780.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- Price has shown a bearish shift on the higher time frame.
- Supply zones remain on both the 1-hour and daily charts.
- There is significant trendline liquidity below, providing a target for further downside movement.
- The dollar has been moving bullishly, which aligns with a potential drop in gold.
- Gold has been in a strong bullish trend and may be showing signs of exhaustion, hence the recent heavy decline.
P.S. I’ll stay vigilant and assess where the price moves first. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll have a stronger inclination to sell.
Have a great trading week!
FET Solid Long Entry & TargetA few untested KEY levels below would be a nice place to enter a long trade if we get the reaction we are looking for. The target would be the Value Area High & other untested KEY levels above.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Trading Alert: Ready for a Bounce to 2810? XAUUSD Market Insights:
Supply Zone: Currently facing resistance at 2788-90.
Support Level: Key buying opportunity at 2780-74.
Target: Aiming for 2810.
Upcoming Catalyst: NFP report this Friday could create volatility.
Strategy:
Watch for a bullish reversal at support to enter a long position.
Be ready for potential price swings around the NFP release.
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