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Divergence

ASML (ASML): Massive Sell-Off - What's next after the $50B loss?We are sure you’ve heard about ASML’s massive drop yesterday, erasing $50 billion in market value within hours following a technical error and the earnings report published a day earlier. ASML, Europe's most valuable tech company and a critical supplier to chipmakers, is now facing doubts—not about its long-term prospects but regarding short-term sales and whether it can continue to outperform the market in the long term. As always, we’re not focused on intraday trades but are looking for bigger, high-risk-to-reward swing trade setups. To assess this, we’re turning to the Weekly chart to analyze ASML’s most important levels. Our most likely scenario at this point is that the All-Time High represents a wave B, after exactly respecting the 138% Fibonacci extension level. Coupled with the bearish divergence on the RSI, this pullback was expected. While it's difficult to predict the exact point of reversal, we see $600 as a major psychological support level that could hold in the short term. To reverse the current downtrend, ASML must break above the resistance zone of $850–$895. However, as this is a potential wave ((ii)), even reaching the All-Time High is not out of the question. Merely reclaiming this resistance zone might not be enough to signal a trend change. We’re keeping an eye on all major support zones, but the largest position we plan to open would be between $250 and $140. While this is still far off, and there will likely be opportunities along the way, this zone would provide the most textbook setup according to Elliott Wave Theory. The recent dip has also opened up more potential plays for the future. Stay tuned as we monitor the situation for further developments! 🔥
NASDAQ:ASML
by freeguy_by_wmc
6
EUR/USD Potential long trade setup (4H)I am looking a long opportunity on EUR/USD. There is a clear bullish RSI divergence found and suggesting me potential upside, My entry is placed at 1.10218, Targeting 1.11631 (TP-1) and 1.13100 (TP-2) Stop loss set at 1.08778. The risk to reward ratio is favorable and i am expecting a bounce from current levels. i will wait for price action confirmation before entering following the trend reversal signs from divergence. Best of Luck
Long
by kashifone1
9
ETH - The Bullish & Bearish CaseToday we take a look at ETH and lay out a variety of trade ideas. MONTHLY: From the Monthly perspective, ETH remains very Bullish. Essentially, going long ETH anywhere at or below the low of the Monthly MAC is a legitimate spot to buy. The target based on the Monthly chart is around 3,400 (approximately 30% above current price level). From an investment perspective, this is a great area to go long ETH. WEEKLY: From the Weekly perspective, ETH remains Bearish, as we have not had a confirmed bullish trend change. Right now, ETH is trading at the Weekly MAC high, which is a legitimate place to look for new short entries, or to take profits from any longs taken at recent weekly lows. There is currently H6 bearish divergence setup, but not triggered. If it triggers, I will be shorting ETH to a target of the Weekly MAC low (2,337). DAILY: From the Daily perspective, ETH remains Bearish. However, we are getting a potential bullish trend change (but not triggered/confirmed). There is H1 bearish divergence setting up right now, and if it triggers, the short trade target would be the Daily MAC low at 2,421. As you can see, if you are an investor, the current price levels are reasonable areas to load up to the long side. However, the Weekly and Daily are still bearish until bullish confirmation. Daily is in the process of confirming bullish, but not yet. Day trades and shorter term swing trades to the short side are still valid. Have a great week.
by Tradius_Trades
Short setup on SPXThe SPX has experienced a significant bull run, reaching just below $5700, but is now showing clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving sideways and is now nearly flat at its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top at its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A new major resistance level has recently formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level could potentially turn into support if the price breaks above it, for now, it remains a resistance, exerting downward pressure on the price. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
BITCOIN → Bullish Pressure !!! As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the wedge and is now near the top of the megaphone. Currently, it is in an ascending triangle, but we can't be sure about it yet. Additionally, on the MACD, we have a hidden bullish divergence, which alone is a bullish signal. previous analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
How to REALLY Trade Divergences (One of My Favorite Entries)This tutorial might be short, but it is packed with potent information on how to REALLY trade divergences. Divergences are one of the BEST ways to catch market reversals. However, from what I have seen, most people do not have a real process for determining when a divergence is actually confirmed/triggered, and then how to determine targets based on the divergence setup. In other words, most people don't have a plan for trading divergence. This video will give you a full plan (Setup/Trigger/Follow Through) for trading divergences. I give full credit to Jake Bernstein, as this is a concept that I learned from him. He is one of the all time greats, and very worth your time to check out. I hope you found this video insightful. Have a great week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Tradius_Trades
3
15% to 35% Upside Ahead for Corn (Divergence Strategy)Corn recently has had the monthly bullish divergence confirmed with Septembers monthly close. This has major implications for corn, as I anticipate corn to now trade up at least 15% from current prices, up to a max move of approximately 35%. Monthly divergence triggers such as this are signals that the prudent trader must pay attention to. This does not mean I anticipate this market to go straight up from here. However, it does mean that, in my opinion, dips are for buying in the Corn market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
15% to 30% Upside Ahead for Soybean Meal (Divergence Strategy)Soybean Meal recently confirmed the monthly bullish divergence with Septembers candle close. This is a significant signal that prudent traders should pay close attention to. What this signal implies is that there is a minimum 15% move to the upside from current price ahead for Soybean Meal. The high end target is a 30% upside move. This does not mean this market is going to go straight up from here. In my opinion, dips are for buying in the Soybean Meal market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZM1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
30% to 60% Upside Coming for Natty (Divergence Strategy)A powerful monthly bullish divergence just confirmed on natty. We see that the CCI had a monthly close which confirmed the bullish divergence setup. In this video I review how to determine targets with this strategy, and how to determine your risk. I anticipate a minimum 30% rally from current prices for natty, possibly heading up 60% from here. This doesn't mean this market won't have a pullback in the meantime. In my opinion, pullbacks are for buying until these price targets are reached. If you have any questions about this strategy, feel free to shoot me a message. Have a great week.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
18
Bearish divergence on GBPUSD daily chart; sterling overbought?GBPUSD has been in an uptrend since April 22, 2024, and has accumulated a 9.19% increase between April 22 and September 26. On August 27, the RSI indicator recorded a reading of 74.96, signalling a possible overbought situation. On September 26, the reading was at 71.68, which was slightly lower than the previous RSI reading. On the other hand, on August 27, GBPUSD was trading at 1.3264 before rallying to 1.3431 on September 26 – a marked gain over a monthly timespan. Sterling has since given up some of its recent gains, trading around the 1.33 mark. The pound has notably been the top performer among G10 currencies this year, rising over 5% against the dollar and 4% against the euro. Its strong rally began in late April, following a brief dip below $1.23. Sterling has appreciated by close to 10% against the U.S. dollar since last October. On a trade-weighted basis, sterling is now at its highest level since the UK's 2016 Brexit vote, just 2% below its pre-referendum level. Blistering rally for sterling on BoE, Fed rate divergence The currency's gains have been driven by expectations that UK interest rates will stay higher than those of other nations, due to persistent inflation in services and a surprisingly resilient economy. Technical indicators, however, indicate that there may be signs of a potential reverse in the trend for sterling. Some analysts have also noted that the sterling-to-dollar pair may start to look expensive soon as expectations for a 50-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to look misplaced. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently pushed back against forecasts of another outsized 50bps cut, saying he sees two more interest rate cuts, totalling 50 basis points, this year as a baseline “if the economy performs as expected.” Bearish divergence may be in play for GBPUSD A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price reaches a higher high than the previous one, while the oscillator forms a lower high. This pattern often indicates a potential for a stronger pullback or trend reversal. On October 1st, the price dipped below the 8-period Simple Moving Average, and with a classic bearish divergence currently in play, this suggests a potential bearish pullback in GBP/USD. The sterling-to-dollar pair may drop to the 1.3028 level, where a support zone is expected on the daily chart. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
2
US30 POTENTIAL BUYTrade Idea: US30 Buy on 15-Minute Chart Trade Setup: Entry Price: 42190 (buy stop) Stop Loss: 42120 (75 pips below entry) First Target: 42215 Second Target: 42240 Bullish Pressure: Recent price action shows increasing bullish momentum, confirmed by rising volume and positive indicators on the 15-minute chart. Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment is supportive of a bullish trend. Technical Levels: The price is approaching significant resistance at 42215 and 42240, with potential for a breakout given the current bullish momentum. Execution Plan: Enter long at 42190. Set stop loss around 42120. Monitor price action closely and adjust stop loss to break even once the first target is hit. This trade leverages bullish sentiment and technical analysis, aiming for a continued upward movement beyond 42240.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by BluezFxTraders
1
US30 Potential BuyTrade Idea: Buy US30 at 42,225 I'm looking to buy US30 around the 42,225 area due to a noticeable increase in bullish pressure. This zone appears to be a potential support level, aligning with recent price action on the 1-hour chart. Targets: - Target 1: 42,246 - Target 2: 42,270 - Extended Target 3: 42,290 Stop Loss: Set a stop loss around 80-90 pips from your entry point. However, I recommend adjusting your stop loss based on your account size and risk tolerance. Always ensure to manage your risk accordingly if you decide to enter. This is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by BluezFxTraders
2
Megaphone - BearishSPY weekly looking interesting heading into the week. Staying hedged with the SPY holding another megaphone. The SPY is being carried by buyer volume with some hidden bearish divergence on the RSI and nearing overbought territory yet again. With so many sectors and indexes flashing red and a massive bearish cipher on the weekly timeframe as further confirmation, looking forward to playing the downside. Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime (Accompanying Charts Attached Below)
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
AUDCAD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 AUDCAD Analysis on 1H chart - The current Trend is BULLISH - There is BEARISH divergences - Reversal pattern is present which is rising wedge 🔹 Trade Plan - Entry Level = 0.93494 - Stop Loss = 0.93746 - TP1 = 0.93264 - TP2 = 0.93008 🔹 Risk Management - First TP is 1:1 - Second TP is 1:2 🔹 How to Take Trade? - Only risk 2% of your portfolio - Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR - Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
Short
by Bountysoul
US30 POTENTIAL SELLTrade Idea: Sell on US30 30MIN CHART Trade Setup: - Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) - Trade Type: Sell - Entry Point: Sell when price crosses the 42320 level - Rationale: Anticipating a retracement after a bullish overnight movement. The bullish imbalances below support the idea of a temporary pullback. Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 42294 2. TP2: 42264 3. EXTENDED TP3: 42234 Stop Loss: 65 pips above entry point Analysis: - Market Context: Recent bullish movement suggests a potential for profit-taking or a short-term reversal. - Technical Levels: Monitor key support and resistance levels for additional confirmation. - Risk Management: Ensure position sizing is appropriate based on your risk tolerance. Execution Plan: - Wait for a confirmed break below the 42320 level before executing the sell order. - Adjust stop loss as needed based on market movement and volatility. Monitoring: - Keep an eye on price action around the take profit levels for possible exit adjustments. This trade setup is designed to capitalize on expected short-term price action while managing risk effectively. This is not investment advice.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by BluezFxTraders
Lucid Group Trip Down to Lower $3's Before Uplift?! - LCIDHere I have Lucid Group, Inc - LCID on the Weekly Chart! First, Technical. We see Price rock bottoms to its Lowest @ $2.29 on April 22 2024 and just after the Negative Earnings and Revenue report on May 6th 2024, Price creates an Equal High @ $3.35 followed by a Violation of Structure giving us a Higher Low @ $2.48 finding Support in the $2.50 Area to then make a Higher High @ $4.32! Turning this once looking Downtrend to an Uptrend. Prices Higher Highs and Lows are now being halted at the $4.20 - $4.40 Range where I suspect Price will need to find more Support before it can continue on to what I believe will be its next Target being the Next Swing High @ $5.31! *Divergence in the Highs of Price relative to the Highs on RSI show Bearish Signs The Bullish Rally in Price on August 19th left open quite a Gap to Fill from $3.83 - $3.30 and If Price is willing to fill it, the $3.46 - $3.13 Area looks very Valuable being there's: 1) - Equal High @ $3.35 being Potential Support 2) - Golden Fibonacci Zone @ $3.34 (55.9%) - $3.22 (61.8%) (Based from HL @ $2.48 to HH @ $4.43) 3) - RSI after Breaking EQH, starts Trading Above 50 4) BBTrend Printing Smaller, Dark, Red Bars All leading to Bullish Markers! Now, Fundamentals. Lucid Group announced that it is set to launch not only 3 new affordable EV's but that it also plans to unveil the Gravity SUV later in the year "highlighting the company's advanced technology and mileage range on electric vehicles." In competition with Tesla's long reign. www.tradingview.com The "Fastest Armored Car On The Planet" is sparking investor interest with Lucid Air Sapphire is giving serious challenges to Tesla! www.tradingview.com The past 2 Earnings & Revenue Reports have both been Disappointing for the company but the most recent Report on August 5th compared to May 6th tell a slightly different story .. May - Revenue Estimate (173.544M) / Reported (172.2M) = -844.404k Aug.- Revenue Estimate (190.303M) / Reported (200.6M) = +10.279M *Next Earnings and Revenue - November 5th 2024 LCID will be worth keeping a watch on .. Stay Tuned!!
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
1
NQ Bullish with Signs of a Potential Reversal in Early OctoberThe Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) futures continue to exhibit a strong uptrend, driven by market optimism and supportive economic factors. As seen on the chart, the Bonsai trend indicator remains bullish, signaling the ongoing upward momentum. However, caution is warranted as we approach a critical resistance zone, where multiple technical and external factors suggest the potential for a pullback. Key Technical Levels and Signals Resistance at 20,600 : The price is nearing a significant resistance zone between 20,500 and 20,600, where previous highs have been met with seller pressure. The market may struggle to break through this zone in the short term, leading to possible consolidation or retracement. Bearish Strength on Oscillators : The Bonsai OS is starting to signal an incoming bearish strength, where the oscillator fails to make new highs while the price continues to rise. This divergence suggests that the current bullish move may be losing momentum, increasing the probability of a reversal or correction in the near term. Short-Term Retracement : A retracement to the 19,800-20,000 region would be healthy for the overall trend, providing potential buying opportunities for traders waiting for a dip. This level aligns with previous support zones and retracement levels, making it a logical area for price to stabilize before another move upward. Geopolitical and Economic Factors Affecting NQ U.S. Elections and Tax Policy : The upcoming U.S. election between Vice President Harris and former President Trump is creating uncertainty around future tax policies, particularly regarding capital gains and unrealized gains taxation. Investors may start adjusting their portfolios as we get closer to October, historically a volatile month for the markets​. Global Conflicts and Economic Risks : Rising tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Taiwan add further geopolitical risk. Market participants are keeping a close eye on potential escalations, as these conflicts could shift sentiment toward a risk-off environment, impacting indices like the Nasdaq 100​. Fed Policy and Economic Data : The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut has temporarily buoyed the markets, but upcoming data releases—particularly around inflation and employment—could change the tone. Economic surprises in early October could lead to volatility, especially if the data fails to support the current bullish narrative​. Conclusion: Bullish But Cautious The overall Bonsai indicator continues to signal an uptrend, and the market looks poised to push higher if it can break through the 20,600 resistance zone. However, the oscillator's bearish divergence and external political risks suggest a potential reversal or at least a short-term correction in the first week of October. Traders should monitor these signals closely and consider adjusting their positions accordingly. Keep an eye on the VIX as well, which has been known to spike during periods of heightened uncertainty, offering opportunities to hedge against increased volatility​.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by bonsai_trade
US30 POTENTIAL SELLTrade Idea: Sell on US30 15M CHART Analysis: I anticipate a decline in the US30 index within the next two hours. I plan to place sell stops around the 42,162 level. My priority targets are set for a 25-50 pip move, aiming for exits between 42,137 and 42,111 as we have lots of bullish imbalances within and below these levels. For an extended target, I’m eyeing the 42,060 level, which aligns with expectations of heavy divergence bearish pressure. Risk Management: Although I won't use a hard stop loss, I recommend a mental stop loss above 42,220, considering the liquidity above this level. This allows for some market breathing room while still managing risk effectively. Keep an eye on market developments and adjust as necessary. Not investment advice. Please protect your capital.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by BluezFxTraders
1