DIA
$BOX Consolidating – Coiling?I have had my eye on Box, Inc. since its last earnings. It has spent most of the time since then consolidating and letting the 50 DMA (red) catch up. I have also been looking at the AVWAP(s) from both earnings date and the 52-week high on Sept 17th (both light green). I have an alert set for a break above that tight area (both light green) where I will look for a low risk / reward entry. I am looking for this to rally into earnings, about a month away. All TBD.
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$XBI Breaking Out of Downtrend Line?I have put on a ½ size position in “anticipation” of a reversal. I have been in and out of the AMEX:XBI trade several times over the last 2 months. Overall, I have made a small amount of $$$ on several trades.
It looks like it may be in a pennant formation. We will not know that unless it continues upward from here. I have a tight stop on this just below yesterday’s low of $95.92.
Let’s see what happens.
$IWM Weekly Chart Looks BullishAMEX:IWM small caps have been volatile for quite a while now. I expect that volatility will continue until after the election. When looking at a daily chart it is hard to see any kind of pattern but zooming out to a weekly timeframe it looks to me that it has established a solid uptrend. I will be looking for an opportunity to get long for a move back to the upper trendline. But as you can see on the chart it has ventured outside the trendline but seldom closes above or below.
The distance between the lower trendline and the upper trendline measures just over 11% as measured in a straight line. I am looking to squeeze out 8% to 10% as a swing trade.
I have an alert just over yesterday’s high at $218.67. Should that trigger, I will put my stop just below last week’s low of 215.08. That looks like a good risk reward for me. All TBD.
US Inflation, Earnings Season Kickoff, Markets on EdgeS&P has failed to make all-time highs
Dow has failed to make all-time highs
Nasdaq has failed to make any new highs
Russell has failed to make any new highs
Oil rips on Middle East escalations
Dollar rips on technical support and bear trap play. Dollar is a big component to the stock markets edging higher for the remainder of the year (e.g. dollar strong = market weak, dollar weak = market strong)
I'm keeping it very simple and staying patient for any "dip" opportunities on indexes, stocks, and watchlist items
I still like Gold, Silver, Bitcoin long as well - again, patient on price action and entries
Major News this week
-US CPI (MoM, YoY, Core and Reg CPI)
-Earnings Season Kickoff - DPZ, DAL, WFC, JPM, BLK and others
Thanks for watching!!!
$ENPH In Uptrend Channel?Enphase has been basing for about 10 months after a severe selloff in 2023. That base has been wide and loose until the June – July timeframe where it has tightened up and appears to have established an uptrend channel.
I will be looking for a reversal in the coming days to weeks as it is likely that it will head back to the top of the channel. Should it start moving up from here, it could be about a 17% move back to the top of the channel. All TBD. Maybe this one should be on your watchlist as well.
Note that earnings are coming up in 3 weeks. Maybe it rallies in front of that event?
$DDOG Wedging / Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)NASDAQ:DDOG gets an upgrade this morning from DA Davidson to “Buy” driven by strong cloud solutions and expanding security management. That could be a fundamental driver.
On the technical side, NASDAQ:DDOG has been basing for about 10 months and has now formed a VCP or Wedging pattern. That is the positive thing on the chart. The negative on the chart is it is below the 40-week MA in yellow and there is a downward sloping 50 DMA, red. Taking all these things into consideration I have an alert set on the upper downward sloping trendline. If it can break that I will look for an entry with a tight stop below the most recent low and just under the 50 DMA. All TBD.
POSSIBLE 5th WAVE TOP WE Min targets have been met. The chart posted is that of the Dow Jones avg . I can now make a strong case that todays high can be the End of the rally from Oct 13 low 2022 the min target was 41958 and could have even reached as high 43100 based on the wave structure I feel it is time to be 90 to 100 % Longs PUTS . See the RSI not reaching new highs and that the QQQ is having a great deal of trouble at my 486 /494 . As to the SOX index I called for a wave C up to end wave B and form the Right shoulder in My weekly head n shoulder TOP .I have thought we could hold up into 9/30 to ideal date of 10/2 I see a Major Event the week of OCT 11 to the 19th . I have told everyone to View the 2007 top formation . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER !!!
DIA bear put spreadMY GAMBLE, Fed is NOT cutting rates next week. (No chance) 0
This would be seen as Election/political interference. The markets have been going up nicely the last week and I want to play some bear positions.
There is no weakness in employment
And inflation is present and not at 2% target.
IF THEY cut rates, they will have to 'make up a reason'.
DIA $392 PT Sep '24 (Repost)Reposting my DIA $392 target price for September (my previous chart was too messy). It's been in a very consistent channel all of 2024. This means SPY should continue lower towards the $500 level through this week. We will need to see DIA hold the $392 level and SPY to stay above $500, which I think is very likely the case as we go into rate cuts 9/18. The rate cut on 9/18 will very likely add much needed boost to equities to go back to highs before a full on market crash.
September Effect - Up/Down/Sideways - How I'm Trading ItSummer trading is officially done and the market will be news sensitive leading up to the big bad FOMC Rate Decision on September 18.
August's monthly candle is a wild one with a massive wick to the south and the bulls pushed the SPY within a whisker of all-time highs, Dow to several all-time highs, Nasdaq into a nice bullish recovery posture, and Russell the same (higher lows).
6 Central Bank Rate Decisions in September
US News on Employment and Inflation all rolling out before the FOMC
I'd like to see a seasonal dip or pullback to offer more accumulation opportunities before a run higher. Let's see how it plays out.
US Markets Cleared For A 13% to 24% Rally - Get SomeThis video highlights why I believe the US markets are ready to make a big move higher over the next 12 to 24+ months.
Many people suggest the markets will crack or crash, or we will experience some black/grey swan event. I'm afraid I have to disagree with this belief.
Yes, there is always a chance we will see some market event. However, to disrupt the US/global economy, there would have to be some event that disrupts the world, not just one or two smaller countries.
I do believe the US is making a broad transition into the 21st century, and new leadership (Govt) is required to make that happen.
But I also believe the seeds have been planted for exponential growth over the next 10-20+ years - and many traders are too focused on the crash dummies to see the real potential.
Watch this video. Share your comments if you like.
I believe we will see pullbacks and rotations on the way up - but I don't think we'll see any big crash event until after 2031 (or later).
Get some. This is going to be BIG.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Prepare For The BOT COM BUBBLE (Starting 2026 & Beyond)I spent quite a bit of time this weekend going over my custom indexes and other research data to try to identify what and how the Vortex Rally I predicted would take shape.
I mentioned something to my followers/subscribers last week about how today feels like the early 1990s (1991-1994 roughly). At that time, interest rates were just dropping from all-time highs and the general markets were in a bit of stagflation. People were not actively investing in homes or other big assets because it was not clear what the future would bring.
The US government has just gone through the Regan Era - where spending on Starwars and other projects were considered Excessive - but that translated into a massive technology boom-cycle in the last 1990s.
Are we going to see the same type of explosion with Robotics and AI over the next 10-20+ years.
Will that lead to a massive rally phase (global & space growth industries) over the next 50+ years?
How will humanity react to a massive robotics expansion where jobs and services may be replaced by robots?
What will this transition lead to - some new type of human society/expectation where we can actually live a life dedicated to improving the human experience vs. working our entire life?
Watch this video. Pay attention to my research.
If I'm right - we are about to move into a very explosive market phase and smart traders should prepare for this move NOW.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bulls Say "Can't Stop Won't Stop" - S&P 1% from All-Time HighsIt's as if the markets couldn't wait to open on Monday and continue what they've been doing for 9 of 11 trading days - push higher.
S&P +.96%
Nasdaq +1.31%
Dow +.58%
Russell 1.22%
For a Monday, it was a pretty directional day.
Wed-Fri is when the US news hits (FOMC Minutes, PMI, Jackson Hole, Powell Speech) so let's see if the party bus continues to rock until something forces a pause.
S&P is a mere 1% off of the all-time highs. All of these comebacks are mighty impressive considering it's the bears that usually accelerate the direction - these bulls are highly motivated.
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (July 21st —>July 26th)Market Forecast (Updated 07/21/2024)
**SPX**-Rotation into small caps and industrial stocks continue, which led to more sell off in SPX
We have a lot of earnings coming up this week so that can shift the direction of the market as well.
Next resistance $5655and $5688
Next support $5521 and 5428
Weekly Sentiment = Bearish
**Chart Analysis:**
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**Dollar Index:**
DXY- Looks like the dollar index found support as the euro weakens. Which means we could see further drop in SPX.
Next resistance $105.90
Support $104
Sentiment = Crossover to upside
**Put to call Ratio: 1.31 —> 1.15
Next FOMC date: July 31, 2024**
**Fear & Greed Index: 56—>49**