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Distribution

NZDUSD POTENTIAL SELL SETUP AT RESISTANCE OF CHANNELPrice is at resistance of channel and resistance area of distribution range. This a good place to sell to the support of channel or to midpoint of channel where partial profits can be taken. Consider also that since this is a distribution phase, a sell may be the better option to look for as a Decline most likely follows a distribution. In essence a sell position ensures you stay in the next possible big move of this market. As always, do your own analysis as this is not foolproof and of course, nothing is set on stone in forex. Goodluck and happy trading. Cheers!
Short
by Chinedumnweke
Gold - Longterm Institutional SellOANDA:XAUUSD Analysis & Trade Idea 💡 On the daily timeframe Gold seems to be in overall distribution from August the 10th after the market reached all-time highs. Key supply (support) and demand (resistance) zones have been highlighted in green and red respectively, it is worth noting that gold respects whole levels as points of entry for the sell as these correlate with demand (resistance) zones. The key point of interest on the daily timeframe is the daily buy to sell Institutional Candle, a potential swing trade has been highlighted which incorporates the 1950 whole level, this is also within the 78.6% discounted price range of the Fibonacci, in addition, the market will be able to sweep the liquidity created at the 1930 whole level given the market movers motivation to reach this POI., for this reason, I have a short term bullish bias before a sell-off initiating from this level, this would also fulfill the UTAD (Upthrust after distribution) of the redistribution schematic which started to form at the beginning of October and the LSPY (Last point of Supply) in the distribution schematic that started to form after the all-time highs were established in August. Let me know your thoughts?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by digital_dwight
6
Distribution & Follow-Through DaysInvestor Business Daily model follows the model of distribution and follow-through days based on volume as follows: Distribution days: A distribution day is defined as a day in which the move by the index is moves -0.5% on stronger volume than the previous day. Follow-Through days: On Day 4 or later of the attempted rally, at least one of the key market indexes must deliver a strong gain in volume up from the previous day. That big gain in rising volume is the follow-through day, which confirms that a new uptrend is underway. A follow-through day can't pick the exact day that a market bottoms, but it can get you in close to the bottom. Because this model is intended to value the market health, and how market-makers are positioning themselves, this cluster historically signifies a more defensive market.
AMEX:SPYShort
by dorfmanmaster
1
NDAQ shows perfect Wyckoff Distribution: Begin MarkdownNDAQ is of course highly correlated with NDX, QQQ, and relate tickers so if NDAQ looks bullish it is a sign that TQQQ and SQQQ will move predictably. If NDAQ is bearish that will have likewise opposite effect. NDAQ came screaming out of the March low to set an advance into a buying climax. The initial give back of that buying climax sets up the Automatic Reaction and that helps define our zone of support, also called the ice due to how dangerous it can be when it breaks. The support on the ice here was confirmed with a bounce of the 20 day moving average which lead to a lower high. That in itself is nothing too serious but subsequent to that price actoin slipped the 20 day and hit the ice again as a Sign of Weakness. After the sign of weakness there was a Upward Thrust which didn't have the buying volume to continue. In other words, bulls where exhausted and could not continue the uptrend. In another sense, there was no one else to pump the bulls bags as buyers were unwilling or unable to continue the trend. I like to use the On Balance Volume EMAs to evaluate this uptrend, peak to peak. I have tried using it on larger timeframes and it doesn't work for me, it isn't responsive enough on the monthly timeframes and my entries are too late. But this is a great resolution. We see this uptrend was not supported with enough volume and the indicator shows a lot of classic bearish divergence which predicts a reversal. Also, OBV break of the 100 EMA is extraordinarily bearish circumstance and should not be taken lightly. Also on that chart is my VSTOP system I continue to tinker with. The MTF VSTOP flipping bearish is also... very bearish. After the Upward Thrust the ice breaks. This is bad because if price action doesn't recover it basically drowns and sinks to the bottom. The ice has flipped from support to resistance and when price actin failed before even hitting the 20 day moving average we have a very bearish set of circumstances. The bottom might be hard to find. DJI has set a lower high and SPX is double topping, both with falling volume so this isn't a bullish set of circumstances. (Technically a double top has peaks within 5% but I think SPX double top with a 5.7% difference is close enought to round down). I am going to let this run for quite a while. I entered my SQQQ position a couple days ago and feel confident that I can let this run until I see some bullish divergence on the NQ1! or SPXU MACD on the 12h or I see NDX out of the bottom of the weekly or monthly bollinger band. My linked post below is one of my most painful post. I completely nailed the bottom reversal and then buggered up the trade by not letting my winners run and shorting too soon. That is one reason why I have incorporated the VSTOP and MTF VSTOP into my system to help steady my hands to the upside when the macro situation is so bearish.
NASDAQ:NDAQShort
by This_Guhy
11
20200908 NAS100USDHello again! So, after what... 6 months of uptrend? and having crossed the uptrend channel, i believed we could start thinking on possible distribution in place. This is not just based on 1D chart, but having lot of study in bigger time frame (1W or 1Month ... even 6 months...) So again, this is just personal idea and not financial advice! Use your own risk and if it works for you... dont forget to hit the donate button :P lol... Timing match for February / April / May periods of 2021... Elections for an UTAD .. so jeje too many coincidences... Ill be updating in case it follows or not the idea so stay alert and any question and comment are welcome.. Cheers! -CharterX
OANDA:NAS100USD
by CharterX
TSLA - Where are we now?It appears TSLA has just finished it's latest massive move up and is transitioning to a distribution phase. If TSLA cannot recapture the upper $1500 level, I would wait to re-enter. If it does however recapitulate above the $1600 level, it does have more room for newer highs. Personally, I think it's due for a decently sized correction. Potential Re-Entry range: $1,250 - $900 Note: This is a very wide range, we need more price action to confirm a more specific re-entry price.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ericisom887
5
BTC Playing the Wycoff DistributionLet me start off by linking a textbook example of Wycoff Distribution. Understand the phases and then move on to this Bitcoin chart. Dropbox Screenshot: www.dropbox.com Article: tradingcoach.co.in WYCOFF DISTRIBUTION The phases of distribution follow a rhythmic pattern. After a major dump, smart money will accumulate a cheap asset, which causes a Buying Climax. Eventually smart money tries to liquidate their positions after the nice rally caused by their longs. This establishes the first resistance: Preliminary Resistance (Resistance 1 @ $10050). Due to smart money cashing out on their longs, the market follows their lead and dumps as well in what is known as an "Automatic Selloff." This establishes the first major support: Support 1 @ $8650. In this specific Bitcoin chart, there was a Secondary Test (ST) after the Automatic Selloff before the Upthrust (UT). Multiple ST's are common are smart money trades the range between Support 1 & Resistance 1. Each subsequent test of resistance tests the power of the bears. As you all know, once you sell you've sold. The sellers will eventually run out, and the buying pressure will eventually crack through Resistance 1. This is known as the Upthrust (UT) . Though sellers were shaken out at Resistance 1, there are plenty more at Resistance 2 @ $10450, so this upward momentum is halted by intense selling pressure. This is often a shakeout for retail investors who think Bitcoin will go to the moon from here on out. Once the bears regain control at Resistance 2, and the price crashes, the market sentiment becomes bearish. At this point multiple tests of resistance have occurred and many buyers have bought and been wrong because of intense selling pressure. The market sees the resistance as an impenetrable ceiling, which creates longer term selling pressure; this reveals itself in the form of LOWER HIGHS . I highlight this because this is likely the strongest evidence for Bitcoin being in distribution versus re-accumulation at this point. Volume and price are making lower highs, which is a significant indication of weakness. Eventually the bulls lose faith in their Bitcoin Moon wetdream and stop buying; at which point the bears regain control and dump like the day after Thanksgiving. The price tears through Support 1 where the Buying Climax occurred, and even through Support 2 @ $8150 where the Automatic Selloff found support. This is (obviously) a Sign of Weakness (SOW) and Bitcoin retests the lowest support from the range as resistance . WHAT TO WATCH 1. I am expecting Bitcoin to test Support 1 @ $8650 as resistance by roughly July 23rd, 2020 2. From there I will enter a short to Support 2 @ $8150 at least. 3. If Bitcoin follows a perfect Wycoff Distribution, then it will break below $8150 and dump to the next major support 4. The next major support, indicated by liquidity and price reversals, resides around $6600-6700. I will see you all at the bottom. Cheers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Riester