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Displacement

Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/07/2024Last week concluded positively, with three trades taken and two big wins on EURUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped. The next step on the checklist is to wait for a sweep on either side of the zone, which will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. After 25 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session. Although we have a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy. The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that we could execute our trade at the candle's close since we had met all the checklist criteria. After executing the trade, price remained in a deep drawdown, which can be unsettling for many traders who do not manage their risk adequately. Additionally, traders who do not backtest their trading strategy thoroughly often struggle to adhere to their plan in these situations. However, this was not an issue for us, as we were aware that our strategy has approximately a 50% win rate, indicating that losses are part of the process. Therefore, we only risked 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% return. Price eventually reversed and started moving in our intended direction. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 5 minutes. Now all we need to do is be patient and let the trade run. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
by CleoFinance
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024 Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using $AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities. To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure. We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades. After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return. Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy. After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Education
by CleoFinance
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms. The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target. Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy. Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
by CleoFinance
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone We then waited for liquidity to be taken on either side of our trading zone, which will give us our directional bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 15 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities. Precisely at 10:00, there was a significant bearish shift in GBPUSD that broke the structure, creating an FVG in the process. Keep in mind that high-impact news for the USD occurred at 8:15 and 10:00 EST, which can influence price movements. We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price initially moved against us to fill part of the FVG left behind, it later moved slightly in our direction. However, it took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades. Accepting the calculated risk of 1% of our account for the possibility of a 2% return, the closeness of the price to our stop loss did not shake us, and we kept our faith in the strategy. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x longer for the trade. We waited patiently, but our persistence did not yield results this time, resulting in a 1% loss in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
by CleoFinance
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 13/05/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Next, we patiently awaited price action to take the liquidity positioned on either side of the trading zone, providing us with a directional bias for the trading period. In this instance, liquidity was taken at the highs after 10 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate selling. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Next, we waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. In this case, the subsequent candle that formed was a bullish one, closing within the Fair Value Gap. Our stop loss is set above the high that formed the Break of Structure (BoS) leg, with a minimum requirement of 10 pips. In this instance, placing the stop loss above the high would result in only 7 pips, necessitating an increase to meet the 10-pip minimum. This rule was established not by chance, but through extensive backtesting of numerous trades, demonstrating how it prevents us from being stopped out before price moves in our favor. After executing our trade, we experienced a significant drawdown that nearly reached our stop-loss level, only for the price to eventually reverse in our favor. Had we set a 7 pip stop, we would have been stopped out; however, our rule of a minimum 10 pip stop saved us from that outcome. Although the price reversed again and entered a drawdown, we remained unfazed by this reversal due to our cautious risk management strategy. We had committed just 1% of our capital to this trade, with the prospect of a 2% return. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades. The GBPUSD pair then consolidated around our entry point, prolonging our involvement in this trade. However, based on our collected data, we anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x-3x longer for the trade. Patience is crucial in trading, as it often places you in challenging situations We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
by CleoFinance
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/04/2024At 8:45 AM EST EURUSD made a big move down that took out the Judas Swing Zone Low. Then it came straight back up to create a BOS(break of structure). After the liquidity grab at the low and the subsequent break of structure (BOS), we patiently awaited a retracement towards the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) that emerged during the displacement leg. We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price initially moved favourably in our direction. However, it later took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD. Despite being in a drawdown at this point, we remained steadfast in our approach. Having accepted the calculated risk of only 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we were unfazed by the proximity of price to our stop loss, and maintained our trust in the strategy. Price eventually reversed and paused briefly around our entry point before resuming its favourable movement. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
by CleoFinance
Fx ICT Short Setup, GBPCAD, Swing TradeDo you want to make money online by trading forex? If yes, then you are in luck! 🍀 We have a special offer for you: a swing trade idea for GBPCAD that can give you up to 150 pips profit! 💰 GBPCAD has been in a downtrend since yesterday on the 4H and higher timeframes. We have spotted a perfect opportunity to sell it at a high price and buy it back at a low price. Here is how it works: The price has broken the key level of 1.7058, which is a strong sign of bearish momentum. We expect the price to retrace back to this level and form a supply zone, where sellers will be waiting to enter the market. We will place a sell limit order at 1.7113, which is the top of the supply zone. If the price reaches our sell limit order, we will enter a short trade and set our take profit targets at 1.7010 (TP1) and 1.6910 (TP2), which are the demand zones where buyers will be waiting to enter the market. If the price hits our take profit targets, we will exit the trade and enjoy our profits! This is a simple and effective way to make money online by trading forex. But hurry, this offer won’t last long! 🔥 To get more swing trade ideas like this, follow our channel and subscribe to our newsletter. We will send you the best forex signals and tips every week. Don’t miss this chance to earn money online with us! 😊 Disclaimer: Trading forex is risky and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur from following our signals. Always do your own research and analysis before placing any trades.
Short
by ICT_Trader_SB
Back-adjusting drawings for futures roll in continuous contractsHow to adjust existing drawings to account for the price adjustment (false gap) between futures contracts during the roll when one contract is expiring and trade volume is shifting into the new front-month contract. Drawings do not adjust by using the "back-adjust" feature, which can create an issue since all of your drawings will be displaced and incorrectly located. This shows how to adjust them to account for that displacement. This is especially an issue when the price difference is large between the expiring contract and the new front-month contract such as in this video example (e.g. +51 points between ESZ2023 (Dec 2023) and ESH2024 (March 2024))
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by AaronFormella
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Displacement Technology Watch: $QSWith a lot of attention ahead of its earnings report, NYSE:QS had a volatile reaction to the report yesterday, but it is one of several companies vying for dominance in Solid State Battery technology. Auto parts are a niche sub-industry of Electric Vehicles to pay attention to for both short term and long term. From the weekly chart: The stock is building a bottom after a huge speculative run up after it IPO'd and is now in a basing bottom formation. QuantumScape was on the NASDAQ Private Market before it IPO'd. Plenty of banks underwrote it and many Preferred Clients, aka Giant Buy Side Institutions, invested during its NASDAQ Private Placement. So it had a respectable amount of investment money to start moving forward faster. On the daily chart, we can see NYSE:QS had a pre-earnings run that hit resistance which was followed by profit-taking ahead of the report. Pro traders started the run up out of what looks to be a Dark Pool Buy Zone and smaller funds chased, which is often a precursor to a volatile earnings reaction. The stock has a low Percentage of the Shares Held by Institutions at this time, which is another factor that contributes to heightened volatility, but it's one to watch as the EV landscape expands.
NYSE:QS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader