looks like Bitcoin chart perhaps they take $BTC in the futurePerhaps Disney will take Bitcoin in the future, imagine paying for rides in bitcoin? The chart shows a potential bounce from A leg, to a sell off to the B leg. Wave analysis is subjective, I like to focus on the wave analysis inside the triangle, then plot my fibs. With Inflation, rising gas prices, and folks still cautious from Covid. I expect more selling pressure, after a brief bounce. Long Term Short, w/ selling the rips
Disney
DIS-Disneys Bear case for a PO of $43-52 by years endDisney is ending Q2 in a very precarious way...Anyone believe another 50% price reduction from here is possible?
Although Q2 just closed above 2016 Q3 low close of $92.86 the quarterly chart is signaling another bearish quarter or two could be on the horizon.
The key bearish points are notated on the chart...I'll be watching the blue trend lines closely.
(Of note: I'm not taking any position or stance here but instead presenting the bear case)
$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets
Here’s a fun look at DIS…. we are about 53% off of the highs… The light blue dotted line is the 200MA imported from the monthly chart. It sits at around $77 at the moment…. I’d say that right here is a descent place to start a position, but if it gets nearer to the monthly 200MA I’d go in heavier….
All of my targets have been hit except for 1 which would fill the covid gap, and I could see a nice swing happening from there….
Stupid Willy (The bottom indicator) is starting to read extreme oversold and a green cross above the red line would be my long confirmation…
And just for historical reference, in 07-09, DIS came down 57% off of the highs (which we are getting close to) and it also went 38% below the 200 monthly MA once it crossed below….
In 2000-2002, DIS came down 68% off of the highs... So keep all of that in mind when building your DIS position…. Just because it’s cheap doesn’t mean it can’t get cheaper…
However I do believe that the around the 200MA level will hold, and that between here and there is a great buying opportunity…
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS) Uptrend Looks Imminent 🎈The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
DIS - BEARISH SCENARIONew selloffs for Walt Disney Company after the Q1 miss, reported on Wednesday.
The company reported $1.08 in adjusted earnings per share, the forecast was for $ 1.19
The next support level is located at $79.
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DIS Just Broke Crucial Trend LineDisney has been in the news a lot over the past couple weeks, fighting a bill that was passed in Florida. In reaction to that we are seeing FL state strip Disney of self governing status . This will cost DIS money and will add red tape to their operations. This negative fundamental news is matched with a very bearish technical set up. DIS just lost crucial trend line that had been held for over a year. Now that this trend line is broken I believe we trade down to support around $100.
Disney's Troubled Waters$DIS has been in a slow decline since March 2021 ATH.
Recent political winds have shifted and Florida is rescinding the "Reedy Creek" special purpose district that's been in place since 1967 following partisan policymaking.
The most recent declines this week are not indicative of the much broader weakening of consumer sentiment, more a doubling down and reinforcement of the economic headwinds corporations are facing in light of rampant inflation and a Federal Reserve that is no longer able to accomodate loose monetary policies.
Given the likelihood of central banks taking dramatic steps in the coming months and major economic indicators screaming correction, it's not surprising to see companies like Disney & Netflix show significant weakness as consumers curtail spending.
This appears to be more of a leading indicator of corporate valuations coming down... similar to the declines at the outset of 2020 before the pandemic really took hold of the global economy.
Expect $DIS to test the 200 EMA around $91 in the next two months.
Further bearish price action is expected to the March 2020 $79 level.
Depending on the broader market's direction and significant recession risk, as the Fed begins divesting assets from its balance sheets along with rate hikes not seen in over a decade... Disney may see even further retraction given its reliance on retail consumer spending behaviors.
Recent relevant market pullbacks:
1. Dot.com bubble w/ ~65% retracement
2. Housing bubble with a near 60% retracement prior to Federal Reserve quantitative easing and near zero interest rates.
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS) Wicks Thru Golden Pocket!🎯The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Disney Short Setup Looks like there is such a thing as bad publicity.
$DIS barely hanging on. I think anything above $150.00 is a fairly safe place to short the Disney stock. While I have not entered a short position yet, I am considering it and I will update this chart when I do it.
How deep? I think this thing can easily lose another 50% - 60%.
We will watch !
God Bless!
Disney: Try AgainDisney
Short Term - We look to Sell at 127.19 (stop at 131.94)
A break of bespoke support at 130.00, and the move lower is already underway. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. Our outlook is bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 142.00. News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
Our profit targets will be 113.78 and 102.30
Resistance: 130.00 / 144.00 / 155.00
Support: 110.00 / 100.00 / 90.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Breaking down AT&T’s stock after WarnerMedia spin-offNearly four years after fighting a hard battle to acquire WarnerMedia and accelerating its foray into the media business, AT&T (NYSE:T) has gone back to its roots to focus on being a telecommunications company.
On April 8, AT&T completed the spin-off of 100% of its interest in WarnerMedia, which owns subscription service HBO Max and film production company Warner Bros., and merged it with Discovery Inc. (NASDAQ:DISCA) to form a mega-streaming platform to better take on giants like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) Apple TV, and Disney+ and Hulu by Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS).
Foray into media services
AT&T completed its $85.4 billion acquisition of WarnerMedia, formerly Time Warner, in 2018 about two years after first disclosing the move. The company had hoped to provide seamless media content through its direct-to-customer distribution. It subsequently rebranded Time Warner into what is now known as WarnerMedia.
WarnerMedia owns Netflix rival HBO Max, an over-the-top subscription service launched in 2020 with a ton of exclusive and original contents, as well as HBO classics.
However, in the years that AT&T acquired WarnerMedia, HBO Max still lagged Netflix, which continues to dominate the global streaming platform.
According to tech news platform CNET, Netflix remains the biggest streaming service provider in 2022, with Disney+, Hulu, Amazon.com’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) Prime Video, and HBO Max trailing behind.
The merger of WarnerMedia with Discovery to form Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) is expected to up both platforms' game against Netflix, Amazon, and Disney.
Since announcing the closing of the merger, AT&T’s stock has jumped 7% as of Thursday, April 14, but down nearly 14% on a year-on-year basis. Its rival, Verizon (NYSE:VZ) is also trading almost 8% down from a year ago.
Bullish on AT&T?
Although AT&T’s stock remains below year-ago levels, many analysts remain bullish on the telco’s stock, citing its renewed focus on its core telco operations.
Bank of America analyst David Barden recently reaffirmed his buy rating on AT&T with a $25 price target, saying its shares are undervalued. Barden also noted that the spin-off of WarnerMedia will help ease the complexity of AT&T’s operations.
"With the deal now closed, the dividend reset, and the investor base stabilizing, we believe the stage is set for investors to begin focusing on AT&T’s improving fundamentals," Barden reportedly wrote in a note to clients.
JP Morgan analyst Philip Cusick also issued an upbeat outlook on AT&T’s stock, setting a price target of $22, urging investors to capture the discount on the company’s share price.
Focus on core telco business
Analysts now expect AT&T to double down on its wireless business and expand its fiber optic reach amid intense competition against rivals like Verizon in the broadband space.
In the fourth quarter of 2021, AT&T’s revenue fell to $41 billion from $45.7 billion a year earlier on the back of lower business wireline revenue, which was slightly offset by higher mobility and consumer wireline turnover, and strong revenue from WarnerMedia.
The absence of WarnerMedia’s results will likely weigh on AT&T’s financials in the near term, but its renewed focus on being a telecom pure-play company will make it more competitive against Verizon T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS) and other smaller players as it expands and improves its 5G wireless networks.
"Going forward, we aim to be America's best broadband provider powered by 5G and fiber, and defined by greater ubiquity, reliability, capacity, and speed,” AT&T CFO John Stankey said in a recent earnings call.
Stankey added that the company will focus on growing its subscribers and accelerating the pace of its 5G deployment.
$DIS Disney Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets $DIS Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets
Do I think that Target 4 will hit… also-freakin’-lutely…
I had to do some research to make sure that a move like that is justified with Disney… and it definitely is…
I have my alerts set for Target 4…
I don’t trade or accumulate this regularly so I don’t think I’ll be starting a position any higher than target 3… If it gets below the purple EMA line (Which is the 180EMA carried over from the Monthly Chart) I will consider a long position…
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I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
Disney: This One Doesn't End WellDisney
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 128.13 (stop at 131.49)
A break of bespoke support at 130.00, and the move lower is already underway. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. Our outlook is bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 142.00. Continued downward momentum from 160.00 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
Our profit targets will be 116.29 and 102.30
Resistance: 142.00 / 158.00 / 185.00
Support: 130.00 / 120.00 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.