This trade has bad idea written all over it. Don’t try this at home. Not investment advice. etc. It has come to my attention that HO i.e.. NY Harbor heating oil which is a proxy petroleum distillate for diesel has gotten more expensive than gasoline in recent years many times and that it has done so in an aggressive manner quite a few of those times. This...
Retail Diesel – Monthly: Currently resting at monthly support of 5.31. (Ichimoku indicator not shown) Daily and weekly swings above and below the blue Tenkan line should be expected. A monthly close below could open the door to the red Kijun line at 4.09. This would be very strong support on a monthly scale. There was a 5 leg event from the 02’ low to the...
Given the mounting anger and protests by farmers across Europe, there appears to be a significant challenge stemming from contradictory and potentially detrimental agricultural policies. The grievances include increased costs for agricultural diesel, additional fees for water consumption, complex regulations, and objections to bans on pesticides and herbicides...
The Gasoil chart also has several alternatives to how it can shape the end of the uptrend. I indicated them on the chart below. Black labels mark the alternative scenario. Probability is not much different from each other. In summary, we have to prepare for a volatile environment which would be difficult to orientate until it is over and wave of X is formed.
NYMEX: WTI Crude Oil ( NYMEX:CL1! ), Micro Crude Oil ( NYMEX:MCL1! ) The talk of inflation deceleration created a wishful misperception. Does a CPI read from 9.1% to 4.0% mean price relief for consumer? Certainly not. Something costed $1 last year will go up to $1.04 this year on average. What really comes down is the rate and the pace of price increase, but the...
Similar to WTI, I expect gasoil prices to take off almost immediately and through the roof.
Gasoil Elliott Wave story is less controversial than Crude Oil story . The price rests on Moving Averages support and Gasoil crack appears to be on an upward trend too. This suggests that refinery margins are likely to improve. In practice, this means that Gasoil prices are likely to grow faster than Oil prices, perhaps due to unsatisfied demand for diesel...
With today's vicious dip, Gasoil invalidated many alternative scenarios, and I am inclined to see a bullish trend accelerating.
The top chart shows the difference in Retail Diesel prices less Heating Oil Futures. The 60 mo moving average is moving higher currently at 1.25 vs the current spread at 1.88. From 2015 to 2020 the MA for the spread was about 1.00. The accelerated rate of change is very noticeable in recent years. Will the expansion of Renewable Diesel help or hurt this spread?
Thanks for viewing, Some view platinum and palladium not as investment petals for various reasons, others disagree. I prefer (in rank) 1. gold (bullish), 2, silver (neutral), platinum (bearish). Platinum makes the list because I can purchase it in small increments - while palladium was only available in a minimum of 1oz coins (which had high premiums - as coins...
dynaCERT - Billions of potential with hydrogen technology for diesel dynaCERT has won the German Innovation Award with the innovation 'HydraGEN' and presented the retrofit unit for clean diesel combustion at HANNOVER MESSE and bauma in Munich. Now came the first major order - with billions in potential. The Canadian company dynaCERT has invested more than...
The stock price for SASOL is moving in an ascending channel, and my natural bias would be for a short position. However, it is always best to wait for price to show its hand before making any bets or predictions. It is still possible for prices to continue up as the general trend has been bullish.