NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Preparing for a rallyFX:NZDJPY is forming consolidation near resistance after retest and false breakdown. On the back of JPY decline, NZD may show upside...
There is no proper price reaction to range resistance. Consolidation in the format of a descending wedge, a rather strong pattern capable of forming strong movements, is being formed. The Japanese national currency continues to update lows amid the calm of the central bank of Japan, which is waiting for something because of the rally in the dollar, as well as economic data from the United States. Any strong comments could restart the rally in the JPY, so the risk of a shakeout is quite high. But at the moment the chart is hinting at a possible upside...
Resistance levels: 91.362, 91968
Support levels: 90.056
The price stops moving away from the wedge resistance at some point, forming a 12-16 hour consolidation. Most likely there will be a breakout attempt. If the bulls keep the defense above 91.0, we can catch a good upward rally in the mid term
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Descending Triangle
ZK/USDT Breakout Alert: Bullish Setup with 100%+ Gain Potential!Hey everyone!
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ZK is showing strong momentum right now! It recently broke out of a descending triangle and is currently in a retest phase. This could be a perfect opportunity to buy and accumulate on dips, with the potential for 100-130% gains ahead!
Entry Range: Current price and add more up to $0.132
Target: 100-130%
Stop-Loss: $0.111
What are your thoughts on ZK’s price action? I’m seeing a solid bullish setup here! Share your analysis and insights in the comments below!
FILUSDT → Weakness in altcoins will manifest itself in decliningBINANCE:FILUSDT after a false breakdown of the 3.800 range resistance is giving signs towards the continuation of the decline. The coin is in a global and local downtrend and there are no reasons to change direction. The focus is on the support of 3.688.
Altcoins are extremely weak on the back of bitcoin's strong rally. The dominance of the flagship is currently at record highs, and the altcoin season has not arrived and apparently will not come anytime soon.
Bitcoin is testing strong resistance zones and cannot grow all the time. Any short-term reaction can affect the entire cryptocurrency market, which will color the coins in the red.
Support levels: 3.688
Resistance levels: 3.800
Technically, relative to 3.688 a descending triangle is forming after a false breakdown of the range resistance. It is a rather strong conglomerate.
Breakout of 3.688 and price consolidation below this area will provoke further selling and price decline to 3.4 - 3.3
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STORJ/USDT Breakout Alert: Ready for a Major Move!Hey everyone!
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STORJ is looking strong here! It has just broken out of a descending triangle on the 2-day time frame and is showing great potential for an ATH (All-Time High). This could be the perfect opportunity to buy and accumulate on dips for big gains.
Entry range: CMP and accumulate up to $0.42
Targets: 150% - 200% upside 📈
Stop Loss (SL): $0.33
What do you think of STORJ's current price action? Are you seeing a bullish setup? Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below!
Actual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending TrianglesActual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending Triangles
Here is an analysis of the actual success rates of ascending and descending triangles in trading, based on the information provided:
Success Rates
Ascending and descending triangles generally have fairly high success rates as continuation patterns:
-The ascending triangle has a success rate of approximately 72.77%.
-The descending triangle has a slightly higher success rate of 72.93%.
These numbers come from a study that tested over 200,000 price patterns over a 10-year period.
Factors Influencing Success
Several factors can influence the success rate of these patterns:
-The trader's ability to execute the strategy correctly
-Market conditions at the time the triangle formed
-Market liquidity
-Overall market sentiment
Important Points to Consider
-Triangles are considered reliable continuation patterns, especially in trending markets.
-The ascending triangle in an uptrend is statistically more reliable than the descending triangle.
-To validate the pattern, the price must touch at least twice each of the upper and lower lines.
-An increase in volume during the breakout is an important confirmation sign.
Strategies to improve the chances of success
-Wait for the triangle to fully form before entering a position1.
-Confirm the breakout with a close above/below the resistance/support level.
-Use additional technical indicators to confirm the signal.
-Pay attention to the volume, which should increase during the breakout.
Conclusion
Although ascending and descending triangles have relatively high success rates, it is important to use them in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and to take into account the overall market context to maximize the chances of success.
GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump?
Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns.
Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ...
If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction.
A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637
Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585
Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect...
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USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead!
On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form...
Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364
Support levels: 1.353, 1.347
If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347
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ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...
As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111
So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
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TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....
The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.
Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5
Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
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JUP/USDT: LOOKS PRIME FOR A 150% RALLY!!Hey everyone!
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JUP looks very promising right now. It has broken out of a descending triangle and is currently retesting that triangle. I'm considering building a spot position here.
Entry Range: Current Market Price (CMP) and add more up to $0.72
Targets: $1.04 / $1.32 / $1.68 / $1.96
Stop Loss: $0.59
What are your thoughts on JUP's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
NZDUSD → Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead... FX:NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...
On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.
Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544
Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel....
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EURCAD → One step away from a rally. High chance to break 1.5100FX:EURCAD exited from the accumulation of the “descending triangle” format, which is a favorable signal for the continuation of the trend.
A promising bullish structure is forming on W1.
Euro, despite the ECB interest rate cuts, is growing and the growth is mostly related to the dollar, which is falling after Friday's news of PPI and Initial Jobless Claims. Now it is not the fact of the action itself that is being discussed, but how much it will be cut...
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating in front of the global resistance at 1.51000. The strong level has been holding the market in the bearish zone for several years, but the fundamental background gives a chance to break and move into the realization and growth phase.
Resistance levels: 1.5051, 1.51000
Support levels: 1750238, 1.4935
The primary reaction at 1.505 may end with a rebound, but most likely the bulls will manage to keep the defense above 1.5023 - 1.505, which may have a very favorable impact on the further growth of the trend.
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USDJPY → Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0FX:USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall
Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points.
Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136.
Support levels: 140.75, 140.25
Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8
Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall
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FET/USDT: LONG SCALP SETUP!!Hey everyone!
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FET looks good here. It breaks out from the descending triangle and a retest is also done. Long some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- $1.12-$1.15
Targets:- $1.24/$1.31/$1.39/$1.51
SL:- $1.09
Lev:- Use low leverage (Max 5x)
What are your thoughts on FET's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
USDJPY → Consolidating before the news.... FX:USDJPY has been in consolidation for a long time, correlating with the dollar. Traders are waiting for key news and are not ready to act early.
The currency pair is in the downward phase, which is a consequence of the strengthening of the Japanese yen on the background of the dollar's decline. The Central Bank of Japan actively considered the issue of raising rates, but postponed this step for later because of destabilized markets.
Today is an important report on inflation in the USA. So far, everything is going according to the Fed's plan. Markets are actively plotting the start of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the bearish trend may continue, there is a huge pool of liquidity above 147.9, which may be liquidated before further decline.
Resistance levels: 147.9, 150.2, 150.86
Support levels: 146.29, 144.04
Technically and fundamentally we have prerequisites leading to a possible decline. We should wait for news to take some actions....
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LTC → Price exit from accumulation ↑BINANCE:LTCUSDT is coming out of accumulation, breaking the structure of the “descending wedge” pattern - a rather strong bullish pattern. Price is still pinned by resistance, but the bulls have a chance...
Globally, there is no trend in the market. The price is in a sideways movement between 114.0 - 56.0, which I consider a positive reason for a possible rise, as the price moves between the levels in a range. But we have prerequisites for possible growth (consolidation above MA-50, break of the wedge resistance), theoretically the price can head towards the resistance of the global range.
Emphasis on the area of 0.5 fibo - 67.8. If the bulls successfully manage to keep the defense above the mentioned zones, in the mid-term the coin can show a good realization towards 76.9 - 88.6.
Resistance levels: 67.8, 76.9
Support levels: descending line, MA-50, 0.5 Fibo
Perhaps the primary retest of 67.8 will not bring success and the price may form a small correction, but the gradual return of the price to the retest will increase the chances of a breakout. A fixing above the level will be a good signal for growth!
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GBPNZD → Realization (distribution) phase. Target 2.065FX:GBPNZD is in the phase of realization of the previously accumulated potential (descending triangle), at the moment a counter-trend correction is formed, directed to the liquidity area. The fall may continue.
The currency pair entered the range of 2.117 - 2.095. The lower boundary and the liquidity area have not been tested yet, so the potential target is still valid. The counter-trend correction is due to the counter-trend growth of the dollar against the main basket of currency pairs.
On H4, there is a conglomerate of strong resistances ahead, which may prevent the price from the first time, accordingly, a false breakdown and further decline should be considered.
Resistance levels: 2.11, 2.113, 2.12.
Support levels: 2.098, 2.085
The breakdown of the structure, character and the formed confirmation of the bear market indicates that the counter-trend correction can be stopped from the liquidity pool area, so the downward movement can be continued from the mentioned resistance
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EURJPY bearish continuation expected
EURJPY we are have strong bearish push, which is be based on BoJ rate cut which we are have before 2 weeks, when they are raise rates.
Here now on lower TF we can see DESCENDING pat created, this idea is based on TREND follow and still expect to see new higher bearish from here.
Currently price look like its make break, EUR technically with many look bearish and fundamentally tomorrow we will have strong EUR event (German GDP) where expect more weaknes on EUR.
TP1: 157.600 (300)
TP2: 156.100 (450)
IMXUSDT→ Exit from consolidation. One step away from the bullrunBINANCE:IMXUSDT exits the local consolidation and also breaks the resistance of the global trend, which can be regarded as a positive prerequisite for growth.
IMX is consolidating above the support at 1.386, formed in June. The area divides the market into 2 parts (long and short). Bulls are actively trying to keep the price above this zone, buyers' target is the area of 2.576. But before the rally MM can form a local long-squeeze, in which a false breakdown is possible (liquidity capture below the level) before further movement. It is also worth paying attention to MA-50, within the framework of the retest the market may test both sma and the previously broken wedge boundary before resuming the rally phase.
Support levels: 1.386, MA-50, 1.076
Resistance levels: 1.543, 1.784
Bitcoin is pressuring the market, which is forming a local correction, if the flagship starts moving up, it will strengthen the overall tone in IMX. But, if still bulls hold 1.385-1.400, breaking 1.520 resistance will give another chance for growth.
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USDCAD → The currency pair is preparing to decline. Target 1.360FX:USDCAD for the last few days does not show any preconditions for a pullback or growth, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 1.372. The fall of the dollar can provoke a breakdown....
Technically, the price is returning to the range of 1.3755 - 1.3600. The bears are holding resistance, forming a descending triangle under the upper boundary of the range, which is generally a prerequisite for a fall. The only possible target in such a case could be the range support.
According to the survey conducted by BofA among investors, more and more traders are betting on the decline of the dollar. The general policy of the Fed is also putting pressure on the index. The currencies may go into a strengthening phase....
Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3787
Support levels: 1.372, 1.3655
Technically, the currency pair is forming a local downtrend, and the intermediate patterns play the role of triggers for the continuation of the movement. Accordingly, I continue to expect that the currency pair may decline to 1.36
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NOTCoin → Pullback after a false breakdown. When is it going up?BINANCE:NOTUSDT on the background of the rally ( together with TON ) strengthens and updates the maximum 0.0129, thus forming a retest of the wedge resistance. The attempt is unsuccessful, the reaction is a pullback to the liquidity zone.
Fundamentally interesting project in the medium and long term can still show good growth, but for this developers need to try. The prospects of Notcoin will depend on the innovations developed by the project, its marketing strategy and the state of the overall cryptocurrency market.
Technically, a false breakdown of the wedge resistance is forming amid bitcoin's decline. The price may test the liquidity area of 0.0105 and then a retest of the resistance may follow. I do not exclude the fact that the support may be broken without any corresponding reaction, in this case we will wait for a retest of trend support.
Resistance levels: 0.1294
Support levels: 0.01053, 0.00912
Accordingly, any breakout and consolidation of the price above the wedge resistance will be a strong signal for further rally. As long as the price has not left the range, it is worth considering trading inside this pattern.
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XRP → The court case is complete. Triangle Resistance Retest...↑BINANCE:XRPUSD is forming a rally from the intermediate bottom area. The reason for this is the end of the litigation between Ripple and SEC. The market has been laying a positive outcome for the past few weeks....
The SEC was demanding $2 billion dollars, but the court reduced their demand by 94%, admitting they lost!
This is a positive outcome for Ripple, the industry.
Ripple is only fined $125 million instead of $2 billion.
The rumors have been around for a while, but the market reacted quite positively, giving an initial boost of 27%
Technically, at the moment, all eyes are on the range 0.6378, 0.5663. Emphasis on the resistance breakout. If the bulls can overcome this boundary, it will be a confirmation of the price exit from the global descending triangle, which may affect the formation of a bullish trend, the promising targets of which may be 0.900, 1.300.
Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440
Support levels: 0.5663, MA-50
Fundamentally and technically, everything is unfolding with favorable winds for the bulls. It opens the way to the north, but before that, the bulls need to try to overcome the strong resistance.
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