NFLX: Inflection zone incomingReally perfect trade missed on NFLX today. These I find are fairly easy when the market environment is right. Bounced off of the 100sma on friday and traded RIGHT back up to the beginning of its latest runup on 10/20 today- to the penny. Would have taken that all day had I seen it. Fibs previously drawn. When I see setups like this on names I watch regularly, I will put alerts in so that I remember and do not have to watch closely.
If we can get a market bounce here moving forward in the week, I would def watch for daytrade/swingtrade probably really both or a daytrade-turned-swing-trade (meaning leaving on a smaller size to swing which I do often when the right momentum is with the names). I stuck an alert near the top of Thur-Fri candles of last week so that if/when it hits, I can reassess it to take back up 644 or at least the 10sma- a 10/100 sma sandwich/fib play. From there, maybe a short again, but being careful to look out for Santas sleigh coming into Christmas. All Aunt Edna wants for Christmas is another year of NFLX??
IF the market continues the selling and this does not work and we lose the bottom of today/100sma, we will head back down at least to the top of the channel between 479-573 where we spent the greater part of the 2nd half of 2021~ 200sma sitting around 562.
The reason I put my alert BEFORE the top of the thur/fri candles is because IF we cannot break above those, that is an excellent place to short and the momentum would probably break the 100sma taking us back down to the 200sma and if that breaks, to the purple channel.
The cliffnotes are: there is no trade. BUT, I am prepping for a trade ;)
DIS
DIS bottom into Seasonal Strength December and JanuaryThere is a daily wolfe wave setup in DIS. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 186 which is expected to reach this price target before March 24 (apex).
Disney is ready for the reversal, buy the dip $DISIt hit the floor along with SPY last week and with the rising 5 day and 20 trend about to reverse. This will pop back up really soon. RSI 39 with 50 resistance that it needs to break, momentum is currently on its side. Current support at $148. Buy and keep adding on any dips you see. This is a big swing position. $DIS
If you agree with my analysis then follow me and give me a like, it helps to provide more analysis for you guys.
DIS stopped selling annual passes101 bad news101 lose customers Walt Disney World has temporarily stopped selling most annual passes less than two months after reviving the program following a pandemic-related pause.
Of the four types of annual passes that theme-park visitors can purchase at Walt Disney World, the three most expensive options are now listed as currently unavailable but are expected to return at some point next year.
The one annual pass that is still being sold, the Pixie Dust Pass, is only available for Florida residents and comes with blackout dates during the holidays when it cannot be used to enter the parks.
When Disney DIS, -2.13% announced that it was overhauling the annual-pass program at Walt Disney World in September, it warned that it could pause sales periodically. Travel experts are now calling this the new normal, thanks to a new system put in place amid the pandemic that requires visitors to Disney theme parks to make reservations in advance of their visit — even if they have purchased tickets or annual passes already.
“Unfortunately, the end result is less people will be able to visit Walt Disney World during the holiday season, and many that were planning to give annual passes as Christmas gifts will have to come up with something else,” said Alicia Stella, owner of travel website Theme Park Stop. “Next time, a little warning from the company would be nice.”
Disney’s theme parks are still operating at a limited capacity, though the number of people admitted into the parks each day is much higher now than it was earlier in the pandemic. Earlier this year, Disney CEO Bob Chapek signaled that the company expected the Florida parks to be back to full capacity by the end of 2021, but that was before the Delta variant caused a surge in cases nationwide.
According to Walt Disney World’s website, the company has also suspended ticket sales for select dates throughout the holiday season.
DIS, getting close to a trough somewhere close by.These analyst opinion is something to consider nothing more nothing less, don't you go relying on it or making your investments solely on it.
-Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walt Disney in the last 3 months. The average price target is $205.43 with a high forecast of $263.00 and a low forecast of $172.00. The average price target represents a 30.65% change from the last price of $157.24.
$DIS - Disney Stock Bearish trend with a $96 PTThe major trend line dates back since 2009. stock looks like it has continuing to sell off. Will not buy at current level. Wait for $96 aas it sits on major supports and trend line. With the COVID uncertainty, It looks like fundamentally, leisure stocks like Disney will continue to sell off.
DIS Long, target 220With the rise of streaming services, Disney is one of the leaders. I'm speculating that DIS is gonna introduce video games soon, just to stay competitive with NFLX.
Technical analysis shows that DIS has been consolidating for a long time and now wants to break out.
Entry: 169-170
Target: 220
Stop-loss: 167
Period: 6-12 months
Position: 5% of the capital
DIS shortive been analyzing and backtesting some charts.
In particular~ shorts. One thing I really liked was DIS short. I was in the long swing that I exited prior to ER, we gapped down bigly of course on ER. They tried to fade it unsuccessfully. When we could not get over the ER gap down, could have looked for a short entry on a smaller timeframe like 30 min or 1 hr. The interesting thing about where we gapped down and then traded to was that it was the perfect 1.272% fib retracement from the April to May down move and I mean nearly to the absolute penny. It was enough to stop the down move for the time being, but with the weekly 100 sma not too far away any longer and also close to the 1.618% retracement on the daily of this bearish trend, it make sense to go test it. The $158.50 level area will try to act as support.
As I stated before, the best would have been to get in when we rejected fading the gap with a 1st target of $159 or so (probably would have taken partial profit on the close Friday). But an acceptable alternative would be to set a stop limit sell under the relative low~ which is what I am doing.
**DIS swing short**
Stop limit sell
Stop: $158.28
Limit sell: $158.75
1st target: $150.50
2nd target: $145.80
I oftentimes adjust additional targets and/or just take profit depending on what price action does. ive been analyzing and backtesting some charts.
Disney's Elliott, just a probable scratch one not completed yet Do not take these estimates seriously, some of these so called analyst have a success rate of <50 % ! Non the less something to consider.
- Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walt Disney in the last 3 months. The average price target is $205.43 with a high forecast of $263.00 and a low forecast of $172.00. The average price target represents a 30.61% change from the last price of $157.28.
DIS'S Stochastic oscillator isn't giving us the love we need YETNot this moment of writing this idea to say the least . We need some love from this indicator to signal a reversal
non is given so far. We do no need it to happen right a way it could be lagging, but non the less it helps allot
if the majority of indicators are giving the same signals not just one or two.
DIS' 2ed highest volume since Covid's low move a head up/down62 Million shares mark the 2ed highest volume since Covid's crash. We shall see what happen, technically we could go down
further more. I am long with few calls 211126 162.5 . Whether we go further down a bit more just like the charts below
or no we will go up eventfully. I made a mistake by buying early during OPEX week, we shall see what happen.
What do you think is coming next on DIS? Today we will define all the relevant levels on Disney either for bullish or bearish scenarios.
After the gap on the 11th of November , the price kept falling, and now it's a good time to think about reversal areas or the following bearish targets
My main conclusion right now is that we are on a Flag ABC pattern, which means that we may see content with the cloned channel (yellow lines), which makes convergence with the previous ATH in November 2019. That's a level that we should see bullish pressure to keep our bullish thesis valid.
However , if the price breaks that level and reaches 146.00, I will think that my bullish view is not valid anymore, and I would think about bearish targets on the next support level at 130.00
Despite the specific resolution, I think the current situation may be interesting to trade after we have a clear formation. Once we have structures with more than 250 days, it's pretty easy to look into the past for similar conditions and develop consistent setups based on a statistical perspective.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view and ideas in the comment box.