Disney | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ! LONG SETUPAs you know, Disney World is getting ready for the holiday tour season, and an influx of guests at levels not seen in two years.
Recently, the media titan's theme parks have been a positive aspect of its financial performance. The parks, entertainment, and products segment stunned analysts by returning to profitability two quarters ago, and park revenues virtually tripled in the quarter ended Oct. 2. There may have been some obstacles along the way, but the House of Mickey is making sure Disney World is all set to surge in business. Let's see what changes this week.
Residents of California must have heard the explosions coming from Disney's Hollywood Studios shortly afternoon on Sunday. It was just the sound of The Indiana Jones Epic Stunt Spectacular returning to the park for the first time since the resort closed from the pandemic in mid-March 2020. Due to quarantine issues and staffing difficulties, the corporation has not hurried to resume live shows since the park reopened. Nevertheless, they are slowly returning to the resort's four closed theme parks, and the Indiana Jones-themed extravaganza is a pretty big deal given the show's large capacity. If your objective is to keep the seasonally increasing crowd of visitors scattered throughout the park complex, you'll want to make sure they have something to do.
Another welcome development this weekend was the return of streetcars to the parking lot. Streetcars play an important role in moving guests from the huge parking lots to the entrance gates. Since most guests are walking through the gates, they will no doubt be glad to be spared the long walks to and from their cars.
In addition, Disney World will expand its hours of operation slightly over the next two weeks. Usually, guests staying at fine Disney resorts can get into the park 30 minutes before the official opening. During the holiday season, they will be able to get into the park a full hour earlier. This will help reduce early traffic at the turnstiles, which is certainly a good thing.
This is the first holiday season for Disney World with Genie, Genie+ and Lightning Lane+, which the company launched two months ago. The new park optimization app and the more contentious replacement of the old FastPass system at a premium price show that Disney is raising the bar when it comes to using machine learning to deliver more personalized recommendations.
Guests can use Genie for free but must pay $15 a day for access to Genie+, which permits booking return windows for access to the Lightning Lane expedited queues that replaced the old FastPass system. And for the two attractions in each of the complex's four parks that require the longest wait times, Disney has added so-called Lightning Lane+ -- guests can pay an additional fee for one-time access to one of these expedited queues.
Over the next two weeks, however, Disney will move several attractions from the Lightning Lane+ system to the Genie+ platform. It may seem like Disney is losing money by doing this at the busiest time of the year, but the fuss makes sense. Genie+ has been criticized by novice users who feel the key return windows fill up quickly. Adding some Lighting Lane+ attractions to the Genie+ options will help boost supply at a time when demand is skyrocketing.
Four weeks ago, Disney World suspended the sale of most annual passes to new customers. It was a rather unexpected move for Florida, but it's a strategy that has been used for years at Disneyland in California.
Annual pass holders are some of the biggest fans of the resort, but they also pay $1 to $4 a day for year-round access. This is in stark contrast to the high prices guests who buy single-day tickets have to pay. Disney also recently made changes to the annual pass system, specifically adding more blackout dates during peak periods for less expensive options. The suspension of annual pass sales -- and the introduction of additional restrictions on when they can be used -- will cause Disney World's average revenue per guest this season to be much higher than in previous years.
The unpleasant backdrop to all of this is that cases of COVID-19 are on the rise again in Florida, across the country, and the planet. The omicron variant is highly virulent, even among people who have been fully vaccinated.
Disney World is not about to close, however. The company has already learned how to deal with fluctuating COVID-19 cases since it reopened last July. It has precautions and measures it can take, which tend to work, allowing it to operate safely in the new normal. Guests will still come, and Disney, as a leading company in the entertainment industry, knows - the show must go on.
Disney
Disney at bottom of channel $DIS in channel and is one of the only tickers I’m watching as of now. Still see lots of value.
Sitting at area of high confluence just below bottom of trend line and $145.80 support.
Great risk to reward play… .Risk .30 cents for $4 to top of channel IF the market can bounce.
This morning we rejected top of supply at 147.50 so we need this to reclaim supply for anything bullish really.
Going to start light with some $150 calls with my stop a close below premarket low 145.30
Disney December $164 WISHThis stock fell pretty hard, so a bounce back could happen. How high will it go.. I have no idea.
Taking a look at some trends and numbers, I think buying Friday might be the move.
Long term, I like this stock at $230 by next year. Short term, I like this stock around $160. I've marked some key numbers, if we do happen to see a turn around.
Walt Disney Company (The). Watch this ticker closely !-Stats: Over the next 52 weeks, The Walt Disney Co
has on average historically risen by 14.06% based
on the past 49 years of stock performance.
- The Walt Disney Co has risen in 31 of those 49
years over the subsequent 52 week period,
corresponding to a historical accuracy of 63.27%
-Too many lines converging in this area
could/might act as support, earning
were disappointing so we might go down
more.
DIS setup with potential magic mountain profitsThere is a wolfe wave setup on thed daily time frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 189 with potential psych 200 tgt. These targets are expected before March 10, 2021.
DIS bottom into Seasonal Strength December and JanuaryThere is a daily wolfe wave setup in DIS. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 186 which is expected to reach this price target before March 24 (apex).
Disney is ready for the reversal, buy the dip $DISIt hit the floor along with SPY last week and with the rising 5 day and 20 trend about to reverse. This will pop back up really soon. RSI 39 with 50 resistance that it needs to break, momentum is currently on its side. Current support at $148. Buy and keep adding on any dips you see. This is a big swing position. $DIS
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$DIS - fresh countHere is a semi revised count for the house of mouse.
From covid lows, there is a pretty clean 5 wave move in progress, and wave 3 can be subdivided into 5 waves as well. There is a potential 20% move (3.73:1 RR) here with a stop below the 50% fib at 139. The daily RSI is still oversold and macd is curling up. Both could still reverse however if market continues to act up, however tapering fears will not effect disney the same way it will affect small cap growth names.
Shares are the safest option, but the 200c for next year would be a sweet play as well. I'm currently holding one of those but may get more.
The move is invalidated below 127.82.
DIS, getting close to a trough somewhere close by.These analyst opinion is something to consider nothing more nothing less, don't you go relying on it or making your investments solely on it.
-Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walt Disney in the last 3 months. The average price target is $205.43 with a high forecast of $263.00 and a low forecast of $172.00. The average price target represents a 30.65% change from the last price of $157.24.
$DIS - Disney Stock Bearish trend with a $96 PTThe major trend line dates back since 2009. stock looks like it has continuing to sell off. Will not buy at current level. Wait for $96 aas it sits on major supports and trend line. With the COVID uncertainty, It looks like fundamentally, leisure stocks like Disney will continue to sell off.
Walt Disney, will we reach the line.Disney+, as of Oct 2, 2021, had 118.1 million paid subscribers, rising 60% from the year-ago quarter. The average monthly revenue per paid subscriber for Disney+ was $4.12, decreasing 9% year over year due to a higher mix of Disney+ Hotstar subscribers in the current quarter than the prior-year quarter.
Disney's Elliott, just a probable scratch one not completed yet Do not take these estimates seriously, some of these so called analyst have a success rate of <50 % ! Non the less something to consider.
- Based on 23 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walt Disney in the last 3 months. The average price target is $205.43 with a high forecast of $263.00 and a low forecast of $172.00. The average price target represents a 30.61% change from the last price of $157.28.