Gold Fibonacci Analysis of (XAU/USD)📊 Fibonacci Levels Overview:
23.6% Level: Minor correction zone, price rejected this area and continued lower.
38.2% Level: Acted briefly as a support but eventually broken.
50.0% Level (~$2,351.6): Currently being tested — a key level. Price is consolidating here.
61.8% Level: If 50% breaks decisively, 61.8% becomes the next major support zone.
📉 Trend Outlook:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 50% Fibonacci level, we could see a bounce toward 38.2% and potentially back to 23.6%.
Key upside targets: $2,345 – $2,380 zone.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the 50% level fails to hold, the price could drop to test the 61.8% Fibonacci level and possibly lower.
Downside target: $2,330 – $2,320.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently at a decision point:
Holding above 50% = potential recovery.
Breaking below = confirmation of a short-term downtrend.
Traders should watch for price action and volume confirmation near the $2,351 level to determine the next move.
Descending Channel
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger).
Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6
Support levels: 163.2, 162.7
A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
TRBUSDT → High probability of a false breakoutBINANCE:TRBUSDT.P is testing resistance in the 38,700 range as part of a rally. The current strong movement may end in a false breakout...
TRB is forming a distribution pattern. After exiting consolidation, the price rallied 16%, exhausting its potential for further growth.
A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction.
Bitcoin looks controversial in the overall situation. After a false breakout of the 110K resistance, the price is consolidating below the level. If the flagship correction begins, it may also trigger a correction in altcoins...
Resistance levels: 38,700
Support levels: 35.98, 33.65
If the price fails to consolidate above the level and continue to rise, this will confirm the absence of bullish potential. A false breakout and price consolidation below 38.700 will trigger a correction to 36 - 33
Best regards, R. Linda!
CADCHF new view, still bullish expectations
OANDA:CADCHF first analysis till TP1 (attached), having thoughts we are not see to much here and expecting higher bullish push than in previous analysis.
We are have break of zone, price is start pushing, at end its revers on first res zone (0.60600), in meantime DESCENDING CHANNEL is be created, on 22.Jun is be breaked, currently price is break and ASCENDING TRIANGL.
SUP zone: 0.59600
RES zone: 0.60800, 0.61200
USDCHF → Retest support with the aim of breaking throughFX:USDCHF is also losing ground amid the dollar's decline. The price is testing the support of the range, a break of which could open the way to 0.811
USDCHF is consolidating, but at the same time, a local downward channel is forming. The currency pair is retesting support within the current downward movement. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming relative to 0.819. The fall of the dollar is having a corresponding effect on the price.
Before continuing its decline, the currency pair may form a retest of 0.5 Fibonacci or close the FVG
Resistance levels: 0.825, 0.8275
Support levels: 0.819, 0.8117
The downward structure will break down when the price leaves the downward channel. However, at the moment, while the price is consolidating at the bottom of the trading range, I expect a breakdown of support in the short term, followed by a continued decline to 0.811 - 0.805
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Descending Channel and Triangle Appear on H4 Gold Technical Analysis
EMA 200
Last Thursday, gold broke below the 200 EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal to bearish, followed by a rejection at 3,128.00 — an H4 order block area. However, on Tuesday, price action pushed back above the 200 EMA and held, indicating a return to bullish momentum.
Chart Pattern
Price movement is currently constrained by several trendlines, forming a descending channel and triangle pattern, creating a sideways market structure.
Order Block Mapping
A new H4 order block has formed, representing a key area to look for potential buy entries. If this zone is broken, it may offer a strong opportunity for a sell entry.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If gold reaches the 3,318.00 level — an H4 order block area — it may present a potential buying opportunity. A breakout above the upper trendline would confirm bullish continuation, with the first target at 3,366.00 (TP1), followed by a second target at 3,440.00 (TP2), which is also an H4 order block area.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If gold breaks below the H4 order block at 3,290.00 and breaches the lower trendline, it may offer a selling opportunity, with the next downside target at 3,055.00 — a key daily order block level.
Best Regard
BTCJPY Bearish Channel Setup – OB Rejection to Weak Low Sweep🧠 Bitcoin vs Yen (BTCJPY) | 30M Smart Money Breakdown
BTCJPY is painting the same story we’ve seen before: liquidity builds → OB rejection → channel continuation → weak low sweep. This is how the markets bleed slow then drop fast. Let’s break it down.
🧱 1. Bearish Channel Structure
We’re inside a clear descending channel, where price:
Forms consistent lower highs (supply zones)
Prints lower lows (liquidity grabs)
Shows rejections at channel tops = perfect confluence
This structure supports a continuation downward move.
🧊 2. Order Block + Supply Rejection
Price recently tapped into a clean Bearish Order Block (OB) within the premium zone just under 15.5M.
OB was respected with a sharp reaction
Immediate sell pressure confirms Smart Money entry
Red zone = OB + supply + channel midline
No candle closes above OB = bias confirmed bearish.
🧲 3. Smart Money Flow vs Retail
Retail likely went long on the mini bounce.
Smart Money waited for:
Price to tap into the OB
Retail to stack longs
Opportunity to fill imbalance and dump
This gives us an ideal Sell-to-Buy-to-Sell structure forming.
🕯️ 4. Projected Move: Weak Low Sweep
🧨 Target = 14,831,148
Why?
That’s a marked Weak Low
It aligns with channel support
It’s a known liquidity magnet
Expect acceleration into this zone.
⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup)
📍 Entry Zone: 15.315M – 15.33M
🔐 Stop Loss: Above OB → ~15.50M
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 15.200M
TP2: 15.000M
TP3: 14.831M
⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ depending on execution precision
🧠 Summary:
This chart screams:
“Trap the liquidity, respect the OB, ride the channel.”
These setups repeat. Same pattern, different chart, every week.
📣 Engage Call:
💬 Comment “BTCJPY SHORT SNIPER” if you caught this one
👥 Tag your trading partner – don’t let them miss this play
🔄 Save this chart to study the OB entry mechanics
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Readiness for a declineFX:NZDJPY is under pressure from a global downtrend. Locally, a flat (range) and pre-breakdown consolidation relative to support are forming on the chart...
After a false breakdown of support on May 16, the price failed to reverse and grow. Instead, the currency pair entered a consolidation phase, during which it continues to test support. Each subsequent retest of 85.25-85.30 only increases the chances of a breakout with the aim of continuing the decline. Another important nuance is the elimination (short squeeze) of local resistance at 85.95.
Pressure on the price is also being exerted by the falling dollar index, which is strengthening the Japanese yen, which is generally reflected in the price of NZDJPY...
Support levels: 85.300, 85.25, 84.195
Resistance levels: 85.7, 85.95
The continuation of the current consolidation and the compression of the price towards support only increases the chances of a breakdown of the 85.30 support level. A break and consolidation of the price below 85.25 could trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY will continue to fall after false breakout NZDJPY is correcting after the support breakout. The purpose of such correction is to provoke bullish liquidity before the fall. There is a magnet on the market - liquidity in the zone 85.08 - 85.27. False breakout will return the market to the downward phase
Scenario: growth to local resistance, retest of the zone 85.08 - 85.27, false breakout, consolidation below 85.08 and continuation of the fall. Target - support and order-block 84.2
EURGBP new fall expecting
OANDA:EURGBP whats next, we are have break of DESCENDING TRIANGL, then its be created DESCENDING CHANNEL, which also is be breaked, now we have breaked and trend line.
Price currently is in zone. Expectations are to see break of zone and higher bearish fall.
SUP zone: 0.84600
RES zone: 0.83500, 0.83200
GOLD → Breaking of the downward trend structure...FX:XAUUSD is breaking out of the downward price channel and heading towards the zone of interest at 3346. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction before growth continues.
Gold is rising for the third day in a row and trading above $3,300 amid a weakening dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions. Investors are seeking refuge due to concerns about US fiscal policy, trade disputes with China, and a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Gold is also supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and weak prospects for the dollar.
Technically, the price is heading towards the order block and resistance at 3345-3360. Since the opening of the session, the price has exhausted all its potential, and a retest of the key level may end in a false breakout and correction. However, based on the fundamental background, gold's growth may continue after the correction...
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has returned to the buy zone, but the fundamental background is unstable, and any weakening of economic risks could send gold back south. At the moment, the focus is on 3346-3360, with a false breakout likely to trigger a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Short squeeze before a drop to 3150?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. The market needs a driver, but due to the unstable fundamental background, traders have switched to a wait-and-see mode. Consolidation could turn into strong movement at any moment. But in which direction?
Gold under pressure: the market is waiting for signals from the Fed and negotiations. The dollar is putting pressure on the market amid expectations of trade negotiations with India, South Korea, and Japan, as well as statements from the Fed.Earlier, the metal was supported by the weak dollar after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, but growing interest in risky assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine reduced demand for gold. Key factors — negotiations and comments from the Fed — will continue to influence the dynamics of the dollar and gold.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend and within consolidation. A breakout from consolidation could be accompanied by strong momentum, but I believe that there will be no countertrend movement and that a retest of resistance could end in a decline...
Resistance levels: 3265.5, channel resistance
Support levels: 3206, 3153
The most likely scenario within the bearish trend is a short squeeze and a downward breakdown from the triangle (the fundamental background and economic risks are slowly but surely declining, and gold may lose value). A false breakout of 3250-3265 could trigger a continuation of the trend towards 3150-3120.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of trend resistance before declineFX:XAUUSD is recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...
Since the opening of the session, the price has recovered slightly after a week-long decline. Growth is being held back by two-sided risks: on the one hand, pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.
Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with key partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in positive territory, but positive trade news could turn it down again.
Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Support levels: 3206, 3153
A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → Support retest. Is the trend continuing?FX:USDJPY is storming key support within the local downtrend. Pressure is intensifying the dollar's decline...
The dollar index is beginning to fall, which is also reflected in the currency pair.
Selling pressure is intensifying. A local downtrend is forming, with an attempt to break through key support at 144.82, below which the path to 143.4 - 142 opens up. Consolidation of the price below 144.82 could intensify the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07
Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35
Global and local trends are downward, and the fall of the dollar can only provide additional resistance, which will intensify the sell-off. A break of key support and consolidation of prices below 144.82 will trigger further sell-offs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD Near Top Of Channel — Correction Imminent!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trading in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) , near the upper line of the descending channel and the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed five main impulse waves , and with the break of the Uptrend lines , we should expect corrective waves . Most likely, EURUSD is completing microwave 4 , and we should expect the next decline and the formation of microwave 5 .
I expect EURUSD to fall to at least $1.1073 , and the next targets are marked on the chart.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1330 , we should expect further gains.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DOGE → Retest of the panic zone. One step away from a downtrendBINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is facing selling pressure. After distribution (pump), the price enters a correction phase (dump) and storms the panic zone, a breakout of which could intensify an uncontrolled decline.
DOGEUSDT squandered all the potential accumulated in late April and early May. The distribution ended in the 0.2600 zone, after which the coin entered a correction phase. At the moment, the coin is testing the panic zone of 0.21400
All attention is on the base of the triangle at 0.21400. This is the panic zone. When the support breaks, buyers will be liquidated, and sellers may increase sales, which could trigger a bearish momentum.
Resistance levels: 0.222, 0.2307
Support levels: 0.2145, 0.2135
The main idea is a continuation of the decline. The trigger is a breakdown of support at 0.2135 and consolidation of the price below this zone, only in this case will the price continue to fall.
!!! The structure will be broken if the price reverses and consolidates above 0.222 and confirms the bullish sentiment with price consolidation above 0.23, in which case we will again consider growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
PEPE/USDT is Nearing an Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring PEPE/USDT for a selling opportunity around 0.00001330 zone, PEPE/USDT is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.00001330 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD consolidated below a key level on FridayGold is in a downtrend forming a counter-trend correction. Friday's trading session closes below the key level of 3203-3205. Buyers are weaker than sellers.
But, before the continuation of the fall MM is quite likely to test the resistance to provoke ordinary buyers before the fall
Scenario: the growth attempt may turn out to be false. A retest of 3203 resistance, a false breakout and price consolidation below 3203 is a sell signal.
Additional scenario: MM trap to provoke buyers to buy. A retest of the far resistance 3230, a false breakout and a price fixing below 3223 could start a decline
USDCHF 30M | Fair Value Gap Sell Setup Inside Bearish Channel📊 USD/CHF Smart Money Breakdown — May 16, 2025
Here’s a clean SMC-driven setup where price respects the bearish order flow, taps a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and rejects right at liquidity inducement levels.
Let’s break it down 👇
🔍 1. Context
Price is respecting a descending channel structure
Clean internal liquidity run up into:
✅ FVG zone from prior imbalance
✅ Top of bearish channel trendline
This is a classic liquidity sweep before expansion lower
🎯 2. Entry Plan
Entry zone: 0.8375–0.8391 (FVG zone shaded in red)
Stop loss: Just above 0.8391 (invalidates FVG zone)
Target zone:
🟢 TP1 → 0.8340 (minor inefficiency fill)
🟢 TP2 → 0.8327 (liquidity resting at the low)
➡️ RR ratio is about 1:3 on full target — clean sniper range!
📉 3. Smart Money Logic
Retail likely triggered buy orders into that FVG zone
Institutions tap FVG for premium entry
Price already printing rejection wicks — early signs of displacement
Watch for confirmation via:
Bearish engulfing candle close
Break of minor bullish structure on 5m
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch out for USD fundamental news that might cause a fakeout spike
Let price confirm breakdown before stacking entries
💬 Do you trust the FVG? Or think price will smash through?
🧠 Drop your confluence in the comments below and follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision setups like this every day.
GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200.
The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East...
Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance.
Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257
Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194
The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!