Derivatives
Double Calendar Spread - RelianceExpecting 1800--2200 Range for Reliance.
-1x 24JUN2021 2000CE - ₹ 51.00
+1x 29JUL2021 2000CE - ₹ 71.15
-1x 24JUN2021 2100CE - ₹ 20.15
+1x 29JUL2021 2100CE - ₹ 40.00
Max. Profit - ₹ +22,808
Max. Loss ₹ -10,000
Max. RR Ratio - 1:2.28
Breakeven - 1863.0-2298.0
Estimated Margin/Premium - ₹ 1,30,000
Mispriced Gamma - Settled Longs Opting Delta Ahead of Massive UpAcross the derivatives markets we're seeing lower premiums than we would expect following this possible gamma increase week over week (which is still ahead of full acceptance). With a significant amount of piecewise linear activity with consistent slopes combined with table-and-chair vertical+sideways motion we saw massive volume creating price constraints as the large ships set their sails following the past month of blood in the seas.
If we are in-fact seeing this mis-pricing in Gamma the market would be telling us to short gamma, but, as we know the decentralized liquidity pools are already shorting gamma implicitly if we consider multi-currency effects with Bitcoin as a run-to-safety on either side of the coin from a bear rout to a final upward FOMO. We'd naturally expect intelligent coins to take the opposite side of the trade, then, pricing a significant upward move in Gamma especially at such a relatively low point of volatility.
Simultaneously, interest in derivatives is somewhat low. What does this mean? Smart money is extremely long delta simply waiting for the dark forest FOMO shootout to cycle the underwater turbine lifting everyone. The money held behind which ought to be locked in delta-neutral gamma-long positions is actually preferring the missed gamma opportunity in favor of degenerate breakout trading or the other side, flatting the premiums on top of all-time-high degeneracy.
If we want to play the first bounce following the all-time high then it would be natural to simply make our way into long gamma here with the intention of missing some of the delta in the initial breakout, kicking the can down the line so that we can instead make our way out of this into long delta on the future bounces.
Golden opportunity- FREE money link!! ZERO RISKSo I was always against the derivatives trading on BTC because of its high volatility. But recently it has become really predictable and many exchanges are literally offering free money to trade. As you can see in this chart, a short position when we called it would’ve made you a lot of money. There are still more moves to call and we are here to give you the charts. This is for experienced traders, but if you are not very experienced you can sign up for the free bonuses and continue HODLing anyways. We all know where BTC is going in the long run. It’s insane; It’s FREE money. When you mix in our 80-90% chart prediction record you can turn that free money into a lot of money with no risk of your own funds. Use this link below and enjoy. One disclaimer, Bybit currently doesn’t allow U.S. IP address traders, so a work around is to download a free VPN app from your device’s App Store and chose a country like Germany or Great Britain as a safe IP Address to trade through. HAPPY TRADING.
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The Put/Call Ratio in a NutshellWhat is the put/call ratio?
The put/call ratio (PCE) is a popular barometer of market sentiment, which shows the ratio of trading volumes of Put vs Call options. However, with distortions in the current price of nearly every instrument off the back of "free money," and persistent market intervention by policy makers, we're not quite seeing the price discovery we're used to, which has made it more difficult to make sense of the Put-Call, and other technical indicators as well.
What is a derivative?
To understand the value of the put/call ratio, we must first understand the derivatives market. A derivative is a (leveraged) instrument, which gives the holder a right to either buy (call) or sell (put) a specific amount of a stock (or other instrument), at a specified price, and timeframe. If your'e holding a put, you're likely expecting the price of the stock to fall, while holders of calls are expecting the price to rise. Puts are usually used as a solid hedging tool, while calls are more often related to speculative behaviour.
How to use the put-call ratio?
When the put/call rises above 1, it indicates that market sentient is shifting more bearish. At the moment, we're looking at a put/call of around 0.46, which indicates that market sentiment is very bullish, and actually, it's been bullish for quite some time as you can see in the chart. When we see a massive shift in the put/call back above 1, naturally it would be showing that investors and traders are becoming more defensive.
[60%] INJ / USDT- First target : 14.4$
- Second target : 18$
Analysis :
- Bullish divergence momentum
- Descending triangle
- Falling wedge RSI
What Is Injective Protocol (INJ) ?
The Injective Protocol project is a revolutionary idea that aims to make currency exchanges completely decentralized, public operated networks. What this means is the exchange is solely operated by people who hold INJ tokens. There is no centralized governing body that enforces control over the development of the project. The Injective Protocol project officially launched via a public offering in 2020, and it was backed by names in the industry like Binance, Pantera and Hashed.
The Injective Chain is the blockchain foundation of the project. It hosts a completely decentralized order book and employs elements from the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). The platform also incorporates a bi-directional token bridge, linking it to the Ethereum ecosystem.
BTC Rising Wedge *Potential short, Swing Fail Highs BTC going up inside a Bearish Wedge pattern .
I do not advocate blindly shorting here but just something to consider based on the right credentials.
As displayed within the chart I would like to see a SFP of the highs and a Max Pain scenario play out .
BTC does not neccesarily play ball just because an obvious pattern is visible, Many times I have seen this only for BTC to do the opposite so be wary of this .
I favour a short as opposed to a long and will wait for confirmation before entering a position , If we go up and I dont recieve confirmation within ExoCharts then i will sit on my hands and enjoy the spot gains .
Would Really appreciate a simple Like and or follow ... I post setups and my analysis Daily ....Thanks for stopping By
How to trade stocks with call and put options?How to trade stocks with call and put options?
Why one may consider options trading?
One may consider options trading to generate income, to hedge his or her portfolio, and to speculate the next price move.
What is a call option?
A call option allows the option buyer the right, but not the obligation to buy a security at a predetermined price within a specific time period.
What is a put option?
A put option allows the option buyer the right, but not the obligation to sell or sell short the specific security at a predetermined price within a specific time period.
Why options trading involves substantial risks?
Options are financial contracts with a predetermined expiration date. Options have a time decay factor. At the expiration date, option holders have to make a decision. Options holders may exercise the options if the options are in-the-money, to sell the options at the market values, or faced a capital loss if the option is out-of-the-money or may be completely worthless.
How to read the option quote? Just an example.
1 Call XYZ March 17, 2021 140 Call $5
XYZ is the symbol for the underlying security.
March 17, 2021, is the expiration date.
$140 is the strike price. The strike price is the price at which the underlying security may be brought for call options. The strike price is the price at which the underlying may be sold for put options.
$5 is the premium. Premium is how much it will cost the trader to purchase the option.
One option equals 100 shares of the underlying security.
Thank you for reading!
Greenfield
Remember to click "Like" and "Follow" to see more articles.
Disclosure: Article written by Greenfield. A market idea by Greenfield Analysis LLC for educational material only. The option quote in this article is not real. The option quote was just a makeup example.
FLM speculative cup and handle confirmedMy last idea on FLM matured well enough, you'll see on 4h on this chart that the cup and handle was confirmed, and resistance turned support.
Next resistance is around 0,00001, then around 0,000013.
When 0,000013 is broken and confirmed there is a lot of upside on FLM.
Flamingo is so far the only place where you can stake SWTH apart from dem.exchange.
Speaking of dem.exchange; this is a project by Switcheo TradeHub (same team who made Zilswap for Zilliqa), and it is about to release derivatives, I bet is on this week; so far it's only in soft-launch (a released beta in a sense) this will massively boost volume on dem.exchange and I believe FLM will soon be listed there as too (since the Switceho team has worked with FLM as well).
I believe SWTH will see some massive gains the coming weeks, when soft launch of dem.exchange becomes full launch with marketing of derivatives/futures.
Dem.exchange will have up to 150x leverage, native BTC and ETH, USDC (just connect Ledger or Metamask and do what's needed), and close to zero transaction-fees. Volume on dem.exchange is still low and a bit under the radar, but it will rise massively I believe, partly because of its affiliation with Three Arrows Capital and other big venture-firms.
Both FLM and SWTH are traditionally on NEO, but since SWTH is now on TradeHub and has it's own chain and is cross chained it is really decoupled from the NEO-system.
Anyway I'm digressing here; I mention SWTH because I believe it to be one of the best projects in the crypto-space right now, especially considering the current events with trading being stopped by big capital.
And since SWTH isn't possible to chart on Tradingview yet I thought I'd mention it (you can chart it on charts.cointrader.pro )
Dem.exchange is at the forefront of the decentralised world; you'll get 60% APY when staking, and 90% of trading-fees also goes to stakers.
The world NEED decentralised exchanges.
Is SNX the STRONGEST DeFi Project?We might see SNX correcting to 0.5 or 0.618 of this bull leg before advancing to $24-35 which is 1.618 to 2.618 fib levels.
In my opinion SNX is primed to be the number 1. DeFi project just because investors can trade derivatives (multi-trillion to unknown overall market value, possibly quadrillion)
Remeber, current DeFi market cap is (ONLY) 33.2 Billion dollars. Recently, Mark Cuban who admitted he holds crypto said that DeFi is going to disrupt the whole financial space and market.
The rocket has been launched.
SRTRANSFIN on the Verge of Breakout - Target - 1250-1300++Bull Call Spread
+1x 28JAN2021 1080CE - ₹ 61
-1x 28JAN2021 1240CE - ₹ 15
Max. Profit - ₹ +91,200
Max. Loss - ₹ -36,800
Max. RR Ratio -1:2.48
Breakevens - 1126.0
Estimated Margin/Premium - ₹ +69,000
LONG SNX with Stop and Profit TargetsLONG SNX / bouncing off of POC support
Stop: 3.572
Profit Target 1: 6.133 / move stop to BE
Profit Target 2: Trail with a multiple of Lower Time Frame ATR
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Synthetix is a decentralized synthetic asset platform that provides on-chain exposure to real-world currencies, commodities, stocks, and indices. These synthetic assets (Synths) are backed by Synthetix Network Tokens (SNX) locked into a smart contract as collateral. Synths track the prices of various assets, allowing crypto-native and unbanked users to trade P2C (peer-to-contract) on Synthetix Exchange without liquidity limitations. Previously, this project was launched as Havven (HAV), a decentralized stablecoin protocol. The published white paper still refers to the previous project, Havven.
LONG UMA - breakout set up UMA is a decentralized platform for the creation, maintenance, and settlement of “priceless” financial contracts on Ethereum. The system consists of priceless financial contract designs and a decentralized oracle mechanism. The UMA protocol enables any two counterparties to design and enter their own custom made financial contract.
A hidden gem on Uniswap: OvOa TokenThis is something...
the token allows CEX (Bybit in the case) to regain the Market-Making scenary bring back funds from DeFI to their exchanges
the investors can farm a faster, more profitable marketmaking strategy than yield farming on DEX. Instead of paying fees, CEX like bybit are PAYING 0.025% for marketmaking service providers.
more details on andr3.gitbook.io
info.uniswap.org
COVID19 the Jerk got worse in a SnapPart 1: FULL INTRO
The goal remains the application of 'derivatives of displacement' to describe the spread of COVID-19. The points made will apply to any application over time (not just virus spread).
This charts focus is on COVID19's "snap". Snap is the 4th derivative of displacement:
Rate of spread (how many each day)
Velocity of spread: Change in Rate over time
Acceleration of spread: Change in Rate over time
Jerk of spread: Change in Rate over time
Snap: Change in Jerk over time
Snap is explosive change best described as "Oh Sh-t!"
Examples of snap include :
Waterfall.
Take off.
Flooring it.
Rocket launch.
Peak violent vomiting
Roller coaster with 360 loop.
COVID19 spread as of Nov, 2020. (Black histogram in upper right chart)
Why should I care?
Acceleration, Jerk and Snap can be evaluated together when expressed in standard deviations. 95% of measurements fall between -2 STD and +2 STD away from their mean mean (assuming a normal distribution).
The lower right chart presents the derivatives in terms of STD's. At the time of writing they are all above the midline (i.e. all positive). In terms of "stopping the spread" of the virus consider the difficulty in stopping any of the 'snap examples' above.
A job for superman? Superman was said to be "faster than a speeding bullet". However, after leaving the barrel, a bullets velocity and acceleration are negative. Bullets slow down, while virus spread speeds up. The bullets deceleration lacks jerk or snap unless it hits a wall. Yet, on one point the bullet metaphor *is* useful:
Giving a bullet or a virus a 'head start' has an exponential impact . For a virus the head start may be time for asymptomatic spread. For a bullet its a longer barrel and more time to build velocity.(see note below).
Time Matters and the time is now
American Jerk behind COVID surge : Derivatives of displacement
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[Note on projectile velocities :
A bullet, while moving through its barrel, is being pushed forward by the gas expanding behind it. This gas was created when the trigger was pulled, causing the firing pin to strike the primer, which in turn ignited the solid propellant packed inside the bullet cartridge, making it combust while situated in the chamber. Once it leaves the barrel, the force of the expanding gas ceases to propel the bullet forth. When a bullet is fired from a handgun with a 2-inch (51 mm) barrel, the bullet only has a 2-inch (51 mm) "runway" to be spun before it leaves the barrel. Likewise, it has only a 2-inch (51 mm) space in which to accelerate before it must fly without any additional force behind it. In some instances, the powder may not have even been fully burned in guns with short barrels. So, the muzzle velocity of a 2-inch (51 mm) barrel is less than that of a 4-inch (100 mm) barrel, which is less than that of a 6-inch (150 mm) barrel.