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DIA

DIA - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹DIA is breakout horizontal trend channel in the medium long term. 🔹DIA has marginally broken up through resistance at 341. 🔹Overall assessed as technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
AMEX:DIALong
by wavepoint99
SPY - It's Life or Death For BearsIn this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points: 1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in 2019. 2. The three major indexes have been in a bearish market impulse, but not in a bear market. Just because something goes down, even for several months, doesn't mean it's a "bear market." == A Caveat: The situation in Mainland China under the Chinese Communist Party is not something you can see from the English Internet, or the other languages' Internet, or even the Chinese Internet. What's really going on is extremely dangerous. There's the dueling threats inside the world's oldest country of the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic and the collapse of the CCP. By the time the news hits the west, most of the dominos will already be collapsed and the gap down will destroy every bull there is, everywhere, including banks and governments. The 24-year persecution, genocide, and organ harvesting of Falun Gong by Jiang Zemin and the CCP is looming like the Sword of Damocles over Xi Jinping's head, and if he's smart, he'll dump the Party and the Babylon toads in the middle of the night. If Xi Jinping is a fool, Gods will dump him and all of them all together at once. It's coming very, very soon. It will be sudden. You are likely to be asleep when it happens because of the time difference between Beijing and New York. == I see on Twitter and in some other venues that there are people flexing about how they're goin' hard short at $445 and dumpin their whole portfolio. This area also happens to be the 79% retracement level of the most recent monthly dealing range. The problem is that shorting a bounce at the 79% is either really optimal or total suicide. What determines which one it is has a lot to do with whether the MM has begun to take sellside liquidity. The problem is that following the insane COVID QE, the markets had a 120% rally in only 22 months and really never formed any monthly pivots for funds to place their stops behind. Monthly Whatever the markets did last year was nothing more than an elementary retrace to the 2020 manipulation order block, which means that the MM's ultimate target is 100% the 5,000 psychological level and even possibly a David J. Hunter-style run higher. So, we're really at a key point right now. The keyest of the key points. There's really only one question, in my opinion: Do the indexes set a new ATH this year, or in 2024? Two things to consider: 1. Markets have gone straight up since January, printing their Low Of The Year only a few days into '23. (This is usually consistent with a very bullish or bearish impulse) 2. 2024 is the U.S. Presidential Election So where we're at right now is make or break: Weekly For bearish anything to work, you need to see Friday's price action, which swept the August high by a few cents, to form a double top that can be targeted later. Or you need to see it make a slightly higher high and very quickly retrace. If you were to get a bearish drive, the target would be $365, setting a LOY, but holding the 2022 pivot, marking the lowest prices the market will see before they set their ultimate all time high in 2024. However, if the markets hang out in what I call "the monthly zebra," a price area that is of significant note based on the monthly bars, then you can expect these markets to pump to new heights in short order. Shorts will be dead. It would be one of those cases from Diary of a Stock Operator where "there's no price too high to pay" applies because it's going up and you need some Bank of Japan intervention in the JPYUSD-level stuff to break the momentum. What this means is that if you missed the move in the markets up, there is no dip to buy. If you missed the move on the way up, any kind of significant dip now is a short setup. The long case for a new ATH would be to pay more in the $450 area. But it's very dangerous. Things can change in this world at any time. Wall Street and the globalist controllers believe they are in control and are very attached to their power, but ultimately, Heaven will show its hand sooner than later. Since human beings, especially today's modern atheists who believe in the laughable Theory of Evolution, only "believe in what I can see," then the Cosmos will show you reality. But once reality unfolds before your eyes, it's too late for regrets. It's the same as how when you're at the casino playing poker, neither the Dealer nor the House lets you keep betting after the River and everyone's Cards are turned Face Up.
AMEX:SPY
by LordWrymouth
3
$BA Breaking Out or Double / Triple Topping?Boeing – This has been a frustrating name for me. It broke out in January, of which I caught some. But it has been in a range, a wide range for 6 months. I took advantage of the bad news on Tuesday, Jun 6 when it dipped and bought a starter at $202 (sometimes its better to be lucky) and added again today as it breaks above an area of resistance. However, it has entered Double / Triple Top Territory so for new entries at this level the caution flag should be out. My average cost is $210.05 and that is where I have my stop. This could be one for your watchlist because of both the breakout and high volume today, already near its 10-day average. I hope this helps someone. These are my ideas and are not meant as investment or trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments always welcome.
NYSE:BALong
by jaxdog
5
URTY - the 3X leveraged ETF for the Russell 2000 LONGURTY seeks to yield 3X the Russell . The Russell has lagged the other major indices. This is probably because this is a big collection of small companies which are weaker in general and more suspectible to financial pressures like to cost of borrowing to finance growth and so on. This week the Russell is out performing SPY, QQQ and DIA. These leveraged ETFs should not be traded downside as the 3x causes expotential decay over time. Buy and hold will not work well. On the chart, the up trends as tracked by the "alpha trend" indicator are fairly obvious and substantial. The zero lag MACD confirms buy and sell signals with K/ D line crosses. Entry points are marked by a dramatic uptick in relative volatility making it easy to buy fast and early in trend momentum, URTY is up nearly 20% so far in June. ( So much for sell in May and go away). At present, it is waiting in consolidation waiting for more buyers to step into its price action.
AMEX:URTYLong
by AwesomeAvani
8
$TSLA Breakout / Now Resistance?Tesla – one of my favorite stocks. It looks to me that there may be a change in character taking place. It broke out of its long-term downtrend on May 23rd which put it over both the downtrend line AND the 40-week MA. It then pulled back for a successful retest and posted a nice pocket pivot last Friday, May 26th. It is now up against another resistance area today. I am long this name for a few days now and pulled some off today as it flirts with that resistance area. I think it would be healthy if it could form a base in this area for at least a few days and then break through. All TBD. I will be looking to add to my position again if / when it breaks above that area. If it does that, my price target is around $270. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments always welcome.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by jaxdog
Temporary Debt Ceiling RetracementLooks like Minor wave 3 ended a tad shy of 4136 and a few days late, but still on track overall. Minor wave 4 should only last 2-3 days with the bottom likely occurring by Thursday at the latest. It is possible Minute wave A inside of Minor wave 4 was completed today. Models are pointing to the bottom around 4176 based on historical Minor wave data. Minute wave C could end with a 138.2% retracement of Minute wave A which would place the bottom around 4177. Once Minor wave 4 is finished, Minor wave 5 should complete Intermediate wave 3 up with a larger top at one of the highest prices experienced in over 12 months. Based on all of the Intermediate wave 3 interior waves, Intermediate wave 3 will likely come up short from initial forecasts above 4300. The top will likely occur sometime next week around 4268. I will likely look into Intermediate wave 4’s bottom around the middle of next week. This drop for Minor wave 4 will likely continue until the House and/or Senate votes on the debt ceiling bill. Everything should see a nice jump when the bill is passed, however, something else is lurking around the corner with Intermediate wave 4 down. CPI is June 13, PPI is June 14 along with the next Fed rate decision in the afternoon. Looks like market could drop into the Fed meeting but begin Intermediate wave 5 upward after the meeting. With the debt ceiling likely out of the way by mid-June and Fed news possibly positive, the cause of the major market top near the end of June beginning of July could be earnings related or geopolitical. China action against Taiwan is still my leading catalyst especially after the GPU chip boom. This could turn into a major bust quickly if China takes Taiwan in a short or prolonged conflict. Too much of the world operates on chips moving through Taiwan.
SP:SPX
by StockSignaler
Entering SDOW is the ideaDIA daily went to a sell, waiting for price action to approach the P.O.M.O Position of maximum opportunity on DIA. With such a nice risk reward why not. My idea would be to play it via SDOW This short is riskier, Vix 1hr and 15min are R/R. DIA and SPY 1hrs went green. You just want to note the daily went to sell on DIA, waiting for it to retrace up to the pomo'y area for a small risk trade. Overall trading this way (waiting for a pomo that meets your bias) is about like a sore peter, you just can't beat it. AMEX:SDOW AMEX:DIA AMEX:SPY
AMEX:DIAShort
by lightningfreek
$QQQ all time outlook - prediction for FOMC MayNASDAQ:QQQ From this all-time chart, we can see that price is still holding above the "all-time upper support line"; that is, above the 300s. ~ IMO, we can swing between that support line and the "all-time resistance line", for the rest of the year. ~ In that regards, we can hit the low 300s again sometime this quarter, since we are hanging high for now, on this quarterly chart. ~ Also, in my opinion, we are possibly going to crack below that upper support line, later this year, or early next year. That's because of that "Channel Overhead Resistance". ~ Cracking below that all-time support line would push the market into a long term downtrend, similar to what we experienced during the 2000 bust. ~ As for the rest of this year, as long as we keep swinging between those 2 pivotal lines, we can run up till close to all-time highs, imo. ~ As for today's FOMC, I think we are looking at an FOMC spike till the 321s/322s, before the fall back to fill the gap at the low 300s....where it meets that "all-time support line.....for the next rebound. ~ Trade Safe - Cheers and good luck.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by RexMan
SPY Long Term Trending Up LONGOn the weekly chart, SPY has formed an inverted head and shoulders in the past 9 months Importantly price has now passed above the POC lines of the long term and intermediate term volume profiles. The inverted head and shoulders pattern is classical for a bullish bias for price action. Price has been cconsolidated about the central VWAP of the anchored VWAP bands locked onto the covid lows. SPY should now make an attempt to rise toward the 2022 high of 480. The RSI indicator confirms the long term trend with increasing strength. In consideration of this I will take a call option trade of the strike of $415 to HKEX:425 with 90-120 DTE. Overall, the SPY weekly chart, suggests a general market recovery is increasingly probable. Those keeping their powder dry and staying ready with cash will be rewarded once the market slows down for the summer and gets more active in the fall months/
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
$QQQ Falling Out of Rising Wedge?NASDAQ:QQQ may be flashing a warning sign here. Rising Wedge Patterns often lead to a new down leg but not always. Looks like we have a breach to the downside on this wedge. Additionally, it looks like today’s candle is a Shooting Star. These too often are a sign of weakness. The good news is that it bounced off the 20 EMA (blue). If it loses the 20 EMA I will be looking for a short sale entry using NASDAQ:SQQQ as a short, NASDAQ:SQQQ is a 3 times short leveraged ETF. This is my personal observation that may or may not play out. I would rather the market head higher, but I am open to it heading lower too. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
4
$FFTY Breakout / Re-Test?AMEX:FFTY The Innovator IBD 50 ETF – This ETF is sponsored by Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) It holds high beta / high growth names mostly mid and small caps. I like it for its holdings, very similar to AMEX:ARKK except that the holdings in AMEX:FFTY rotate a little more than $ARKK. Like AMEX:ARKK , this is a good barometer of risk-on / risk-off in the market. Here is what I see on the chart (most is notated on the chart). Break above both the resistance area and move over the 30 Week SMA. That happened yesterday and looks to be re-testing today. I like all that volume this had on Monday, not sure the volume count but the most single day volume since 2019. Tuesday’s volume was also more than double the average volume. The pullback today is on par with normal volume levels, most likely profit taking by some of Mondays’ buyers and maybe a few underwater buyers from yesterday. The price is above the shorter-term MA’s, and we have a recent MACD cross. All in all, I will be looking for a reversal from today’s down day for an entry. I like this set-up because I can put a stop loss under one or all of the moving averages with a clearly defined risk. Thanks for looking. Ideas, not investing/ trading advice.
AMEX:FFTYLong
by jaxdog
$ARKK Continues Wedging and ConsolidatingOn March 30, 2023, I posted (link below) my thoughts on AMEX:ARKK being a barometer for risk-on / risk-off in this market. I still hold the same view. I’ve updated this chart and it has simply continued to consolidate into a narrower range. I expect a resolution to either the upside or a breakdown. All TBD. The constructive things I see are the consolidation in a small price range AND a big decline in volume indicating to me that there is considerable indecision on other traders’ parts. While I tend to lean bullish on this name, it could breakdown as well. I have alerts at both upper and lower trendlines and may trade it accordingly. Thanks for looking. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
AMEX:ARKK
by jaxdog
Wild S&P Nonsensery Who could have guessed markets would rally in an ocean of bad news: Worse than expected CPI Worse than expected PCE Worse than expected Chicago PMI Joblessness Rising Missed Earnings Q2 GDP Contraction in Recession Collapsing Home and Auto Sales Who knew you could miss earnings, lose millions in revenue and your stock price rallies like Microsoft, Boeing, and Google. BestBuy which is a horrible performer in economic downturn also slashed guidance and their stock price rallied 10%. This market has become an utter joke and its pure manipulation due to QE and Buy Backs. At this point, I'm bullish. The more the bad news, the higher the market goes. Targets for S&P - 4209 - 4293 - 4340 If we break the dotted yellow line, we could see this going up towards the 4300 mark to the MA of 4350ish. If WWIII gets announced, I suspect this will rally to well over 7,000 or higher. There is no danger of a double top either at 4200, that is now a myth. Recession is a myth. Americans are actually FLUSHED with cash and prices aren't high enough and things in the US couldn't be better.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WorldEconomics
2
SPY S&P SPX - Selling SoonHere we are in this bounce in the markets. We are seeing lower highs, lower lows. It is the best time to get into a position now. If you look at the timelines from peak to sell, its about 2-months. We're about overbought, and the economic data coming out is pretty horrible. Retail, autos, housing, buying and consumer sentiment, debt, revolving credit, personal debt... all these point to pain in the short term. Look at the 2/10YR inversion, which is surpassing passed recessions. Even the 3-month is far surpassing the 30YR. Cracks are forming everywhere and we are starting to see defaults and bankruptcies become a reality. Even IF the Fed softens and pivots, it wont make a difference. Statistics are showing that people are barely scraping by. Don't be caught off guard! Look at the data, not the delusional hosts on CNBC which will never admit the truth until we are deep in a crisis. This sell off or "crash" is a bit different than other ones. With most of the economic data worse off than 2008, the markets are not reflecting the economy whatsoever. The markets should be far lower, but, it seems that intervention of some sort is taking place... for how long, its to be seen. I would have liked to see a drop of 30%, rebound of 10%, 40% in wave 2, rebound of 15% but it seems like like markets are declining far slower than logical economists thought.
AMEX:SPYShort
by WorldEconomics
6
Dow Jones - DIA DJIBoy, are these markets something else. Since before 2008, markets correlated relatively close to economic data. Since the introduction of Fed intervention with slashed rates and Quantitative Easing, "markets" were able to "shrug" off even the worst geopolitical and economic events. In fact, it defies all logic. Logically, markets can and should ignore all TA when an economy is hurting significantly. There isn't a bright spot in the economic data. The consumer is badly beaten and barely holding on. Discretionary spending, credit card debt, personal debt, consumer sentiment, and consumer confidence show us that the average American is at their limit for what they can spend and do. A new study showed that 1 in 4 Americans are skipping Thanksgiving Dinner altogether because of the costs. Keep in mind the collapsing retail, collapsing freight by sea, and now the threat of rail strikes in December which is quickly becoming a reality. This of course is one of countless statistics that show the pain of average American. Other statistics show savings rates have plummeted and credit card debt is at record levels as people's pay-checks are no longer covering their expenditures. We've about peaked in this market, looking at a double top from August 2022.. but again, TA doesn't matter as it did before. MACD and RSI have PLENTY of room on the downside. Look at the economic data, even the TA for the short term and position accordingly. This chart can and will most likely reflect majority of stocks from S&P, Nasdaq, QQQ, SPY, IWM or Russell 2000.
AMEX:DIAShort
by WorldEconomics
8
New top this week, new bottom next weekMinor wave 4 should now be over leaving Minor wave 5 and the end of Intermediate wave 1 to occur by midweek. All a strong majority of models have the top at 2-3 days which equates to a top on Tuesday or Wednesday this week. Wednesday morning is the CPI report which could be the catalyst for the next short-term market drop. The report is premarket and therefore Minor wave 5 tops before the close on Tuesday. The most specific models point to a top around 4172, although the dataset does not contain enough points of reference to ensure a strong certainty. The next set of data points to a high between 4145-4159. While the broad set of data points to a high between 4169-4229. At the very least the index should drive above Minor wave 3 which topped at 4133.13. A top around 4150 is fair and achievable over the next two days. A move above 4190 is less likely. After Intermediate wave 1 concludes, Intermediate wave 2 should push the market down for about a week, but likely less than 2 full weeks (10 trading days). If wave 1 finishes on Tuesday with a top at 4160, Intermediate wave 1 would have lasted 20 trading days and gained 351.14 points from top to bottom. The following is a projection of Intermediate wave 2 based on the estimates for the end of Intermediate wave 1. Based on historical waves ending in 2BC2, Intermediate wave 2 could last 4 or 10 days with a bottom between 3947-4042. Based on waves ending in BC2, wave 2 could last 4, 6, 10, or 11 days with a bottom 3886-3953. Lastly the broader dataset based on waves ending in C2 indicate a duration of 4-7 or 10 days with a bottom between 3852-4002. For now, I will project the bottom around 3950 over 6 trading days which would be April 19. This would mean the index gives up a little over 200 points over a week of trading. This would require an average drop of 35 points per day which this market is easily capable of completing. The day of the CPI report would likely see more than this while other days could see less or slight gains. I will continue to monitor and provide new estimates as the waves complete.
SP:SPX
by StockSignaler
$CVS Breaking Out?First in full disclosure, I started a small position in this name today. Despite having a downgrade today, the price is improving. As noted on the chart, CVS has been in a downtrend since December of 2022. It looks to have broken out today. In addition, we have 3 short-term MA’s turning up which also makes a good stop loss area. Volume has just been so so but if you look at the bottom of the chart you will notice that we have a rising MACD signal. And we have a nice, rounded bottom. I’ll look to add to my position if it can continue to improve in price. All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NYSE:CVSLong
by jaxdog
$ARKK Wedging$ARKK seems to be a barometer for risk-on risk-off in this market. A month ago, I was looking at the re-test of the 30 Week MA (white line) then the break back above the flat line of resistance to be a long signal. (I took the trade long only to be stopped out 3 days later.) That turned out to be a false breakout. We are now in a downward consolidation pattern that could break either way. I have alerts set at both sloping trendlines and I’ll look at taking a trade either long or short depending on the direction of the break. If going short, I’ll likely use $SARK an inverse ETF for the ARKK fund. I will also be looking for other longs or shorts in the market once ARKK breaks either way. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
AMEX:ARKK
by jaxdog