a Sign of Hope..Continuously making LH LL (Downtrend).
Currently at an Important Support level.
Double Bottom formation around 1200.
Bullish Divergence is there on Daily TF, which is a Positive Trigger.
However, the stock will reverse its trend once it will Cross & Sustain 1465 atleast.
& if this level is Crossed & Sustained, we may witness 1700 - 1730 initially.
On the flip side, breaking the Current Level (around 1200), will bring more selling pressure
& we may witness 1000 - 1040.
Divergence
POPCAT is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!The price has reached the bottom of the channel and is well supported. If we look at the MACD, we see that a hidden bullish divergence has formed, which is a very good signal for a price increase from this level. I expect the price to rise to the top of the channel after breaking the indicated resistances.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Can Rainbow MG3 Secure in the CME Trading Competition's Top 10?
Can Rainbow MG3 Secure a Spot in the CME Trading Competition's Top 10?
I've joined the CME trading competition 13 days late, but that hasn't stopped me from making an impact. After just two days of trading Bitcoin and Gold, my account is already up 6%, placing me in the top 14% out of nearly 50,000 traders.
The top 10 traders in the competition—many of whom are pro traders—have already racked up over $1 million in profits, making them part of the elite top 5%. The gap between them and the rest of the field is significant.
With 16 days left, my goal is to break into the top 10. I'm relying on the Rainbow MG3 indicator as my primary tool. The question is: Can Rainbow MG3 help me achieve this?
🚀 Follow my journey as I put this strategy to the test!
I see a bullish movement for BTC!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is in the most boring symmetrical triangle ever! However It's cooking something!
we can see a bullish Divergence on MACD and a possible bullish cross between MACD and Signal line!
these are some bullish signs which makes me think that the price might be able to break out of the triangle and get up to 123k! (AB=CD)
since we are at a bottom and the bullish trend line isn't lost yet, It might be a good point to enter!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Leap Ahead with a Bearish Divergence on Gold FuturesThe Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade Gold Futures
TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition is an opportunity for traders to test their futures trading skills. Participants can trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Gold Futures (GC) and Micro Gold Futures (MGC).
Register and participate here: TradingView Competition Registration .
This article presents a structured short trade setup based on a bearish divergence identified using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and key pivot point levels for confirmation. The trade plan focuses on waiting for price to break below the pivot point at 2866.8 before executing the trade, with clear targets and risk management.
Identifying the Trade Setup
Bearish divergence occurs when price makes higher highs while an indicator, such as CCI, makes lower highs. This signals weakening momentum and a potential reversal. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) measures price deviations from its average and helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions.
Pivot points are calculated from previous price action and serve as key support and resistance levels. The pivot at 2866.8 is the reference level in this setup. A breakdown below this level may suggest further downside momentum, increasing the probability of a successful short trade.
The trade plan combines CCI divergence with pivot point confirmation. While divergence signals a potential shift, entry is only considered if price trades below 2866.8. This approach reduces false signals and improves trade accuracy. The first target is set at 2823.0, aligning with an intermediate support level (S1), while the final target is near S2 at 2776.2, just above a UFO support zone.
Trade Plan and Risk Management
The short trade is triggered only if price trades below 2866.8. The stop loss is placed above the entry at a level ensuring at least a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Profit targets are structured to lock in gains progressively:
The first exit is at 2823.0, where partial profits can be taken.
The final exit is near 2776.2, positioned just above a UFO support level.
Stop placement may vary based on the trader’s preferred risk-reward ratio. Position sizing should be adjusted according to account size and market volatility.
Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements
Gold Futures (GC) details:
Full contract specs: GC Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: 100 troy ounces
Tick size: 0.10 per ounce ($10 per tick)
Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility. Currently around $12,500 per contract.
Micro Gold Futures (MGC) details:
Full contract specs: MGC Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: 10 troy ounces (1/10th of GC)
Tick size: 0.10 per ounce ($1 per tick)
Lower margin requirements provide access to smaller traders. Currently around $1,250 per contract.
Leverage impacts both potential gains and losses. Traders should consider market conditions and margin requirements when adjusting position sizes.
Execution and Market Conditions
Before executing the trade, price must break below 2866.8. Additional confirmation can be sought through volume trends and price action signals.
If price does not break the pivot, the short setup is invalid. If price consolidates, traders should reassess momentum before committing to the trade.
Conclusion
Bearish CCI divergence signals potential market weakness, but confirmation from the pivot breakdown is key before executing a short trade. A structured approach with well-defined targets and risk management increases the probability of success.
For traders in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of discipline, confirmation, and scaling out of trades to manage risk effectively.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Divergence Trading Explained For Beginners -DAX Pullback TradeTrading divergence in the Forex or Stock market can be an important tool. Learn how to identify divergences & practically apply them to your technical analysis to increase your edge & profits in the financial markets.
In this video you'll learn
What is a bullish and bearish divergence
How to use divergence to spot potential reversals in the market
How to use volume to identify key levels of reversals
How to measure out a "Kill Zone"
What are tweezer tops & tweezer bottoms & why they are important
How to use the Fibonacci retracement tool
How to use the Relative Strength Index (RSI Indicator)
Your Trading Coach - Akil
BTC ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
As we saw that there was a very bullish move in #BTC. Now we expect a correction in #BTC. Also there is a bearish divergence in RSI. We will see a correction first after that we it will again continue to rise.
🔖 Current Price: $95950
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Correction #DYOR
GOLD 1H Bearish Divergence Analysis:
Price Action (Top Section of Chart)
The price is making higher highs (shown with the upper trendline).
Relative Strength Index (RSI) (Bottom Section of Chart)
The RSI is making lower highs (shown with the downward trendline).
This is a bearish divergence, meaning that while the price is rising, the RSI is weakening, indicating that momentum is fading. This often suggests a potential reversal or pullback in price.
Confirmation:
The price has already started reacting to this divergence, showing some rejection from the highs.
The RSI dropping below 50 is an additional bearish signal.
If the price falls below support (around 2,864.95 EMA and 2,834.22 horizontal support), the bearish move could accelerate.
Understanding RSI In TradingThis article takes a deep dive into the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a powerful tool for traders at any level. We’ll break down how RSI works, how to interpret it, and how to use it effectively in your trading strategies. Plus, we’ll touch on the math behind it. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or just getting started, this guide will give you the insights you need to make RSI a valuable part of your trading toolkit.
Understanding Oscillators in Trading
An oscillator is a technical indicator that moves between two extremes, usually ranging from 0 to 100. Traders use oscillators to spot overbought and oversold conditions in the market. An overbought signal suggests that excessive buying has driven prices too high and may not be sustainable, while an oversold signal indicates the opposite—excessive selling that could lead to a potential rebound. By tracking these price oscillations, traders can anticipate trend reversals and make more informed decisions.
Key Functions of Oscillators:
Momentum Analysis: Oscillators gauge the speed and strength of price movements, offering insights into an asset’s momentum.
Volatility Detection: They help identify periods of high or low volatility, enabling traders to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Trend Confirmation: When combined with other technical indicators, oscillators can validate or reveal emerging trends in the market.
Introduction to the RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum-based technical indicator used to assess the strength of recent price movements and identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. It helps traders spot potential trend reversals by oscillating between 0 and 100. An RSI above 70 suggests the asset may be overbought, while a reading below 30 indicates it may be oversold.
By the end of this, you'll be an RSI expert!
Interpreting RSI Readings
RSI values above 70 suggest that an asset is overbought, meaning it has likely experienced a sharp price increase and may be due for a correction. On the other hand, RSI values below 30 indicate that the asset is oversold, implying a steep price drop and the possibility of a rebound.
However, it's important to remember that RSI isn't foolproof and can occasionally give false signals. To increase accuracy, it's best to use RSI in combination with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis.
Overbought: An RSI reading above 70 signals that the asset may be overbought and due for a correction. This could present a potential selling opportunity, but traders should be cautious, as false signals can occur.
Oversold: An RSI reading below 30 indicates that the asset may be oversold and due for a rebound. This can signal a potential buying opportunity, but again, traders should be cautious of possible false signals.
Divergence: Divergence happens when the RSI moves in the opposite direction of the price. For instance, if the price makes new highs while the RSI forms lower highs, this could point to a potential trend reversal.
Support and Resistance: The RSI can also help identify support and resistance levels. If the RSI consistently bounces off the 30 level, it may indicate a support level. Conversely, if the RSI repeatedly fails to break through the 70 level, this could signal a resistance level.
RSI and Divergence
Divergence happens when the RSI moves in the opposite direction of the asset's price, often signaling a potential trend reversal. For example, if the price is hitting new highs but the RSI forms lower highs, it could indicate a bearish divergence, suggesting a possible sell signal.
A common example of bearish divergence is when the price of an asset makes higher highs, but the RSI forms lower highs. This suggests weakening buying momentum, even as the price continues to rise. It can be a sign that the uptrend may be losing steam, with a reversal to the downside potentially on the horizon.
On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price is making lower lows, but the RSI is making higher lows. This indicates that selling pressure is subsiding, and the asset may be primed for a rebound to the upside. Traders can use this pattern to time their entries for long positions.
RSI divergence can help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, enabling them to make more effective decisions about entry and exit points. However, divergence should always be used alongside other technical and fundamental analysis for confirmation before acting on the signal.
Calculating the RSI Indicator
Calculating the RSI is straightforward once you break it down. The goal is to determine the average gains and losses over a set period, typically 14 days. This helps assess the strength of price movements and identify overbought or oversold conditions. While the math may sound complex, understanding the formula is key to using the tool effectively.
The RSI formula is:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (Average Gains / Average Losses)))
This calculation provides valuable insights into the relative strength of an asset’s price movements.
Factors Affecting the RSI Calculation
The RSI calculation can be influenced by several factors, with the length of the time period being the most significant. A shorter period (e.g., 5 days) results in a more volatile RSI that responds quickly to price changes, while a longer period (e.g., 20 days) creates a smoother RSI, filtering out short-term fluctuations. The ideal time period depends on your trading style and the volatility of the market you're analyzing.
Why the RSI Indicator is Powerful
Identifies Overbought and Oversold Conditions: The RSI helps traders recognize when an asset is overbought or oversold, allowing them to time their entries and exits more effectively.
Detects Divergences: Divergences between the RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals, giving traders an early warning to adjust their positions accordingly.
Flexible and Customizable: Traders can adjust the RSI’s period to match their trading style and the specific market conditions, making it a highly versatile tool for technical analysis.
Widely Adopted and Well-Understood: The RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators, with a wealth of resources and analysis available to assist traders in interpreting its signals.
Practical Application in Real Life
Here are a few effective strategies where RSI can be combined with other technical indicators for a more comprehensive analysis:
Example 1: RSI + Support/Resistance + Moving Averages
Scenario:
You are analyzing a stock that has been in an uptrend, with the price currently approaching a key resistance level at $100. The 50-period moving average is also trending upwards, confirming the bullish trend.
The RSI is at 75, indicating an overbought condition.
As the price nears the resistance level, the RSI starts to flatten, suggesting the upward momentum might be weakening.
You wait for the price to fail to break above the $100 resistance level and the RSI to drop below 70, signaling a potential reversal. This provides a clearer sell signal, as both the price and RSI align with the idea that a correction could be coming.
Why this works:
By using both RSI and moving averages with support and resistance, you have a solid confirmation of the potential reversal, as it combines trend analysis with overbought conditions.
Example 2: RSI + SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) + Price Action
Scenario:
You’re monitoring a currency pair that recently made a new low, breaking through a previous swing low at 1.1500. However, the price quickly reverses and fails to sustain the breakdown, bouncing back above the previous low, forming an SFP.
At the same time, the RSI is below 30, but it starts to turn upward, forming a bullish divergence (higher lows on the RSI while the price makes lower lows).
This divergence and the SFP setup suggest that the selling pressure is decreasing, and a potential reversal to the upside could be imminent.
Why this works:
The Swing Failure Pattern highlights the false breakdown, and the RSI divergence confirms that momentum is shifting. This combination increases the likelihood of a successful trade when entering on the potential reversal.
Key Takeways
The RSI is an essential tool for traders looking to spot overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals. By mastering how to interpret RSI readings and incorporating them into your strategies, you can improve your decision-making and potentially boost your trading results. For a more balanced approach, always use RSI alongside other technical indicators and fundamental analysis.
Indusind Bank Bottoms Reversal confirmed in seeing a good upside Can see 10 % upside and if sustain above 1100 then we can see new rally.
This post is just my perception and for study purpose only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. As stock market has risk of loosing money.
Please invest your hard earned money carefully.
I will not be responsible for any loss in the stock market.
WTI | Selloff Back to $68 w/USD/JPY CorrelationSince the last call on Oil we successfully hit the $77 target.
This next move is now looking to head back to $68 support based on the pivot moves within the current Descending Triangle pattern.
This is also another opportunity to take a back-to-back swing on FX:USDJPY
We got divergence on the forex pair acting like the 'price' and 'oil' acting like the indication
(Convergence/Divergence)
Oil moves first on the down move and usdjpy will follow through after it makes one more leg up.
S&P500 & US30 Active DivergenceDivergence does not always have to be observed through the lens of a lagging indicator. Closes do provide powerful signals as to when a move is likely to reverse direction. They also allow us to enter with a smaller risk.
Lets first compare the previous swing lows marked out on both charts (dotted orange horizontal line) on the 20th Dec 2024. Zoom in on the white arrows! What do you see with the closes?
Now focus in on the S/R zone in purple. Notice that the block width is created from the highest high and the highest low of the same swing. These are very important inflection points from which to compare closes when observing divergence between both instruments.
Now observe the yellow arrows!! What do you see with the closes when comparing the S/R zone in purple?
Now look at the yellow UPWARD diagonal median line of both purple pitchforks . have they both touched the same median line? Yes or No? perhaps another line confirming divergence?
As an additional confirmation the market has touched the upper line of both light blue DOWNWARD pitchforks on both instruments with the current candle
Lets see if we get the reversal.
Cheers
EUR/USD Trade Plan Summary - Reversal
Entry: Place a Buy Stop at 1.04355, confirming a breakout from the falling wedge.
Stop Loss: Set at 1.01702, below the recent lower low to limit risk.
Take Profit: Target TP1 at 1.06993 and optionally TP2 at 1.09253 for extended gains.
Confirmation: Wait for a daily candle close above the wedge before activating the trade.
Risk Management: Risk 1-2% of capital and adjust position size based on the entry-to-SL distance.
The last bullish chance of MYRO in short term!Price has created a divergence on the 4-hour time frame which can raise the price to the middle of the wedge in the short term.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!