$len losing momentum/distribution higher time frame is showing range bound price action- negative divergence in rsi
closer look at mid time frame shows the transition from a range expansion to range contraction and selling volume pressure being applied along with negative momentum
lower time frame shows price action in that same range contraction apply pressure to the support area with multiple retest
looking for alignment across all timeframes to tilt to the bearish side where theres is the least resistance to the downside
first level to 51.7x area and then down to 51.1x
Distribution
J6 06 April 2017There are several divergences on volume on way up. There is also increasing volume on down swing. This is bearish change behaviour. I expect move down on Yen future. It means on forex pair USDJPY.
G6 FUTURES/GBPUSD Ascending Wedge Short Setup As we can see, price created ascending wedge short setup, there is also SOT formation which informing us that buyers are getting weak.. at 12 it was a large volume on the market so it was a signal that smart money are getting off and distribution is coming.. Sell a break of bottom trendline. I am expecting price will drop to first demand level around 1.2360 or 1.23250 on forex. Good Luck
Is the AMD Hype Over? AMD has shown no signs of slowing down, until now. After the mixed reviews of Ryzen, which was initially a reason for all the hype around AMD, investors are selling. With even the largest investor dropping 45 million shares at $13.70. This is all as AMD was hitting a near 10 year high, which also happened to be a major resistance/support level.
On the weekly chart, we can see Bearish Divergence on the RSI, and the MACD Leader.
Also, for the first time since the beginning of 2016, the Accumulation/Distribution line has dropped below the 20MA on the weekly, showing a potential change in trend. (Not Shown)
Yieldco sector, don't miss the 8point3 buy.CAFD, already sporting a 7.5% yield, just broke out of volatility consolidation to the downside. This is a very easy chart to trade, as the key levels are very obvious. You should be able to pick this guy up close to $12 a share with a nice 8% divy that has almost doubled in last two years. Balance sheet is good, i've checked myself. Aim to sell around $16 or just hold forever. Excellent risk/reward here
EURGBP where is the distribution at?Doing my post market review, not a lot to look at today so lining up potential levels that could set up good trades. Would like to see distribution to start setting up into the marked level for a potential short. This would be a first touch of a significant level which should trigger some liquidity at the least.
FTSE completing a Quasimodo Top?I'm not a fan of Head and Shoulders patterns - inverted or otherwise - but many people will have noticed the formation in the FTSE100 and will be waiting for the break down.
Whilst oversold stochastics could promote further right shoulder development, the eventual break will likely target 6400/50 as profit-taking pressure increases.
Would Victor be a seller?
More Before Less Central Bank Stimulus To Run Economies Hot 2017Central banks are (again) helping bulls by keeping the stimulus active until they see higher inflation - according to rumors and speculation of the last three days, ahead of the next ECB meeting this Thursday, October 20, 2016, where Mario Draghi might surprise the market to the upside again, after the reaction to the last meeting was a falling stock market.
This could mean that we might get a very boring low volatility sideways choppy trending market in the next months until maybe even the end of January 2017, as shown on the chart. If these trend lines hold, the next move would be up, therefore a long to at least 2150 is the next logical step in this calm market scenario, if the low of October 13, 2016 holds as key support, producing higher lows as result in the days ahead. The upper end of this projected move higher could end at resistance around 2169-2171, which is the 2. long target after 2150.
Long entry: 2125-2130
1. Target: 2150
2. Target: 2170
Stop Loss: 2120
1. Reward: 20 points
2. Reward: 40 points
Risk: 10 points (from 2130)
The news:
"Draghi Seen Embracing More Before Less 'QE' as Inflation Edges Up"
www.bloomberg.com
Seventy-eight percent of the 50 economists surveyed by Bloomberg from October. 7-14 forecast the ECB will announce fresh stimulus, and nine in ten of those say it will happen in December at the earliest.
There is a common perception that WSJ reporter Jon Hilsenrath, perhaps one of the most well-connected journalists at the Federal Reserve. Here is his last article for the Wall Street Journal:
"Yellen Cites Benefits to Running Economy Hot for Some Time" (by Jon Hilsenrath)
www.wsj.com
(here a link without a pay wall) www.morningstar.com
P.S The "S&P 500" close of Friday, October 14 shows a lot of bullish divergence on the mainstream indicators (RSI, Stochastic, CCI) and the "S&P 500" bounced back from outside the standard deviation as shown by the Bollinger Band. Therefore there is still some chance left for the bulls to turn this sinking ship around during this outlined potential sideways trend.
USDJPY bottom of range test complete now for the topUSDJPY the bottom of the trading range was tested. A buyers entered the market with high volumes overwhelming the sellers. Now the top of the trading range should be tested. The 'TDI is also defining a trading range. So I will be looking long until the 'TDI reaches the top of its range to go short again.
S&P 500 - Distribution - short (potential)Seeing some decent distribution here, the breaks on this move up have been applied. There's signs of weakening momentum up to monthly...
That said just cause the breaks have been applied doesn't mean we're about to stop just yet. Might keep on grinding for a bit more. Likely more room on the downside than the the upside tho.
Will be on the lookout for short opportunities. Main target for an eventual short would be the support that allowed this move up. Partial profit taking at the high tf/ long term levels on the way down.