Daily Real Estate ETF [DRV]: 1-Month Forecast Fundamental Perspective:
In the past 50 days, the Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF (DRV) has experienced a surge of over 90%. As a leveraged ETF corresponding to the inverse of the Housing Market, this hardly comes as a surprise. In the past two weeks alone, the Federal Reserve raised benchmark interest rates by another 75 basis points in its ongoing struggle to curb inflation, and this has resulted in the mortgage interest rate increasing nearly 7%, adding even more pressure on potential homebuyers who are already struggling to navigate the historically high prices across the country. With 90% of mortgage holders having interest rates below 5%, not many are willing to part with a home, only to purchase a new one at an increased rate of 6.3%. Fueled mainly by this lack of supply, housing prices continue to rise in the short term, further amplifying the strain on the ever-growing housing bubble.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, DRV is currently caught in a cross-current of two opposing channels, shown on the graph in yellow. The larger, ascending channel has been active for nearly a year, while the smaller, descending channel became active late last month when the price of DRV broke through the horizontal resistance of around $60. Examination using a custom, multi-timeframe WaveTrend indicator (coming soon) also indicates that a minor bearish divergence may playout in the second week of October, followed by a more significant bullish divergence that may push the price towards the upper portion of the ascending channel during the first few weeks of November.
Note:
The forecasted candles (shown in white) are based on lower timeframe fractals on the Heiken Ashi plot. They are intended to demonstrate one possibility of how price may interact with horizontal supports and channel boundaries in the coming month. The pivots in the projected price action have been retrofitted to be consistent with standard channel mechanics and Fibonacci spaced time intervals.
Direxion
Oil Short via Direxion's Inverse $DRIPI have entered a leveraged (2X) short in #oil, via Direxion's Inverse $DRIP ETF.
NOTE: This post shows "LONG" because I have BOUGHT $DRIP; #Oil, as the asset class - I am viewing as a SHORT.
Not much else to say, other than the #oil #selloff is underway after forming what I see as a double top (see WTICOUSD) and a good risk/reward entry to short.
I will continue to provide updates on this one, and as usual, the chart will dictate how to manage the trade.
You may recall, I bought oil, via Direxion's $GUSH ETF back in September 2021 (returning over 50%); I officially closed the oil-long ($GUSH) position in April 2022.
Let’s see if the oil selloff translates at the gas pump.
God Bless!
SOXL close to a strong supportSOXL tracks the performance of the thirty largest U.S. listed semiconductor companies.
The semiconductor space is still hot, but the companies in the leveraged Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) didn`t performed well against the inflation and raising interest rates recently.
I think SOXL is now close to the strong support of $21, pre-pandemic level, from which it can bounce to the $36 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Direxion Daily Semis choosing the direction with the bears. SOXLGoals 33, 21. Invalidation at 100.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Swing trade YANGAfter Trumps tweet of raising tariffs, China's market is temporarily crashing.
YANG is a China Direxion Bear X3 ETF. The index is having great gains.
I expect it to reverse on Friday 10th / Monday 13th. Analysts still expect the trade to happen between China and USA.
At this point consider buying YINN (China Bull X3 ETF).
Other X3 ETF's to consider:
SOXS (Semiconductors Direxion Bear) is on the same path.
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Information
An exchange-traded fund, or ETF, is an investment product representing a basket of securities that track an index such as the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. ETFs, which are available to individual investors only through brokers and advisers, trade like stocks on an exchange.
Direxion Shares and Ultra ProShares are leveraged Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) designed to seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% / 3x of the performance (or 300% / 3x of the inverse of the performance, in the case of a bear fund), of the benchmark index that they track. There is no guarantee that the funds will achieve their objective.
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Caution
There can be A LOT of volatility trading these Indexes. ALWAYS use stop-loss orders, as well as price target sell-offs.
Happy trading!
PS:
For a list of all 3X ETF's. Go to: 3XETF dot-com
21% Potential in Russian Bear!AMEX:RUSS
21% Potential in Russian Bear!
Entry now if you're a bit more aggressive or
Entry after signs of higher highs and higher lows above blue EMA (15) line
2% Stop loss
MacD showing signs of reversal
RSI below 40
$FAS Bears Eye 7.83; Put On Summer Power Shorts | #ETFSYNOPSIS :
1 - Major bearish strength coming into play
2 - Immediate major support resides at the 15.54 handle
3 - Limited reactive rally expected at 15.54
4 - Ultimate bearish target at 7.83
Best,
David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
- Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter)