BTC USDTHI GUYZZZZ
As marked in the price chart, we see a lot of divergence in both oscillators.
From another point of view, these divergences have not had an effect for almost two weeks
In my opinion, there is room for doubt when there is a lot of positive news
It is not possible to say exactly how much this divergence can cause the price to drop, but in my opinion, you should expect a drop of 2 to 6 thousand dollars.
Also, if we check the input volume in 12 hours, it is much less than expected
If we examine the lower times as well, we see two price nodes, which can be expected to react to these two price nodes.
The first is 43700
The second is 42,700
Divergence
#FTSE100 Santa clause rally to continue? CAPITALCOM:UK100 index has demonstrated a substantial ascent, exhibiting a remarkable 6.5% increase from its October lows to the conclusion of the calendar year. This surge followed the emergence of a bullish divergence, further fortifying the positive sentiment surrounding the index. Notably, the recent breach of the wedge pattern suggests a potential continuation of this upward trajectory.
Anticipating a retest of the 7650 level, I posit that the index is poised to sustain its positive momentum, buoyed by the prevailing bullish forces in the CAPITALCOM:US500 US equities market. This projection is underpinned by the conviction that the ongoing momentum in US equities will exert a continued uplifting effect on the UK100 index, thereby contributing to further gains.
Potential Inverted H&S - GJHere I have GBP/JPY on the 4Hr Chart!!
Price has given us 2 Lows both returning to a very clear Resistance Area! This price action could possibly be outlining a very strong reversal known as an Inverted Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern!!
Now with the Lower Low or "Head" being followed by Higher Low or "Right Shoulder", this Price Action signifies that price no longer wants to continue Lower and wants to make HIGHER HIGHS!!
What we are waiting to see is for price to retest the "Neckline" one last time for a 3rd Touch before giving us a BULLISH BREAK to continue HIGHER!!
Strengthening my BULLISH BIAS is the Bullish Divergence on the RSI indicator showing price, after being HEAVILY Oversold Dec. 7th, wanting to reverse in the opposite direction.
Fundamentally, this week
GBP - "Clear"
JPY - "Clear"
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below 179.783, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above 184.065, Pattern CONFIRMED!
**Price Action after Confirmation of Pattern will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
TRADE USING DIVERGENCE SIGNALS, THRILLED & ECSTATICTrade using divergence signals,
This signal is very suitable for knowing the direction of the market, entering the market and obtaining a good position.
1. Use a larger timeframe, and/or a small timeframe should follow the larger tf. It also includes
other buy/sell signals.
2. A good signal is when the signal is triggered in the supply or demand zone
30 MINUTES
5 MINUTES
CREATE ALERT for bullish/bearish divergence signals
Failure Divergency Trade ReviewIn a failure Divergence pattern, "RSI" and "SlowStoch" indicators did not keep moving up and broken the previous up trend support lines. It could be a warning to exit the long trade.
In a correct Divergency movement, the Price was positively moving to correct direction without broken the support line in "RSI" and "SlowStoch" indicators.
How to Confirm a DivergenceI get a lot of messages from you guys talking about how #diivergences seem to play out or not get initiated or that you're having problems entering A #divergence trade.
In this video I'm presenting you a reminder of one of the steps you need to use and it is the the confirmation step that you need to use for confirming whether a divergence is actually going to start going in your favor.
By that I mean that you have already found the divergence and you're simply waiting to enter on the trade because as you should know by now just because you see a divergence doesn't mean it triggers you to start trading in a direction.
Finding the divergence is only step one but finding the entry is based off of the structure in price action that I have outlined in this video idea.
In this video I'm simply using the RSI to find a bullish divergence based off of the difference in bearish price action and you can see clearly how I implement drawing a area around the start of the divergence and wait for price to reach that area. If price never reaches that area then I do not trade bullish according to the bullish divergence instead you simply ignore the divergence and carry on with the rest of your #priceaction #trading.
Buying Opportunity in T-Notes? After putting in a bottom in mid-October, T-notes have rallied sharply higher. Patient bulls have been afforded few opportunities to enter the contracts on a pullback, but that may soon change. Pullbacks are a healthy part of any sustained rally, as they allow market participants to take profits from longer held positions, and reallocate capital in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Fundamental Snapshot :
T-Note prices are inversely related to yields - meaning that as yields decline, the price of T-Notes will rise. After the last Fed meeting, Chair Powell suggested that the Fed may be cutting rates as much as 3 times in 2024. As displayed on CME’s FedWatch Tool below, the market is pricing in a 77.2% probability that the first rate cut may come as soon as March. If that materializes, T-note prices should continue to press higher.
Talkin’ Technicals :
The white line on the bottom of the chart labeling short-term bearish divergence on RSI in the bottom indicates that the market is making successive new highs on decreasing momentum, and that the market remains in overbought territory. Meaning that the current rally is effectively running out of steam. Furthermore, volume has steadily decreased since the previous high. If there are no more bulls willing to enter the market, it will likely result in a pullback. A pullback on price will force current bulls to liquidate long positions to capture profit, and afford new bulls to enter the market amidst the correction. Fed policy is a major function in establishing the longer-term trend in T-notes and bonds. By lowering rates in 2024, one should expect both T-notes and bonds to perform well pricewise.
Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURAUDEURAUD is trading in falling wedge pattern. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of wedge.
Currently the price is about to give breakout from falling wedge and after successful retest of the level will be bullish signal and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 1.6520 followed by 1.6800.
What you guys think of this idea?
XLE Nasty Setup From a technical level, the XLE is showing a potential head and shoulders setup on a monthly chart. Combine this with major bearish divergence leaves shorting this basket of stocks as the trade of the year.
Any potential good news on the Ukraine/Russia front would be devastating on a fundamental level.
Everyone is long energy. Be brave, be bold. AMEX:XLE
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice.
Key numbers:
Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17%
P/B - 2.03
P/E - 5.41
Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD)
Analyst estimates:
Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price.
Key information:
FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years.
Technical analysis:
FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280.
Strategy:
I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment.
If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
USDCHF bullish move possibilityPrice is currently testing the lower boundary of a daily bearish channel, the 78.6% FIB retracement level, and a long-term support area as well as bullish divergence between price and stochastic momentum oscillator in daily timeframe. This supportive cluster could potentially lead to the formation of a low around this price level.
On the other hand, the bearish move in price appears to be a corrective bearish ABC move, correcting approximately 61.8% to 78.6% from the previous bullish move.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
GBPUSD: Anticipating Bearish Momentum with Double Top FormationThe GBPUSD currency pair has established a distinctive double top pattern, coupled with a discernible bearish divergence, as observed on the 1-hour timeframe. This confluence of technical indicators suggests a potential forthcoming downward movement. Our strategy involves initiating a trade position when the neckline of the double top formation is breached to the downside.
Seizing Opportunity: GBPJPY Unveils Bearish Momentum on 4H ChartThe GBPJPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a discernible bearish flag pattern on the 4-hour time frame. Noteworthy in this context is the presence of a bearish divergence, adding an additional layer of significance to the technical analysis. Consequently, our strategy entails initiating a trade position upon the confirmed breakout of the bearish flag, anticipating a downward trajectory in line with the established bearish momentum.
EURNZDIs EURNZD getting fueled at strong support level?
As the price is been on strong sell side but now it seems like price is getting some bullish momentum after reaching at support level and bullish divergence suggesting the buying pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 1.7875 followed by 1.8200.
What you guys think of it
Inverted Head & Shoulders - UCHFHere we have USD/CHF on the 30 Min Chart! It looks to be outlining a potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern upcoming!!
The First Low or "Shoulder" @ .86792 followed by the Lower Low or "Head @ .86662 with price moving back up to the Confirmation of Pattern or "Neckline" @ .86973 makes me believe we will get a BREAK of Confirmation @ the 3rd touch of the Neckline with price continuing HIGHER!
The RSI indicator is also throwing out a Slight Divergence, strengthening Bullish Bias on this possibly imminent Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - JOLTS (Tues) Non-Farm Payroll (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
CHF - CPI (Mon) Currency Reserve (Thur)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below .86792, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above .86973, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
#AUDJPY potential turnaroundHello dear traders and friends. Let's take a look at the AUDJPY chart and explore the potential bullish move that could happen from around here.
As observed in the 4-hour timeframe chart, the overall direction of the price is bullish , characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The price respects a bullish trendline acting as support, with clear bullish bounces occurring each time the price reaches or gets close to this line.
Simultaneously, in the 1-hour timeframe chart, the price is forming a double bottom , corresponding with a bullish divergence between price and the momentum (Stoch) oscillator. The crucial aspect of these two confluences is that they are occurring in an important supportive area, namely the static support area and the bullish trendline, which adds to the possibility of the divergence working out.
From a candlestick perspective, we also observe the formation of a bullish engulfing candle in the 1-hour timeframe, which can be interpreted as a morning star if combined with two previous candles.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.