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Disneyshort

Disney About to Give it Up! | $DIS SHORTLooks like the moment of truth for Mickey & Co. I have been covering this one for a long time, with numerous mentions that Disney is a sell / short. How low this thing will go, we do not know. Right now I am comfortable saying, -50% is probable. While there are many factors in play, the broader economy is weak and Disney has done nothing but push people away with their radical political positions. Additionally, the destruction of "woke" mob is unfolding before our eyes. Short Disney. Make Money. If this changes, I will update.
NYSE:DISShort
by ChiefMacro
4
DISNEY $DIS | DISNEY DESCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN - Apr. 11, 2024DISNEY NYSE:DIS | DISNEY DESCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN - Apr. 11, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $118.50 - $123.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $116.50 - $118.50 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $112.00 - $116.50 Weekly: Bullish Daily: DNT 4H: Bearish A week ago NYSE:DIS broke its bullish trend on the 4H and lower timeframes. The Weekly timeframe still holds the bullish trend, and the Daily timeframe is currently untradeable for myself, but is working its way closer to a bearish trend as it is breaking down bullish structure. The 4H timeframe shows a descending wedge/triangle (or possibly a developing sideways range channel) with the bullish support level being around 117.00. The 117.00 is where bears should look for a breakdown to confirm the downwards trend, and bulls should look for a breakout above the 118.50 level. 118.50 is a safe entry for bulls, however; earlier entries could be a break above the descending trend line that is acting as the top of the wedge/triangle. Previous bull trend and continuation are labeled to show where I got the levels and zones from and how more recent price action has reacted to these areas. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technical indicators, support and resistance, chartpatterns, wedge, descendingwedge, descendingtriangle, bearishtriangle, bearishtrend, bearishchannel, trendchannel, disney, disneystock, dis, disstock, NYSE:DIS , disneyparks, disneyprice, disneystockprice, disneyanalysis, disneytrend, disneystocktrend, disneychannel, triangle, beartriangle, disneyreversal, reversal, reversalpattern, trendcontinuation, shortdis, longdis, disneytrade, disneyidea, disneyoptions, disneylong, disneyshort, rangingprice, disneyrange, rangezones, rangechannel, waltdisney, waltdisneycompany,
NYSE:DIS
by TonyAiello
2
Disney: Two Scenarios For Walt Disney, chart analysis reveals the completion of a first cycle with an all-time high at $203, followed by what appears to be a 5-wave structure downward towards Wave (A), concluding at a double bottom with Wave (4) at $79. This formation is characteristic of a Wave 2, yet its brevity on the 3-day chart suggests a potential flat correction. Anticipation exists for a rise in the coming weeks to $126.50, where Wave A is expected, adhering to a zigzag correction pattern (5-3-5 waves). This suggests a cautious bearish stance until a breakout above $176.88, which would invalidate the current long term bearish scenario. The 4-hour chart indicates the potential formation of a 5-wave structure upward towards Wave A, but the market's direction—whether indicating strength or weakness—will determine the approach to positioning for Wave 4. Further observations are needed before committing to new positions, with decisions to be made based on clearer market signals
NYSE:DISShort
by stromm_by_wmc
Disney Macro Looks Dire with Risk of Further 40% DeclinesHi guys! So this is a Pure Technical Analysis on the Macro structure of Disney (DIS). Macro in that we are on the 1 Month timeframe so each candle is 1 Months worth of price action averaged in. Just note why i don't ever look at news to influence my trades. We got rejected from our highs in October 2021, Desantos bill signing that sparked the lawsuit stuff happened June 2022. Prices were already on the decline way before. Just saying. Anyway moving on. What i want to point out is our current price action. We are currently BELOW the Major SUPPORT LINE that played support for about 7-8 years. Being a monthly timeframe, just note we have NOT yet confirmed as our current candle is ongoing. Ideally We would need to get back ABOVE and confirm Support to prevent further declines. BUT if we do confirm here its NOT a good look. BELOW the "The Last SUPPORT Line of Defence" is even way worse. If we end of Confirming Resistance Below "the Last Line of Defence", we risk almost 44% Price DECLINES back to the highs of a previous consolidation zone or the line labeled "Major Support". Its because the Rapid Price Increase labeled "Weak Market Structure" has no distinctive/ strong Support zones. Theres nothing to cushion the eminent Price Declines that may be awaiting us. Its mainly because we didnt test SUPPORT and have a slow methodical rise in price. We also recently printed a DEATH CROSS. By the looks of that monster mouth, its a long ways before its momentum fizzles out. If VOLUME also continues to be on the rise while we have this DEATH CROSS and price declines, aspect more price declines. And the likely scenario of the DECLINE to "Major Support". Keep in the back of the mind: This could make for a solid SHORT play once that confirmation below the last line of defence happens. Anyway look to smaller timeframes for more current price action to see how things shape up for the macro. Keep on the look out for updates in the hourly, daily or weekly timeframes. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on DIS in smaller timeframes in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:DISShort
by SafofAllTrades
4
The last hurrah is here. All aboard to 2400As projected yesterday, Intermediate wave 4 could be complete based on the early morning low on June 8. There is a slim chance Minor wave B inside of Intermediate wave 4 is the current location, but that will be invalidated if the index goes above 4300 tomorrow. To recap. Intermediate wave 1 was 25 trading days and gained 360.62 points. Intermediate wave 2 dropped 121.2 points over 12 days for a retracement of 33.61%. Intermediate wave 3 then gained 251 points over 21 days which was a price extension of 135.99% from the starting point of Intermediate wave 1. Intermediate wave 4 was likely completed today and would have retraced 15.22% of wave 3 by only dropping 38.21 points over 3 days. I am surprised by the accuracy of the models to project such a shallow drop over very few days in Intermediate wave 4 but the historic data was spot on. I put is in Sub-millennial wave 1, Grand Supercycle wave 5, Supercycle wave 2, Cycle wave B, Primary wave C, Intermediate wave 5. I use shorthand to call it 152BC5 Intermediate wave 5 must now be less than the 21 days of Intermediate wave 3 as wave 3 cannot be the shortest wave. Based on models ending in 2BC5, strongest model agreement is on wave 5 to last 2 or 17 days, second most agreement is at 4, 5, and 18 days. The quartile movement extensions based on Intermediate wave 3’s movement (light blue lines) are 121.05%, 153.2%, and 186.17%. The first quartile of all historic movement reverses after a move to the 121.05% level which is 4352.12. The median movement reverses after a move to the 153.2% level which is 4432.81, while the third quartile is at 186.17% which is 4515.57. Based on waves ending in BC5, largest model agreement places the length at 5 trading days in length, second most agreement is 6 and 18 days, third is 3, 4, 10, and 12 days. The quartile movement extensions (yellow level) are 122.06%, 137.71% and 153.2%. Final projections are based on waves ending in C5 where largest model agreement has the length at 4 days, second most at 6 days, third most at 5 days, fourth at 12 days. The quartile retracements (white line) 109.46%, 122.9%, and 151.06%. There are also two major resistance lines in play. One stems from the end of Primary wave A from December 1, 2022 and aligned with the Intermediate wave B top from Primary wave B on February 2, 2023. The other trendline has been solid resistance since February 21st and the market never closed above it since then. If this second trendline proves the fatal resistance, it could be tested as late as June 26 around a level of 4352.12. If the first resistance line is the fatal level it could be around 4393.93 and achieved as soon as the day of the next Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. I dramatically call this next top a fatal level in that I expect it to be the final market top for many years. This will be the end of Cycle wave B and a continuation of the Bear Market which ultimately topped on January 4, 2022. I am projecting the length of Intermediate wave 5 to last between 4 and 12 trading days. I have three key dates which could contain the top based on the historical data above. Day 4 is the next Federal Reserve rate decision on June 14th. Day 11 is June 26th where nothing major appears to be occurring which is the same on July 5 or Day 17. I do not expect the top to surpass 4410 and could possibly top out around 4393. 4393 is within 100 points from today’s close which means Intermediate wave 5 will likely be very fast. The TVC:VIX is very low right now and a huge indicator of complacency in an economy that is quickly slowing and on the immediate verge of higher inflation and/or recession. A break above the second mentioned resistance trendline may get the bulls fired up but I am 95% certain it is a false breakout and bull trap. My initial calls for the bottom are around December 2024 somewhere between 2200-2400. I have been projecting this entire run up and final bottom since July of last year with pretty decent accuracy. I am using math, statistics and history to project forward market movement. I have figured this next drop could revolve around China taking Taiwan and disrupting the world’s microchip supply. Not sure if this happens next week but it could still be an issue that further escalates the selling over the next 12 months. There is a chance the US economy is heavily impacted now that students must continue paying their student loan debt and thus not spending money on luxury items or other facets of their daily lives. There is also a chance of Russia doing something exotic in Ukraine to attempt to upend the conflict. And as always the other black swan event most people have not seen coming. Metals will likely become more expensive and most companies selling luxury goods that are not necessary will get crushed (I am thinking NYSE:DIS and NYSE:DRI here). Casinos and gambling websites could have issues sometime next year when money starts to get very tight and people can not afford to make the gambles they will likely take in the beginning. Some companies will outright fail and go bankrupt while others will be forced to slash prices to remain relevant once the world comes out of this recession. Don’t panic, invest wisely.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
Disney over-extended? Disney Short Term We look to Sell at 129.37 (stop at 134.80) Upward pressure has continued and we are assessed as being in the corrective leg before the next selloff. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Our outlook is bearish. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture. Our profit targets will be 112.82 and 102.30 Resistance: 130.00 / 144.00 / 155.00 Support: 110.00 / 100.00 / 90.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NYSE:DISShort
by Saxo
Disney: This One Doesn't End WellDisney Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 128.13 (stop at 131.49) A break of bespoke support at 130.00, and the move lower is already underway. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. Our outlook is bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 142.00. Continued downward momentum from 160.00 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday. Our profit targets will be 116.29 and 102.30 Resistance: 142.00 / 158.00 / 185.00 Support: 130.00 / 120.00 / 100.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NYSE:DISShort
by Saxo
Walt Disney Company | Fundamental Analysis - Opportunity ? 🔔he Walt Disney Company ended the second fiscal quarter with 103.6 million subscribers to its streaming service Disney+. Although that was more than double the number in the same quarter last year, analysts had expected Disney+ to have 109 million subscribers at the end of the quarter. The stock has dropped sharply since the earnings report was released and is now down 4.3 percent year-over-year. Investors are probably questioning if Disney is still a good investment. Here are some important points from the Q2 results that hint that the House of Mouse is doing well and the current decline could be a good buying opportunity. Disney was already actually set to frustrate investors after Netflix missed its own subscriber forecast in the quarter ended March. There was a strong surge in subscribers to streaming services during the pandemic, which may take a quarter or two to level off. Nevertheless, there were lots of aspects in the earnings report meaning that Disney+ is still on track to meet its long-term subscriber goal. For instance, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney "grew subscribers faster in the last month of the second quarter than in the first two months." And that's in spite of the first price increase for Disney+ since launch. Covering the near-term outlook, CEO Bob Chapek said: "We're on track to reach our forecast of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of the fiscal year 2024." Even after price increases last quarter, Chapek said that "we haven't seen a significant increase in subscriber churn after price increases in region." The company anticipates subscriber growth to be greater once content production returns to full capacity. Chapek said that "the anticipation for the new Marvel series "Loki," which will be released June 9, is off the charts." Don't forget that Disney has racked up more than 100 million subscribers without using the deep pipeline of Star Wars and Marvel content that company executives announced in a December presentation to investors. As the company adds more content from these powerful franchises, the number of subscribers should increase. Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter. It, of course, contrasts with Netflix's 6% annual growth in the last quarter. But there's more to it than that. The drop in ARPU is due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which brings in less revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets. Excluding Hotstar, Disney+'s ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61. "As we move into the rest of the year, we should start to feel the positive effect on Disney+ ARPU from the price increases we have undertaken around the world," McCarthy said. Of course, theme parks are still an important part of Disney's business, with revenue of $26 billion in fiscal 2019. Revenues from Disney's parks, attractions, and products fell 44 percent year over year this quarter. But that's an improvement over the 53% drop in the previous quarter. Company executives said more good news during the earnings call. "At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to improve steadily throughout the second quarter, and guest per capita spending was up again by double digits from the previous year," McCarthy said. Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is "very enthusiastic" about the response from guests. It's hard to say where the stock will move in the short term, but Disney franchises are some of the most valuable in the entertainment industry. It's safe to say that once Disney adds more content from its top brands on Disney+ and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, you could consider the price decline a good buying opportunity. Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Day trading !
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
10
#DIS -1D - 19.07.2020#DIS, another mayor US company on its way to recover the field lost on COVID19 crisis. What it is amazing about this chart, is that it is creating a perfect theoretical bearish pennant. On the other side, PE ratio is indicating 40.30. #DISNEY is fundamentally overprice and validates a possible break down of the tendency. MACD and RSI without a clear direction. Behavior and volume near first and second resistance will be crucial to confirm or invalidate this bearish pennant. www.dailyfx.com
NYSE:DISShort
by aoberninger