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Deviation

DFT H4 - habanero ready for CHZRetest MA H4 after closure above -Tp1 is the MA node -Tp2 is the Moving max deviation Daily mapping of the price, we map, forecast not predict in Multi UT analysis ;) Some rules to understand the form of the strategy: (Can answer to your question about the content of DFT strategy :) ) - shade of red trends = primary (the black one are secondary trends) - Redish trends is primary as medium investors are arbitring short/long term investors decisions. Div: Trend vs demand/supply -Ascending trends with red cloud is most likely tested twice before break up. -Descending trends with green cloud is most likely tested twice before break up. Conv: Trend vs demand/supply -Ascending trends with green cloud doesn't need retest to break up. -Descending trends with red cloud doesn't need retest to break down. red cloud = supply area (Ma max negative deviation) + Cloud cluster = sell wall (cluster of MTF deviation) green cloud = demand area (MA max postive deviation) + cloud cluster = buy wall (cluster of MTF deviation) node = lowest uncertainty point & supply=demand (no deviation)
by Mr_Gesier
CADJPY Daily S/R|Hidden Bullish Divergence|200DMA|.50 Fibonacci Evening Traders, Today’s analysis – CADJPY- approaching Daily S/R with a hidden bullish divergence, deviation probable, Points to consider, - Trend Range Trading - Daily S/R (Support) - .50 Fibonacci ( 200 MA Confluence) - Oscillators Hidden Divergence - Low Volume CADJPY’s immediate trend is ranging between Daily S/R levels. The current Daily S/R is immediate support, high probability of being respected on first test. Immediate resistance is the .50 Fibonacci in confluence with the 200 MA, a lower high is likely to be set here. Both oscillators have a valid hidden bullish divergence which indicates strength and reversals in the immediate term. The volume profile is currently below average, an impulse is probable when key technical levels get tested. Overall, in my opinion, CADJPY is a valid long with defined risk; price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade. Hope this analysis helps Thank you for following my work! And remember, The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. - John Maynard Keynes
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
4
triangle may not be finishedMay 10th and May 25th considered deviations. Clear support trying to get in order with the the uptrend. Deviations make triangle much more symmetrical. Breakout might occur here due to eth and ada having the time of their lives. Injecting a more positive vibe into the market conviction. that being said, I wouldnt be surprised to see a downwards movement towards 9k. This would lock in support, and would confirm that this is not a descending triangle after all. Besides, we all know know how much btc LOVES 9k.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by BingoMoney
Demo of how my FUSIONGAPS indicator might be used.Link to my indicator: According to this chart, it appears BTC still have some downside to go, before a turnaround. Look out for a significant positive peak (turn-around) of the 50/15 blue oscillator (blue color fill) as a possible indication of a good position to enter. Possible indication of good price points to exit seems to be where the 50/15 oscillator (fuchsia color fill) have peaked in the negative region. Not a financial/trading/investment advice. Exercise your own judgement and take responsibility for your own trades. ;) And if you like this set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D cybernetwork @ EOS 37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC 1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP 0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano ~JuniAiko (=^~^=)v~
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cybernetwork
OHI PRICE FORECAST USING PAST CONVERGENCE PATTERNS & K-VARIANCE REFERENCE KEY: Yellow Horizontal Lines = Key Support Intervals (K). Orange slopes = Key Resistance Intervals based on convergence model. White Regression trend represents a LOG/Linear slope equal to (((0.33X-1)T/V)^2) Where, 0.33 = Series Conv {((Alternating Series Test), If for all n, an is positive, non-increasing (i.e. 0 < an+1 <= an), and approaching zero, then the alternating series equals 1 }, T= Time-frame V = %Change X = Standard Div / Variance Forecast Findings (95%): This chart shows a mathematical and technical forecast for Omaha Healthcare Investors for the next 5 trading days. Based on previous activity a sell-off of more than 5% yields a rapid rebound equal to previous support levels. Given that OHI saw a 6.11% correction, compounded regression show a standard procession of variance at $1.86 or 5.18% where in approximately 23 hours from the time of this writing the closing price will be equal to $38.33 on Wednesday Feb 13th. After the markets close. the buying activity will be followed by a convergence of sell-side activity reducing the daily price change from 1.86 to 1.13, the final percentage gain going into trading hours on Thursday will be %3.08 and the price at market open for OHI on Thursday Feb 14th will be $37.57. Adjust your trades according to this forcast and use the model for future predictions and you will maximize your profits from trading OHI. These variance metrics are extremely consistent and the convergence (K = 1+v^2) factorization almost never deviates outside of the provided Intervals. FWYB, DanOmun.
NYSE:OHILong
by danOmun
Gardner Denver Holdings - $GDI - BTFD! - outside of stddev bands$GDI - Looks to be far out of the linear regression 255-day - 2x standard deviation band. I haven't found any negative press upon an initial screening, so I'll prepare tomorrow morning to search in depth to find more news / catalysts. Otherwise, I plan an entry into some calls while I BTFD. 6/14/18 GDI is going to perform a presentation at a conference. I'm assuming it's not a big deal or major catalyst, but who knows.
GLong
by wounsel
Deviatrix oscillator strategy for trading Bitcoin by JomySomething I spun up last night. Why "Deviatrix"? It sounds sexy and it's based around price trading range deviation. Buy signal is when green is over red. Red is designed to meet green quickly when it senses changes (danger) in the trading range and hopefully get you out of long positions a day before the quick dump offs. It's been tuned to trade bitcoin, and there are no guarantees this will ever work for you or keep working if it does work, but it might be fun to try. It may work on 4h bars too, but 1d is best. For entertainment purposes only.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Jomy
Using $tandard Deviation With BitcoinOur EMA (the blue line) is a great support and resistance line for an uptrend or downtrend in price action. We can use this to our advantage. After a bit of studying the price action, I found that during down trending price action, if one of the red candles deviates from our EMA by around $1000, it is almost always likely to jump back to the EMA. I indicate this with the yellow arrows. I found this method to have even more validity if the red candle does not start off by touching the EMA. I've found that using smaller time frames for deciding where to jump in is helpful. How do you know if Bitcoin is in an up or down swing? See my previous idea:
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Tgreenfi08
USDJPY: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MA, KEY SUPPORT, STANDEV, IV>HV, RRYen$ Technical analysis - Bullish but fundamentally driven this week: Key level close: 1. On the daily and weekly we closed above the 2nd strongest pivot point of recent times at 1.055 - this is very supportive as historically this is the strongest level (next to 100/101). MA: 1. We trade above the 4wk ma and the 3m MA is acting as strong support (black line) - this is a supportive/ bullish indication but we have been below the 6m MA since the beginning of the year as the 2016 safe havens have outperformed - this indicates we are seeing a risk-recovery which concurs with initial thoughts IV/ HV: 1. Realised Vols have also unsurprisingly come off, this is bullish but bare in mind that brexit has distorted some of the longer dated HV (still high) and caused the spike in the shorted dated HV. Relatively, Implied vols are steepening higher than HV - with 1wk, 2wk and 1m Implied vols trade at 23.84%, 19.42%, 15.28% vs HV 1wk 2wk 1m at 6.35%, 13.16%, 17.18% - so IV is greater than HV across the front end which is bearish - though imo this shouldnt be considered so as BOJ event vol premiums are likely the culprit for the curve steepening - especially at the 1wk-2wk tenors (vs realised) so this isnt necessarily bearish. Deviation Channels/ Support levels: 1. We Trade close to the top of the 6m deviation channel at 1.0700 as we witness a recovery rally, this could be condisered bearish as we could see resistance here, but as i said i think fundamentals are more at play here than the techs. Looking at the 12m SD channel, this is more appropriate and shows us trading just above the average 12m price at 105- hence there is definitely more room for upside to 110 and we have just crossed the middle regression line implying we are entering some yearly upside deviation now, with the +2SD resistance level at 110 which is in line with the price support level at 1.09-11. Risk-Reversals 1. 25 delta Risk reversals trade bearish for $Yen, with current at -1, 1wks at -0.4 and 2wks at -0.2 and 1m at -1 - this suggest the $yen has a slight downside bias but is potentially searching for direction going into the big BOJ meeting on the 29th - investors are not committing much to a delivery or non-delivery, as the 1wks trade nearly flat at -0.4 - maybe this will change over the course of the week, but it indicates that we may see $yen trade calmly before the storm as a pose to heavy positioning before the event. - Though 3m risk reversals trade with a clearer downside bias at -1.7 which shows the market expects $Yen to trade lower in the 3m term- likely a result of investors expecting the risk-off trend of 2016 to continue. Option Demand: Significant put vol demand around the 105.5 pivot point, highly likely to be investors betting on a bearish turning on the break of the level (though expiry in 2 days). Going forward we see more call demand, on Wednesday we have large 106.25 notional and thursday 107.25 notional respectively - likely buying a pre-event $yen breakout as investors usually prince in too much of a BOJ delivery. *Check the attached posts for indepth fundamentals*
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
GBPUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BEARISH MA, IV>HV, STANDEV & RRTechnical analysis - highly bearish: MA: 1. Just crossed the 2wk and 4wk MA - this is a bearish indication + we have been below the 3m MA for several weeks unsurprisingly since brexit. IV/ HV: 1. Realised Vols have also unsurprisingly come off, this would but bullish but brexit has distorted the longer dated HV and they are lagging - Implied vols are steepening higher than HV - particularly around the 2wks as BOE vol prices - so IV is greater than HV in the front end which is bearish, especially around BOE where we expect ALOT of bearish pressure going into the BOE as easing is expected. Deviation Channels: 1. We Trade at the bottom of the 6m deviation channel but this is due to brexit so shouldnt be considered bullish. Looking at the 3m SD channel, this is more appropriate and shows us trading at the average 3m price - hence there is definitely more room for downside and we have just crossed the middle regression line implying we are entering some downside deviation now. Risk-Reversals 1. 25 delta Risk reversals trade marginally bearish for GBP$, with current at -0.1, 1wks flat at 0.02 and 2wks at -0.5 - this is surprising given BOE is coming up - one would expect a larger skew to one direction - since this isnt the case it could be 1) the market is neutral on the decision e.g. not sure of the result or 2) given we have 2wks yet investors are yet to postion in the option market, which they will next week - ill keep you updated on the vol/ option space biases. - Though 1m risk reversals trade with a clearer downside bias a -1 and 2m at -2 which shows the market expects GBP$ to trade lower in the 1-2m term - which makes sense given the economic uncertainty + BOE Easing potential. *Check the attached posts for indepth fundamentals*
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading
2
Bat Pattern, Eur/Aud, 1 hrHere we have a completed Gartley pattern in the positive deviation area of the last 100 and 200 moves. According to my strategy , this market is likely to reverse down into the negative regression. As of right now, the market is retesting the high at point D and we should see a trade completion in the next couple of hours. Anyone that has been following my trades knows that last week I had a very bad week and I am making a minor change to my strategy for the week , until we recover from our losses, i was previously trading all harmonics to the 1.618 extension of the BC leg, but as of this week , i will only be trading harmonics to the .618 extension , just for a guaranteed close for profit. I have placed my trade actions as follows: Limit: point X Entry: point D Limit: the .618 extension of the BC leg Please like and comment if you agree or disagree respectively. And always follow me for more updates on market analysis and harmonic patterns , and recently a lot of wave theory's. And as always Good Trading Everyone!
Short
by Kylan_Laymance
Bat Pattern, Aud/Nzd , 1hrHere I found a bat pattern developed and completed in the negative deviation range of the AUD NZD chart. my strategy suggests that the market will rally up into positive deviation before correcting for trend continuation. I have place my entry at point B to Verify reversal after point D I have placed my Stop at point X for the break below close below bust ! have placed my limit at the 1.618 extension of the BC leg , for consistency and risk reward ratios
Long
by Kylan_Laymance
Cypher Pattern, AUD/JPY, 15 minHere we see a Cypher pattern on the AUD?JPY charts, supported by a bearish trend suggesting that the market will continue down. I believe that the marker will reverse at the standard deviation and rally to the 1.618 extension of the BC leg. My entry, as always, at point B , my limit is at the 1.618 extension and my stop is at the highest high or point X of the cypher pattern. Thanks for tuning in, As always , dont forget to follow, like and comment Good Trading everyone!
Short
by Kylan_Laymance