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Divergance

BTC/USD - Analysis of recent events and a Double TopQuick BTC/USD analysis of the last few Months: Looking at the Price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Convergence/Divergence: From Tuesday 13th Sept 22 until Saturday 5th Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and RSI which indicated a reversal was most likely on its way. Price = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High) RSI = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High) Next from Wednesday 9th Nov 2022 to Monday 21st Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and the RSI which then lead to a reversal breakout. Price = LL - LL (Lower Low - Lower Low) RSI = LL - HL (Lower Low - Higher Low) Next from Sunday 29th Jan until Tuesday 21st Feb 2023 we had Divergence with the Price and the RSI leading to the bearish reversal drop that we are still in today. I suppose you could start this Divergence sooner if you wanted, but i have started it on the 21st Feb 2023. Price = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High) RSI = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High) Here is a closer look at the 1 day chart. Here is a closer look at the RSI Indicator. For those who are new and do not know, please note that Divergence/Convergence with the Price and RSI is indicted by the Straight Yellow Lines on the Chart and RSI Indicator. A few other bits. BTC has also created a Double Top Pattern as indicated by the 2 circles on the chart with arrows. The 1st Top was at Monday 15th Aug 2022 and 2nd Top was at Tuesday 16th Feb 2023. Note that BTC tried to get above this support level 3x and failed all attempts at closing above this resistance line. BTC is still in an Ascending Channel Pattern, while it did break out of its Upper Resistance Trend-line, it did not CLOSE ABOVE it, so this Upper Resistance Trend-line is still valid. Using the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel and the Double Top Resistance line, we can also say that BTC may also be in an Ascending Triangle Pattern. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still below its 50MA (Yellow Line) and has found some support from its 200MA (Red Line). Looking at just the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) of the Ichimoku Cloud, we can see that BTC is in the Equilibrium Zone Inside the Cloud. Note that a successful daily candle CLOSE BELOW the 200MA will also bring BTC under its Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) support level into the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Please note that i am not using the traditional 9,26,52,26 settings for this cloud. Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that we have had massive expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands for the negative side, BTC is still way below its Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that the Middle Band is still Pointing Downwards. Note that BTC is still walking on the underside of its Lower Band. My thoughts: While Silvergate Bank’s liquidation may have contributed to the drop we are still in, looking at this chart, we can clearly see that the Price and the RSI were already giving the warning signs back in February especially with the Double Top and Price/RSI Divergence. We will now have to see if the 200MA holds as Support, if it doesn’t then next is the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel Pattern. During these recession, it is iInteresting times ahead for BTC and the whole Crypto market. In any case, i hope this post has been informative and has helped those who are new to charting and using Price/Oscillator Convergence & Divergence to help predict possible price movement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
What Is the Best Divergence Trading Strategy? 👑 What Is Divergence? Divergence is a trading phenomenon that offers reliable and high-quality information regarding trading signals. It refers to when an asset’s price moves in the opposite direction to the momentum indicators or oscillators. Commonly used indicators include the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, Awesome Oscillator (AO), and moving average convergence divergence (MACD). Divergence is one of the many concepts that experienced traders use to the time when to enter or exit the market. To say a divergence occurs is to say that the price and momentum are out of sync. This signals that the market is preparing for a trend reversal or pullback, but it does not necessarily guarantee trend directions. There are mainly two types of divergence: 1) Regular divergence is where the price signal creates higher highs or lower lows while the indicator makes lower highs or higher lows respectively. 2) Hidden divergence, which is the opposite of regular divergence, is where the indicator makes higher highs or lower lows while the price action creates lower highs or higher lows respectively. Regular Divergence vs. Hidden Divergence What Is Regular Divergence? Regular divergence can be divided into two types: regular bearish divergence and regular bullish divergence. What is Regular Bearish Divergence? Regular bearish divergence occurs when the price action makes successively higher highs while the indicator makes consecutively lower highs. This suggests that the asset’s price is preparing for a reversal into a downtrend. The indicator signal means that the momentum is changing. Even though the price action has made higher highs, the uptrend may be weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go short, i.e., to sell the asset and repurchase it later at a lower price. What is Regular Bullish Divergence? Regular bullish divergence happens when the price action forms progressively lower lows while the indicator creates higher lows. This implies that the prices will move in an upward trend soon. The indicator action implies that the price needs to catch up with the indicator signal and that the downtrend is weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go long, i.e., to buy the asset. How to Trade Regular Divergence? Divergence only tells traders that the momentum of a price movement is weakening. This does not necessarily lead to a strong reversal, and the price movement may just be entering a sideways trend (horizontal price movement within a stable range). To create a more reliable divergence trading strategy, skilled traders combine indicators with various tools. Regular bullish divergence and regular bearish divergence have different entry rules. In any case, once a trader has spotted a divergence, they should consider how to enter or exit the market and place their Stop Loss or Take Profit orders. What’s a hidden divergence? Divergences not only signal a potential trend reversal but can also be used as a possible sign for a trend continuation (price continues to move in its current direction). Hidden bullish divergence happens when the price is making a higher low (HL), but the oscillator is showing a lower low (LL). Hidden Bearish Divergence occurs when price makes a lower high (LH), but the oscillator is making a higher high (HH). Keep in mind that regular divergences are possible signals for trend reversals while hidden divergences signal trend continuation. Regular divergences = signal possible trend reversal Hidden divergences = signal possible trend continuation Conclusion Trading divergence can be very profitable if traders can reliably identify divergence by making use of the trading tools in their arsenal. However, like all trading strategies, using divergence indicators involves a certain degree of risk. [
Education
by FOREXN1
24
$DKS - To Long or To Short?Some conflicting pieces of information here from my point of view. On the Long-side: 1. Ascending Triangle (Purple Box & Hashed line) - often considered a bullish pattern 2. Convergence of 20 & 50 ema (Orange + Purple) - watching for a cross as a bullish signal 3. Strong fundamentals and DCF indicating an under valuation On the Short-side: 1. Bearish convergence when considered with Stochastic oscillator (purple hashed) 2. Loss of momentum also indicated on MACD indicator (not show) 3. 4. In an industry/sector that most would agree is (and is going to continue) struggling - Local Resistance ~$120 - 200 ema Support over last ~5 weeks (and trendline) Watching for a breakout/close above $120.6 or below 200 ema (or hashed purple trendline) Interested to hear your thoughts. *Not financial advice*
NYSE:DKS
by Angus_Ed
An introduction to the MACD indicatorHere is my quick and dirty introduction/explanation of what the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator………… indicates. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend following momentum indicator that follows the intimate relationship between a 12-Period EMA and a 26-Period EMA on a price chart in whatever timeframe you are in. The MACD indicator is made up of 6 parts, the MACD Line, the Signal Line, the Histogram, the 0.00 Base Line, the Positive Zone and the Negative Zone. As default, the MACD Line is calculated by subtracting the value of a 26-Period EMA from the value of a 12-Period EMA on your chart to give you your MACD Line value. The MACD indicator will give a MACD Line value in whatever timeframe you are in. The Signal Line is a 9-Period EMA of the MACD Line and is used with the MACD Line to generate/trigger Buy and Sell Signals. If the MACD Line crosses ABOVE the Signal Line, that is considered a Buy Signal. If the MACD Line crosses BELOW the Signal Line, that is considered a Sell Signal. Note that Buy and Sell Signals can be generated in both the Positive and Negative Zones The Histogram is a graphical representation of the distance between the MACD Line and the Signal Line (9-Period EMA). Green Histograms will appear above the 0.00 Base Line when the MACD Line crosses ABOVE the Signal Line. The Green Histograms will Increase in size the further the MACD Line moves upwards & away from its Signal Line. The Green Histogram will also lighten in colour if the MACD Line fails to move higher to create a higher Green Histogram Bar. Red Histograms will appear below the 0.00 Base Line when the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line. The Red Histograms will increase in size the further the MACD Line moves downwards & away from its Signal Line. The Red Histogram will also lighten in colour if the MACD Line fails to move lower to create a lower Red Histogram Bar. The Positive Zone is the area ABOVE the 0.00 Base Line. If the MACD Line crosses above the 0.00 Base Line, this means that a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart in whatever timeframe you are in. So to reiterate, the MACD Line will be ABOVE the 0.00 Base Line when a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart. The Negative Zone is the area BELOW the 0.00 Base Line. If the MACD Line crosses below the 0.00 Base Line, this means that a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart in whatever timeframe you are in. So to reiterate, the MACD Line will be BELOW the 0.00 Base Line when a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart. Note that the MACD indicator has no upper limit in the Positive Zone and no lower limit in the Negative Zone. The MACD indicator can also be used to show Divergence between the Price and the MACD Line. In a Bullish scenario, if the Price is making Lower Lows and the MACD Line is making Higher Lows then this is potentially Bullish. For a Bearish scenario, if the Price is making Higher Highs and the MACD Line is making Lower Highs then this is potentially Bearish. The MACD indicator can also be used to show Hidden Divergence between the Price and the Histogram. In a Bullish scenario, if the Price is making Higher Lows but the Histogram is making Lower Lows then this is potentially Bullish. For a Bearish scenario, if the Price is making Lower Highs but the Histogram is making Higher Highs then this is potentially Bearish. The MACD can sometimes produce false positive as can be seen here where we have Bullish Divergence with the Price Converging with the MACD Line but no real breakout happened. Note that the MACD Line and Signal Line will be in line with the current Candle Wick in whatever timeframe you are in. The MACD indicator is a lagging indicator but it also has the power to be predictive especially with potential upcoming Buy and Sell signals, divergence and when used with other indicators like Volume, the Ichimoku Cloud, Bollinger Bands, MAs or EMAs, RSI, ADX DI to name but a few as these can help complement the MACD signals to help get a much clearer picture as to what is going on and what may happen on your chart in whatever timeframe you are in, because there is a lot of BS, FUD, FOMO and utter crap out there so a little clarity is always helpful ;-) For me the MACD is a very useful indicator with my trading, so I hope you have found this quick and dirty MACD educational post helpful. Happy trading. Notes: MACD Line = 26-Period EMA Value - 12-Period EMA Value = MACD Line Value Signal Line = 9-Period EMA of the MACD Line. Used with the MACD Line to trigger Buy and Sell Signals Histogram = Distance between the MACD Line and the Signal Line 0.00 Base Line = Crossover point to the Positive Zone and/or Negative Zone Positive Zone = a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart Negative Zone = a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart EMA = Exponential Moving Average.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by entertheroach
2
LXRX - a gain again?Possibility to gain again? It looks like it want to crawl up on a support line (green). I've packed bags here a little. Indicators are almost reversed to bullish. But it still can go lower if it breaks the support line. Remember to have a stop loss below the support line. There is a big gap below 5.60. There also could happen a bear trap, quick fall and then quick retrace and skyrocketing. This one is going to be fun soon. But Reward/Risk ratio is promising. 1st target point is 7.60(+over 30% profit). fundamentally : beating almost every estimations lately. Good luck!
NASDAQ:LXRXLong
by MateuszZakrzewski
UXIN - what is going to happen? Uxin is fighting on the channel pretty long time. Today is the date of report earnings. What will happen? Technicals look like any catalyst can push this at least to 1.50.. After that... who knows? China economics is looking good while comparing to the rest of the world during the pandemic. Electric cars are booming in China. Uxin, as a used-car retailer, can have a huge gains on the market. Let's see quartely reports. For technicals I use here : For looking for the support and resistance - Volume levels, Moving Averages,Tops and Lows. For trend forecasting - MACD, RSI, MF, Divergance indicator. For now: I'm packing bags a little at 1.02 1st PT : 1:28 2nd PT : 1.42 3rd PT: 1.70 Further: who knows... wait for the top and sell then :D Stop loss: 0.99
NASDAQ:UXINLong
by MateuszZakrzewski
4
CLVS - Cure for the market cancer!This company is going to be huge. Fundamentally : It's already passing the Phase 3 ARIEL4 study. Revenue has been beaten in last quarter report. (although there was a small overestimate for the profit(loss) per share) The MACD indicator is bouncing back (also the price is pushing through the Moving Averages). Price is now in the channel (2 thick red dot lines). It's rebouncing from the resistance(green line coming from the bottom). RSI + MF looking good! Divergance indicator is saying it's going to rise! Remember : not financial advise, just see what's going to happen. Use fundamentals to find a stock, use technicals to find moment to buy it. Good luck!
CLong
by MateuszZakrzewski
6
Butterfly pattern, Divergance, brake of RSI BBOn this chart which is a bit of a mess i identified a butterfly pattern and with then Fib levels that are circled, there was support at this level on the red support box that goes backwards to sit in additional price that has respected this level there is also bullish divergence on the RSI indicator signaling that this market is about the reverse to the upside, and also them circles on the RSI where the indicator has broke outside of the Bollenger bands also is a good indicator to use to upside reversal price has clearly reacted this area and i expect a short up side movement, the 4h chart does state this market is in a downtrend and to this would be a counter trend trade, there are some traders that profit this way on counter trend movements. we will see if this plays out to the upside short term
Long
by benm536