TSLA - Price action and Volume are trending oppositelyBased on analysis of Price Action and Volume together, we can see that current volume is trending higher while the Price has Red TrapZone formed. Therefore there is NO VALID Trade Bias. Price action analysis is performed by TrapZone Pro.
I published a "Volume Only" analysis using the Unusual Market Volume Detector as well to form a contrast. Price action only tells one half of the story, the other half is Volume. So when we put both together we get the complete picture.
Divergence
Bitcoin is bearish now and many Traders don't see it !!!As you can see, the price has reached the ceiling of the ascending channel and also completed its five ascending waves, and now it is time for the ABC correction wave to begin. Also, the negative divergence in the MACD makes this signal stronger.
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
divergence on us30 and us100just now
we can see bearish divergence between us30 and us 100 i took it as additional confirmation to expect us100 or nas100 price to go lower and mitigate 4h fvg and then going up as the price already on discount array, sell side liquidity taken and now offering buy side liqudity
dyor and keep safe
🟥 Divergence on NAS vs Stocks above 200D - cautionI have spoken about this since begining of the year but now it materializes nicely.
The market has never survived narrow niche rallies and this has never been the characteristic of a bull market.
As you see the Nasdaq Composite has started to pull as the percent of stocks above their respective 200 D Moving average is well below 40%. To be confident that we are really oversold I would like to see the TVC:VIX go to above 25 on this pullback.
Caution is advised.
Bullish divergence in ETHBTC 📉📈❓🔍Here we are looking at the price indexed to 100.
🟢We have a descending rising wedge, with a bullish divergence: price falling, with the SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index) of the PVT (Price Volume Trend) rising.
🔴Could price revisit the 0.5 Fibo retracement in the final breather?
It could, but I think it's unlikely.
In any case, I traced this possibility using the white line.
🟢Furthermore, we have other divergences, if we consider the TOTALDEFI index:
Emerging Market Fund (EEM) Turns the corner against NasdaqIntroduction
Since the 2008 Financial Crisis NDX has been “the” trade for anyone looking for easy gains in equities. It has stomped out precious metals, emerging markets and the like. Even crypto powerhouses like Bitcoin and Ethereum are sideways against NDX since the 2018 crypto bear market and smaller alts have been clobbered against NDX in the most recent bear market.
Against all this we now have the Emerging Market ETF, EEM, turning technical corners against NDX on the monthly time frame. This idea is more of an investing idea rather than a day or swing trade idea. And it point to finding entries into EEM.
Main Chart
The main chart has a very simple draw. It takes a bearish fib draw from the all time high to the bull trap low. The gavel shows where price returned to the 1 line and previous support was turned into resistance. From there the pair bear market began in earnest.
Price consolidated for about 3 years on the 2.618 level before continuing downward. That leve is also confirmed by the VPVR. We see similar levels of consolidation at the 3.618 an 4.0 level. Price is currently just bounced of the 4.618. Conceivably price could go and hit a 5.0 extension with the divergence indicators showing bullishness n the monthly chart I don’t see that being a likely scenario.
Divergence Primer
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
Divergence Indicators
The RSI, Stochastic and Stochastic RSI are some of the first indicators traders learn about when they begin to trade. There is a lot of value one can get out of their use by mastering the fundamentals rather than running off for more esoteric indicators. The Logrithmic MACD is a advanced look at the MACD that can be useful whenever you look at a underlying asset that is best viewed logarithmically for its charting and targeting.
Relative Strength Index
A very simple indicator for looking for divergences. The chart clearly shows that there have been 2020 we have had two lower lows on price action but two higher highs on the RSI. This is clearly normal bullish divergence and suggest a trend reversal is coming. Even more importantly the RSI has climbed its way above the key level of 25 on this most recent bounce. One of the main things I am looking for is a swing low with hidden bullish divergence. A buy of a low with hidden bullish divergence is one of my most preferred buys for trades and investments.
Stoch RSI
The Stoch RSI is derived from from the RSI and helps confirm any divergences on the RSI. Seeing bullish divergence on the Stoch RSI helps confirm the fact that price action is turning the corner and ready to reverse. This indicator will be useful when combined with the EEM chart to help buy pull backs. It will also be useful to see any further bullish divergences.
Log MACD
The log MACD is undulating below zero Despite any bullish divergence we see we can know we are a long way away from seeing an impulse move upward on EEM/NDX while the LMACD is below zero. If we see the LMCAD with bullish divergences above zero then we can know that the move will be a lot more impulsive. As it stands, this is still time to accumulate EEM against NDX.
EEM
EEM has hidden bearish divergence on the 2020 C19 low to the low of October 2022. I am going to be looking for another low shortly to see what divergences can be seen. I hope to buy in against or below the monthly BB.
Another look with fewer indicators and some ambitious trend lines.
Conclusion
There is a lot of noise about financial resets and that can mean a lot of different things. For me, nothing totally resets but there are transition periods of major rotations. With emerging markets so low against the NASDAQ it seems likely they will benefit from rotation as people sell something that is overvalued (NDX Stocks, other US equities) and try to move into things that are comparatively undervalued.
A look at EEM is looking for a investment that can be held perhaps for decades or until some young’un wants to retire. There is probably a lot of consolidation and accumulation that needs to occur before any big move happens. But when it starts to move it should be quite impulsive for a index. But for now, lots of basing out and dip buying.
NASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 4HNASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 4H
#Forex #NDX100 #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignal #TradingOpportunity #Divergence #TradingSignal #NASDAQtradingsignal #NASDAQ #USTECH
Hey traders! 👋 Let's dive into a potential trading opportunity on the NDX100 pair using technical analysis. 📊
📉 Previously Bullish Trend:
Firstly, on the 4H- timeframe, we've been witnessing a Bearish trend in the NDX100 pair. 🐻
🔄 Divergence on LL (Lower Low’s):
However, it's crucial to note that recently, we have started to observe a divergence pattern on the LL (Lower Low’s). This is an important signal that the Bearish momentum might be weakening. 📉🔄
📊 Trade Opportunity:
Currently, we are looking at a potential trade opportunity with a Bullish bias.
📈 Buy Level \ Entry Price: 14600
🎯 Stop Loss Level: 14501
🚀TP1: 14700
🚀TP2: 14760
💰 Investment Advice:
Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading plan, proper risk management, and stop-loss orders in place. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Make sure to do your research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade.
Happy trading, and may the pips be in your favour! 🚀📈💰 #HappyTrading #ProfitOpportunity #TradeSmart #CryptoSignal #StockSignal #TradingwithBelieve
EURNZDEURNZD is trading in more like of falling wedge pattern and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted now and the pair is started to get support within the wedge.
Currently the price is forming a local support around 1.7725 region and a bullish divergence also indicating the buyers are getting ready for some serious move to upside.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher
Caution : Hidden Bearish Divergence 🧐📉Understanding Hidden Bearish Divergence:
Hidden bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making higher highs, but the RSI indicator is forming lower highs.
This creates a discrepancy between price action and momentum, suggesting that the bullish trend may be losing strength beneath the surface.
Why Hidden Bearish Divergence Matters:
Hidden bearish divergence is a sign of weakening bullish momentum, potentially signaling an impending trend reversal or correction.
It can be subtle and easy to miss but may be an early warning of a trend shift, especially on longer timeframes.
Proceeding with Caution:
If you spot hidden bearish divergence on the Bitcoin chart, it's essential to exercise caution rather than panic.
Consider it as a potential indication that the bullish trend may be losing steam, not an immediate sell signal.
Confirm your analysis by looking at other technical indicators and market factors.
Risk Management and Strategy:
Implement effective risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your investments.
Diversify your portfolio to spread risk and avoid overexposure to a single asset.
Be prepared to adapt your trading strategy based on evolving market conditions.
The Bigger Picture:
Remember that hidden bearish divergence is just one piece of the puzzle. It's crucial to consider other factors like market sentiment, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends.
Stay informed about news and events that can impact the cryptocurrency market.
Conclusion:
Hidden bearish divergence can be a valuable tool for traders and investors, providing insights into potential shifts in market dynamics. However, it's not a guaranteed sell signal. Instead, it's a call to be vigilant, manage risks, and stay adaptable in your investment approach.
In the world of cryptocurrency, where volatility is the norm, being a savvy investor means paying attention to both the obvious and the subtle signals. By doing so, you can make informed decisions that are more likely to lead to successful outcomes.
Remember, a well-rounded approach to analysis and risk management is your best ally in navigating the crypto market's twists and turns. 📊🧐🚀
NASDAQ Trade Signal NASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 15-Min
#Forex #NDX100 #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignal #TradingOpportunity #Divergence #TradingSignal #NASDAQtradingsignal #NASDAQ #USTECH
Hey traders! 👋 Let's dive into a potential trading opportunity on the NDX100 pair using technical analysis. 📊
📉 Previously Bullish Trend:
Firstly, on the 15- timeframe, we've been witnessing a Bullish trend in the NDX100 pair. 🐻
🔄 Divergence on HH (Higher High):
However, it's crucial to note that recently, we have started to observe a divergence pattern on the HH (Higher High’s). This is an important signal that the Bullish momentum might be weakening. 📉🔄
📊 Trade Opportunity:
Currently, we are looking at a potential trade opportunity with a Bullish bias.
📈 Buy Level \ Entry Price: 14807.50
🎯 Stop Loss Level: 14860.4
🚀TP1: 14755.7
🚀TP2: 14702.9
💰 Investment Advice:
Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading plan, proper risk management, and stop-loss orders in place. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Make sure to do your research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade.
Happy trading, and may the pips be in your favor! 🚀📈💰 #HappyTrading #ProfitOpportunity #TradeSmart #CryptoSignal #StockSignal
Power of Bullish Divergence 📈Divergence, a powerful concept in technical analysis, has been making waves in the world of Bitcoin trading. Recently, we witnessed a remarkable 90% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by a bullish divergence pattern on the weekly chart. In this post, we'll delve into the significance of this pattern and explore the potential outcomes of a similar bullish divergence on the daily Bitcoin chart.
Weekly Chart Bullish Divergence:
A bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes lower lows, while a relevant technical indicator, in this case, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms higher lows.
In simple terms, it suggests that while the price is weakening, the momentum is picking up, potentially indicating a trend reversal.
The recent bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart was a game-changer, leading to a substantial 90% price increase.
Daily Chart Potential:
Now, let's shift our focus to the daily Bitcoin chart and what we can expect from a bullish divergence on this timeframe:
50% Potential Gain: While it's difficult to predict exact price movements, historical patterns suggest that a bullish divergence on the daily chart could lead to significant gains.
Confirmation Needed: Remember that trading based on a single indicator can be risky. It's essential to confirm the bullish divergence with other technical indicators or chart patterns for added reliability.
Risk Management: Maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Determine stop-loss levels and position sizes based on your risk tolerance.
Caution and Patience:
The crypto market is known for its volatility. While bullish divergences can be strong signals, they are not foolproof.
Be patient and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. False signals can occur, so consider using multiple indicators to cross-verify your analysis.
Conclusion:
The recent 90% growth following a bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart showcases the power of this technical pattern. While it doesn't guarantee future success, it provides valuable insights into potential trend reversals.
As we look at the daily chart, the prospect of a 50% gain from a similar pattern is intriguing. However, exercise caution, practice strict risk management, and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions.
Trading in the crypto market is exciting, but it's also challenging. Stay informed, stay analytical, and remember that a diversified approach and continual learning are keys to success in crypto trading. 🚀📊🧐
❗See related ideas below❗
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚🚀💚
#GBPJPY Potential upside continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs.
since price rejected from the long term bullish channel upper line, price formed a bearish corrective structure with the possibility of upside continuation in favor of long term price movement.
As it can be seen in the chart price struggling with supply area for the past few days and failed several times to break below this supportive area.
more importantly today after another failed attempt to break below the support price rejected and formed strong bullish hammer candlestick pattern which can potentially shows buyers strength.
Now in order to trade this pair I'm looking for price to fail to go lower than the 4H bullish hammer candle low or break above lower timeframe bearish trendline.
TSLA bearish indicator divergence, bullish channelTesla continues to trade in a bullish channel. There is a bearish divergence on the stochastic compared to the uptrend in price, however it could just be cooling off for another bullish run up the channel. HMA bearish crossover.
Waiting to see how price reacts at bottom of channel.
#CHFJPY bullish continuation*please be sure to remember that today we have FOMC meeting and they are going to announce funds rate and their policies for coming meetings with a high possibility of a lot of movement in all pairs.
As you can see in the chart price broke above short-term bearish trendline with strong 4H time frame Marubozu like candlestick which revels buyers strength.
This bearish move since the completion of 4H time frame candle can be interpreted as pullback to test the broken trendline and its possible to be looking to buy in this area.
USD Index: Breakdown before the FOMCToday's focus: USD Index
Pattern – Nill
Support – 105.00 - 104.45
Resistance – 105.10 - 105.55
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over the USD Index, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The USD index sits in an interesting spot with the FOMC to come. Price still sits in its uptrend, and we saw a nice fightback yesterday from buyers after sellers were once again rejected below 105. price also looks to be losing some upward momentum, and the RSI is also warning us of this, with divergence forming on the RSI.
A lot could come down to the FOMC. If we see a hawkish tone, could we see a new move by buyers to test the 105.55 resistance? On the other hand, if it is more to the doveish side, the momentum warnings could come true, and we may see a new test lower by sellers.
Sorry that today's update is a touch this way or that way, but it looks like the market is waiting for some direction in the short term.
The fund's rate, projections and statement are due at 4:00 a.m. AEST Thursday morning.
Have a great day and good trading.
#USDCAD potential bullish moveStandard bullish divergence between price and MACD indicator showing potential bullishness in the price, coinciding this divergence with price forming bullish hammer candlestick formation and also getting rejected from 4H timeframe Low, giving higher probability to this long opportunity setup.
Guide: SMA and RSI for Trend ReversalsWelcome, traders! In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore a long-term trading strategy that leverages two powerful technical indicators: the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). By the end, you'll have a solid understanding of how to use these tools to identify trend reversals and make informed trading decisions with a focus on the bigger picture. 📉📈
Educational Objectives:
Understand the concept of long-term trading and its benefits.
Learn how to use the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify trends.
Master the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for spotting overbought and oversold conditions.
Combine SMA and RSI for a comprehensive long-term trading strategy.
Recognize key points of trend reversal for well-timed entries.
📌 Part 1: The Foundation of Long-Term Trading
Long-term trading focuses on capturing significant price movements over extended periods.
It requires patience, discipline, and the ability to ignore short-term noise.
📌 Part 2: Understanding the Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is a trend-following indicator that smooths price data to reveal the underlying trend.
The 200-day SMA is particularly useful for long-term analysis, indicating the overall trend direction.
An upward-sloping 200-day SMA suggests a bullish trend, while a downward slope indicates a bearish trend.
📌 Part 3: Mastering the Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, helping identify overbought and oversold conditions.
An RSI above 70 suggests overbought conditions and a potential trend reversal.
An RSI below 30 indicates oversold conditions, potentially signaling a trend reversal to the upside.
📌 Part 4: Combining SMA and RSI for Long-Term Trading
Look for confluence: Confirm trend reversals when the 200-day SMA aligns with RSI overbought or oversold signals.
A bearish signal could be an overbought RSI crossing below the 200-day SMA, signaling a potential downtrend.
A bullish signal might be an oversold RSI crossing above the 200-day SMA, suggesting a potential uptrend.
📌 Part 5: Identifying Points of Trend Reversal
Key points to recognize trend reversals include:
Divergence: When the price makes new highs or lows but RSI doesn't, it signals a potential reversal.
Crossovers: Pay attention to the 200-day SMA crossing above or below the price chart.
Volume: Increasing trading volume often accompanies trend reversals.
🚀 Conclusion:
Long-term trading can be highly rewarding, but it requires a deep understanding of market trends and the right tools. By combining the SMA and RSI indicators, you gain a powerful strategy for identifying trend reversals and making well-informed trades with long-term potential. Remember that no strategy is infallible, so always employ proper risk management techniques and continuously refine your trading skills.
❗See related ideas below❗
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚🚀💚
USDJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – Ascending Triangle Pattern
Support – 146.50 - 144.75
Resistance – 147.92
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over USDJPY, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The USDSJPY continues to be locked up in a bullish continuation pattern. If we see a break above this pattern, we are interested in how buyers handle being back into a supply and resistance area. An area that stopped the last main rally. On top of that, the RSI is also showing lower highs as price has made higher highs. This could be a sign of divergence, but we will continue to watch if buyers can make a higher breakout.
If we see a break lower, we will look to 146.50 and 144.75 as potential support areas.
Heads up: BOJ policy rate and policy statement are due on Friday.
Have a great day and good trading.
SDGR - Bullish divergenceSDGR has been in an uptrend since breaking above its Base Formation neckline around $36.30, experienced several retracements of between 38.2% to 50% of each mini swings on the way up.
Its most recent retracement is more "severe", now at 61.8% retracement. And with Earnings expected just round the corner (on 2nd Aug), it appears there is some "fear" leading to earnings announcement.
Bullish divergence has begun to appear between price and RSI, hence it would be interesting to see if earnings would be the catalyst for the next rebound. NOT suggesting to take a position now (before earnings release) unless you are prepared for earnings risks.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!