Disney
Disney Reopening - DIS As expected, yesterdays FED meeting advised us nothing that we didn't already expect. Rates are unchanged and stimulus still pouring in. That being said, unless we see the 2nd wave of the virus or any other unprecedented events that 2020 keeps hurling at us, I would expect the market to continue to recover. Most stocks are completely oversold on the RSI so a pullback is expected around the market.
Checking in with Disney:
Disney is planning on reopening several parks, resorts, properties all in phases. The 2nd week of July seems to have the majority of all their parks open including Disneyland, CA and Disneyworld in Orlando, FL.
TA:
We just got a bounce on the 200 MA for Disney at $122, if this holds support, we're looking at our target of $137. A break below is this and we're watching levels of $116 followed by $107.
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DIS MovementThe Walt Disney Company (DIS) has been moving in a downward trend since early June, following new Coronavirus case concerns in Florida. The stock recently saw a nice rise in price following an announcement that the NBA would be finishing its season with Disney as the host in Orlando. Uncertainty about these plans has dragged the stock down, with a new development that 16 NBA players had tested positive after beginning training in the facilities. Despite this, DIS has been forming a nice falling wedge pattern, respecting a trend support line that has been followed since mid-March, and may look to breakout upwards. However, DIS may also see a downward breakout should any new developments regarding the future of the parks or the partnership with the NBA surface.
$DIS At Bottom Of Ascending Channel. Looking To Retest The Top.Disney is consolidating at the bottom of it's channel. It's been in consolidation for a week now and it's ready for a move to the top.
It has now formed a bullish pennant and has been tethering a breakout of consolidation.
If you look closely at the bullish pennant you'll see the recent price movements hinting that $DIS will soon breakout of the flag.
With the news of Disney finally expanding to 8 more countries very soon + the reopening of many Disney studios & parks.
This stock is in a good position to rise.
Both the technicals and fundamentals validate a move up.
On average a rise to the top of a channel takes 3 days and consolidation about about a week. Disney is ripe for a breakout as it has been consolidating for a week and there is now catalyst to initiate a move.
DISNEY trading outlookDisney+ just announced that they will open streaming service in 8 more countries on September 15th. The chart shows the price between 50 and 200 SMA's.
A buy zone formed for better risk -reward. Final confirmation is the break of the 200SMA and back above 61.8%.
Please support the idea and share your thoughts on DISNEY!
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
DISNEY Technical Analysis ConsiderationsThe Idea is to go long, but wait to see if the trendline will be tested one more time.
Fundamental News
Disney — An analyst at Wells Fargo hiked his price target on Disney to $118 per share from $107 a share. The analyst maintained his “equal weight” rating on the stock, however, noting “we remain more pessimistic than most on the potential length and depth of the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on Parks operations + Studio production.”
Disney target 150MY price target for Disney would be 155- 160 .
but i'd suggest my followers to take their profits at 150 , cause the price action could get a lot choppier from there on
Hold, Go Long if Parks Successfully OpenTechnicals:
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$117 is approximately the new support level, which also correlates to around a 15% price correction from Q1 high's. Prices appear to be consolidating around this level with no significant breakthrough.
Fundamentals:
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While Disney benefited from the recent surge in streaming, its parks and products segment (accounting for ~25%) has significantly lost revenue. Data on Disney's parks re-opening performance will dictate medium term pricing as investors look toward Disney's Q4 earnings.
www.statista.com
Strategy:
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Hold current shares and watch for a horizontal pull across the short term, purchasing if price remains around $117 in conjunction with long term upward signals.
COVID lingering Sets $DIS Back; Strong SHORT for interimWhile positive news continues to brew for Disney, the continued lingering of the COVID-19 pandemic has prevented its stock from being able to test, climb, and surpass the 120/share mark. Without further news of re-openings to come, expect $DIS to continue to struggle; although, it probably will avoid "Bottoming out" too badly. That said, a second-wave, or spike, in COVID outbreak could prevent Disney from getting back on track anywhere near as quickly as it had hoped.
With social distancing guidelines expected to affect park-goers too, it might be a while before people are flocking to the beloved Mouse's parks once again. While there was a strong buying window for $DIS approx. 2-wks ago, it is now back into range of being a strong short opportunity, or a great point to sell off and forget about it. Disney has an uphill battle that is going to be very tough, and while it will rebound, the time frame continues to be one of such indefinite nature that other investments may be the way to go...That is, if capitalizing on "COVID CORRECTION SEASON" is one of your personal investing goals.