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Dilution

A capture of inflation, dilution and stimulus /2024As we see by the chart, we had a series of events mostly around mega-stimulus for Covid and a massive dilution of currency as triggering events. Inflation rose and is now back down close to the desirable 2% inflation. We don't want prices to go back to where they were, that is deflation and is not healthy for an economy. We want prices to stay near the same year after year with modest inflation. When inflation rises too fast, we increase interest rates to slow down spending, to reduce inflation. The best we can do is work on wage growth to accommodate the inflation from our past years while maintaining modest inflation. At 2.4% inflation currently, there really is pretty much nothing to fix anymore, we just need to keep it around where it is, a little lower really and work on modest wage growth. Looking at this data, it really looks like the vast majority of the culpability of that inflation we had came from 2020, one of the single worst years financially as a country with inflation starting to rise immediately in 2021, and exacerbated some in 2021. Looking at this chart, there is a tangible possibility that we see >10% inflation by 2027 Here is the M2 money supply chart:
ECONOMICS:USIRYYEducation
by EncryptShawn
ANALIZING PALANTIR ITS JUST COMMON SENSE... BUT BE VERY CAREFULLLet’s welcome Palantir (PLTR) into the weekend analysis! As we can see in the chart, today I wanted to do general structure analysis not too specific, as we are practically touching the highest level again in nearly 4 years. Congratulations to all who bought at $12–16 per share and are still holding Palantir, but as I show in the chart, from point A to point B, it took almost 4 years to reach these levels again. But here’s my question: WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOU BOUGHT AROUND $40 IN 2021? I’d love to know, as this situation can greatly influence each person’s psychology when making a fundamental decision in trading. (LEAVE YOUR OPINION IN THE COMMENTS) I want you to know that I don’t just focus on price analysis. I also study company valuation. Based on a fundamental analysis of its balance sheet and recent moves by PLTR, I’ve concluded that Palantir is currently 171% above its intrinsic value. In my personal opinion, my decision leans more toward common sense… What do I mean? 1. Palantir is 171% overvalued. 2. Palantir is diluting its investors like crazy! In every quarterly report. Do you know what dilution is? Stock dilution can be harmful to shareholders because the value of each share is reduced, even though the investor holds the same number of shares. This is because the total value of the company doesn’t increase proportionally with the number of shares. Palantir is an excellent company, although it’s a bit complicated to understand what they do and how they make money. But in my personal opinion, a company that dilutes its investors is nothing but a red flag to me—and a big red flag—because I call this the silent killer for investors. At this point, PLTR is more on the hype side! If Palantir reports well in November, we could see the stock above $50 per share, BUT if Palantir reports anything that doesn’t meet investor expectations, any data that falls short… Buckle up! But how much could it fall? The truth is, I don’t know. But if we base it on technical analysis, I have an important inflection point (purple zone) where I expect the price to bounce after a sharp drop. BUT CAUTION! Only if Palantir doesn’t meet expectations. An inflection point in trading refers to a critical moment on a price chart where the trend or price direction is expected to change. It marks the transition from one phase of price movement to another, often signaling a turning point in market sentiment or momentum. Traders pay close attention to inflection points as they may indicate a radical trend shift. Traders use these points to adjust their strategies, such as entering or exiting positions, to capitalize on the expected change in price direction. BUT WHAT WILL REALLY HAPPEN? I don’t know, maybe this time it will be different—who knows? But the only thing I can tell you is that numbers don’t lie, and neither does price action. So, I hope the decision you make is the right one! Thank you for supporting this analysis. Sending you my best regards!
PShort
by RocketMike111
2
PLU Power Price crushed by dilution announcement LONGOn the 15 minute chart, PLUG got a deserving bad haircut today on the dilution announcement. Buying shares in a chas burning enterprise is risky business. However, the prospects of a rescue with a federal grant from the Green Left initiative can come any time. Shares are on sale. So are OTM call options expiring after the recovery if there is one. Price is showing a glimmer of a bounce with upgoing MACD lines and the fast RSI line rising and crossing over the slower one and heading to the 50 level. I will take a long trade when price gets through the Ichimoku cloud at 3.15 with a stop just below the cloud. I may add to it when price gets over the upper VWAP band situated at 3.5 which is confluent with the 0.5 Fib retracement price value. As a penny stock, all can afford stock or options. As to the options, the monthly in two days if only a prospect for those trading options.in a day-trade or nearly day trade fashion, I will look at the February 16 expiring options with a strike of $ 4.00 to $ 5.00 and take a bunch of them allowing for secondary targets and taking partial profits.
NASDAQ:PLUGLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
The Rise And Fall Of Jasmy - 200 Million More Coins Added TodayWhether we trade daily, weekly or monthly then Jasmy dilution is a serious concern. Why? Because dilution seriously affects price action movement and stretches the trading timeline. Image a piece of string. The more you lengthen that piece of string, the slacker it becomes. That's exactly what happens with dilution. The price become slack. The speed or progression of price movement slows down drastically. The trading timeline can only recover once the slack is taken up. Current estimates suggest that a minimum of 200 Million Jasmy are being put into circulation every month! This is stopping Jasmy from gaining traction and growing at a normal rate. Why should this concern traders? Because the success of day, week and monthly trading of Jasmy is now totally unpredictable. It is based solely on the frequency and amount of Jasmy that is diluted. It is like playing a rigged card or roulette table. Trading diluted crypto cannot be based on science anymore. Instead the odds are now stacked in the favor of the holders of Jasmy, For this reason I hate dilution, and this is why I only trade crypto whose total supply is in circulation.
by NewtonsWave
2
XRP - Dilution ConcernsIf you are a long term trader then dilution will not worry you. However, for the rest of us. Whether we trade daily, weekly or monthly then XRP dilution is a serious concern. Why? Because dilution seriously affects price action movement and stretches the trading timeline. Image a piece of string. The more you lengthen that piece of string, the slacker it becomes. That's exactly what happens with dilution. The price become slack. The speed or progression of price movement slows down drastically. The trading timeline can only recover once the slack is taken up. 50% of XRP remains outstanding. Current estimates suggest that 1 billion XRP are being put into circulation every month! This is stopping XRP from gaining traction and growing at a normal rate. Why should this concern day traders? Because the success of day, week and monthly trading of XRP is now totally unpredictable. It is based solely on the frequency and amount of XRP that is diluted. It is like playing a rigged card or roulette table. Trading diluted crypto cannot be based on science anymore. Instead the odds are now stacked in the favor of the holders of XRP, For this reason I hate dilution, and this is why I only trade crypto whose total supply is in circulation.
by NewtonsWave
2
Jasmy - The Sad Effect Of DilutionI love the Jasmy coin. But the painful truth is that it has just been diluted again today by 200 Million. Whilst the owners of Jasmy may have a long term plan, dilution sucks for day traders and short term traders. Why? Think of a piece of string. The more string that is released the longer and slacker it becomes. Dilution drastically changes the behaviour of price movement . In turn this affects the time it takes to make a successful trade. If you are trading long and are happy to wait months or years for the complete dilution process to take place, then I wish you well. For the rest of us, who are waiting to make money on Jasmy in the short term, then I think we need to reconsider our options.
by NewtonsWave
1
I Love Jasmy - I Hate DilutionLast week 200,000 Million extra Jasmy coin were put into circulation. This poses a long term problem. The Trouble With Dilution Dilution is a problem. Especially for day traders. It causes the trading timeline to stretch by weeks or months. This in turn can affect entry and exit strategies. Imagine a tow rope, that suddenly goes slack. The slack has to be taken up before the pulling can begin again. Its the same with crypto that is diluted. Its can put breakouts and bullish rises back by days or weeks. It can also weaken the strength of the breakouts. It can seriously impact on day trading entry points. Dilution makes trading unpredictable, especially if there is no transparency as to when the dilution occurred and how much was diluted. Jasmy will continue to be diluted until all the coins are in circulation. For this reason I hate dilution? What do you think? Do you lose money trading? Do you find trading hard? Do you feel overwhelmed with all the advice out there? Do you believe that fundaments affect price movement? I did, until I discovered something that changed the way I traded forever... A Great Mystery Solved My name is Jason and I decipher code and patterns. I started trading stocks, shares and crypto just under 2 years ago. My first week of trading was filled with excitement. I had a trading 212 app on my phone and made $200 trading Beyond Meat . From that moment I was hooked. I then started trading on IBKR , and within the first few months I made $15,000 on MMEX on the OTC markets. I had ridden a parabolic rise, and it fascinated me. What caused these parabolic rises? Could they be predicted? How could I predict them? I found the whole world of trading fascinating, and started trading part time. That's when things went down hill . I made loss after loss. I made mistake after mistake. 6 months later I was £25,000 down. It maddened me. It frustrated me. What was I doing wrong? How could I make money in the 1st few weeks, and then spend the next 6 months making losses? I decided to try and educate myself. I read all the trading books I could find. I bought DVD's. Watched Youtube videos. I was now more overwhelmed than ever. I was getting nowhere. My marriage was suffering. My other job was suffering. I was suffering. I was so close to just giving up for good. Then I finally got a break. After many months of research, I made an incredible discovery. The Discovery That Changed My Life For years I believed that fundamentals were responsible for up and down price movement. That was until I discovered that the candlesticks are just a shadow. And that the real source behind price movement is an electromagnetic sine wave . Should that surprise you? No. Waves exist throughout our universe. There are sound waves, radio waves, microwaves, brain waves, light waves, e.t.c From music, electricity and gravity , sine waves are the energy and force behind movement in the universe. A sine wave pulse is behind the candlestick pattern. Unknowingly, I and other traders have been trading a shadow instead of the source behind the shadow. A sine wave . What I discovered next was even more incredible... Fundamentals Are Not The Source Behind Price Movement Isaac Newton discovered light waves using a prism. Scientists now use computers to detect invisible waves. Further studies revealed that not only did this electromagnetic sine wave precede price movement, but the pattern of this sine wave is what dictates the rise and fall of price movement. Not buying and selling volume as was traditionally thought. Because of this, scientists named this sine wave 'Newtons Wave'. So, why does the candlestick shadow cost traders money? The Deceptive Shadow Imagine you are walking along a road and you come across a shadow on the ground. By its shape, you can just make out it is the shadow of a tree. What details could you learn about the tree from the shadow? Well, you might be able to guess the height and width of the tree. But that would be about all. Now imagine, you can look up and see the tree casting the shadow. You can now see the branches and the bark of the tree. You can see the color and shape of the leaves. Why, you can even count the leaves! You can even tell what species of tree it is. Likewise the candlestick shadow is not the reality. It lacks 90% of the detail needed to make a trade. What would you rather analyze before making a trade? A shadow or the real thing? Let me illustrate it another way.... Imagine you had a 300 clocks in a room. All ticking away. But they had no clock face. How would you tell the time? It would be a very hard. Crypto, stock and share candlestick patterns are like clocks without a clock face. For years, traders have been trying to analyze and interpret the candlesticks using a wide range of tools, such as indicators, computers, and charts. But still, they always struggle to predict the exact time to enter or exit a trade. Why? Because the candlesticks are just a shadow, missing all the detail and important information needed to make a successful trade. This is the main reason why traders lose money. It's also why people find trading so unpredictable and hard to master. So, how can Newtons Wave help you to become a professional trader? Newtons Wave Precedes Price Movement Newtons wave is like a clock face. Because Newtons Wave is broken down into peaks, the peaks can be counted, like second, minute, or hour hands on a clock face. Using Newtons Wave can help you predict the exact time to enter and exit a trade with incredible accuracy! That is why traders who use Newtons Wave make huge gains with little or no losses. Trading is a science made easy with Newtons Wave. Newtons Wave Changed The Way I Traded After making this incredible discovery, I decided put this theory into practice and used 'Newtons Wave to trade on various crypto coins. Shiba Inu was one of those coins. and made within 8 weeks I made $190,000. Since then I have not looked back, and I now continue to help other traders make money using Newtons Wave. Not only do I love the science behind chart patterns, I also love trading and that is why I want to share this incredible discovery with the world.
by NewtonsWave
1
WHAT HAPPEND WITH THE PRICE OF ? ( TUI1 ) 3 weeks ago I uploaded a trading idea of TUI1 discussing the likelihood of a potential breakout. First, I would like to give out my apologies, I have not shared enough information involving this trade which could have led to a lot of confusion. What really happend On the 7'th of January TUI Publicly announced the agreement and approval of a capital restructuring plan, Including the dilution of 508,978,534 new shares among existing shareholders, offering 25 new shares for every 29 existing ones at 1.07 euros each. With this share dilution, TUI was able to raise over 500 million Euros resetting the price from 4.65 to 3.32 a share. Everybody who held TUI at the time of the share dilution has the ability to sign up until the 20th of january. The New Shares will be distributed on the 29th of January. I hope this clarifies the whole situation around TUI, Wish yall an amazing start of 2021 And like to see you again
XETR:TUI1
by TheCryptoCorner
1
Promising Project Bad Timing To start this chart looks great, looks... There are currently 46.6M coins in the circulating supply. Starting tomorrow ~2 hours from now the remaining ~442M coins will be unlocked and distributed to SAFT Investors, Validators and Founders. (The Solana team likes to say they are transparent, but information given here: solana.com is severly lacking) A large portion of these coins will locked from trading for the upwards of two year, needless to say the coin supply will still be diluted starting tomorrow. I personally will be entering a large position, after the market crashes, laddering into my position. (I'm already in a small position presuming I've interpreted their transparency report incorrectly) Good Luck and Safe Trading.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by CapitulationCalls
Is it cheap? Why "dilution" is a concept you NEED to understandMany newbie investors get in trouble because they don't understand the relationship between share price and share count. If you're new to investing and you've never heard of "dilution," it's very important that you keep reading this post. If I look at a standard chart of Spirit Airlines's share price, such as a upper chart above, I might conclude that the stock is cheap right now. Spirit shares are trading well below the price they've traded at for the last five years. This is an illusion. The valuation of a company is its share price times the number of shares outstanding. When a company runs low on cash, it sometimes issues and sells new shares. This "dilutes" the ownership percentage of existing shares. Imagine I have a pie, and I've invited you and two other people over for a piece. We're each going to get a quarter of a pie-- a really big slice! But then you decide to invite a friend. The size of the pie doesn't change, so now we have to cut it in fifths so your friend can have a slice. Each of us will get a smaller piece. Issuing new shares works the same way. Since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic, Spirit Airlines has issued 29.14 million new shares, increasing its share count by 42.5%. That means that each share now represents a much smaller proportion of the company than it used to. The shares have been "diluted." Because of dilution, looking at a chart of the price of a single share doesn't tell you how "cheap" or "expensive" a company is compared to its historical valuations. Fortunately, there's a quick and easy way to chart a company's actual valuation. Share price multiplied by shares outstanding equals the company's total price tag, its "market capitalization" or "market cap." To chart market cap on TradingView, find and click the button labeled "fundamental metrics for stocks" at the top of the chart. Type "market" in the search box, and TradingView will narrow the list of metrics down to the one you want. Clicking on "market capitalization" will add a time series of the stock's market cap to your chart. When we look at market cap for Spirit Airlines, it doesn't look cheap anymore. Spirit is trading within its price range of the last four years, even though the company is now financially worse off in every way. With earnings negative and sales nearly cut in half, Spirit is priced as if the pandemic had never happened. By charting market cap, you've adjusted for dilution and gained a much better understanding of the asking price.
SEducation
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
52
$JCP $JCPNQ At a Precarious Make or Break PointThe Company recently filed for bankruptcy. Some calling it the next Hertz, but it might turn out to be the next Sears instead. Either way we're just looking at the technicals, and that usually tells the story on whether its a good flip or swing trade and usually it would be, for a few days. However this one has shown the gains go as fast as they come and precaution needs to be taken on jumping the trade, the timing has to be impeccable as the algos are quick to take it back down. Trade with caution.
JLong
by StockGuild
Kitov Pharmaceuticals (KTOV) (KTOVW) - Invest at your own Peril!In our search for small cap bios to invest in, we spent a great deal of time looking into KTOV and we have become quite concerned at the share structure and use of "ADS" shares which are not considered legitimate, legal, or binding by either the american or Israeli stock markets this company trades on. Each ADS on the NASDAQ represents 20 ordinary shares in Israel. Be sure to understand how the warrants NASDAQ:KTOVW , their exercise price, and the sheer amount of them, will have an effect on an investment in this company (specially at over $3.78 per ADS), with specific focus on the often mismatched share volumes, ADS vs. Ordinary, and their relation to one another. If you are willing to trust that this structure will not be taken advantage of, please make note of the legion of paid "pumpers" who work tirelessly across various stock websites and forums spreading misinformation, lies, with absolute no regard for even the quality of their own "work". These can be seen on StockTwits and Investors' Hub, and we are confident the same can be seen on any other similar type sites, platforms, etc. We can only make this statement with such a degree of certainty because it does not take longer than a few minutes for any even slightly inclined person to confirm them with ease. We suggest StockTwits for this purpose although it can be done on iHub, etc. There is currently a lawsuit in Israel from shareholders that is still open resulting from the offering on the NASDAQ of the ADS shares, and ultimately the quite drastic dilution they have endured without any prior knowledge disclosed of considering listing in the U.S. Let alone the ADS structure, etc... Those who have spent time researching, looking into these matters, or even being slightly critical (as any long/bullish investor doing their due diligence would be) have been harassed, insulted and even have received confirmed death threats. In addition, at least one offer of bribe to keep this information to themselves was also received. It seems clear that while the share price has, and will again rally above $3.78 (the exercise price for the warrants, except the Series B which were prepaid at $0.01), it has and always will inevitably "revert" back to the $3.78 area as each and every time that cash is effectively skimmed off the top fattening the pockets of those who likely have no need other than greed. We continue to verify and re-assess our own positions, thoughts and considerations as we strive for objectivity and the utmost quality of information, opinions and warnings we publish from time to time. We only ask that you do your own due diligence if these opinions different with your initial thinking, thoughts, or hopes. P.S. The company has no money to move forward, be sure to read the filings for yourself. Take note of the inconsistencies between Hebrew and English versions of the same (or summary's of) filings for the SEC and it's Israeli counterpart. We have no material position(s) and have never had any. We are undertaking and committed to continue our exhaustive search for all related information on this company and the concerns we have mentioned, and more that we are still looking into.
K
by Kantardziski
1