WALT DISNEY: Falling Wedge breaking out.Walt Disney turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 61.58, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 21.285) as it crossed over the Falling Wedge pattern that has been guiding the market downwards since the start of the year. The final Resistance to break is the 1D MA100, which hasn't been crossed since May 11th. If it does, we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 92.50), which is where the next critical Resistance sits at, the 1D MA200.
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Disney
"Disney's Magical Recovery: Analyzing the Bullish MomentumDisney (NYSE: DIS): A Bullish Trend Unfolds
Disney (NYSE: DIS) is currently riding a bullish wave. The stock's recent strong performance is driven by several factors, including robust streaming growth through Disney+, successful theme park reopenings, and a promising content pipeline. Additionally, the company's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and its strong brand recognition continue to attract investors. Technical indicators suggest a positive sentiment, making DIS an enticing choice for those eyeing potential gains in the entertainment sector.
Disney $Dis #Dis DisneyHere is an even more aggressive and dramatic downward channel idea and still I say we are at least due for a decent bounce. Especially if trading options etc.
Just a tighter trendline down and lower top goal then prior chart given.
I see some BEARS come out and wanted to give and even more Bearish idea and view, but still not ready to focus on SUB $78 support.
We trade the charts until they give us something else to focus on for the trade.
DisneyThis continues to look like a great LONG and or time to DCA etc.
Talk about generational opportunities.
Unless your certain its going to $0. Its looking rather tasty RIGHT HERE.
I Do think more manipulation comes this year for markets and possibly just Disney. BUT for now i'll play this LONG and IF we go much lower i will begin agressive DCA and plan LONG TERM hold if needed.
I would have NO SHOCK to see Disney 1x from here within a few months.
Worst case 6-18 IMO
Only time will tell.
Disney: Bears are back! 🐻After an optimistic start to the first half of September, the Disney share price has been dragged lower. This development is in line with our expectations, as the price should fall to the green target zone between $73.84 and $54.04 in order to place the low of the green wave (II) there. Only then should there be a rebound that can be capitalised on with long positions opened in the green zone. An alternative would be for the price to break above the resistance at $103.77. In this case, which we give a 34% probability, the low would be the one already placed with green wave alt.(ii)
Disney (DIS) -> Major Reversal AheadMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Disney.
At the moment Disney stock is retesting a major previous monthly support level from which we already rejected multiple times towards the upside in the past.
Considering that market structure on the lower timeframes is still bearish though I am just waiting for more bullish price action before I think we will see a major bullish impulse.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
PROFIT: Finding TRADES on RED WEEKSHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
The markets are trading in the red and it can be hard to spot good trading opportunities during bloodbaths. On the charts, we're looking at:
CHEWY NYSE:CHWY
Spot position, anticipating trading back up towards the gap. +17% , low risk high reward trade
WALT DISNEY NYSE:DIS
Spot accumulation, potential for +153% increase. Very low risk and high reward setup
TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA
Long from trendline support, anticipated +28%, medium risk high reward setup
LITECOIN BINANCE:LTCUSDT
Short to next support zone, +12% medium risk medium reward setup
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$DIS Double Bottom Weekly ChartA double bottom pattern on Disney's weekly stock chart may indicate a potential reversal in its recent price trend. This technical analysis pattern typically forms after a prolonged downtrend and consists of two distinct troughs that are roughly at the same price level, separated by a peak. It suggests that selling pressure may be exhausted, and buyers are stepping in. Traders and investors often view the confirmation of the double bottom pattern as a bullish signal, indicating the potential for a trend reversal to the upside. However, it's essential to consider other technical indicators and factors, as well as broader market conditions and news, before making investment decisions based solely on this pattern.
Docusign - In Theory, A Long-term Technical MultibaggerDocusign has its earnings call tomorrow and is another one of those stocks like Disney, Paypal, and Target that's been low for a long time (I have calls linked below), everyone wants to get long on, but they don't go up.
The difference between the other three and Docusign is that Docusign may be undervalued at its $10 billion market cap and has significant tells in its price action that show it may be a multi-bagger long term.
It shows the most clearly on the monthly, as the $180 level that the November of 2021 dump took out was never retested or even attempted to be retested on any time frame.
This generally indicates that the market makers will take price back to this level. This is a notable development in light of the fact that price has been in a grinding chop and long accumulation for almost two years.
However, the monthly and weekly candles show no signs that accumulation is complete.
Namely, we are missing the "manipulation" stage of price action where lows are raided.
Considering my thesis on the Nasdaq and the SPX being very bearish this month is legitimate:
Nasdaq Futures - Are You Prepared For Red September?
and
SPX ES Futures - A Great Deal of Caution Is Advised
On the basis that the JPM Collar where America and the world's most significant bank is long 15,800 SPX 4,225 puts that expire September 29 and have never been in the money is meaningful, Docusign earnings tomorrow morning may be a vanguard dumpster fire.
The significant part of the Docusign price action is that the weekly bars show that even a pump to $60 or $61 is still bearish, and would follow in the footsteps of Disney and Target in being a market maker clowndunk on bulls.
I think the trade on this is to long a higher lows pattern forming at either $42 or $38, since that would give the entire trading range since the IPO a higher lows pattern, or wait until a scheduled market rebound in 2025 after Joe Biden is given his second term as President because Donald Trump died in prison for Xeeeeeeting about election fraud.
Either way, I think early bulls are going to get merked, but whoever can stay patient on this stock will pick up a multi-bagger.
But that multi-bagger may not be scheduled for years, and years away from now may simply be too far away to matter whatsoever.
The key problem with any long-term bull thesis on anything is the impending collapse of Xi Jinping's Chinese Communist Party, which has become ever more obvious from so many pieces of economic data, including reports that places like Shanghai are abnormally empty at the moment.
The persecution of Falun Gong launched by Xi's predecessor Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, has gone on for 24 years and even included the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting against 100 million spiritual cultivators.
Although Xi has been executing the Jiang faction in droves since he came to power in 2013 under the Anti-Corruption Campaign for the persecution, and although Jiang died a few years ago, the persecution continues to this day.
Because Xi is the head of the CCP, he's culpable and responsible for everything the Specter of Communism has done in all of human history.
And so what we may see one day shortly is that Xi throws away the CCP during Beijing evening, which conveniently corresponds to right before Manhattan stock market opening.
The gaps down will be relentless, and will never come back. The bump and run reversal plan to scam the entire world out of trillions more dollars by the Party West International Rules Based Order U.S. Empire will be all for nothing, and everyone will run for their lives.
And on that basis, perhaps Docusign will never amount to anything, for those gaps are obviously there to be retraded to during the next pseudopandemic where you're supposed to stay in your house with the heat off, live on the Metaverse, work on Zoom, digital sign documents, and stay in your open air "15 Minute City" prisons.
Because everyone has been going to Shanghai and Tsinghua to swear Marxist vows, sing Marxist songs, and train the CCP's Zero-COVID Social Credit System for export in exchange for benefits.
Figuring it out isn't very hard. Believing in it isn't very hard. But too many people have made themselves fools.
Humanity, I hope you can walk out of the catastrophe. But in reality, not many will.
$DIS - LONG TERM Bearish stock $45 price targetYearly Chart says it all. It has a price target to $45 at the support which is also currently the 50 day EMA. it is also about to do a death cross with the MACD and is bearish on the squeeze indicator turning curling down from the top. Very bearish for the long term.
The Evolution Of Streaming Platforms For Movies And SeriesIn this work, we will analyze the evolution of streaming platforms for movies and series, from the emergence of the first video rental stores to the present day. We will compare the main companies in the sector, such as Amazon, Netflix, Warner Bros. and Disney, and evaluate their technical and fundamental performance in the stock market. Our thesis is that streaming platforms are a phenomenon that revolutionized the entertainment industry, but that also face challenges and controversies in a turbulent economic and social scenario.
1. The origin of streaming platforms
Hollywood, located in Los Angeles, in the state of California, became very famous for producing movies and series that are consumed worldwide. This made Los Angeles one of the 5 most profitable cities in the world. In the 80s, there was a popularization of VHS tapes and, because they had a slightly higher cost, several video rental stores appeared, where they lent these tapes in exchange for a monthly fee or separate rentals. And so, with technology maturing, they started to integrate these movies into DVDs, where access became much easier than VHS tapes, but also brought the entry of piracy, which became very popular in countries with underdeveloped governments, such as Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Turkey and among others.
Even with the advancement of technology, the film industry did not stop, which brought a lot of profitability to the state of California and to the city of Los Angeles, which was the main film hub in the world. And while this was happening, the internet evolved. What was already something interesting with telephone stairs lines or radio signals gradually became what would replace video rental stores, giving rise to the first streaming platforms. Netflix, which originally was a physical video rental store, started to integrate a very well-designed library of movies and series for a low subscription cost.
2. The popularization of the internet and online content
Over the years, it seemed that this internet thing would work out very well. The Justin.tv platform allowed people to broadcast everyday and normal events. This site saw a significant increase in internet users, which led to the creation of Twitch, focused on games and interaction with viewers. Note that at this point there was still no transmission of movies, as it was not something that happened much at the time. Also with the popularization of YouTube, from Google, which belongs to Alphabet Inc., people started to consume videos made by ordinary people about some content made by these same internet users. And there was a maturation on the part of people, who hired platforms like Netflix to watch movies and YouTube to watch other types of content that did not air on television. Since this type of content was for cable TV, where there was a variety of exclusivities.
With abusive prices for cable TV and several repetitions by broadcasters, since the content of closed channels always repeated programming, where it became a snowball of reruns and that gradually stressed the consumer, who gradually abandoned the idea of using cable TV and switched to the internet.
There were several clandestine sites, where people started watching movies and series online, without having to resort to cable TV. However, with many annoyances of ads and pop-ups with an unpleasant courtesy to those who watched. With that, with the popularization of these clandestine sites, Netflix also became popular, which offered its services without having any type of annoying ads. So, people started to pay for it so they don’t have to resort to clandestine sites. And those who didn’t pay watched within these sites anyway. What happened was that since DVD, where piracy was born, the internet also managed to mature it a lot with these clandestine sites that pirated content.
3. The competition and diversification of streaming platforms
Obviously, the strike will hinder some plans for major streaming platforms.
Well, this shows that with all the evolution we described here, the fight for exclusivity and copyrights has become increasingly fierce and competitive. And of course competition also generates performance and what also attracts investors. Bringing now 5 actions from these respective companies.
Starting to do a study, where we will analyze first the paper from Amazon. Because it acquired Justin.tv, launched in 2007, and Twitch, being a branch, being launched in 2011. And so in 2014, Justin.tv being discontinued. Also in the same year, it was acquired by Amazon. It also has a streaming platform that has rivaled Netflix quite a bit, which is Amazon Prime Video. In addition to having another streaming system aimed at music, which has also rivaled Spotify quite a bit, which is Amazon Music Unlimited and Amazon Prime Music.
Speaking now about Netflix, which is a company that has a great history and that has been around for a long time. In addition to a streaming service, it also now started to develop movies and series to fill the catalog that were removed due to copyrights. Of course Netflix is a controversial company, loved by many and hated by others, for addressing issues that are not very receptive by a large part of the public, such as gender ideology or something related to the queer public. And even with all the controversies and controversies about Netflix, it is a great company with good numbers.
Speaking now about Warner Bros., which is another company that is in the streaming business, betting heavily on HBO Max. What worked out very well in 2021, where the paper rose a lot. Warner is a very reputable company, which has been around for a long time, owning several successful movies and brands. In addition, they are also in the music business, calling themselves Warner Bros. Music Inc. But we can’t say that just like Amazon and Netflix, Warner suffered a lot from the American macroeconomy, with high inflation acceleration. Also dropping the paper, going from 74 to below 9 USD. Having a devaluation of 81.9%, which is a very high value for the investor who had a lot of losses by holding this paper. Despite all this, Warner is trying to reinvent itself, as it has made productions that have not pleased the large community. So they have bet on a reboot in the cinematic universes of their respective scripts.
And lastly, now we will talk about Disney. It is a mega-company, not only acting in movies, but also it has several amusement parks. Being the most famous Walt Disney World, located in Orlando, Florida. Just like the other companies mentioned here, Disney was also badly hurt in 2022 with some economic problems in the United States. But with the high of 2021, which was a placebo effect of pandemic recovery. And also with the success of the Disney+ platform, which made the company rise to the level of 200 USD. Just like Netflix, Disney has been heavily criticized for tirelessly addressing gender ideology issues, changes in ethnicity of consolidated characters, in addition to several controversial accusations about reproducing
content to sexualize children. The path of diversity and liberalism has bothered a large part of investors, who are not pleased with the company’s policies. In addition, it also felt the effects of high American inflations, causing the paper to plummet a lot. All this together with the effect of fundamental analysis.
4. The technical and fundamental analysis of the main companies in the sector
Let’s look at the technical and fundamental analysis of each of the companies we mentioned, and see how they have behaved in the stock market.
4.1 Amazon
Let’s look at the technical analysis of this asset:
Notice that in 2022 there was a drop in Amazon. This was normal, since the S&P itself felt this drop. So all companies in the index were affected, including the Nasdaq Composite asset. Within this downtrend channel, in November 2022 they started to form a range, where the first test is done without enough supply for the price to drop further. And again in March we have another test with lower sales than the last purchases. With that, an uptrend channel started, where it returned to the top of September 2022 and to the region of the VWAP of 750 periods. It seems that we can see Amazon’s paper plummet a little. Maybe there in the range of 120 to 125. And if there is no buyer interest in this price range, we can see the market fall further. But reaching this price range and happening to enter buyer flow, they can hold the price at 125 and make it return to the same top of the region of 135.
Now we will be analyzing the fundamental data.
Source Yahoo Finance
The company has a strong market, good cash generation and high growth, but it also has an uncertain valuation, high costs, high risks and high debt. This means that it can be an investment opportunity for those seeking high long-term returns, but it can also be a pitfall for those unwilling to take the risks involved. The company does not pay dividends, which can be a negative point for those looking for passive income
Well, this is not a good foundation, but it is open to interpretation. Seeing this and the technical scenario, things may not be so good for Amazon. In addition to a very stretched price at a top of the VWAP of 750 periods, it is also not very convincing in fundamentals. But that doesn’t take away from the fact that the Amazon empire is a wonderful and successful company.
4.2 Netflix
Let’s look at the technical analysis of this company and see what the chart along with the fundamentals want to say?
Source: Yahoo Finance
The company has good growth, good profitability and good cash generation, but a poor market value and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE, and ROIC metrics are good, but your asset turnover is bad. Its current liquidity is good, but its total debt to equity is high. Therefore, the company may be a good fit for investors looking for growth, but not for those looking for passive income or low risk.
It is a company that, doing a technical study on it, has not corresponded so much. If we look closely, the part where Netflix had more appreciation was after the pandemic, where there is a spike in price and forming a very common pattern in technical analysis called zig zag pattern.
Which is very common during reversal movements. From 2022 it was very bad for Netflix, which suffered a very abrupt drop, leaving 696 and coming to fetch 171. Which was indeed very worrying. She even managed to return to 416. However, this top, as we saw in the first chart, Netflix may be heading for another reversal. That is, being this high just a corrective movement. Because if we notice well, buyer interest has been falling more and more. And besides, she lost the region of the VWAP of 50 periods, showing that there is an acceleration in price. So in the most optimistic hypothesis, she could look for 360 USD.
Source Yahoo Finance
The company has good growth, good profitability and good cash generation, but a poor market value and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE, and ROIC metrics are good, but your asset turnover is bad. Its current liquidity is good, but its total debt to equity is high. Therefore, the company may be a good fit for investors looking for growth, but not for those looking for passive income or low risk.
Observing that Netflix’s fundamental data have been good, despite some bad indicators. Even with good fundamentals, it has conflicted a bit with the technical part. However, as I said, being very optimistic, she may look for 366. And of course, if buyer interest appears there, they can accumulate. Even looking at the good fundamentals that the company has. This is because investors make decisions not only because of the good fundamentals of the company. They also take macroeconomics into account.
4.3 Warner Bros.
Let’s look at the technical analysis of this asset:
It seems that things are not very good.
We will now do a fundamental analysis.
Source Yahoo Finance
The company has a bad market value, negative profitability and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE and ROIC metrics are bad, as is your EV/EBITDA. Its cash generation is good, but its current liquidity is poor and its total debt to equity is very high. Therefore, the company can be a bad option for investors, as it presents high risk and low return.
With regular to regular fundamental data, fundamental analysis confirms the downward bias along with technical analysis.
We know that Warner has a lot of growth potential and that despite all the problems she went through, she can turn things around. If you do good management of the company.
4.4 Disney
We will be doing a technical analysis study on the asset.
Here we have the presence of 3 charts, where we can clearly see that Disney has been going through a very worrying moment. At least on the technical analysis part, it has shown decline. You can’t tell how far it really goes, due to some proportions. For example, we know that Covid Bottom’s barrier is a psychological support, where participants took advantage of a panic moment there in 2020 to be able to spin the market. However, it seems that it is becoming unsustainable and we can see Disney fall a lot if it happens. It can also happen not to fall and there is buyer interest. But we have no technical evidence to show us buying at the moment.
Now we will be observing the fundamentals:
Source: Yahoo Finance
The company has good market value, good cash generation and good EBITDA, but low P/E and low ROE. Its operating margin and current ratios are fair, but its net profit and total debt-to-equity ratios are weak. Some indicators are not available like DY, DP, ROIC, gross margin and asset turnover. Therefore, the company may be a moderate option for investors but the technical analysis leaves a lot to be desired, which can be worse.
We can see that Disney’s fundamental data are regular, but not exactly the worst on the list. But it also does not present security to investors in a turbulent economic moment.
5. The conclusion and future prospects
In conclusion, we can affirm that streaming platforms are a phenomenon that revolutionized the entertainment industry, but that also face challenges and controversies in a turbulent economic and social scenario. Through the technical and fundamental analysis of the main companies in the sector, we saw that they have presented varied performances in the stock market, depending on factors such as the quality of service, the diversity of catalog, customer loyalty, competition, innovation, reputation and macroeconomics. For the future, we hope that streaming platforms continue to grow and adapt to the demands and preferences of consumers, but also that they are responsible and ethical in relation to the content they produce and distribute.
Fair price Range for Walt Disney $DISAs shown on the chart I think NYSE:DIS is in a good price ranges that will not be found again in the future
My Entry Price is 88 USD
Stop Loss is Daily Close Below 84 USD
My Target is 104 USD in Mid-Term time and 145 USD in the future
Make Sure that You Can Afford the Loss Before Opening Positions
Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down?On trading social media, Disney has been the target of moonboys for quite a while.
For some reason, whenever a stock is in a landslide and doesn't go up, everyone gets it in their head that they're going to BUY THE CALLS and catch the next MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEZES.
And this is because you want to gamble on a single day candle, which results in you blowing your account, and then you stop using TradingView and can't have fun anymore.
Disney, fundamentally, is a company that may not have any future whatsoever in a society that returns to mankind's traditions.
For so many years, it has been pushing a warped and depraved culture at both its parks and via its broadcasting networks. It was even an entertainment industry leader in onboarding the Chinese Communist Party's Zero-COVID social credit edicts.
And this is a problem if you want to get long.
They always say "zoom out," and so let's look at yearly candles:
8 months of price action for 2023 so far indicates that we've probably just been painting the wick portion of a year that will break the 2020 COVID low.
And the first place you find support below the COVID low is at $40.
"Sure, sure. But it's Disney. It's the stock market. EVERYONE KNOWS it's going up. Bears always get #rekt LOL."
"Bear flags" and "bull flags" are astrology and don't exist. But what does exist is when an equity spends more than a year in an area it should have bounced from and simply doesn't go up, which is what we see on the monthly.
But the contrary, on the Weekly, there is a problem for bears, which is the August of '22 high at $126.
And so there is a potential that tomorrow's earnings call actually results in a raid to $80 that actually produces a bullish buying opportunity with a target of $126.
The problem is, the "JPM Collar" has the world's most significant bank long on SPX 4,200 puts that expire September 29 that have literally been under water every second of every day since they were bought at the end of Q2.
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
However, I note in my recent SPX call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
And a recent Nasdaq call
Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip?
With CPI pending on Thursday morning, what happens tomorrow is really significant.
That although I suspect our index tops to get raided, the problem is, are you going to see $40+ on Disney in a time frame of less than 3 weeks?
September is likely to be something of a "chilly autumn" for equities markets with the way everything is set up, including the SOXS bear semiconductor ETF and the VIX.
If there's to be anymore rally, that rally may only come in Q4.
And thus, that would mean for Disney that a likely scenario would be a raid on the lows from earnings and even more bearish consolidation, with the $126 target being left for the beginning of Q4.
This stock is a lot like Verizon and T-Mobile. It's better left not bothered with until it starts to show you signs that a bank or a fund really wants to rip it bigly in one direction or the other.
There's lower hanging fruit and greener pastures out there to trade.
Disney - A Long Term Investors Opportunity?Disney NYSE:DIS
- Three decade long parallel channel in GREEN.
- We are reaching the bottom support line of the GREEN Channel (little downside remaining)
- We can enter this positive divergence trade with a clear stop loss level anywhere under the downward sloping line on the chart. Also, we could exit the trade and cut losses if the RSI support line is broken. We have defined reasonable risk levels for this trade.
- Long term Investors or DCA folk could enter all the way down to the low green resistance line. It we lost that i think would cut my losses and wait to see what happens.
All in, there is a confluence of;
- Short term support (sloping lower line or RSI support Line)
- Both the same lines highlight a positive divergence opportunity.
- Long term support in green
- Clear stop loss levels under any of these lines depending on your time horizon
Happy Trading Folks
PUKA