Enormous Descending Wedge on SPY Happy Saturday Ladies and Gents!
As with any other previous posts of mine I like to begin with letting everyone know I am not a professional trader, lol. I'm just a dude who likes to look at charts. I'm really just thinking out loud. Some how my kids aren't attacking me and I'm able to calmly and thoughtfully look at the charts, lol.
A few things to note before you read my thoughts on the SPY’s future price movements.
• I am not factoring in any economic data or potential rate hikes/cuts. This is strictly price action TA – which as you all know is just one piece of the puzzle. There are many different variables the can influence price action – I am just looking at one here.
• Consider that this is a longer-term outlook on the SPY. I believe this likely plays out over the next 2 – 3 months. Late May early June is when I think we reach the target area of low $340's - to be more specific, you can see that the trendline and price intersect at exactly $339-$338. I tried to take into account the time between peaks and valleys of previous price action when drawing the projected path (in yellow) but note it's just an estimate, lol.
Anyways, here we go:
The price on SPY is VERY likely going to continue downward!!!
We are at MINIMUM going to come down to touch that orange trend line. It's just been respected so many times in the past and we are so close to it. - it's like a magnet. Price WILL come down and tag it (maybe there will be a little consolidation before we do though)
I tried toning down the opacity of all the other trend lines so that it's a bit clearer. Essentially it looks like we have formed a giant falling wedge (ultimately a bullish pattern). I mean I do think once we reach the bottom of the trendline around the $339 area, there will likely be a massive move upward and an even larger breakout of this descending wedge.
FYI.... I tried thinking about time. This could happen late April to early June
I'm going to zoom in and bring back into focus the other important trend lines now (specifically the orange one) It's just seen so much action - it's very likely we come down and tag it - even consolidate there for a few days or week.
