DIS on support of trendline and 21-emaHello my young padawans. Behind the scenes of the EV frenzy, biotechs, and SPACS the good old DIS has discretely (maybe no so discretely if you look at the past month but sort of behind the scenes) made its move up and reached new ATH on the hopes of vaccine and prophylactics, and other branches of the conglomerate such as Disney+. If you have been buying throughout the pandemic like I did you should be sitting very comfortably now.
It seems though that the spike up lost a little of its steam. After the peak DIS dropped a little and has been trading sideways for a few days. Today it breached the long term trendline (yellow) and found support on the 21-ema on the daily. The price closed above the trendline, which is a good sign but other indicators are not very positive:
1. MACD is curling down with bearish crossover of MA and signal;
2. ADX is curling down fast as well which shows the trend is getting weaker;
3. +DI and -DI are converging bearish (red line moving up and green line moving down; quite sharply actually)
4. There is a gap that has not been filled yet
This doesn't mean the price will go down but there is a slight bearish bias at the moment. A pullback would be an opportunity to start a position of add more if you already have one, or at least that is what I am doing.
Safe trades!
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DIS
Update on Disney: price stalling at the topsIn my previous post, I've mentioned that Disney is dangerously high and that technicals are screaming for a correction. Some time has past and the price is still stalled around the highs. RSI has already dipped quite below the 70 line and MACD's crossover is spreading wider. The histogram is increasing as well. We have a small subdued bearish flag (the figure marked in red lines) that with Yesterday's close it has been breached, though not with a strong intention. Two key zones (the squares in blue) remain to be passed to speak about testing the trend and eventual reversal of that uptrend. The target of the figure is implying for a potential move towards the gap level and the trend support zone.
DIS to 190?Levels annotated on the chart, Ive updated Disney the past few weeks and almost every week is new ath, Set a tight stop loss as its at all time highs and looks to be coming to an end of its parabolic move, If Dis+ continues to display great news and brings in new content Dis can keep pushing and create new highs. Mickey giving us Disney Land money!
DIS is Santa Mouse coming out this week? Disney had some good movement last week, looking for some nice movement this week with the Santa rally. Look for an entry near my wave c correction, we could see a dip or it could ignore that wave c and have a bullish push pm. Look for an entry near 171.11 under that we could go for that gap fill down at 170.48. Major breakout of 175.84 and we'll see ATH again!
Safe plays: 175C 180C (1/8, 1/15)
lotto play/ day trade: 175C, 180C (12/31) very risky lotto 185C 12/31 .17c
DIS 12/21/2020 LongDIS gapped up on heavy volume over a significant level that it was bumping up against & has spent six days digesting these higher prices.
I bought a half-sized position on Monday (12/21/20) when the market gapped lower due to a new COVID strain mutation in the U.K. I believe that the market is over COVID & has been for some time. Unless there is a negative development on the vaccine front, Pumpin' Powell is going to be able to continue inflating the asset bubble. The DIS pullback also coincided nicely with a bounce off of the 9-day EMA.
My initial stop is below the low of the gap-up day. I'm looking to add larger size on a break of Monday's highs circa $172. I would also be willing to add on a false break & quick reclaim of Monday's lows, at which point I would move stops up to just below the false break.
Walt Disney - Ending Diagonal PatternIn the 240-minute chart, we have 5 descending waves, which have ended in the range of 79.09, in continuation, the correction of this downtrend is in the form of Double Zigzag, which has reached the range of $ 153.91. The Diagonal pattern has been formed in this range, of which the targets can be 128.60 and then $ 117.25.
In case the visualization of this analysis become true, the main pattern will be Expanded Flat and we can consider the expansion of the bearish trend up to the range of $ 79.09.