GBPCAD - 839X decent looking supp - 830X main suppGBPCAD..
Approaching initial decent supp to 839X but does show fuller channel moves can end up heading for a 830X spot if gets a clean break under 8380-9X..
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GBPCAD 2 hr
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GBPCAD 8 h - Main channel
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GBPCAD 8 hr
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This we were looking on to yesterday and shorted nicely.. Though wish we had it intact now but squared out to 862X we had in mind back then..
Derivatives
EURCAD .. Expecting more fallout...EURCAD..
Yesterday...
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ECAD 30 mins.
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ECAD 30 mins - Present
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EURCAD Daily - Bigger Picture - We may have put in a temporary top and more decline favors.
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EURCAD 4 hr - Play off within channels
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EURCAD 2 hr - 484X been a soft tgt of the drop.
Cross Ladder Quantitative Analysis ExampleUsing the Harmonic Mean (Pythagorean Means), we focus on "three values" using the Cross Ladder Problem by drawing the geometric shape - vectored R/S points. These values are taken from the harmonic mean of "B" "A" "h". The calculation inputs are Log Normal, Exponential, and Skewness. (Arithmetic mean gives higher data points that will error your weight); Harmonic Mean gives equal weight to each data point. This is in part; a computation set in our Optimal Geo-Ratio (OG) Model. One would want to incorporate the Intrinsic/Time Value to carry out the time horizon price target. We typically apply the STDEV*SQRT(45 days/252) equation to the two outcomes. You may use a short cut divisor 1/16 per incremental price input for jump diffusion if preferred, integrated with a Beta stochastic volatility model. Square Time Value and Excess Kurtosis are not shown in this example.
Just remember volatility is the standard deviation of expected returns. Volatility is proportional not directional. Peace.