ADA - 47% CRASH | Buy here!
I am very bearish on specific altcoins such as ADA, XRP, SOL, LUNC, SHIB and much more. Why? Because the charts are terrible and I don't even know why you should buy these overpriced altcoins that will never make you rich. Some gains are possible, but you have to focus on altcoins with low market caps, not these Giants.
It's too late for the party. I am not saying these altcoins are bad. These coins are great, but the market cap is too high and whales want to buy them at a cheaper price.
Cardano is in a massive downtrend, basically in a free fall mode, and another 47% drop is likely in my opinion. There is pretty much nothing bullish on this chart; the bulls completely disappeared.
You can buy ADA at 0.1841, at least for a short-term bounce (150% - 300% profit). I will inform you about possible targets next year, so do not miss it and follow me!
The price is printing a falling wedge pattern and a descending triangle. As you can see, the bears destroyed the triangle without any problem!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the market structure is insanely bearish and I expect 2 huge impulse waves downward to complete a major ABC correction.
The bears are in power and I would not play with them at all cost. We need much more time to recover from this abyss.
Look at my ideas about XRP and LUNC in the related section down below.
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Descending Triangle
Bitcoin is reaching a critical stateLooking at the chart analysis, you can see a few things:
1. The Bollinger bands' upper and lower boundaries are squeezing, which likely means a big move is happening. If the price goes over the basis, it will most likely break upwards, while if the price continues being under the basis, then it will most likely break downwards.
2. The “Descending triangle” that has been forming since past month is coming to an end.
3. Bitcoin's volume has been decreasing ever since the descending triangle formed.
Due to these occurrences, Bitcoin is about to finally change its direction, and maybe end the sideways motion it had since August. This in turn will change the direction of the Crypto market.
This is not investing advice, and I will respect everybody's opinion. Feel free to say what you think about this study.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin - 2018 vs 2022
I know that bullish analysis on Bitcoin is extremely unpopular at this moment. I can feel it in the comment section of my several previous Bitcoin analysis.
The most popular ideas on TradingView are extremely bearish, and the sentiment is very negative and fearful.
Pretty much everyone is expecting 13k. In this case, I am not saying the crowd is wrong, because during a fifth impulse wave, the crowd might often be right.
The situation is, of course, very different this time compared to 2018, but I have seen a lot of these comparison analyses on Bitcoin, so let's do it.
The triangle in 2022 is really weird. It's probably not even a triangle. It looks like an inverse head and shoulders with a steep neckline or a double bottom reversal pattern.
Triangles usually appear just before the end of the trend or at the end of the trend. These patterns are, of course, very tricky.
There is a possibility of a last scam wick to the downside to 17,600-17,900 before the price explodes to the upside! But I hope the bulls will defend 17611 USDT because it's very important from the Elliott Wave perspective.
I hope the bulls will prevent Bitcoin from falling because I don't want a 5-year bear market, I think no one wants it in the crypto community.
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Bitcoin - 180% PROFIT on this trade! | Elliott Wave
In this analysis, you will discover a strategy or a plan for 180% profit on Bitcoin. Please, read!
The stock market and cryptocurrencies are in a bear market, but that does not mean that there are no opportunities. The fundamentals have never been worse for bitcoin since its existence.
On the chart you can see a great potential setup that you can take for a massive profit, up to 186%! 12500 USDT is a very strong level and there is a confluence to buy exactly at this point.
Confluence: start of the gap from 2020 + previous swing high from 2019 + impulse Elliott Wave completed + Wave A + previous Wave (1) support + previous breakout level of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
If you don't want to wait for this profit target, you can sell Bitcoin at 17600 USDT or 24000 USDT, which are strong resistance on the way up. But I think 24 000 USDT is definitely doable!
The price is below the 200 weekly moving average, which is really bad. This particular MA is considered a strong support/resistance by huge institutions and hedge funds.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, there is a high probability that we are going to finish this incomplete impulse wave, so more downside is possible!
Buy bitcoin at 12500 USDT and sell it at 35900 USDT. It sounds like a great plan, doesn't it?
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Bitcoin BTC, Secret trendline from 2013! No one is talking about
This is the monthly historical chart for Bitcoin , and as you can see, we are currently at major and very important support!
We have a long-term trendline that is printed only on the LOG scale, and the majority of retail traders never use the LOG scale, so that's why it's invisible to them.
The trendline was established in 2013, and this is the one and only one trendline you can draw at this moment.
So what happens if we break this trendline and previous all-time high from 2017 in conluence? Well, it will be extremely nasty, and this bear market is probably going to be the longest in the history of Bitcoin . We can basically have a 10-year sideways/corrective structure. There is also a possibility of a drop to 3000 USD (not now, but later in 2024) to the previous swing low from 2020. This is a true bubble that will pop, not the previous 2014 or 2017.
Also, if we break this trendline, then I can make a complete lifetime impulse wave from 2009 to 2021, and we are prepared for a multi-year massive ABC correction.
But I have faith in this support because, why not? Any speculation on a breakdown is, in my opinion, very risky at this point. You don't want to short the support and long the resistance, you want to do exactly the opposite. But the majority of breakout traders make this mistake. First, they should wait for confirmation before entering a short position here.
Do you think the trendline will hold or not? Let me know in the comment section!
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Terra LUNC - 47% drop is in-play!
Maybe there is nothing that can stop an upcoming dump on LUNC at all. The bears are really strong here and we are currently 60% down from the previous swing high.
As you can see, the price is breaking down from the local descending triangle and heading downward to the abyss. Also, we have a descending parallel channel , and we can possibly touch the bottom of the channel!
If you think LUNC is a great coin, then you can buy LUNC at 0.00013, which is a reasonable place to buy because there is a great confluence.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the uptrend from September 26 to October 2 was just a 2 wave corrective move. This is definitely not what you want to see as a bull.
You can be sure I will also be bullish on LUNC, but first I want to see some bullish price action, and this is definitely not a bullish price action!
But on the other side, this coin is a perfect opportunity for the bears to short this coin on the futures market.
Look at my idea about XRP in the related section down below.
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BTC breakout is imminent!Here's a quick look at the daily BTC chart. As we can see, the bearish trend continues, and the price has been trading within a descending triangle formation for some time now. If the price breaks below the descending triangle , then the price will very likely end up at 14K! The price must stay within the triangle to avoid further downside!
I must add that SPX500 is down a lot, and BTC hasn't followed up yet. We may see a big move from BTC in the coming days. I'm expecting the 18k support to be broken very soon. I still hold my stance of sub-13k BTC!
Also, the volume has been increasing while the price has been decreasing! This is a bearish sign as well!
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What are triangles when it comes to trading?
Key points:
"1. In technical analysis , a triangle is a continuation pattern on a chart that forms a triangle-like shape.
2. Triangles are similar to wedges and pennants and can be either a continuation pattern if validated or a powerful reversal pattern, in the event of failure.
3. three potential triangle variations can develop as price action carves out a holding pattern, namely ascending, descending, and symmetrical triangles."
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
POSSIBLE DESCENDING TRIANGLE. BITCOIN MIGHT TARGET JUNE LOWWith the last accelerated dump, Bitcoin price painted a descending triangle.
For the moment the Bitcoin price is struggling just below the Monthly open (19423). Failing to break above this level of resistance, will give bears a chance to play this new descending triangle and possible target the liquidity from the JUNE low area (17600)
Once the top of the triangle is broken and flipped in support, this pattern could be invalidated.
Trade safe.
BTC: NICE REVERSAL AFTER CPI BUT IS IT ENOUGH TO PUMP BIG??Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update.
BTC is perfectly holding its $18k support level so far. Even the worst data of CPI is not even able to break this support but the question is whether this pump is enough to make a reversal in BTC.
Let's get to the chart first.
As you see BTC is forming a descending triangle pattern in the daily time frame which is generally a bearish pattern but as of now, BTC holding its lower support zone perfectly.
So, what I'm expecting from here?
Expecting the next few days will be green for the overall market (BTC and Alts) and we might see BTC reach $20k-$21k from here but there are high chances that it again rejected from the upper resistance of the triangle. After rejecting we see again it is testing the lower trendline and maybe breaking the support at that time.
So in a short way, I'm expecting a little bit more pump up to $20k-$21k from here and after that, we again see a drop.
Let's see how this goes. Hope this analysis will clear your trading plan.
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Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
From a technical standpoint, most boxes have been checked!- Exited a year-long bullish wedge - check
- Formed another short-term bullish wedge - check
- Retested Support Zone -check
- Retested Critical Support -check
- Retested 18,140 Support - check
Everything I have been looking to check from a technical standpoint has been completed. Our critical support has held once again! I am very happy with the way the technicals are playing out here.
BTC.D - The Alt Season is around the corner! Don't miss it.
The Alt Season is around the corner, I can see it on this chart! It's not a question of if it will happen, but when it will happen.
The lighting network is not supported by major exchanges because they don't want it and it's not in their business plan (as per the statement). This is, at this moment, very positive for altcoins.
It's really important to pick the right altcoins because we are not in 2017 when even scam coins pump.
We have been moving sideways on this chart for a long time, but nothing lasts forever. I expect a breakdown of this bearish rectangle pattern very soon!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this structure is very bearish and we should continue down with another impulse wave. From an EW standpoint, an ABC correction has been completed, so there is probably nothing that can stop this downtrend.
ALT SEASON usually happens when the BTC.D goes down. It's usually during bull markets. When we are in a bear market, everyone is selling their altcoins and buying bitcoin instead.
The 0.618 FIB extension from wave (1) to wave (2) is the next target, but I think we can go even lower later.
Make sure to pick the right altcoins. I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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One more kiss!Traders,
After breaking to the upside of our long-standing, year-old bullish descending wedge, BTC is retreating exactly as I hoped it would do.
Wait! Did you read that right? Was I really hoping for BTC to retreat after breaking to the topside of its wedge?
Well, yes. Actually, I was. Cuz’ that retreat represents patently perfect technical price action. See, after a breakout of previous major resistance, which now becomes support, price loves to go back down to retest that resistance/support level/zone. And personally, I’d rather this retest happen sooner than later!
I may be on the hunt to snag some BTC here real soon!
Best of luck traders!
Stew
Descending Triangle on CAD/CHF @ H4This descending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart of the CAD/CHF currency pair offers an opportunity for a short trade in case of a bearish breakout. The triangle's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The cyan line is where my potential entry level will be. The green line denotes my take-profit level. I will set the stop-loss level to the triangle's highest point (0.73051) marked with the red line. I will ignore bullish breakouts from this trend continuation pattern.
Could BTC's Trendline End Not with a Bang But a Whimper?Primary Chart: Fibonacci Channel and Symmetrical Triangle
Title alludes to a well-known excerpt from T.S. Elliot's poem called "The Hollow Men":
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a whimper.
Setting Aside Bias Temporarily to Allow Greater Flexibility in Analysis
Many of my recent posts on cryptocurrencies have been presented with a bearish bias. A bearish view has been warranted, after all, because the technicals have left almost no room for a bullish short-term or intermediate-term view. Some of my recent posts have been neutral, however, to evaluate and explore more fully all possibilities within the context of support and resistance levels, price action and other technical factors.
Unfortunately, BTC's price chart has not yet turned bullish given the price structure. And positive / bullish divergences mentioned by some long-term crypto investors cannot count until they are confirmed by a reversal in trend structure.
This post attempts to set aside bias temporarily to present a variety of technical evidence as objectively as possible. The goal is to remain relatively neutral to allow a more complete examination of the price charts and technicals without the influence of a particular predetermined goal or conclusion. This might allow for greater flexibility to follow the unexpected turns that prices often take.
BTC's Relative Strength in Recent Weeks
In a recent bearish post, after listing several arguments for the bears, I discussed one argument for the bulls—BTC's relative strength. On October 2, 2022, my post stated: "One argument for the bulls is that BTC's sideways chop action has resulted in its relative strength becoming quite impressive. Equity indices have been plummeting sharply since mid-August 2022 with little reprieve. But BTC during this time has largely chopped sideways after losing a few key levels in late August and early September 2022."
This relative strength can be examined more closely by looking at a spread chart that divides one instrument's price by the price of an index or some other price reference for comparison. The chart below shows a spread (or ratio) chart of BTC / SPX, showing BTC's relative strength compared to a leading equity index, the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ).
Supplementary Chart A: Spread Chart Showing BTC's Relative Strength vs. SPX
www.tradingview.com
Note how this spread chart has broken above a nearly 11-month downward trendline. Some may draw the conclusion too quickly that this suggests a trend reversal, such as from a downtrend to an uptrend. But a break above a down trendline by itself merely suggests a shift from that particular downtrend to either a less steep downtrend or a more neutral trend, which could then lead to a period of sideways chop for some time or it could lead to a trend reversal as well. But a reversal to an uptrend requires a change in trend structure, which is a process that takes time to form and has not occurred yet.
Another aspect of BTC's relative strength exists. It has not broken its June 2022 lows as many equities and equity indices have done. Until that changes—it could break those lows at any time—this technical evidence is an alternative way of viewing BTC's relative strength.
BTC's relative strength has improved even though BTC has largely churned and chopped sideways for the past weeks and months. This is because many asset classes have been steadily declining, some even plummeting, since mid-August 2022 peaks. Any asset or instrument will have relative strength when it moves sideways while equity indices continue to decline. The sideways consolidation will be discussed in greater detail in the next section.
BTC's Recent Consolidation and Volatility Compression
BTC's price has chopped steadily around a key Fibonacci level of $19,246 for the past several weeks since mid-September 2022, and even for a number of days in late August 2022 as well. This consolidation has been noteworthy given that equity indices have plummeted during this time. When an asset moves sideways while equity indices steadily decline results in relative strength (outperformance) of that asset as discussed in the previous section.
Supplementary Chart B: Recent Consolidation Range Containing Price
And during this lengthy consolidation, the compression in volatility has been quite significant. The next chart compares the levels of volatility by using a famous volatility indicator called the Bollinger Bands (set at 2 standard deviations from the mean) on a daily chart. Parallel channels have been drawn over various sections of the Bollinger Bands to give a visual comparison of the volatility levels and volatility compression levels over the past several months. Note how wide the Bollinger Bands expanded as a result of the high volatility associated with steep selloffs. And the periods of volatility compression (squeezes) often preceded those periods of high volatility and large directional moves downward.
Supplementary Chart C: Bollinger Bands (2 Standard Devations) with Channels for Visual Aid in Comparing Volatility Levels
Most importantly, note how the tightly compressed the current volatility in price has become, i.e., note how narrow, the Bollinger Bands are now. They are more narrow perhaps than at any other time during this bear market. If history is any guide, such a period of compressed volatility (a squeeze) implies that a sizeable increase in volatility associated with a large directional move will soon follow. Because the trend has been down, the odds would seem to favor a downward flush. But BTC's relative strength causes one to wonder whether a massive bear rally may be imminent.
So traders should be prepared for any scenario where price could move dramatically. This is why my stance became more neutral for purposes of a thorough evaluation of price action. Because BTC is at a make-or break juncture in the short-to-intermediate term, it helps to stay open to all possibilities rather than staying rigidly fixated on the obvious bearish view. Being flexible and nimble can help traders remain more keenly aware and prepared for shifts that can occur at any time.
VWAPs and Linear Regression Channel
Even if the charts may be shifting in subtle ways, some of the technical evidence still firmly supports the existence of a downtrend. Shorter-term VWAPs \ show that the current price remains under the volume-weighted average price for a variety of different lookback periods. This means that the average buyer is losing money and the average seller remains in control for each of these VWAP periods.
Supplementary Chart D: Various VWAPs from All-Time High, March 2022 High, June 2022 / YTD Low, and August 2022 High
Further, longer-term VWAPs remain in favor of the bears as shown in a separate post from September 24, 2022 (linked as Supplementary Chart E below). The linear regression channel from the all-time high to the present, which was drawn a few days ago (also linked as Supplementary Chart E), suggests that the downtrend remains very much in effect, and that evidence should not be dismissed.
Supplementary Chart E: Linear Regression Channel and Long-Term VWAPs
Price at Apex of Various Consolidation Triangles
The consolidation in price may be viewed from another helpful perspective—the various triangles that have formed. Triangles generally develop as a narrowing trading range (consolidation) as upper and lower trendlines converge under compressing volatility conditions. The Primary Chart shows a symmetrical triangle, which by definition does not imply a direction to the breakout. Price has reached the very apex of this triangle.
Price has also reached the apex of two other right-angled triangles shown below. Right-angled triangles (also called descending or ascending triangles) do imply a directional bias via the sloping trendline that intersects with the horizontal trendline. In this case, the two alternative right-angled triangles (shown in Supplementary Chart F below) imply a downward directional breakout. But right-angled triangles, like other technical patterns and indicators, do not work perfectly to guarantee that the breakout will occur in the implied direction. Some right-angled triangle breakouts occur in a direction opposite from what is expected, which can make the breakout even more sharp because it catches market participants off guard.
Supplementary Chart F: Multi-Month Right-Angled Triangle
Supplementary Chart G: Second Right-Angled Triangle
BTC's Price at Critical Juncture
In conclusion, BTC's price now trades at a critical juncture. A breakout in price from the very apex of several different triangles could occur within a day or two. The compression in volatility has been quite substantial, implying a larger than normal directional breakout move. Combine this compression in volatility with the fact that BTC has not made a new low, has shown relative strength vs. blue-chip indices, and it would seem that traders should be prepared to react to whatever might happen.
Price has also reached the 11-month downtrend line shown on the Primary Chart as the zero line of the Fibonacci Channel. Price could continue chopping sideways right through that down trendline without much ado. That would perhaps be one of the most frustrating outcomes for bulls and bears alike, which is why the title to this article was chosen.
And at this point, it would appear that just about anything can happen—an eye-popping bear rally, a few major whipsaws up and down over the next several weeks, a major continuation move in the downtrend. Or price could just drift sideways through the 11-month downtrend line, ending it not with a bang, but a whimper. While predicting may feel satisfying, the better approach in this case may be to wait and allow price to tell us which way it wants to go.
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Author's Comments:
(1) Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view.
(2) This technical-analysis view does not constitute a trade recommendation or trade setup. Instead, it attempts to offer technical commentary that describes and analyzes price levels, trends, price action, or the broader technical environment as of the publication date. Technical-analysis commentary does not equate to trade setups or recommendations. Within a given price environment, traders bear responsibility for their own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and time frame, and for any due diligence associated with such trades.
(3) This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice, e.g., when price violates a key level of invalidation for a particular view. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success.
(4) To the extent countertrend price moves are discussed, consider that countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, remains higher risk and lower probability even for the most experienced traders and investors.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified / licensed financial adviser or other financial or investment professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
GALUSD | Wave Projection | Target Triangle 4-Wave BreakoutPrice action and chart pattern trading:
> A possible bearish scenario with descending triangle breakout to complete 5-wave downtrend wave with the target of 1.618 extension of 4-wave (-60% downside)
> Stoploss can be placed at the right head & shoulders pattern - SMMA50 zone
> Indicator: MACD squeezed below 0.
Bitcoin - No one is talking about this!
There are currently 3 options with a high probability of happening:
1) Bitcoin will crash very soon, so after that we can start an alt-season on altcoins after the crash to 13k (best option).
2) Bitcoin will go sideways for another 3 months and create a descending triangle, which will be the most boring time (you don't want it).
3) Bitcoin will go slightly up to the yellow trendline to catch all traders in a trap and then it will crash (disgusting scenario).
4) The bottom is in and Bitcoin will reach 200 000 USDT next year (no chance).
Bitcoin is below all possible trendlines on the macro scale, so the bearish pressure is extremely high at this moment!
Pretty much no one is talking about this parallel channel on the LOG scale. Also, no one is talking about the yellow trendline.
But I would not be surprised at all if we break this parallel channel, because at this point, everyone will turn super bullish and after that, Bitcoin will drop like a rock.
To complete an impulse structure from an Elliott Wave perspective, the price needs to print another impulse sub-wave to the downside.
At this point, if we break 32 000 USDT, I can say that the bottom is in, which I would love to absolutely!
If you haven't heard about the QNT (quant) altcoin, it's time to buy!
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