Derivatives
SNX update: Adding partners and featuresEven as the Synthetix token (SNX) attempts to break above its 20-day MA stacking what could be a fifth green-candle day in a row, the project has been busy this year already. Here are the highlights from this month's Synthetix Blog and the announcement dates:
12 January 2022- (after partnering with the Graph to make major subgraph improvements) Synthetix partners with Gauntlet team "to provide automated financial risk management simulations for the Synthetix protocol. The unique mechanics of the Synthetix protocol require deep analysis to optimize, and Gauntlet has the resources, systems, and experience to ensure that Synthetix has both proper risk management and optimized capital efficiency."
19 January 2022- SIP 200 The Peacock release fixed a "FeePool Rewards Distribution" glitch.
22 January 2022- "Integrated the Synthetix loans feature directly into the Staking dapp on Layer Two (Optimistic Ethereum). Loans have been live on mainnet for almost a year now, and we’re excited to allow more of our users access to sUSD loans."
24 January 2022- "Announced a new round of incentives for WETH/SNX on Optimistic Ethereum. Synthetix will partner with Gelato to leverage G-UNI pools that enable rewards for liquidity providers."
Note that the blog announcements included "How-to's" as appropriate... like for loans or staking. These were only excerpts to help keep you abreast of the project's rapid advancement. For a deeper understanding, I suggest you read directly from the project's blog. This is still a long position for me as I continue to hodl hassle-free on the Celsius Network earning 14.05% APY or almost 7.5 tokens every Monday. Yes, I realize higher rates can be achieved for those who wish to do their own staking, but I'm lazy and 14.05% is huge for living in Texas and my not having to stake, delegate, or validate ever! If you want to know exactly how I am doing it and earn $50 in BTC using a referral code, message me. TradingView does not want me advertising that information here.
$DEFI/USDT 1h (#BinanceFutures) Falling channel breakoutDeFi Composite Index looks ready for short-term recovery after regaining 50MA support.
www.binance.com
Current Price= 2177.1
Buy Entry= 2176.3 - 2150.3
Take Profit= 2258.6 | 2356.2 | 2474.0
Stop Loss= 2098.9
Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 | 1:3 | 1:4.82
Expected Profit= +26.46% | +53.52% | +86.16%
Possible Loss= -17.64%
Fib. Retracement= 0.5 | 0.786 | 1.117
Margin Leverage= 6x
Estimated Gain-time= 5 days
$DYDX/USDT 3h (#BinanceFutures)Falling broadening wedge breakoutdYdX Protocol regained 100EMA support and seems to be strong enough to keep going up, let's catch next dip!
dydx.community dydx.foundation dydx.exchange
Current Price= 7.903
Buy Entry= 7.788 - 7.456
Take Profit= 8.533 | 9.435 | 10.725
Stop Loss= 6.919
Risk/Reward= 1:1.3 | 1:2.58 | 1:4.41
Expected Profit= +23.90% | +47.58% | +81.42%
Possible Loss= -18.44%
Fib. Retracement= 0.618 | 0.786 | 1
Margin Leverage= 2x
Estimated Gain-time= 3 weeks
Contracts:
#ERC20 0x92d6c1e31e14520e676a687f0a93788b716beff5
#SPL 4Hx6Bj56eGyw8EJrrheM6LBQAvVYRikYCWsALeTrwyRU
SNX bottom: Are we there yet?With SNX mainnet still likely a month or so out, have we finally found the bottom in price action? I don't honestly know the answer and charts can only provide clues. Anyone who says they can predict with certainty is a liar.
Again, this is NOT financial advice. This is simply what I am doing. I bought approximately 2765 Synthetix Network Tokens (SNX) on Coinbase in late July & early August (@$9.88 per SNX) of this year with the intention of earning no-hassle interest on Celsius Network at a yearly 13.99% APY. They pay me a portion (1/52nd of the yearly interest) in SNX tokens every Monday. The reasons I chose Celsius to HODL my tokens were many but knowing compounding interest at 13.99% will double my token count every 5 years was a big one. I understand there are ways to earn even more on Layer2 or on defi swap exchanges, but just as I am opposed to paying Coinbase their somewhat high fees for every transaction (buying, selling, swapping or transferring), I truly hate the volatile exorbitant gas fees of defi. I also hate all the steps necessary and the unpredictability of defi. Additionally, I have no desire to sit on my computer or stare at my cellphone all day making trades and computing transaction/gas fees or deciding where to delegate/stake my tokens. Is there a higher payoff with that higher risk? Sure. Don't care. That's just me.
I wanted the "set it and forget it" high interest of Celsius that would cost me zero coins/tokens in fees once I migrated my SNX to their platform. I understood the potential of the Synthetix project (derivatives) well enough to be content sitting on a growing pile of tokens until their real value is discovered sometime early next year with the mainnet launch. So, how have I been doing so far?
The price per token has taken a beating lately. But my view is truly longterm, especially by crypto-world standards. My token count now stands at 2914.828985. Celsius just added 7.35814 tokens to my personal account this morning. I don't take the risk of staking. I don't pay any gas fees. I don't pay any fees at all while I sit on my growing pile of SNX.
Added bonus. Celsius just upped the interest rate to 14.05% APY on my SNX. They are adding a better on-ramp/off-ramp feature in the next few weeks, so that I won't have to pay fees to Coinbase (or other Cefi or Defi exchanges) ever again. No more having to buy elsewhere and pay fees. No more transferring and paying fees. I HATE fees! If you like what I am doing and want to use my referral code to earn $50 in BTC for setting up and transferring your coins or tokens to Celsius, just ask in the comments (Tradingview does not want me advertising my referral code). Celsius has over 40 coins/tokens that they service (the referral code applies to any of them). Most offer higher interest than you will find on other Cefi and they don't charge fees. Did I mention, I HATE fees?
SNX and the Chaikin Money FlowKnowing what is in store for Synthetix Network Tokens (SNX) has kept me in for the long view. I have been fairly impressed with the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF green line on bottom of chart) attempting to maintain positive territory (staying above zero) for SNX even as ETH goes negative. Right now, it seems SNX is more closely tied to BTC money flow. Should be interesting to watch knowing that BTC is King Crypto and will eventually rise to unimaginable price value... even from here. Here's to SNX continuing to mirror. It will eventually pay handsomely.
$LTC/USD 3D (Binance Coin-Futures) Ascending channel on supportLitecoin broke-out bullish a few weeks ago and has now pulled back towards 100EMA where big demand zone stands, let's swing!
Risk/Reward= 1:2.5 | 1:4.6 | 1:8.24
Expected Profit= +50.72% | +93.57% | +167.57%
Possible Loss= -20.33%
Fib. Retracement= 0.702 | 0.883 | 1.117
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 5 months
litecoin.org
Current Price:
195.08
Entry Zone:
191.92 - 171.62
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 273.97
2) 351.86
3) 486.37
Stop Targets:
1) 144.82
AXSBTC Ready for Breakout?With BTC dumping right now I've got my eyes out for the next big breakout. Often times right after BTC dumps and starts recovering one of the alt coins breaks out and first indication of that usually happens when you look at the coin compared to BTC. I'm still waiting to see what happens here but eyes are on AXS right now.
Asset Classes - Part 3 - For beginnersToday we prepared for you 3rd part of our paper on asset classes for beginners. Purpose of this paper is to concisely detail futures contracts, forwards, swaps and options.
Asset Classes - Part 1 and 2 - For beginners
Feel welcome to read part 1 and part 2 if you have not yet.
Derivative
Derivative is a type of financial asset which derives its value from an underlying asset or group of assets, or benchmark. Underlying assets for derivative contracts can be, for example, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds, etc. Derivatives are traded on a stock market exchange or over-the-counter (OTC). They can be used as investment vehicles, speculative vehicles and even as hedge against the risk. Additionally, derivatives often allow for use of leverage. Most common derivatives are futures contracts, options, forwards and swaps.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of gold in USD.
Futures contracts
Futures contract is a standardized derivative that is publicly traded on a stock market exchange. It binds two parties together which are obligated to exchange an asset at a predetermined future date and price (without regard to current value). Expiration date is used to differentiate between particular futures contracts. For example, there may be a corn futures contract with expiration in April and then another corn futures contract with expiration in May. On a day of expiry, also called delivery, the exchange of an asset between the two parties is enforced. Underlying assets for futures contracts can be stocks, commodities, indexes, etc.
Forwards
Forward contract is a derivative contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a specified price on a future date. Unlike futures contracts, forward contracts are not standardized. They are customizable and traded over-the-counter rather than at a stock market exchange.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above depicts the daily graph of continuous futures for gold. It is clearly visible that the gold chart in USD and gold continuous futures chart are resemblant.
Swaps
Swap is another form of derivative contract that binds two parties to exchange cash flows. There are currency swaps and interest rate swaps. Currency swap is defined as the exchange of an amount in one currency for the same amount in another currency. Interest rate swaps are defined by exchange of interest rate payments.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows daily graph of S&P500 continuous futures.
Options
Option is a type of financial asset that gives a buyer the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price and date. Options differ from futures contracts in that they do not oblige parties to exchange an underlying asset. There are European-style options and American-style options. European-style options can be exercised only on a date of expiry while American-style options can be exercised at any time before this date. Options that give a buyer the right to buy an underlying asset are called call options. Contrary to that, the put options give a buyer the right to sell the underlying asset. Options are very complex as they involve option risk metrics, so called greeks.
DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
Synthetix Exchange is now KwentaIt occurs to me as I was fielding questions from friends who follow my picks, that any outside observer who clicks on the old dot "io" domain of Synthetix may believe Synthetix as a derivatives exchange has died and withered on the vine. Nothing could be further from the truth. If you don't follow their blog, you may have missed the transitioning that is occurring and the growth of the Kwenta platform. If you type in the old Synthetix "dot" Exchange, your browser will likely take you straight to the Kwenta landing page, powered by Synthetix. It does for me, but not all browsers perform the same. That "Powered by Synthetix" phrase under Kwenta's headline, "Derivatives Trading With Zero Slippage" is your big hint. So, Synthetix is still there, still transitioning, still moving forward. And it is still an awesome project/product and looking at this chart, the time it remains on sale at bargain basement pricing may be coming to a close soon. Get you some, while you can still afford it.
XBT Trade the Range Short SetupFor the past 4 months we have been trading inside this ascending channel
and broken out of it twice, once in October and November for our most recent
ATH .
Since then we have fallen back inside the channel and have tested our 58k region with a move to
the downside .
I would like to see 58400 level lost and see a move down to 55k eventually which will put us at
the middle of the channel and probably test the 100EMA .
Ultimately I would like to see a move to the bottom of the channel 50400 but its best to trade this level by level .
Until then I see continued weakness in the short term but the key here is trade the range your given .
Still scalp longs to be had off of the levels shown and short opportunity if we back test 60900 POC region .
Know your Invalidation and Like and Follow for all market updates and analysis
Sell Setup for BITUSDTFor this chart, we are waiting for price to swing back to the initially broken minor resistance to sell on this crypto.. once the target for sell is hit, we place a sell and wait patiently for price to hit the price indicated by the arrow BYBIT:BITUSDT
SNX Updates: Two Items todayNote the following quotations are their words, not mine. I am just passing this on to my fellow SNX hodlers to keep you abreast of either delays or progress (I see it as both).
1. "Today (October 19, ~21:00 UTC) the Kaus release will begin, implementing a minor upgrade on both L1 and L2. During this release there will be no downtime on L1 or L2. Here's what’s included in this release: SIP-187 - Fix Partial Synth Updates In Debt Cache: Fixes an issue with partial updates of synths in the debt cache which is causing the cached debt value to not update after minting and burning sUSD. This release is called Kaus , which like all releases is named after a star (in order of visual magnitude)."
2. Also, the Synthetix folks "have been busy building the future of the Synthetix protocol and have launched our decentralized perpetual futures on testnet. All futures will be traded through Kwenta and to celebrate, we've launched a free trading competition for our community with up to $50,000 in prizes. The signup process is easy (you just need a wallet address and a twitter account) You can visit the Registration Page or for more detailed instructions, visit the Kwenta Blog. As a contestant, you will have the first public look at our new perpetual futures trading platform, powered by Synthetix. As the first truly decentralized and composable derivatives protocol, our perpetual futures are optimized by simulated liquidity, which helps ensure you get the best fill across any asset."
So, they have a few irons in the fire, which may actually be retarding price action for the time being, but in my humble opinion, an improved protocol will be a more valuable protocol. - TG-L
Oatly group. Falling wedge. Heavy call activity. Evening everybody, this is a stock I have been following fairly closely since IPO as I am a daily consumer, it finally made me want to enter.
We have been trending south since IPO but a reversal candle pattern on the daily paired with a hammer on the weekly suggests that downtrend is about to change, albeit if we break out of falling wedge. We see a fisher cross on the day and we have just bounced out of oversold conditions on the day.
Also delving into the derivatives activity behind this stock there is huge calls for December 17th which suggests the price will go North.
Up a fair amount today so will be worth waiting for a pullback or entering
Stay safe out there guys and gals.
DDX - Just yeah. That's all Make no mistake Coinbase is going to make this coin it's little baby! Nurture into Space. Good tech and needed platform. DYOD. Not trading advice or investment advice.