Liquidity grabs on DG. Potential reversal?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
DG
Dollar General ($DG) Plunges 29% on Economic Pressures Dollar General shares (NYSE: NYSE:DG ) took a dramatic 29% nosedive on Thursday, following a dismal earnings report that highlighted both external challenges and internal missteps. The discount retailer, which serves primarily rural and low-income communities, slashed its full-year sales and profit forecasts, underscoring the struggles of its core customer base in a tightening economic environment. But the challenges facing Dollar General are not solely external; a series of internal issues has also contributed to the retailer’s steep decline.
Earnings Miss: A Dual Struggle with Customer Hardship and Operational Challenges
Dollar General’s latest earnings report showed a disappointing performance, missing Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines. For the second fiscal quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $1.70, falling short of the $1.79 anticipated by analysts. Revenue came in at $10.21 billion, also missing expectations of $10.37 billion. The company’s net income dropped to $374 million, or $1.70 per share, down from $469 million, or $2.13 per share, a year earlier, despite a 4.2% increase in sales year-over-year.
CEO Todd Vasos acknowledged the impact of economic conditions on Dollar General's core customers, stating, “While we believe the softer sales trends are partially attributable to a core customer who feels financially constrained, we know the importance of controlling what we can control.” Yet, he admitted that the company must do more to improve its stores and manage its inventory better.
Guidance Slashed: A Bleak Forecast for Fiscal 2024
The retailer’s outlook for fiscal 2024 reflects a cautious approach to the uncertain economic landscape. Dollar General now expects same-store sales to increase between just 1.0% and 1.6%, down from its previous estimate of 2% to 2.7%. The company also slashed its earnings per share forecast to a range of $5.50 to $6.20, from a prior range of $6.80 to $7.55. These cuts signal the company’s concerns over continued weakness in consumer spending and its ability to navigate the competitive pressures.
The retailer's challenges are compounded by stiff competition from giants like Walmart and Target, which have been aggressively cutting prices and winning over budget-conscious shoppers. Even online platforms like Temu, run by China’s PDD Holdings, are offering low-cost alternatives to the non-essential items that have traditionally driven sales at Dollar General.
Operational Shortcomings and Market Share Loss
Beyond the macroeconomic pressures, Dollar General (NYSE: NYSE:DG ) is grappling with internal problems that have exacerbated its struggles. The company has acknowledged the need for better inventory management and store improvements to curb losses and boost customer experience. Analysts point to a lack of strategic agility in an increasingly competitive discount retail environment, where rivals like Dollar Tree, Walmart, and Target are capturing more of the price-sensitive market.
Michael Montani, an analyst at Evercore ISI, highlighted the challenge Dollar General (NYSE: NYSE:DG ) faces in maintaining market share. "Dollar General's results show the challenge of maintaining market share with Walmart winning in a slower growth environment," Montani noted. Walmart and Target have recently raised their full-year profit forecasts, benefiting from price cuts that have attracted more customers.
The Path Forward: Can Dollar General Turn It Around?
While Dollar General’s situation appears grim, it’s not without hope. The company still managed to advance some of its operational goals and saw positive traffic growth, indicating that there is potential for recovery if the retailer can address its weaknesses. However, analysts remain cautious about the short-term outlook, especially given the current economic pressures on lower-income consumers and the intensifying competition.
The retailer’s future depends heavily on its ability to execute a more refined strategy that includes better inventory management, store enhancements, and possibly more competitive pricing. Dollar General must find a way to regain its footing and convince both customers and investors that it can adapt to the shifting landscape.
A Critical Moment for Dollar General
Dollar General’s sharp decline reflects a broader story of economic strain and operational missteps. As its core customers feel the pinch of a challenging economy, and as competition heats up, the company finds itself at a critical crossroads. The path to recovery will not be easy, but with strategic adjustments and a focus on operational improvements, Dollar General (NYSE: NYSE:DG ) may yet find a way to bounce back in the fiercely competitive discount retail market. The coming months will be pivotal in determining whether the retailer can overcome its current challenges or if further difficulties lie ahead.
Dollar General | DG | Long at $90.00Dollar General NYSE:DG took a massive hit this morning after revising their future earnings guidance. The economy is showing many signs of a recession, and this is a clear warning. From a technical analysis perspective, it has retouched my "crash" simple moving average and may dip further into the $80's in the near-term. But, like many overall strong companies that suddenly plummet, I view this as a future opportunity given the strength of NYSE:DG as a business (holistically). Dollar General is the only grocery and home goods store around in many rural locations. So, while there is doom and gloom in the near-term, Dollar General is in a personal buy zone at $90.00. I view this as a starter position, though, with the potential for future declines/opportunities for additional share accumulation in the near-term.
Target #1 = $100.00
Target #2 = $122.00
Target #3 = $200.00+ (very-long term outlook...)
A nice falling wedge pattern on DG! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
DG, Incoming series of Price Growth in order! SEED.MONTHLY DATA:
HISTOGRAM WAVE (top indicator) Down shift (3rd one since inception) finally re-appeared after waiting eons. Buyers are now positioning at the current discounted price range. Last time a wave down shift appeared was 6 years ago on June 2017! This is a huge hint already to SEED on this stock.
Price perfectly bounce on a 1.0 FIB LEVEL touch on monthly data. Support is solid at the current price range.
Net positive Volume last few days keeps ascending surpassing average numbers. As of this writing volume has surged 10%
Expected Earnings result will come on August 31 and it's expected to beat previous Q1 numbers by a significant %.
TAYOR
Spotted at 167.0
Safeguard capital always.
DG Daily Levels Match Up Almost Perfectly with Fibonacci LevelsDG
Replay of DG's Price Movement & Volume -13 October 2023
Dollar General (DG) gapped up and was up 9.16% on the day. DG's volume was nearly 3 x's the amount it was over the last 2.5 weeks.
Daily Levels & Fibonacci Levels
*The .38 retracement level on the daily is in confluence with the 116 daily level on the chart. The .50 fibonacci retracement level aligns with the 120 daily level. Also, the .618 (the reversal fib retracement level), is in confluence with the 124.85 daily level. I like when I see levels line up nearly perfectly with fib retracement levels 😃
Buying Opportunities When the VIX JumpsInvesting or opening long positions when the TVC:VIX jumps can be a profitable strategy if done correctly, as it often signifies elevated market fear and potential undervaluation of assets.
But first, let's figure out what TVC:VIX is!
The Volatility Index, or TVC:VIX , is a real-time market index representing the market’s expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Often referred to as the "fear gauge," a surge in the TVC:VIX usually signifies increased uncertainty, risk, and investor sentiment that the market will move sharply, either downward or upward.
So, now let’s take a look at the chart!
You probably remember how we opened a position at level 13, and now we have designated a profit zone, and now the price has come exactly to this zone and I have already closed the position, now that the TVC:VIX has grown, this creates a good opportunity to buy heavily oversold securities long.
How to find oversold securities, you can use a screener and filter out securities with RSI < 20 or were less than 20 recently. It is important to consider the quality of securities so as not to buy paper that no longer plans to grow. There are some good securities that I've already bought: NYSE:DG , NASDAQ:DLTR , WBA.
Managing Risk
Investors should consider implementing risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification, to protect against significant losses when the VIX is high. Maintaining a well-diversified portfolio and avoiding panic selling are also essential in navigating markets during increased volatility.
WBA - Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc, 1h📈 Market Update: Opportunity Alert! 🚀
Hey everyone!
After thorough analysis, I've observed that many stocks are now heavily oversold. Using a strategy I've developed over the years, there's a significant indication that the probability of profit is high for those considering a long position on NASDAQ:WBA NASDAQ:DLTR NYSE:DG NYSE:M NASDAQ:ULCC 🚀
Remember, all investments come with risks, so always do your own research and consider your own financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives. But, for those who've been waiting for an opportune moment, this might be a window of potential!
#WBA #DLTR #DG #M #ULCC
(Note: This post is intended for informational purposes only. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.)
Dollar General (DG) | Short-term OpportunityHi,
A leading American discount retailer, Dollar General operates over 19,000 stores in 47 states, selling branded and private-label products across a wide variety of categories.
In fiscal 2022, 80% of net sales came from consumables (including paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items), 11% from seasonal merchandise (such as toys, greeting cards, decorations, and gardening supplies), 6% from home products (for example, kitchen supplies, small appliances, and cookware), and 3% from apparel.
Stores average roughly 7,500 square feet, and about 75% of Dollar General locations are in towns of 20,000 or fewer people.
The firm emphasizes value, with most of its items sold at everyday low prices of $5 or less.
Technically speaking it has reached inside an interesting area. A few criteria matching with each other and probably it is worth to take a shot, from the shown box - $90 to $119, should be technically okay.
Criteria are simple:
1. The long trendline
2. All-time Fibo level 62%
3. The round number, psychological number, $100
Target around $140 - $150
Good luck,
Vaido
DLTR drops after earnings follows the market down DLTR dropped on a mild earnings beat. It is now below a volume shelf at 128.
Indicators including the MACD suggest a reversal as bullish divergence is showing.
The mass index supports a reversal. On the dual time frame RSI, the low TF green line
is above the higher TF black line which is weaker. Overall, DLTR could retrace to 133
based on the Fib retracement tool However, I will not take this trade until price crosses
above the POC line. !33 will be the first target and 134.5 the second target being the mean
VWAP. I will take a call on options trade as well. I will only enter if the general market indices
appear to be upgoing which is a challenge given the upcoming Powell speech at Jackson Hole
If the market is down turning, the trade will be paused and reassessed at early next week.
Dollar General to close it's gap?Dollar General - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 173.33 (stop at 167.33)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
In our opinion this stock is undervalued.
We have a Gap open at 01/06/2023 from 201 to 179.
The bias is to break to the upside.
173.09 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 173.09 should result in a further move higher.
Our profit targets will be 188.33 and 191.33
Resistance: 173.09 / 179.20 / 200.00
Support: 166.00 / 161.00 / 155.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Dollar General has more downside and reversal zone identifiedThis idea is based on Wyckoff's method for determining price objectives using the Point & Figure count of the distribution ranges. We can see a complex distribution range existing of 2 different types of distribution patterns at the top.
The yellow range is based on Wyckoff's distribution schematic 1 and the white range is showing a type 2 distribution schematic.
If we take count the ranges separately, this yields a potential reversal zone between 108.50 and 89.50 dollar per share.
All other information is on the chart.
Good luck,
NQDecipher
Dollar General (DG) a recession stock is Trending UpDG had a swing low in mid-March. While it has retraced well, it is still 15% below the YTD high
On the 2H chart, the retracement uptrend is accompanied by a persistent volume of about 2X
that of March and before. I am supposing that with an early or light recession underway, value
sensitive consumers are delivering DG more revenue from its retail operations and will continue
to do so. The zero-lag MACD is showing a buy signal; I will take a long position and watch
for signs of overextension or loss of directional strength as an exit in due time.
Dollar General to see an uptrend?Dollar General - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 222.52 (stop at 216.52)
The primary trend remains bullish.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Short term momentum is bullish.
A break of the recent high at 222.21 should result in a further move higher.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 237.52 and 240.52
Resistance: 222.21 / 227.00 / 232.00
Support: 218.00 / 212.50 / 210.50
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Dollar General to breakdown?Dollar General - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 212.47 (stop at 220.62)
Daily signals are bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
A clear break of 215 and we would look for further losses to 200.
Our outlook is bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 193.53 and 190.53
Resistance: 218.50 / 222.21 / 225.00
Support: 212.59 / 205.00 / 200.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
$DG has had pumps but be more likely coming$DG showing a lot of accumulation & has had spikes but likely moving soon
Breaks 26, 36 likely next
#p2e #nft #metaverse #crypto
DG:Correction due?!Dollar General
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 242.72 (stop at 250.70)
Following yesterday's bullish candle, the overall trend higher looks set to reverse today. Trading within the Channel formation. The bias is to break to the downside. A break of support at 244.00 should lead to a more aggressive move lower towards 220.00.
Our profit targets will be 220.05 and 204.00
Resistance: 256.00 / 265.00 / 280.00
Support: 220.00 / 204.00 / 184.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Retail leader $DG with tight baseDollar General is a huge discount retailer that plans to get even bigger.
After a nasty island reversal in May, NYSE:DG has recover very well. This tight action in price has caught my eye and today is making an inside bar with pivot buy at $256.10.
You can even say that is forming a cup & handle.
The bad thing is that it publishes earnings next week so, expect volatility. But, as the I like this base, I'll buy half a position and wait confirmation with a breakout above $262.50.
NASDAQ:DLTR is another retail leader that is making the same pattern.
$DLTR, CMT Investment Challenge - 1st TradeDolar Tree is in a confirmed uptrend and after a retest on support at $125, the price has formed a cup & handle with less of 30% throwback, this correction came after bad news on NYSE:WMT . That's why stocks like NASDAQ:DLTR and NYSE:DG came right back up. This shows strength and leadership in its industry.
Inside the handle it has formed a shark pattern with pivot buy at $169. This volatility contraction usually signals that an agressive move could follow. My stop loss is just below last week's low.
Investors Business Daily gives a RS rating of 96 and Ranks the stock in 2nd in its industry behind NYSE:BJ .
The retail leader has reported 4 quarters in a row with YoY growth. Last quarter published a +6% in revenue, +34% in profit margins and +48% in EPS growth. This fundamentals may act as a driver for institutions to buy the stock.