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Divergence

Double Bottom - UCADHere I have USD/CAD on the 1 HR Chart! Price has outlined a very clear Double Bottom pattern with the two Lows! RSI is giving us a Bullish Divergence which tells me price really wants to work higher from this point! Price has now broken the Confirmation of Pattern! With this PA of now Higher Highs, we look for the next Low to be Higher than the Low of the Double Bottom being our INVALIDATION! Fundamentally this week: USD - Richmond Index (Tue) Flash PMI (Wed) Advance GDP, Unemployment, Durable Goods (Thur) Core CPE (Fri) CAD - NHPI (Tue) BOC Monetary Policy, Rate Statement & Press Conference (Wed) *If price does come down to test this break, I suspect the Support Zone @ Confirmation will be enough to catapult price up into the overhead Resistance Zone and Above!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
Potential Head and Shoulders - GUHere I have GBPUSD on the 4Hr Chart! Price had been ultimately traveling sideways but after the Lower High created on Jan. 5th, price has been unable to break it and is in a steep decline after the positive news for USD! Giving us what looks to be a potential Head and Shoulders pattern!! With the very wide "Right Shoulder" theoretically being created, we are now waiting for the Confirmation of Pattern with Price touching the "Neckline" or Support Zone I have marked.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
XPTUSD (Platinum) Trend Reversal ahead!Platinum is a rare but highly interesting metal, well suited for many use-cases. One use-case might be to open a short position. For about a week, OANDA:XPTUSD has formed higher lows on the 4h chart. On the other hand - momentum fell on Wednesday, then rose again but then took another dip. As a result of rising prices and falling momentum, we have a bearish divergence situation. This bearish divergence is an indication of a potential trend reversal. There are two indicators that support the hypothesis of a trend reversal: RSI was overbought and now keeps falling MACD is about to cross the signal line Of course, there's no guarantee but there are at least 3 signs (divergence, RSI oversold, MACD crossover) that usually occur when a trend is about to reverse. The profit target is the weekly pivot at around 903.232
OANDA:XPTUSDShort
by TradingClue
Bitcoin Pullback Imminent? The rally in Bitcoin futures has been impressive. But, without question, the rally is showing signs of fatigue. So the question is - are we gearing up for a pullback? Technical Outlook : Concurrent bearish divergence and a declining volume profile is a telltale sign of an impending correction. Why? Put simply, because all of the bulls are already in the market. Meaning that no new buyers bidding up the price. As a result, long liquidation pushes price lower. An initial operative target for a correction would be filling the gap from Dec. 1st and Dec. 4th between 40,390 and 42,500. While this correction would be significant, it may be necessary to sustain the longer-term bull trend. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:BTC1!Short
by Blue_Line_Futures
BTC USDTHI GUYZZZZ As marked in the price chart, we see a lot of divergence in both oscillators. From another point of view, these divergences have not had an effect for almost two weeks In my opinion, there is room for doubt when there is a lot of positive news It is not possible to say exactly how much this divergence can cause the price to drop, but in my opinion, you should expect a drop of 2 to 6 thousand dollars. Also, if we check the input volume in 12 hours, it is much less than expected If we examine the lower times as well, we see two price nodes, which can be expected to react to these two price nodes. The first is 43700 The second is 42,700
Short
by aliasadii
2
#FTSE100 Santa clause rally to continue? CAPITALCOM:UK100 index has demonstrated a substantial ascent, exhibiting a remarkable 6.5% increase from its October lows to the conclusion of the calendar year. This surge followed the emergence of a bullish divergence, further fortifying the positive sentiment surrounding the index. Notably, the recent breach of the wedge pattern suggests a potential continuation of this upward trajectory. Anticipating a retest of the 7650 level, I posit that the index is poised to sustain its positive momentum, buoyed by the prevailing bullish forces in the CAPITALCOM:US500 US equities market. This projection is underpinned by the conviction that the ongoing momentum in US equities will exert a continued uplifting effect on the UK100 index, thereby contributing to further gains.
CAPITALCOM:UK100Long
by sajalgoelin
Potential Inverted H&S - GJHere I have GBP/JPY on the 4Hr Chart!! Price has given us 2 Lows both returning to a very clear Resistance Area! This price action could possibly be outlining a very strong reversal known as an Inverted Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern!! Now with the Lower Low or "Head" being followed by Higher Low or "Right Shoulder", this Price Action signifies that price no longer wants to continue Lower and wants to make HIGHER HIGHS!! What we are waiting to see is for price to retest the "Neckline" one last time for a 3rd Touch before giving us a BULLISH BREAK to continue HIGHER!! Strengthening my BULLISH BIAS is the Bullish Divergence on the RSI indicator showing price, after being HEAVILY Oversold Dec. 7th, wanting to reverse in the opposite direction. Fundamentally, this week GBP - "Clear" JPY - "Clear" **Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!! -Pattern Prediction- *If Price Breaks and Closes below 179.783, Pattern INVALIDATED! *If Price Breaks and Closes above 184.065, Pattern CONFIRMED! **Price Action after Confirmation of Pattern will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
How to Confirm a DivergenceI get a lot of messages from you guys talking about how #diivergences seem to play out or not get initiated or that you're having problems entering A #divergence trade. In this video I'm presenting you a reminder of one of the steps you need to use and it is the the confirmation step that you need to use for confirming whether a divergence is actually going to start going in your favor. By that I mean that you have already found the divergence and you're simply waiting to enter on the trade because as you should know by now just because you see a divergence doesn't mean it triggers you to start trading in a direction. Finding the divergence is only step one but finding the entry is based off of the structure in price action that I have outlined in this video idea. In this video I'm simply using the RSI to find a bullish divergence based off of the difference in bearish price action and you can see clearly how I implement drawing a area around the start of the divergence and wait for price to reach that area. If price never reaches that area then I do not trade bullish according to the bullish divergence instead you simply ignore the divergence and carry on with the rest of your #priceaction #trading.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
8
Buying Opportunity in T-Notes? After putting in a bottom in mid-October, T-notes have rallied sharply higher. Patient bulls have been afforded few opportunities to enter the contracts on a pullback, but that may soon change. Pullbacks are a healthy part of any sustained rally, as they allow market participants to take profits from longer held positions, and reallocate capital in the direction of the prevailing trend. Fundamental Snapshot : T-Note prices are inversely related to yields - meaning that as yields decline, the price of T-Notes will rise. After the last Fed meeting, Chair Powell suggested that the Fed may be cutting rates as much as 3 times in 2024. As displayed on CME’s FedWatch Tool below, the market is pricing in a 77.2% probability that the first rate cut may come as soon as March. If that materializes, T-note prices should continue to press higher. Talkin’ Technicals : The white line on the bottom of the chart labeling short-term bearish divergence on RSI in the bottom indicates that the market is making successive new highs on decreasing momentum, and that the market remains in overbought territory. Meaning that the current rally is effectively running out of steam. Furthermore, volume has steadily decreased since the previous high. If there are no more bulls willing to enter the market, it will likely result in a pullback. A pullback on price will force current bulls to liquidate long positions to capture profit, and afford new bulls to enter the market amidst the correction. Fed policy is a major function in establishing the longer-term trend in T-notes and bonds. By lowering rates in 2024, one should expect both T-notes and bonds to perform well pricewise. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT:TN1!Long
by Blue_Line_Futures
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Key numbers: Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17% P/B - 2.03 P/E - 5.41 Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD) Analyst estimates: Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price. Key information: FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years. Technical analysis: FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280. Strategy: I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment. If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
OSL:FROLong
by DonBboy
2
USDCHF bullish move possibilityPrice is currently testing the lower boundary of a daily bearish channel, the 78.6% FIB retracement level, and a long-term support area as well as bullish divergence between price and stochastic momentum oscillator in daily timeframe. This supportive cluster could potentially lead to the formation of a low around this price level. On the other hand, the bearish move in price appears to be a corrective bearish ABC move, correcting approximately 61.8% to 78.6% from the previous bullish move. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
Long
by mohemati
2