Disney
Walt Disney Company stock longs at demand levelWhen trading supply and demand imbalances we don’t really need any indicator or add-on tools to tell us how and when to place a trade. Let’s take a look at Walt Disney Company stock #DIS using supply and demand imbalances as technical analysis without a single indicator dragged on the chart, just price action and impulses.
See below a monthly chart for Walt Disney Company stock #DIS trading in New York Stock Exchange. Disney company has broken all time highs around $122 per share a month ago, a very strong impulse has been created which is being in the process of create a new demand imbalance. The big picture trend is bullish, Walt Disney company is in a clear uptrend, only longs at new demand imbalances are allowed. Why should we need to add all kind of indicators like Bollinger Bands, CCI, RSI, MACD and exponential moving averages to make a trading decision when price action is telling us that all we can do is go long. But where can we go long, a new demand levels. This attached chart for Walt Disney Company stock represents a monthly chart, each candlestick is a month of time. It’s pretty clear that the whole move started around $113 per share, that’s where we would be interested to trade if the trend is still bullish by the time price revisits the impulse.
This is a very simple way of how to trade stocks, we must wait for the imbalance to be created and then wait again for price to pullback to the origin of the move. www.set-and-forget.com
DISNEY: How good are you at 'prediction'? (8th May 2019)This chart of DISNEY is specially for people who like 'predictions' or trying to predict market moves. But everybody is invited to guess where price is going in the one-week period after 8th May 2019. Note what happens at or around earnings release dates. I've put vertical lines on the chart to make earnings events easier to see.
Okay - I'll stick my neck out and estimate that price is gonna go south. Ooops! Everybody knows my crystal ball is broken!
So for those who believe in 'prediction' just have a go at this one. LOL. Don't be shy! For those involved in fundamental analysis, there are reputable sites that will give projected fundamental data and EPS data etc.
$AMZN Analysis: Post-Disney+ News Amazon stock remained largely unscathed by news of Disney+ releasing at the end of this year, despite the challenge to its Prime Video service. The tech giant also hit the headlines late this week when the retail industry issued forceful responses to the challenge from Jeff Bezos to its competitors to “match our employee benefits and our $15 minimum wage”. Walmart, Macy’s and eBay CEOs each fired back with responses comprising pointed barbs asking Bezos to pay his taxes and to stop competing with his sellers.
AMZN investors remained undaunted, with the stock having broken above a bull flag and continuing to consolidate just under the $1850 resistance zone.
$DIS Thoughts Disney stock surged 10% on Friday, on its official unveiling of Disney+, a video streaming service. Disney+ will be available from Nov 12 for $6.99 a month or $69.99 a year. $4 less than Netflix’s most popular plan, this is a price point at which Disney hopes it can undercut Netflix – and other competitors – in what has become an increasingly crowded field.
Wall Street’s reaction to the announcement suggests that old media’s malaise may be slowly lifting. Investors may finally be willing to treat entertainment companies the same as tech companies, i.e. accepting short-term losses in exchange for long-term growth. Disney repriced sharply upwards despite announcing that its new streaming services, Disney+ and ESPN+, will be loss-making for the next half a decade; profitability is not expected till 2023-24.
Technically, the stock has broken out of a huge ascending triangle dating back to early 2016, to all-time highs. Having gapped up so violently, and into untrammelled territory, there is little meaningful to say from a technical perspective, other than to note that the move leaves: (i) the stock technically overbought; and (ii) a huge gap for the stock to eventually close. $120 should now act as solid support.
DISNEY+ SHORT - Always short the hype!Disney had a preview for Disney+ while I am personally impressed with what they will be doing there stock SURGED way overvalued for a service that isn't coming out till November. Get ready for a pullback! If you want to go long wait for the pullback then go long!
Weekly ascending triangle on Disney.DIS (Disney) is currently within a weekly ascending triangle pattern. We've tested the flat-line of resistance around 120 three times, and we've tested the rising line of support about six times and buyers have shown up to defend it each and every time. It is now trading above the 50/100/200 weekly moving averages, and it appears it wants to test that flat resistance level around 120 again. I'm watching for a potential break up out of this ascending triangle pattern into a new price discovery phase.
Moving average guide (All Weekly for this post):
50 weekly moving average in Green.
100 weekly moving average in Yellow.
200 weekly moving average in Red.
-This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and own due-diligence before investing and trading, as for investing and trading comes with high amounts of risk. I am not liable for any incurred losses or financial distress.
WALT DISNEY - Sell OpportunityThe price is at the resistance zone between 115.00 and 116.00 levels. We get a reversal candlestick pattern which can be used for opening sell positions. If the price drops below the low price of this signal candle, it will be a confirmation of the further downward movement. The targets for the sellers should be 112.00 and 109.00 levels.
RSI is going to confirm the price reversal from the resistance zone. MACD and DMI still support the upward movement, but for getting additional signal confirming the strength of buyers, the price will have to move above the high of the signal candle and stay above the resistance zone.
Long $DISGoing long on Disney based on a few factors:
Launching their own streaming service
Avengers Endgame at the end of this month
Earnings on May 8th
Ascending triangle shown on chart
I think that based on those factors we'll see a retest and break of $120, afterwards we'll see price discovery in the upwards direction.
Long DISGoing long on Disney due to several factors:
Disney streaming service launching April 11th
Captain Marvel and Avengers Endgame revenue
May 8th Earnings
Ascending triangle as shown in chart
I think we'll break the all time high of $120 based on these factors, which will then lead to an upwards price discovery.
UPDATE: Target for Disney - $170, perfect stormWARNING: Investing in single equities comes with balance sheet risk, if you want to invest in single equities make sure you understand the volatility of the asset, catalysts, your portfolio is in some way diversified and you have strong risk management.
Disney a Superhero?Disney penned a deal today with Hulu to create 4 Animated Marvel superhero series! The Megalodon is giving us a buy on the technical side!
The Megalodon indicator uses an artificial intelligence, combined with data from over 500 buy setups, and over 2000 indicators to produce extremely accurate buy signals on any and all asset classes! Send me a message if you would like to try it for yourself!
Looking GREAT!Keeping an eye on Disney as a buy right now. Getting those rights to Marvel and the movies and new park possibilities is fundamentally beautiful as a reason for them to just keep profiting. People love Disneyland. Why not Marvel-land!? Make a freaking Avenger-land and we'll rake in the profit from all the revenue.
Disney 2019 Trading Range? The story around Disney seems to be particularly compelling to investors in 2019. It is not suffering the same kind of pull back we saw in FAANG stocks, becuase it trades at 15 times earnings and has interesting growth prospects. It has traded sideways, mostly, since jumping up to the $100 range in January of 2015.
Bullish case : The coming streaming service generates 30 million subscribers inside of 3 years, Disney parks continuing to print money (now including Shanghai Resort Park), Marvel & Star Wars continue to print money, Margins don't decrease too fast on TV business
Bear Case : Streaming Service can't get users from Netflix, Recession hits park businesses, Margins on TV business deteriorate, Larger tech stock bubble brings down good with the bad.
A trading range of $102-$130 seems possible.
DISNEY Buy IdeaDISNEY Buy Idea @ Monthly Demand Zone (100.08 - 96.50)
Buy Limit: 100.25
Stop Loss: 95.68
Take Profit: 110.80
Risk Management = 0.01/$100
Recommended Leverage not to exceed 1:50
Recommended Risk Ratio 1:1.5 – 1:3
Close partially the contract once it reaches 50% of profit, Move stop loss over the entry level
Close partially the contract once it reaches 80% of the profit