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Divergence

NASDAQ Moving Lower (1W)NASDAQ Weekly Price Chart After forming a double bottom in late 2022 the NASDAQ bounced and has melted up from its lows approximately 48% confirming that it was more than just a bear market rally. Most recently the NASDAQ has run into resistance (Light Red Box) and has descended roughly 3% past a minor trend line on the daily chart (not shown). Shorter term EMA's are beginning to even out (12-day / 26-day) indicting the beginning of a change in the direction of price action which will most likely move lower towards the target supports (Light Green Boxes). If the bottom support (Red Solid) is broken (pretty big "if" at the moment) then the possibility of breaking the long-term trend line (Yellow Solid) will come into play, however at this point it is premature to assume this comes to fruition. Relative Strength Indicator The major trend line (Yellow Solid) highlights the divergence from price action beginning in May 2022 and confirming the double bottom ending in December 2022. Most recently the RSI has remained elevated above the 70 line indicating a strong trend, however, the RSI has fallen back below the 70 signaling weakness. The RSI most likely moves down toward the major trend line and major support (Red Solid) from this point. Considering a cradle is in play with the resistance and trend line crossing, it will more than likely bounce with price action allowing the price to attempt one more move higher but will ultimately fail along with RSI failing to make a higher high and confirming price action. If the support and trend are broken it is most likely game over. On Balance Volume OBV bounced along with price and RSI in December 2022 and continued higher while making two consecutive bull flags confirming the movement. The OBV has failed to move higher after encountering resistance (Aquamarine Dotted) while retesting the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and seemingly has begun to move lower (emphasis on begun to). It is also notable to mention that a minor trend line (Yellow Dotted) has created a cradle that the OBV has so far failed to break. If the major resistance (Red Solid) is broken then it is basically game over, but we have two areas of support (Light Green Boxes) that will need to be broken first. The major resistance has had previous breaks which led to major downturns that can be seen in December 2000, February 2005, and September 2008 (all shown above). TDLR; Just want the meat and potatoes huh? Don't worry our entrees always Seem Legit. Price action recently hit resistance and has begun to move lower while EMA's begin to flatten. There's a 3% move down from a minor trend line on the 1D (not shown). The RSI is showing a bearish divergence after remaining elevated over the 70 line and beginning to move lower. The OBV looks to be forming a double top, and has run into resistance from a major and a minor trend line. Don't forget that this could take months to play out since this is the weekly chart. What Seems Legit? Possibly a bounce here from the support formed Jan - Mar 2022 in conjunction with the 12-day or 26-day EMA, retest the recent high, fail to break it and begin to move lower. It might just push lower due to the RSI on the 1D moving below the 50 line (analysis of the 1D has been posted). "History doesnt repeat itself but often it rhymes" - - Tap the 50-day EMA and carry on (2019) - Crash to the major trend line and carry on (2020) - Break the major support on the OBV and head lower (2000, 2005, 2008) Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line Red Solid = Major Support Aquamarine Solid = Divergences Red Box = Major Resistance Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
1
DKNG - potential entry above 26.90DKNG has corrected back to a possible near term resistence-turned-support @ 26.50 - 26.80. Currently the bullish divergence between it's price and RSI is still intact (will be negated if price dips below its last pivot of 24.95). I would consider to test a long entry for DKNS if it starts to go above the last candle high of 26.89 with an initial SL just slightly below its last pivot low of 24.95. As swing trader, I will be trailing my stops on the way up should the trade works out. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by Juliac
1
A brutal movement in the price action of FORD During my thorough analysis of FORD's 4-hour price action, an intriguing revelation emerged: a hidden bullish divergence, a distinct pattern that warrants attention. This intriguing phenomenon is characterized by the following indicator values: - A price of $11.29 accompanied by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.96. - Another price point at $11.99 coupled with an RSI reading of 18.84. The RSI was more oversold at 11.99 $ then it was at 11.29 $ indicating that this was an overall uptrend and we now that if something is oversold, it should continue up and there you have your confirmation for your uptrend continuation making this a good place to enter. Also please note that I would usually use the RSI on a 1H time frame to find these divergences, but here we have been able to detect them on a higher time frame such as the 4H which means that this is a more higher and accurate signal compared to the other regular one which makes these a more confident trade!
NYSE:FLong
by lucasbasoglu
Quick Look - Bullish Divergence vs Bearish DivergenceHere is a graphical representation of the simple concept of bullish and bearish divergences. Rules are pretty clear Bearish Divergence Happens only in uptrend Observed on pivot Highs Price makes higher high whereas oscillator makes lower high, indicating weakness and possible reversal Bullish Divergence Happens only in downtrend Observed on pivot Lows Price makes lower low whereas oscillator makes higher low, indicating weakness and possible reversal Watch out for hidden divergences on the opposite pivots and breakouts in the direction of trend.
ASX:FMGEducation
by Trendoscope
U - Bullish DivergenceU had been building a base since Last Sept (10 months in the making now) and had remained above its 200-day moving average since 6th June this year. We also saw a Golden Cross on 28th June. Hence the longer-term picture of U remains potentially bullish except that it has been very volatile since its first attempt to break above its basing neckline @ 42-43 on 16 June. U has now broken up its neckline for the 3rd time (since 16th June) and once again, experienced another steep pullback (for the past 5 days). The pullback now appears to be stalling at the neckline and a bullish divergence is between its price and RSI is also emerging. Could this bullish divergence be a clue to its earnings announcement (expected on 2nd Aug)? However, bear in mind there is always an inherent risk to trade during earnings. Should the stock be able to stay above its neckline in the coming days, then the odds have increased that it's uptrend could gain more stability (just hopefully though!). Meanwhile, buying the dips is still a safer way to approach this stock. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:U
by Juliac
5
NQ - Bearish Divergence (short term pullback imminent?)A bearish divergence can be seen on both the SPX and Nasdaq (with similar divergences also seen on most of the FAANGT stocks), coupled with the fact the indices are now in the overbought territory, a pullback in the near future could be likely. We saw both NFLX and TSLA sold off after hours despite strong earnings announcements. The market has been running into earning season and a correction would not be too surprising even if earnings are good ("buy" on expectations and sell on "news"). That said, divergences on the daily chart usually predicts a short term reversal (lasting several candles on the average) and not a predictor of a bigger trend change (unless seen on larger time frames like the weekly, if not monthly). The market remains in uptrend with good support around 15100 - 15300 region. This is an area comprising: 1. a horizontal resistence turned support 2. the 50% to 61.8% fibonacci retracement of the recent AB swing 3. gap fills @ 15300 and also 15120 However, be wary should it break the support @ 15100. So let's see what happens. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
TVC:NDQ
by Juliac
Trading RSI Divergence: Unveiling Potential Opportunities In the world of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) serves as a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential trend shifts and entry points. RSI divergence, a divergence between the RSI indicator and the price movement, is a powerful signal that can offer insights into upcoming price reversals. This article provides an in-depth exploration of how to identify RSI divergences and the different types that traders encounter. Understanding RSI Divergence: RSI divergence occurs when the movement of the RSI indicator diverges from the movement of the price chart. It can signal a change in momentum and a possible upcoming trend reversal. There are two main types of RSI divergence: bullish and bearish. Bullish Divergence: Bullish divergence happens when the price forms lower lows while the RSI forms higher lows. This suggests that although the price is trending downward, the RSI is showing potential upward momentum. Bullish divergence can indicate that a downtrend might be losing steam and a bullish reversal could be imminent. Example of Bullish Divergence : Bearish Divergence: Bearish divergence occurs when the price forms higher highs while the RSI forms lower highs. In this scenario, the price is moving upward while the RSI indicates a potential loss of upward momentum. Bearish divergence can signal that an uptrend might be weakening and a bearish reversal could be on the horizon. Example of Bearish Divergence : Identifying RSI Divergence: To spot RSI divergence, follow these steps: Analyze Price and RSI Trends: Examine the price chart and the RSI indicator. Pay attention to the highs and lows on both the price chart and the RSI line. Look for Discrepancies: In bullish divergence, when the price forms lower lows, check if the RSI forms higher lows. In bearish divergence, when the price forms higher highs, check if the RSI forms lower highs. Confirm with Other Indicators: Utilize other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm the divergence signal. These indicators can strengthen the validity of your divergence findings. Consider the Trend: Evaluate the prevailing trend on higher timeframes. Divergence signals are more significant when they align with the broader trend direction. Be Mindful of Timeframes: RSI divergence signals can occur on various timeframes. Consider using multiple timeframes to validate and refine your divergence analysis. Conclusion: RSI divergence is a potent tool that traders can use to identify potential trend reversals and entry points. By understanding the different types of RSI divergence and following a systematic approach to identification, traders can gain valuable insights into the underlying momentum of an asset's price movement. Remember that while RSI divergence can provide powerful signals, it's essential to use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a comprehensive trading strategy. 🚀🔍
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
OIL - DIVERGENCE at resistance level! As we see, the oil is very close to resistance level of 82,0 until 83,50. A divergence has formed which is a sign of weakness. As soon as we see that the price bounces back from the resistance we can place a short order with SL the highs of the structure and TP 74,0. We are looking at 1:5 RR which is very good risk to reward. In case we brake the resistance level we look for a different scenario. Your comments and support are more than welcome!
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by mmackk
DOGEUSDT Technical Analysis Update📈 #DOGEUSDT Technical Analysis Update 📈 🐻 Trend: Bearish 🐮 Divergence: Bullish ⏳ Reversal Pattern: Double Bottom 🚀 Breakout Confirmed: YES 📊 Trade Idea: 📌 Buy Entry: Market order at current price 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.07254 🎯 Take Profit: 0.07847 #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #TradingOpportunity 📈 Trade with caution and do your own research. 💼 This is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only. 🙏 Always use appropriate risk management and set stop losses. 💰 Invest only what you can afford to lose. Happy trading! 🚀📊 #TradingView #CryptoTrading #InvestmentAdvice
Long
by T-Q
1
BT.A - BT GROUP PLC - LONGThis is an analysis of BT GROUP PLC - a British telecom company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Key numbers: Dividend yield TTM - 6.47% P/B - 0.81 P/E - 5.56 (currently) Market cap 11 817 MGBP (11.8BGBP) Analyst estimates: Analyst estimate average for BT.A is 188.5 GBX which is equivalent to a 65.42% increase from todays price. Key information: CEO has been replaced with Telias ex-CEO Alison Kirkby, she claims to have the same vision for the company as previous CEO Phillip Jansen. Telia stock has been following a similar trend as BT.A, and as news was released today both shares dropped. However, analysts believe BT.A is overweight, and the consensus among analysts is that BT.A is a buy/strong buy. Technical analysis: BT.A made a bullish divergence on recent support level at 120GBX 11th of July, likely due to uncertainty around the next CEO of the company, the stock consolidated until today. As news came out regarding the change of CEO, shares dropped in price, dropping down to previous support on 110-112GBX - still within the lines of a bullish divergence. Strategy: I am currently in possession of BT.A shares with a GAV of 123GBX which I am looking to hold. The lowest sell side analyst target is at 100GBX, and if price continues to drop to support at 95-100GBX and the divergence between relative strength and price continues, I will be looking to increase my position in the stock as long as no unforeseen news arise. If the price holds above support on the 110GBX level I will not add to my position, and I will follow my original strategy to wait for price to get closer to AVG analyst estimate, or take profit around 160GBX at the stocks previous high. Taking profit at 160GBX will net roughly 34-35% gain when factoring in dividends paid out 13th of September. Should price drop below the 95-100GBX support level, I will re-evaluate my position and look to liquidate the shares if there is any indication that the fundamental situation of the company has changed for the worse, or if the bullish divergence becomes invalid.
LSE:BT.ALong
by DonBboy
GBPCAD → I believe a downward movement hello guys... if you check indicators like MACD or RSI you find out a divergence... if you look wider and zoom out you see a three-drive pattern, in my point of view, in this case, I assume an R:R 1:1 short position... but for you, just wait until the price break out of the trendline and get a short position after retrace! target 1: 1.6711 target 2: 1.66.06 target 3: 1.6414 target 4: 1.6315 _______________________________ always do your research. If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Short
by melikatrader94
34