NFLX: Earnings Play?Netflix
Short Term - We look to Buy at 188.46 (stop at 161.06)
News events could adversely affect the short term technical picture. They report earnings after the close. Broken out of the triangle formation to the upside. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 260.00 and 280.00
Resistance: 260.00 / 330.00 / 400.00
Support: 188.00 / 160.00 / 120.00
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Disney
Disney is a realm of escapism - Recession Proof & Cash Flow RichThe Walt Disney Company recorded negative operating cash flow for the first quarter of the year. Even in the second quarter, cash from operating activities was still outpaced by investments in diverse activities. This was mostly caused by a lack of action during the coronavirus demand destruction in fiscal year 2020. But now that the parks are reopened, there are less ramp-up requirements. The majority of Disney's movie ticket sales will result in revenue generation because the majority of the backlog of films has already been paid for. The free cash flow should significantly increase during the following quarters. Despite the most severe criticism, "Thor: Love & Thunder" is on track to surpass $500 million worldwide. The success of the movie was another evidence that the conventional approach is still effective.
10 Year TSR Value
Disney's track record of making more money than it needs is quite extensive. As a result, advancements into further growth areas can still be made in the future. Disney may be a sizable business, but it has plenty of room to expand as long as there are measures in place to produce adequate cash flow. They have a strong economic moat. The brand is extremely well-known, and the market is now discounting the Disney+ streaming component of the company's operations as the excitement surrounding it fades due to Netflix's (NFLX) sluggish member growth. We have to consider that Netflix have peaked their user base. However, Disney+ have enough tier to grow their client base.
Due to the parks being open again and new movies being released, cash flow is expected to increase significantly soon. In the long run, this corporation has a significantly more profitable method of producing films than many of its rivals.
However, One of the biggest disadvantage of holding this stock is due to their high operating costs, Disney's value will increase to about twice what it is currently trading for if operating margins return to the mean of around 17%.
As operating costs increased and park and cruise revenues decreased during the pandemic, Disney had to cut dividend payout. Undoubtedly, the dividend's reinstatement will be a bullish event that many are anticipating. Although market players despise dividend cutbacks, Disney's management at the time made a wise decision in doing this. Disney was able to leverage money from eliminating the dividend to make a splash in the streaming industry. However, it is in their best interests to compensate shareholders by resuming dividend payments in situations where the value of their firm is dwindling.
The market seemed to be concentrating too much on downside risks, that continue to drive Disney's share price lower, despite the fact that revenue growth continued to rise. In the future, Disney's earning power might increase significantly, just like it did a decade ago. The stock might surge once more with an operating margin returning to regular levels of 17-21%. As the company's free cash flows and direct-to-consumer operations may grow, Disney has a lot of potential in the long run. Disney produced record EPS and nearly $10 billion in free cash flows in 2019. Now that the theatrical industry is recovering from COVID the company is expected to generate record breaking free cashflow.
Total Revenue vs Total Operating Expenses
They have already begun to report positive financial outcomes for its fiscal year 2022. Revenue increased from $31.86 billion last year to $41.07 billion this year, a 28.9 percent increase over the same period previous year. From $918 million to $1.57 billion, net income has grown by 71.5 percent. Operating cash flow increased from $1.47 billion to $1.56 billion, an increase of just 6%. However, if working capital adjustments were taken into account, it would have increased from $1.84 billion to $4.67 billion. That is a 153.7 percent increase from the previous year.
Excellent Management & Strategic Growth over the years.
People seek escapism during recessions, and Disney's content offers them hope. Every week, 80 million Americans went to the movies, even during the Great Depression and since then movie businesses have won the label of "Recession Proof", The movie business has generally been one of the few industries that has been able to retain its place in the market or even grow admissions, even in some of the worst economic downturns ever. This is a result of people's continued consumption behavior. Even if they were impacted by economic downturns, The release of "Avatar: The Way of Water" this year and Disney's 100th anniversary celebration in 2023 will boost the company's marketing efforts and help them generate more sales revenue.
matic testing breakout zonematic is testing the level that was first established after the may 11 dump it bas been tested a few times since but no other time this strongly.,
Disney Gives Polygon (MATIC) Premium FuelOn the heels of a partnership with Disney, Polygon looks primed for a wavy 30X pump from its soon to be seasonal bottom. Typically, within Wave 5, euphoria is at a high level but it would be best to avoid buying the top range between $5.50 and $13.35 (based on common fibonacci levels). Instead, a buy from the $0.27 range may be the best entry. For more Elliott Wave based ideas and timely predictions, check out my TradingView profile and like/follow/comment to support this post.
Thanks in advance and may your surfing remain profitable.
Altcoin season cometh soon.
⚡️ #MATIC/USDT - Potential 250% ⚡️- Part Deux⚡️ #MATIC/USDT - Potential 250% ⚡️
Entry Conditions:
- Long term RSI Daily Trendline break
- Bullish Divergence
- Key Resistance Break
- Disney Accelerator Partnership
News Source:
forkast.news
Entry: 0.455 - 0.695
TP1: 0.993
TP2: 1.234
TP3: 1.434
YOLO: 1.751
SL: 0.298 or HOLD
looks like Bitcoin chart perhaps they take $BTC in the futurePerhaps Disney will take Bitcoin in the future, imagine paying for rides in bitcoin? The chart shows a potential bounce from A leg, to a sell off to the B leg. Wave analysis is subjective, I like to focus on the wave analysis inside the triangle, then plot my fibs. With Inflation, rising gas prices, and folks still cautious from Covid. I expect more selling pressure, after a brief bounce. Long Term Short, w/ selling the rips
DIS-Disneys Bear case for a PO of $43-52 by years endDisney is ending Q2 in a very precarious way...Anyone believe another 50% price reduction from here is possible?
Although Q2 just closed above 2016 Q3 low close of $92.86 the quarterly chart is signaling another bearish quarter or two could be on the horizon.
The key bearish points are notated on the chart...I'll be watching the blue trend lines closely.
(Of note: I'm not taking any position or stance here but instead presenting the bear case)
$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets
Here’s a fun look at DIS…. we are about 53% off of the highs… The light blue dotted line is the 200MA imported from the monthly chart. It sits at around $77 at the moment…. I’d say that right here is a descent place to start a position, but if it gets nearer to the monthly 200MA I’d go in heavier….
All of my targets have been hit except for 1 which would fill the covid gap, and I could see a nice swing happening from there….
Stupid Willy (The bottom indicator) is starting to read extreme oversold and a green cross above the red line would be my long confirmation…
And just for historical reference, in 07-09, DIS came down 57% off of the highs (which we are getting close to) and it also went 38% below the 200 monthly MA once it crossed below….
In 2000-2002, DIS came down 68% off of the highs... So keep all of that in mind when building your DIS position…. Just because it’s cheap doesn’t mean it can’t get cheaper…
However I do believe that the around the 200MA level will hold, and that between here and there is a great buying opportunity…
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS) Uptrend Looks Imminent 🎈The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
DIS - BEARISH SCENARIONew selloffs for Walt Disney Company after the Q1 miss, reported on Wednesday.
The company reported $1.08 in adjusted earnings per share, the forecast was for $ 1.19
The next support level is located at $79.
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DIS Just Broke Crucial Trend LineDisney has been in the news a lot over the past couple weeks, fighting a bill that was passed in Florida. In reaction to that we are seeing FL state strip Disney of self governing status . This will cost DIS money and will add red tape to their operations. This negative fundamental news is matched with a very bearish technical set up. DIS just lost crucial trend line that had been held for over a year. Now that this trend line is broken I believe we trade down to support around $100.
Disney's Troubled Waters$DIS has been in a slow decline since March 2021 ATH.
Recent political winds have shifted and Florida is rescinding the "Reedy Creek" special purpose district that's been in place since 1967 following partisan policymaking.
The most recent declines this week are not indicative of the much broader weakening of consumer sentiment, more a doubling down and reinforcement of the economic headwinds corporations are facing in light of rampant inflation and a Federal Reserve that is no longer able to accomodate loose monetary policies.
Given the likelihood of central banks taking dramatic steps in the coming months and major economic indicators screaming correction, it's not surprising to see companies like Disney & Netflix show significant weakness as consumers curtail spending.
This appears to be more of a leading indicator of corporate valuations coming down... similar to the declines at the outset of 2020 before the pandemic really took hold of the global economy.
Expect $DIS to test the 200 EMA around $91 in the next two months.
Further bearish price action is expected to the March 2020 $79 level.
Depending on the broader market's direction and significant recession risk, as the Fed begins divesting assets from its balance sheets along with rate hikes not seen in over a decade... Disney may see even further retraction given its reliance on retail consumer spending behaviors.
Recent relevant market pullbacks:
1. Dot.com bubble w/ ~65% retracement
2. Housing bubble with a near 60% retracement prior to Federal Reserve quantitative easing and near zero interest rates.
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS) Wicks Thru Golden Pocket!🎯The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.