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DISNEY Momentum Strategy|End of Cycle[MEDIUM-TERM]TREND ANALYSISDisney(DIS) : Series on Equities #2 (3-4 minutes read) This will be a short and simple T.A, just because it's Disney . Their ratios, products, management etc, speak for themselves and their fundamentals. I will just go through the technicals- most of the fundamental risks that aren't idiosyncratic to Disney are covered in my previous posts(Links #1&2) . Since the 2009 lows, Disney has outperformed the market by quite a margin( about 900% up to be precise ). Let's get on with the technicals. There are three main structural support areas: 115(primary), 90-80(Recession Primary), 65-70(0.618 Fib) . Disney is currently in a textbook example of Elliott wave extensions, where it hit the targets for each wave with maximum precision . As a usual momentum continuation from Wave III, Disney entered a momentum channel that's currently ongoing. Recently, Disney hit the top of the channel (2.62 EW extension), that is one of the targets for Wave V. Supplemental Quarterly chart 14 Q's EMA key bullish trendline support Obviously, this implies a bullish trend continuation, and yet I am short? To me it's quite a straightforward question, how far up can Disney go, and is the risk worth it? The answer to that question, in my opinion is that at this point of the cycle(Link #2), the risk is just not worth it . To make my point clear, this is a decision tree from TESLA (TSLA) that could also be applied to Disney. You can read more about it in my next post about Tesla. Tesla Decision Tree and four major Auto Manufacturers' stock performances since Trump took office. To wrap this post up, obviously the decision tree is very simplified and in reality it's much more complex than that( the events aren't mutually exclusive ). At some point the momentum channel for Disney is going to break down . Although, this might just be a good opportunity to buy for the long term . Considering how current trends are moving and how people spend their leisure time in entertainment and gaming, without a doubt, Disney as one of the market leaders, will continue to grow in the long term. This is it for Disney(Dis), hope that it's useful. If you found the TA interesting and aligned to your analysis, don't be so reserved- give this post a thumbs up or comment your view on Disney. -Step_Ahead_ofthemarket- >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up and follow is greatly appreciated ! 1. FedEx(FDX) Fundamental Analysis: 2. Fed Rates Supercycle study: Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money.
NYSE:DISShort
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
6
H&S pattern forming on DIS, could head lower.Disney (DIS) is currently forming an H&S pattern, which is generally a topping formation pattern. Based on what I see, I think Disney could retrace down toward 117.50-120; as it would coincide with a gap in the price action (around 117.50 or so) and it would test a potential bullish S/R flip around that 120 zone that acted as resistance for awhile, as shown by the red box. -This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and own due-diligence before investing and trading, as for investing and trading comes with high amounts of risk. I am not liable for any incurred losses or financial distress. Also, for any crypto traders out there, Binance just launched their US exchange (Binance US.) If you need a link to go sign up, click here--> www.binance.us
NYSE:DISShort
by Deftsuo