Disney is repeating previous head-shoulders reversal pattern?
My answer for the topic is yes.
Disney has broken above the downtrend line, and formed a bullish head-shoulders reversal pattern, exactly repeating the previous price action in Oct 2023.
Now it moves in a bullish channel.
personally, in a short-term, I will take the nearest resistance level (high volume area) as the target for this rally.
what's your opinion?
Disneyforecast
Disney: Sitting on EdgeDisney is currently sitting on the upper edge of our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $101.24 – $88.36). We anticipate a bullish trend reversal out of this Zone, but primarily, we still think wave (2) must dive a little deeper into this price range before the trend reversal can be initiated. However, there is a 35% chance that wave alt.(2) has bottomed out already, which will be confirmed if the resistance at $110.62 is surpassed.
Disney (DIS) -> Major Reversal AheadMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Disney.
At the moment Disney stock is retesting a major previous monthly support level from which we already rejected multiple times towards the upside in the past.
Considering that market structure on the lower timeframes is still bearish though I am just waiting for more bullish price action before I think we will see a major bullish impulse.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Disney Macro Looks Dire with Risk of Further 40% DeclinesHi guys! So this is a Pure Technical Analysis on the Macro structure of Disney (DIS).
Macro in that we are on the 1 Month timeframe so each candle is 1 Months worth of price action averaged in.
Just note why i don't ever look at news to influence my trades. We got rejected from our highs in October 2021, Desantos bill signing that sparked the lawsuit stuff happened June 2022.
Prices were already on the decline way before. Just saying. Anyway moving on.
What i want to point out is our current price action.
We are currently BELOW the Major SUPPORT LINE that played support for about 7-8 years.
Being a monthly timeframe, just note we have NOT yet confirmed as our current candle is ongoing.
Ideally We would need to get back ABOVE and confirm Support to prevent further declines.
BUT if we do confirm here its NOT a good look.
BELOW the "The Last SUPPORT Line of Defence" is even way worse.
If we end of Confirming Resistance Below "the Last Line of Defence", we risk almost 44% Price DECLINES back to the highs of a previous consolidation zone or the line labeled "Major Support".
Its because the Rapid Price Increase labeled "Weak Market Structure" has no distinctive/ strong Support zones.
Theres nothing to cushion the eminent Price Declines that may be awaiting us.
Its mainly because we didnt test SUPPORT and have a slow methodical rise in price.
We also recently printed a DEATH CROSS. By the looks of that monster mouth, its a long ways before its momentum fizzles out.
If VOLUME also continues to be on the rise while we have this DEATH CROSS and price declines, aspect more price declines.
And the likely scenario of the DECLINE to "Major Support".
Keep in the back of the mind: This could make for a solid SHORT play once that confirmation below the last line of defence happens.
Anyway look to smaller timeframes for more current price action to see how things shape up for the macro. Keep on the look out for updates in the hourly, daily or weekly timeframes.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on DIS in smaller timeframes in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Disney - A Long Term Investors Opportunity?Disney NYSE:DIS
- Three decade long parallel channel in GREEN.
- We are reaching the bottom support line of the GREEN Channel (little downside remaining)
- We can enter this positive divergence trade with a clear stop loss level anywhere under the downward sloping line on the chart. Also, we could exit the trade and cut losses if the RSI support line is broken. We have defined reasonable risk levels for this trade.
- Long term Investors or DCA folk could enter all the way down to the low green resistance line. It we lost that i think would cut my losses and wait to see what happens.
All in, there is a confluence of;
- Short term support (sloping lower line or RSI support Line)
- Both the same lines highlight a positive divergence opportunity.
- Long term support in green
- Clear stop loss levels under any of these lines depending on your time horizon
Happy Trading Folks
PUKA
DISNEY Revisiting a 10 year Support LineThis Technical Analysis is on Disney (DIS), on the 2 Week timeframe.
Our Current Price action is TESTING SUPPORT on this MASSIVE Decade Long SUPPORT LINE.
The 1st time we have ever tested SUPPORT on this was September 29th, 2014.
Highlighted by the RED circles, everytime we've tested this we've had some sort of Price Bounce.
The Most massive gains were from the Bottom of the COVID Crash to the TOP @ approx. $202.00
A Gain of about 154%.
It was also a more evident time to buy as the RSI gave hints along with some other indicators.
Another one being the GOLDEN CROSS where 2 week 21 EMA CROSSED Above 2 week 50 SMA .
Whats happening now?
Currently our 2 week candle, has not yet closed. It will do so August 14th. We will give more clues then. If we maintain support thats GOOD, If we see ourselves below it, and CONFIRM BELOW that would be VERY BAD. This would mean we have broken a 10 year SUPPORT LINE.
We have also had a DEATH CROSS, which is when 21 EMA CROSS below the 50 SMA. This often times causes price to fall as we've recently seen. The moving averages currently seems like there pointing downwards, indicating that price can still drop more.
I would like to see the Moving Averages to flatten out at 180 degrees. To have this happen price needs to bounce from here.
Price is also currently in a downward channel.NOTE how the lower trend line of the channel is below the MAJOR RESISTANCE.
It can be possible that we test this.
Notice the BLACK ARROWS on the RSI and MACD. If you relate them to the lower trend line of the downward channel on Price action. This shows a BULLISH DIVERGENCE. Which is a sign of potential BULLISH MOVE UP.
Bullish Divergence = When Price action shows LOWER LOWS but the indicators show HIGHER LOWS. Usually means price is lagging behind the indicators and eventually PRICE will increase to catch up to the indicators. In normal instances, price moves in sync with indicators.
If PRICE moves BELOW the SUPPORT, its possible we touch this area indicated by the BLACK ARROW, which coincides with the horizontal black line that touches the previous candle wicks. This would put the BULLISH DIVERGENCE at play. Look to see in the upcoming weeks what happens.
Some danger signs are seen in the indicators:
RSI -> Currently our ORANGE RSI Line as moved below the BLACK Moving Average. If you look left it has always been associated with price drops. If we continue to stay below, risk of price drop remains.
MACD-> Notice how the size of the GREEN histograms have been decreasing, indicating a slow down on MOMENTUM. If we don't see bigger GREEN histograms print, next likely thing is the appearrance of RED Histograms which will indicate increased probability of PRICE going down.
ADX -> Highlighted zone shows RED LINE above GREEN. This indicates that bearish momentum is present. As long as RED line is ABOVE GREEN, likelyhood of bearish momentum and price falling is probable.
CONCLUSION:
Disney has reached the CRITICAL SUPPORT line for the 5th time in the 10 year history of this SUPPORT LINE. Everytime when it did so as seen in previous history, its been known to be decent area to BUY. Is it a good area to buy? In my opinion its hard to tell in this moment. For one, we should wait till the close of this CURRENT 2 week candle on the 14th of August. Something to note, everytime we test a trendline, support or resistance, each time it gets weaker. Keeping this in mind, with the warning signs in the indicators and a potential BULLISH DIVERGENCE, a scenario that can be possible: we break it, to test the lower trend line of the Downward channel, only to have prices MOVE BACK UP. But its important to state that this doesn't have to happen either. We need to be patient and observe what is to come in the coming weeks. Zooming into the smaller timeframes, can also give more concrete short-term clues on direction. Stay tuned for updates on other timeframes.
Thank you for your time! Please do support this idea and my work by boosting, following and commenting. Follow for updates and ideas on other trade-ables.
If you have any questions do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Disney Finding It's Place In The MarketHistorical Performance: Over the years, Disney's stock has shown long-term growth and has been considered a stable investment for many shareholders. However, it's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the stock market can be subject to fluctuations and risks.
With all of its attractions and streaming products disney will be here for a while and I do think looking at it short term it's been consolidation quite abit at these levels.
On the visible rang volume profile it shows on the 4 hr chart it show consolidation levels at 88.46 - 89.19 and 91.68 - 92.81. If disney falls under 88.46 if could possibly test 87.34 again.
It also shows point of control at $92.25. which means it there's a lot of buying pressure at that level.
It has a huge gap to fill starting at $95.10 all the way up to 96.61. That leads me up to the earnings. The cause for that drop came from a missed earnings which out of the last 6 they missed 3 and beat 3 every other one. If were being optimistic since they missed the last one they should beat this earnings coming up bases off pattern. But, Of course a lot of other things play into their financials.
Looking for a run up prior to earnings to at least mid 90s if it cant break these consolidation zone.
I do think this is more of a long term hold. Next resistance after gap fills we should see disney at the $100 levels.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave
4 LESSONS from Disney as a trader and Upside to comeI’m well in my thirties and Disney is still just as magical to me as it was when I was a kid.
When I was 15, one of the happiest days of my life was walking into Disney world.
The excitement lead to jumping, screaming and so much excitement not knowing where to start!
Anyways, Disney has been an icon in the entertainment industry for decades.
And they have delivered and shared unique and magical experiences and captivating stories to you, me and everyone around the world.
It’s definitely on my bucket list to go back to Disney world again. But today, I want to share some of the Disney’s principles can be applied to trading the financial markets and help traders develop a successful and profitable strategy.
Diversification with Disney versus Financial Markets:
Disney has a diverse portfolio of theme parks, resorts, hotels, products, services and franchises.
As traders we really need to open our options and diversify our portfolios in all different markets and instruments.
If you rely on ONE market or one country, you will not be able to spread and limit the risk during tumultuous times.
Just as Disney has a wide range of offerings to appeal to different audiences, us as traders should have a variety of investments to suit our personal trading style and risk tolerance.
Strong Brands applies to both
Disney has built a reputation as a trusted and reliable brand, and traders can learn from this by creating a watchlist of markets and securities that align with their trading strategy.
When you see the famous logo, the magical characters, princesses, cute animals – we just know it’s Disney.
When we here the Wish upon a star song or see Tinkerbell – we know.
As traders we need to also focus on the strongest brands.
Blue chip companies from shares.
Highest liquid (volume) traded currencies, indices, commodities.
Most reliable, legit, regulated and trustworthy exchanges.
High demand, volume traded and strong crypto currencies with promising prospects
Low costs, fees, conditions with trading instruments (i.e. Spread Trading and CFDs).
Stay innovative and you’ll have the edge!
Disney has always been at the forefront of innovation.
Whether it’s through its cutting-edge rides, products, restaurants, or even its Disney Plus TV streaming service.
Similarly, traders should strive to stay ahead of the curve by using the latest technology and tools to trade the markets.
This could include using advanced charting software, automated trading systems, or utilizing machine learning algorithms to analyze data.
TradingView is one of the only charting platforms that I have seen innovate on a weekly basis!
By embracing innovation, traders can stay ahead of the competition and stay ahead of market trends.
Staying True to Disney staying True to YOU!
At its core, Disney is all about staying true to its unique style and storytelling.
As I mentioned earlier. You can just tell it’s Disney.
Traders can learn from this by developing their own trading personality and risk profile, and sticking to it no matter what the market conditions may be.
Just as Disney has remained true to its vision for decades, traders should stay true to their own trading strategy, even in the face of market volatility and uncertainty.
You can now see how Disney’s timeless principles apply their success and how we can learn from them as traders to optimise, improve and level up our own financial success.
And on that note, Disney is also heading up!
Cup and Handle has shown, price has broken above.
We can see the first target at least - showing strong momentum to come.
But more on that next time!
Disney: Fairy Tale Forest 🌲🌳🪄Disney is currently strolling through the dark green fairy tale forest between $103.29 and $88.41, where it should soon finish wave 2 in dark green. Afterward, the share should be enchanted enough to conjure a convincing upwards movement above the resistance at $122.50. There is a 38% chance, though, for Disney to leave the forest on the southern side, dropping below the support at $84.07. In that case, the course would develop a new low in the form of wave alt.II in light green first before starting the ascent.
DIS - Price Targets & Stop Loss📈 What’s up investors! 📉
Welcome back to another one of
💡“Mike’s Ideas”.💡
I post as I find signals… these signals are based on the personal rules I have built and follow in order to make up what I call the “SST Strategy”. Follow for more ideas in the future!!
I have 4 levels marked and colour coded on the Chart.
These levels are:
⚪ White = Entry Point
🔴 Red = Stop Loss
🟢 Green = 1.2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🟡 Yellow = 1.5:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🔵 Blue = 2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
👀 So what are we looking at today…!!!
🚨( DIS ) The Walt Disney Company🚨
The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces films under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; provides consumer products, including licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Where to find Disney Reversal to Long?Disney. We are exposed to Disney almost instantly we are born into this world. The cartoon we are exposed to , the posters, the gifts, the soft toys we had. Disney, the creator of our "Fantasy", can their strong moat stop the downtrend of its stock price?
Sign of downtrend
-Candle sticks moving below MA200 . Fail to even get near the MA200 trendline for the past 200 days.
-Downtrend line B : 2 Fib extension of downtrend line A , magnitude much stronger than of line A
-Downtrend line C: 1.618 Fib extension of downtrend line B , magnitude abit strong than of line B
Reversal in progress?
-Retracement R2 magnitude is almost similar to R1 , but took much shorter time(26 days vs 116days) to retrace the same amount
-Retracement R3 magnitude is strong than of R2 .
-Thus the upward trend is getting strong: R3 > R2 > R1
Take a look at the horizontal volume indicator. The volume indicator sums up the volume traded at the prices for the past 1800 bars/1800 days . Bulk of the trading occurs between 97 to 115
The price range of 97 to 115 probably is the strongest support Disney can have. If the candlesticks plunge below 97 , the next area to have such high trading volume will be around 50 .
Watch out for reversal such as double bottom within the price range of 97 to 115
Disney over-extended? Disney
Short Term
We look to Sell at 129.37 (stop at 134.80)
Upward pressure has continued and we are assessed as being in the corrective leg before the next selloff. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Our outlook is bearish. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
Our profit targets will be 112.82 and 102.30
Resistance: 130.00 / 144.00 / 155.00
Support: 110.00 / 100.00 / 90.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Disney: This One Doesn't End WellDisney
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 128.13 (stop at 131.49)
A break of bespoke support at 130.00, and the move lower is already underway. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. Our outlook is bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 142.00. Continued downward momentum from 160.00 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
Our profit targets will be 116.29 and 102.30
Resistance: 142.00 / 158.00 / 185.00
Support: 130.00 / 120.00 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
DIS Disney Price TargetsTwo weeks ago you could have bough DIS at the October 2020 level. What an opportunity that was, with one year and 4 months gains washed away.
But now they reported a strong Q1 earnings:
earnings of $1.06 per share vs 57 cents in the Zacks consensus
revenues of $21.8 billion vs $21.2 billion analysts expectations
Disney+ subscriber numbers: 129.8 million vs 125.8 million expected. That was somehow to be expected after the NFLX earnings .
Parks, Experiences and Products segment growth of over 100% YoY
My price target is the $159 resistance and, if they continue like that in the second quarter, $175.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WALT DISNEY COMPANY (DIS) Weekly, MonthlyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
Trades made when the monthly and weekly arrows are pointing in the same direction are the most profitable.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.