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DIA

PSA: Caution rogue robotsThis is a PSA. If you are or are not aware of what is currently going on in the market firms are being held hostage in the gme standoff. To meet the obligationsof the contracts they were selling naked (calls) firms are liquidating long positions broadly. Looking at the Cebu skew it is currently at one of the highest levels it can possibly be meaning that there is a 10 to 12% chance of an outlier move of roughly two to three sigma. you can see that very apparently on the SPX options chain as most of the downside weight is out of the money roughly two standard deviations. The vix is currently in backwardation with spot vix above the futures months. These conditions are similar to what we have seen during the corona crash. However we have yet to see if the market can regain price ranges. Currently realized volatility is exceeding implied volatility meaning the market is not efficient. So once again caution rogue robots
AMEX:SPYShort
by The_dumpster_diver
DIA leading TRBDIA leading TRB As the title says, DIA is running on the cycle slightly ahead. This creates opportunities obviously.. :) But they are quite in the lockstep movements. Because of the supply and some of the tokenomics I decided to jump the DIA ship and board TRB instead.. that may have been a dumbass move. One problem is the per token cost of TRB will put off noobs. They'll buy DIA instead as they just get more. But we shall see which prevails. Seems DIA also uses more of a centralized database within the functionality of their oracle service, which kind of defies the whole point of decentralized oracles. My friend brought this up and it kind of put me off DIA a bit. Regardless these are two rather obvious oracle small cap plays, which no doubt will pump like crazy at some point in this cycle. They actually have some utility. glhf
Long
by Crypto-Quantum-Fox
This time is...⏰ Market exuberance:New secular bear market? 🐻Hi mates, stock market is probably near top and next huge market meltdown is next door . Why i think so?I want to share with you some pieces of my analysis: 📌S&P500 vs. Utilities sector ratio It seems it could forecast short and mid term corrections in stock market but it looks like its good indicator of broader market cycles as secular bear/bull markets. A secular market trend is a long-term trend that lasts 5 to 25 years and consists of a series of primary trends. A secular bear market consists of smaller bull markets and larger bear markets; a secular bull market consists of larger bull markets and smaller bear markets. 📌Yield spread Inverted yield curve is leading warning indicator of future recession. The basic principle is whe yield spred inverted (was in negative territory) you can expect recession in next 12-months.It happened when Dot.com bubble bursted in 2000-2001 and so in Great financial crisis in 2007- 2008 as you see in chart. 📌Put/Call ratio The put-call ratio is calculated by dividing the number of traded put options by the number of traded call options. You can use it as contrarian indicator to determine how much Bullish/Bearish the market is. An extremely low ratio means the market is extremely bullish. A contrarian might conclude that the market is too bullish and is due for a pullback. Contrary extremely high ratio means the market is extremely bearish. In my analysis i using 20day MA of Put/Call Ratio an looking up for divergencies. 📌VIX divergence of 20 MA 📌Nasdaq vs Russlel 2000 Just so similar pattern on monhly chart of Nasdaq and Russell 2000 📌Other factors Margin debt acceleration is another sign of speculative frenzy in the market Margin debt is not a technical indicator for trading markets. What margin debt represents is the amount of speculation that is occurring in the market. In other words, margin debt is the ‘gasoline,’ which drives markets higher as the leverage provides for the additional purchasing power of assets. However, ‘leverage’ also works in reverse as it supplies the accelerant for more significant declines as lenders ‘force’ the sale of assets to cover credit lines without regard to the borrower’s position. Here is chart Total market cap of negative earnings of IT firms near $1 trillion its more than 2000 -2001 Dot.com bubble. Source:KailashConcepts If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a 👍 like and follow. Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
AMEX:XLUShort
by Tomasgei
6
Low Risk Weekly DIA Credit Spread (5% gain on capital invested)I'm looking to enter a Put Credit Spread on DIA with the goal of collecting $5-$6 worth of credit per contact with a $1.5 wide spread. I'll be holding till DOE with the intention of growing capital invested by a minimum of 5% for the week. -Current price is: $308 -Credit spread sell strike: $290 -Current price to sell strick: 6.2% -Is price trading above 50 day SMA?: Yes -Is price trading above 200 day SMA?: Yes -Percent OTM if held to DOE upon entering, is: 92% - 94% of being OTM if held to DOE -Technical analysis: DIA is trading above 50 and 200 day SMA which signals that we are in an uptrend. Our sell strick has been placed below .382 (292.5) fib retracement level. This price zone has held as support in the past I'm looking for it to hold again this week. Let me know what you think. Have a nice day.
AMEX:DIA
by zzMOTTS
Low Risk Weekly DIA Credit SpreadI'm looking to enter a Put Credit Spread on DIA with the goal of collecting $5-$6 worth of credit per contact with a $1.5 wide spread. I'll be holding till DOE with the intention of growing capital invested by a minimum of 5% for the week. -Current price is: $308 -Credit spread sell strike: $290 -Current price to sell strick: 6.2% -Is price trading above 50 day SMA?: Yes -Is price trading above 200 day SMA?: Yes -Percent OTM if held to DOE upon entering, is: 92% - 94% of being OTM if held to DOE -Technical analysis: DIA is trading above 50 and 200 day SMA which signals that we are in an uptrend. Our sell strick has been placed below .382 (292.5) fib retracement level. This price zone has held as support in the past I'm looking for it to hold again this week. Let me know what you think. Have a nice day.
AMEX:SPY
by zzMOTTS