The Walt Disney Analysis: Looking at the 3-Day Timeframe 🐭The Walt Disney Company NYSE:DIS , a subject of much discussion due to its corporate policies, is under our lens today. On the grand scale, specifically the 3-day timeframe, we observed the conclusion of Wave (4) with the onset of the pandemic, followed by the completion of the first cycle at $203. Currently, we seem to be finalizing a significant Wave II - the overarching Wave II in this case.
🔎 A closer look suggests a clear 5-wave structure downwards towards our Wave (A). Considering this, it seems to align with a zigzag pattern. Consequently, we should now expect a 3-wave structure leading to Wave (B). This Wave (B) is anticipated to fall between 61.8% and 78.6%. Given that the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from Wave 5 to Wave (A) precisely aligns with our subordinate Wave 4, we presume that's where our Wave A will be situated.
📉 Following this, we expect the emergence a Wave C forming a zigzag pattern. This would indicate a significant drop below the $80 level, which has been the level for both Wave (4) and Wave (A) so far.
Disney
IGNORE THE FUD, BUY $DISThe entertainment industry giant, NYSE:DIS , has recently been the talk of the town with many interesting developments. It appears that the stock has already been priced in and is currently at its lowest point. This could be an excellent opportunity for investors to seize the moment and invest in a company with a proven track record of success. Don't miss out on the potential gains that could come with investing in NYSE:DIS today.
Navigating Disney's Growth: A Bullish Outlook for Investors
The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) has recently faced headwinds, witnessing a dip to its lowest level since 2014. However, astute investors may find silver linings in the company's transformative journey under the leadership of CEO Bob Iger, setting the stage for a potential resurgence. This idea delves into Disney's recent struggles, the strategic initiatives undertaken by Iger, and the compelling reasons why the entertainment giant could be a lucrative long-term investment.
1. Analyzing Disney's Recent Performance: A Temporary Setback
Disney's stock performance in 2023 raised eyebrows as it lagged behind the S&P 500 by a significant margin. The company faced challenges from disappointing box office releases, streaming business losses, and a proxy battle with activist investor Nelson Peltz. However, this setback is not an isolated event; Disney's underperformance extends over three, five, and ten years. This trend prompts investors to question the sustainability of the iconic brand's appeal in a rapidly evolving entertainment landscape.
2. Bob Iger's Vision: Transforming Disney for the Future:
Since Bob Iger's return as CEO in late 2022, he has spearheaded a series of strategic initiatives to reshape Disney's trajectory. This includes substantial cost-cutting measures, a renewed focus on theme parks, and a shift from aggressive streaming pursuits to prioritizing profitability. Iger's restructuring efforts, including the divisional reorganization and potential divestment of linear TV assets, reflect a departure from his predecessor's approach, emphasizing streaming.
3. Streaming Business: A Key Turning Point:
Iger's commitment to reaching breakeven in Disney's streaming business by the end of the fiscal year is a pivotal milestone. If successful, it marks a significant reversal from perennial losses, potentially transforming the streaming segment into a net contributor by 2025. The impending launch of a direct-to-consumer platform for ESPN further highlights Disney's adaptability to evolving consumer preferences.
4. Financial Outlook: Projected Earnings and Cost-Cutting Measures:
Disney's proactive approach to cost-cutting, with an expanded target of $7.5 billion in structural savings, is a positive signal for investors. The forecasted growth of 17.3% and 19.9% in earnings per share for fiscal years 2024 and 2025, respectively, aligns with Iger's commitment to enhancing shareholder value. These measures, if executed successfully, could lead to improved earnings and a potential reevaluation of the company's valuation multiples.
5. Technical Analysis: Positive Signs for Investors:
Disney's stock is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range but has started to lose downward momentum. This suggests that while investors may have pushed the price lower, there are indications that sentiment is turning positive. The stock's position above its 200-day simple moving average adds further credibility to a potential upward trajectory.
6. Conclusion: A Bullish Forecast for Disney in 2025
Despite recent challenges, Disney's strategic repositioning under Bob Iger offers a compelling narrative for long-term investors. If the company successfully navigates its streaming business to profitability, achieves targeted cost cuts, and delivers blockbuster releases by 2025, it could witness an expansion in valuation multiples. With a current Street-high target price of $120, representing a 32% upside, and consensus estimates predicting robust earnings growth, Disney appears poised for a bullish revival.
In conclusion, while past performance may have left investors cautious, the winds of change blowing through Disney, coupled with positive technical indicators, suggest that 2025 could be a turning point for the entertainment giant.
Long Term Short Trade Setup on DisneyAfter Elon's "Go F yourself" to woke blackmail con-artist and hypocritical arrogant prick Bob Iger, I really was just curious how Disney was actually doing from a purely technical perspective.
Disney's chart is looking shockingly bearish long-term. Shorter term (like over the next several weeks) it does look like we will hit $100+ before collapsing further, but once that price is hit, it looks like a Disney-like happy ending is NOT in store here unless something big changes fast. And so far Bob Iger and co. have proven to the public that they are actually hell-bent on destroying the company while attempting to make it look as though they have the best interest of the public in mind. This type of narrative, as you know, has been played on repeat ad-nauseam by lame stream legacy media since the Covid plandemic. To be frank, it's nothing more than pure gaslighting. But will it work? In some cases, yes. In other cases, maybe, In Disney's case, the charts are saying no. Actually, the charts are saying "HELL NO"!
For the sake of brevity, I will not go into everything I am seeing on this chart. I really only want to highlight some of the most important indicators which really make up less than 20% of the bearish indicators that I have spotted overall.
First of all, on the main chart I am posting you will see one red ascending trendline which started in 2009. If you have been following me for any length of time, you'll know that I have traced this same trendline on many of the chart (if not most) of our predominantly indicative macro-market leaders (i.e. - SPY, DJI, Nasdaq, DXY, FAANG stocks, energy, oil, regional banks, etc.). This trendline, IMO, is the predominant indication showing whether a stock remains a part of the secular bull market, which by the way, we have never exited since 2009, not even the COVID glitch in the matrix could take us there. Except until now. Enter Disney.
For the first time, not that I follow the rigged U.S. stock market that closely, a major company has dipped below that all important trendline. And it wasn't simply a dip of the toes in the water type of drop. No sir. It looks like Disney has preformed a canonball splash of a 600 pound sumo wrestler. It has absolutely decimated any magical hope of those fairy tale dreamers that may insanely still be holding for the storybook ending here and it looks as though it will continue to do so.
Could Disney be a leading indicator of what will happen to the rest of the companies who follow the same strategy as Disney? I think it may and so it is worth adding to your list of observation.
Now, zooming in to the shorter-term perspective, you will note that we have been moving up most-recently. Yes, the market can be irrational as I have observed and alluded to in my post numerous time before. But here we are. And actually, Disney is not looking bad for a short-term long trade to around the $100-$104 price target. But after that? I would want to short the sh** out of this thing. Longer term target down would be anywhere from $67-$60 somewhere around mid-2024.
May all of your SHORT dreams come true!
Stewdamus
Looking Ahead to the 4th Quarter for $DISNYSE:DIS has been working on a bottom for a long time. The stock has moved up recently due to heavy buying of Dow components for the DIA and other ETFs which require Dow components.
Many Families are making Disney Resorts a holiday location this year.
The stock now faces stronger bottom completion resistance from the 2nd quarterly report, which sent the stock moving down further until this October.
The volume is very low recently, which is partly due to the holiday but also warns of weakening buyer activity at this price level.
However, there was Dark Pool accumulation in the base of the bottom, along with some Pro Trader activity evident in the candlestick and technical indicator patterns. This range now provides moderate to strong support.
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DIS before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Disney (NYSE: DIS) to Launch Its Own NFT PlatformThe NFT trend shows no signs of slowing down. The Walt Disney Company, has teamed up with well-known developer Dapper Labs to introduce the Disney Pinnacle NFT platform.
This platform will feature digital collectibles based on icons stored on the Flow blockchain. The collection is set to include digital versions of souvenirs available in Disney theme parks, encompassing characters from “Toy Story,” “Star Wars,” “Mickey Mouse,” and various Disney princesses.
As a result, fans of Disney and Pixar animations can enrich their collections with tokenized versions of physical collectible pins. These NFTs will be available not just for buying and selling but also for exchanging with other collectors to acquire missing pieces. This platform will digitally assemble and display a century's worth of animated magic in one marketplace.
Designed primarily for mobile devices, Disney Pinnacle also has plans for a future desktop version. The app is slated for release in the App Store for iOS and Google Play Store for Android by the end of the year. The platform is prepared to welcome clients, having already launched a pre-order list. Users will be gradually introduced to the marketplace's features through test sales, although the date for the public release is yet to be determined.
Disney representatives have not disclosed specific details about the initial pricing of NFTs on the platform in response to subscriber queries. However, speculation suggests that the pricing will align with the current resale value of the physical pins on online auction sites, with actual prices likely influenced by market demand.
Dapper Labs, the developer behind the marketplace, is already renowned in the crypto community for creating the cult-favorite game CryptoKitties and NBA Top Shot – a platform for selling memorable NBA game moments as non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
Disney's venture into establishing its own NFT platform marks another step in its use of decentralized technologies. Previously, we've seen how the company brought its characters to life in virtual reality. For this purpose, Disney created its own Metaverse and released an NFT collection called “Golden Moments”, available for purchase in a virtual store on the Obsess platform.
The official launch of Disney's digital pins is likely to align with the debut of the Disney Metaverse World.
Technical Analysist
Price Momentum
DIS is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Mickey Mouse is UPSIDE-DOWN!Here on the Daily Chart we have The Walt Disney Stock. Price has been outlining what looks to be a possible Inverted Head and Shoulders!
The "Neckline" @ 86.28 has been tested twice, once on Sept. 15th after the creation of the first "Shoulder" and again on Oct. 17th after the creation of the "Head". Now since we have the creation of the second "Shoulder" or the Low that did not surpass the Low of the "Head", I suspect price will make a trip back up to test the "Neckline" one more time before possibly giving us a Bullish Break to go higher!!
As added confirmation, My DSR is flattening and and the second "Shoulder" was terminated by my Fib'd Kill Zone giving this a high chance of reversing!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If price Breaks and Closes below 79.23, pattern is INVALIDATED
*If price Breaks and Closes above 86.28, price action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
Disney Raises Cost-Cutting Target To $7.5 Billion Disney (DIS) reported fiscal fourth quarter earnings after the bell on Wednesday that beat expectations as the company increased its annual cost cutting goal to $7.5 billion, up from the previous $5.5 billion set in February. That includes a $4.5 billion annualized cut to content spending, up from the prior $3 billion.
The company's streaming figures came in much strong than expected with nearly 7 million core Disney+ net additions, compared to consensus calls of 2.68 million.
Streaming losses narrowed to $387 million from a loss of $1.41 billion in the prior year period after the company raised streaming prices for the second time this year, upping the monthly price of its ad-free Disney+ and Hulu plans by more than 20%.
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DIS
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Alexandra Canal
Alexandra Canal·Senior Reporter
Wed, November 8, 2023 at 10:05 PM GMT+1
In this article:
DIS
Disney (DIS) reported fiscal fourth quarter earnings after the bell on Wednesday that beat expectations as the company increased its annual cost cutting goal to $7.5 billion, up from the previous $5.5 billion set in February. That includes a $4.5 billion annualized cut to content spending, up from the prior $3 billion.
The company's streaming figures came in much strong than expected with nearly 7 million core Disney+ net additions, compared to consensus calls of 2.68 million.
Streaming losses narrowed to $387 million from a loss of $1.41 billion in the prior year period after the company raised streaming prices for the second time this year, upping the monthly price of its ad-free Disney+ and Hulu plans by more than 20%.
Analysts polled by Bloomberg had expected direct-to-consumer losses to mount to $454 million in the quarter. The company previously reported a loss of $512 million in Q3, a $659 million loss in Q2 and a $1.1 billion loss in Q1.
The results follow the official reveal of Disney's next CFO and commitment to purchase Comcast's 33% stake in Hulu.
On the earnings call, the company said it expects free cash flow to balloon to $8 billion in full-year 2024, assisted by lower content spend. Disney expects to spend $25 billion on content next year versus the $27 billion spent in full-year 2023.
It will also recommend a dividend by the end of the calendar year. Shares climbed almost 4% in pre-market trading following the results.
Adjusted earnings of $0.82 a share beat expectations of $0.69 per share and was more than double the prior-year period's earnings per share of $0.30. Revenue, meanwhile, slightly missed estimates of $21.43 billion to hit $21.24 billion, up 5% compared to the prior-year quarter's $20.15 billion.
Wednesday's results mark the first time the media giant delivered earnings under its new reporting structure after CEO Bob Iger reorganized the company into three core business segments: Disney Entertainment, which includes its entire media and streaming portfolio; Experiences, which encompasses the parks business; and Sports, which included ESPN networks and ESPN+.
Here's how those individual segments performed in the quarter versus Wall Street consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:
Entertainment revenue: $9.52 billion versus $9.77 billion expected
Sports revenue: $3.91 billion versus $3.89 billion expected
Experiences revenue: $8.16 billion versus $8.20 billion expected
Disney's stock has struggled, down about 3% since the start of the year and down 5% since Iger's return.
Disney's Experiences division, which includes its parks, cruise lines and consumer products, saw revenue leap 13% year-over-year in the quarter to hit $8.16 billion. Operating income came in at $1.76 billion, below estimates of $1.87 billion but 30% above Q4 2022's $1.34 billion total.
The company said lower results at its domestic parks and resorts stemmed from a decrease at Walt Disney World Resort due to inflation and lower guest spending.
Disney plans to invest $60 billion into its theme parks business over the next 10 years. Most of its full-year 2024 domestic parks growth will be in the second half of the year.
Price Momentum
DIS is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price lower, and the stock still appears to have downward momentum.
Shifting Sentiment in DIS Ahead of Earnings?NYSE:DIS stock has struggled this year. However, Accumulation/Distribution on this daily chart shows accumulation over the past several weeks. This is a "shift of sentiment" pattern indicating a better earnings report is likely this time.
The sideways trend is compressing and has consistent lows and highs, a common pattern for accumulation. When Accumulation appears well ahead of an earnings report, it usually (but not always) indicates improvement in fundamentals and establishes a base price for the improvement.
DIS is a target for HFTs since it's a household name stock that gets a lot of attention in the news.
Disney $dis #dis Back in our Buy zone.The gift that just keep giving. We laid out this plan Months ago and even first talked about it being something to watch for last year. Ever since it became fully actionable it has continued to do exactly as we have planned and so far, so good, we just keep buying low and selling/trimming higher.
In the bigger picture i still say buyers should be highly considering keeping some shares sub$100 and especially sub $90 for long term holds/investments.
These sub $85 and even better sub $80 positions may someday seem like a GIFT for the future of your portfolio's.
Don't miss out and squander this opportunity.
WALT DISNEY: Falling Wedge breaking out.Walt Disney turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 61.58, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 21.285) as it crossed over the Falling Wedge pattern that has been guiding the market downwards since the start of the year. The final Resistance to break is the 1D MA100, which hasn't been crossed since May 11th. If it does, we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 92.50), which is where the next critical Resistance sits at, the 1D MA200.
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"Disney's Magical Recovery: Analyzing the Bullish MomentumDisney (NYSE: DIS): A Bullish Trend Unfolds
Disney (NYSE: DIS) is currently riding a bullish wave. The stock's recent strong performance is driven by several factors, including robust streaming growth through Disney+, successful theme park reopenings, and a promising content pipeline. Additionally, the company's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and its strong brand recognition continue to attract investors. Technical indicators suggest a positive sentiment, making DIS an enticing choice for those eyeing potential gains in the entertainment sector.