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Descending Channel

GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous... After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy. Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360. Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358 Support levels: 3300, 3295 Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 . BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
SOLANA → Pre-breakdown consolidation may lead to distributionBINANCE:SOLUSDT is declining and testing the support of the trading range as Bitcoin pauses after strong growth and enters a correction phase... SOL looks a bit weaker than Bitcoin technically, but SOLANA has some positive fundamentals, though that might not be enough. After forming a false breakout of key daily resistance, Bitcoin is moving into a correction phase. An update of local lows on the chart could trigger a drop across the entire cryptocurrency market. In SOL, the focus is on the two nearest levels of 148.75 and 145.64. A breakdown of support could trigger the distribution of accumulated energy within the specified range as part of a downward momentum. Resistance levels: 148.75, 151.2, 153.88 Support levels: 145.64, 138.59 The ideal scenario would be a false breakout of 148.75 (liquidity capture) and a retest of 145.64, followed by a break of support. Consolidation below 145.65 could trigger a drop to the zone of interest at 138.59. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
Big Bounce or Breakdown? Tesla at the edgeTesla is at crossroads right now, where the next move will define its near-term trajectory. After an extended correction phase, TSLA is reaching a key zone around the $300 level, one that held price well during recent pullbacks. Although recent tax news caused a decline in the price, belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory remains strong among many investors. At the same time, many investors are carefully monitoring the support near $215 to $230, another important zone. This level has acted as a reliable level during past pullbacks, as it suggests the stock has a solid base, despite short-term ups and downs. For these investors, maintaining their positions through consolidation is a test of patience and belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory. If Tesla breaks below the $230 support zone, some investors may view this as an opportunity to take advantage once again. Given the current setup, it’s best to be cautious and wait for confirmation before looking to get involved.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TrendDiva
21
US DOLLAR: Sell opportunity following channel breakPrice on DXY recently broke above a sharp descending channel, but the move lacked presence. There was no real follow-through and certainly no conviction behind the candles. It felt hesitant, as this is a great indication for us to use. Instead of accelerating upward, price now hovers just above the breakout, this kind of behavior suggests rather a random push than a shift in sentiment. Without the strength to sustain above structure, I think we will see the price come back to the channel's lower border. And when breakouts fail, they often trap early longs, preparing for a more committed move in the opposite direction. A rejection from this level could send price into the 0.85800 level.
TVC:DXYShort
by TrendDiva
31
BTC with potential for $115,000/$120,000🔍 Market structure (Price Action) 📈 Trend: The market previously formed higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend. Then there was a correction and a lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) appeared – a potential change in the trend to a downtrend. The last two lows are again HL (Higher Lows) – suggesting an attempt to return to the uptrend. 🔄 Key support and resistance levels ✅ Resistance (green horizontal lines): 117.469 – local resistance and potential breakout target from the current range. 115.802 – confirmed resistance from previous consolidations. 111.814 – strong local resistance (LH – Lower High formed there). 109.341 – current resistance, the price is currently testing it. 🛑 Support (red horizontal lines): 105.370 – local support, price reacted at this level in recent days. 102.650 – important support, level of previous HL. 100.095 – consolidation level before breaking out upwards. 98.213 – last LL – very important level in the context of defending the structure. 🧭 Structure of peaks and troughs HH: Higher High – confirmed the previous uptrend. LH: Lower High – first warning about changing the structure to down. LL: Lower Low – confirmed a potential change to downside. HL (x2): two more higher lows – suggest a possible return to growth. 📊 Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart) The oscillator is currently in the overbought zone (>80), approaching a downward crossover. It suggests a possible short-term halt in growth or correction. But in strong trends it may "stick" to the upper range. 📌 Potential scenarios: 🟢 Bullish: If the price breaks above 109.341, it may test 111.814 and then 115.802. Continuation of the HL → HH formation will confirm a trend reversal and further growth. 🔴 Bearish: If the price does not stay above 109k and breaks below 105.370, there is a risk of a test of 102.650 and lower. A break of 100.095 and especially 98.213 will negate the growth structure. 🧠 Conclusions: The market is at a key decision point - HL formation vs. resistance zone. Buyers' strength will be confirmed only after breaking 111-112k. Stochastic RSI warns of potential pullback or consolidation.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Recovery and retest of resistance. DowntrendFX:XAUUSD has been recovering since the start of the session thanks to a weak dollar, but further growth is uncertain. However, the price is still below the key range and important levels. At the beginning of the week, gold rebounded from monthly lows amid a weakening US dollar, which remains under pressure due to trade disputes with Japan, uncertainty surrounding the budget, and expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. However, the technical picture for gold remains bearish, and further dynamics will depend on new statements from Fed officials, labor market data, and Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday. Technically, after breaking through the global range support, the price is forming a correction and testing 3294. Before a possible rise to 3320 or to the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, a correction to 3271 may form, which will determine the further development of the situation. Support levels: 3271, 3255, 3245 Resistance levels: 3294, 3320, 3347 A retest of 3295 (0.5) Fibonacci is forming. There is a possibility of a false breakout with a possible correction. If, during the correction, buyers keep the price above 3271 and return to retest 3294, we will have a chance to attempt growth to 3320 - 3347 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
37
PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU ( BINANCE:PENGUUSDT ) token from a fundamental and technical perspective . Please stay with me. Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it: ------------------------------------------ Fundamental Analysis: 1. ETF Momentum via Cboe: On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components. Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023. The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one. 2.Whale Accumulation Signals According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days. Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here. 3.NFT Ecosystem Boost The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume. This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU. Risk Note: The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase. Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU. If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk. ------------------------------------------ PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076) . One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel . Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we can wait for the next impulsive waves . I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken , it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%) . What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project? Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning. On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347 Support levels: 3293, 3271 If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment. The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042 Support levels: 0.798, 0.79 Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution. Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs. Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777 Support levels: 0.2332 If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
BINANCE:SOONUSDT.PShort
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
ETHEREUM → Rally and liquidity capture. Up or down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is strengthening following Bitcoin. This is a reaction to developments in the Middle East, namely Trump's comments on peace. But there are doubts... The crypto market is reacting to the situation in the Middle East, namely Trump's statements about peace. But apart from him, no one else is talking about peace. No agreements have been reached, so the level of risk is quite high. Another nuance hinting at the general mood in the market: 66% of the largest traders on Hyperliquid are currently shorting crypto — Cointelegraph ETH, technically, has stopped in the trend resistance zone as part of a local rally in the Pacific session. If there is not enough potential to break through the trend resistance and the price forms a false breakout of 2390, the local trend may continue Resistance levels: 2433, 2475 Support levels: 2390, 2313 The inability to continue growth will confirm the fact of bearish pressure (market distrust of the bullish momentum). The past momentum, in hindsight, can be considered manipulation (liquidity capture). Consolidation below 2390 may trigger a decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
ADAUSDT → Bear market. Support breakdownBINANCE:ADAUSDT.P is in the distribution phase after exiting consolidation. The coin continues to update local lows within a downtrend. Technically, the cryptocurrency market is in stagnation/correction, as there is no bullish driver yet. Bitcoin is currently consolidating but continues to shoot local downward impulses, which generally has a negative impact on coins. ADA is entering a distribution phase of accumulation formed in the range of 0.62 - 0.71. If the bears keep the price below 0.62-0.6, ADA may well test the intermediate bottom of 0.5364-0.51 Resistance levels: 0.61, 0.62 Support levels: 0.5993, 0.5364 Focus on 0.61 and the local level of 0.5993. Price consolidation below this zone could confirm the bearish nature of the market, which could lead to another decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend... NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom... After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards... Resistance levels: 1.2532 Support levels: 1.1675 Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥 The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift. 🟢 Entry Level: 144.700 📍 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone) 2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance) 🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone) 📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders. 💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move! 💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights. Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
Long
by experttrader04
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Hunt for liquidity ahead of continued correctionFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correction Demand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May. Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275. Resistance levels: 3340, 3361 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself... Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming. Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback). Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400 Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
37
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732 Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366 Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6