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Divergence

SPX - expect short term pullback (bearish divergence)The markt has been more bullish than bearish lately. However it is getting overbought in the near term and a bearish divergence is now seen on the daily chart. Hence some pullback from here will not be too surprising. Bearing in mind divergence usually result in only a short term trend change lasting several candles. I am looking at possible near term SPX support at 3885 (recent pivot low). While SPX managed to break above its 200 day moving average and even the longer term trendline resistence that had proven to be a tough one to crack in the past few months, there are still a lot of skepticism especially when "bad" news (eg mass layouts by big techs) still abound. The fact remains that the bigger picture (say 2 monthly chart) remains in a sideway "diamond pattern" consolidation. Assuming the market is indeed on the recovery, It will be weeks (or even months) more before the 200 day moving average can flatten and turn up. Hence, SPX could continue to whip saw around the 200 day MA for a while. There are more and more stocks that are forming/have formed basing patterns, ready (or have already begun) to reverse into an uptrend. The way to navigate this market is to trade those stocks showing high conviction technicals. The more we see such stocks, the more we will be convinced the market is probably turning the corner (albeit it will still be volatile for a while until it becomes too obvious). More importantly is also to have strict exit rules (ie stop losses) in place in case we are wrong. Keeping losses small and letting winners run is the way to go although it is definitely easier said than done. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
SP:SPX
by Juliac
BTC accumulation phase spring or a massive bear rally ?Hello, It will be a quick one as the chart says it all. Basically, I think the current setup looks a lot similar to the price action we saw at the end of 2018 and the beginning of 2018. 1. BTC made three consecutive lower lows on the 1-week chart, consolidated for a bit then made a new low which was the final one. We saw the same think happening the 15 months. 2. The RSI hit an oversold area around the same level as the one from 2018 while also printing a bullish divergence for the first time ever for BTC (or at least I could not find any older). 3. Volumes increased above the average between the 3rd and 4rd low on both occasions. 4. The price of BTC hit the long-term diagonal support and used it to rebound on both occasions. 5. BTC broke above the 21-period EMA with a solid green candle back then and now. The time of the green candle that broke above the short-term EMA found the RSI in the exact same state and place on its chart as back in 2019 I think it is quite possible we see a significant rally at least up to the first downtrend correction near $46,800 before a significant pullback. This will be in line with the 2018/2019 rally, also relatively similar in terms of percentage growth. Such a move will be normal in the state of disbelief, but it does not exclude a new low afterwards just like it was the case back in 2019/2020. So the "recession" and "long bear market" scenarios can still come to live. Let me know what you think in the comments
Long
by FutureBlockchain
3
BTC Bearish divergence and VWAP rejectionThis morning I drew this rising wedge and clear and long-lasting bearish divergence on my waves trend oscillator. I used a 30m time frame for better resolution, which also applies to the 4h chart. It was clear we had to break out today or tomorrow, so it happened while I was asleep. I would be so angry because I missed this dip if it wasn't for perfect VWAP rejection on the price bounce back. We can see here that price is struggling to go over bigger history volume action, shown on VRVP. And the hole on VRVP that I explained in my previous idea - remains. Smaller time frames will push the price as much as possible, but I believe we are looking at lower tops and bottoms from now on. 1D was overbought at a 100 level two days ago. 100!!!
Short
by RockinHood
2
ADAUSD - Upward move coming - 2023!It looks like Cardano it's going to start 2023 well. On the 4-hour timeframe chart(left), Cardano's price is showing Regular Bullish Divergence. The Divergence is indicated by the Relative Strength Index and the Stochastics. On the daily timeframe chart(right), Cardano's price is showing an Oversold condition. The Oversold conditions are indicated by the Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index, and Stochastics. Both charts complement each other. The new innovative plans for 2023 are in line with these ideas as well. Enter your long position only if/when the candle closes above the key level and confirms it as a support. All further details are shown on the charts. Good luck!
BITFINEX:ADAUSDLong
by vf_investment
10
5 Important Points About BTC.D🦍BTC.D or Bitcoin Dominance is one of the most important factors for investors to find out, if it is better to keep more Bitcoin in their bag or Altcoins. Don't forget, it's not all you need to make your decision but it's the important one! To make a decision about BTC.D, I've checked multiple parameters on weekly time-frame chart, so we dive deep into them one by one. Let's hit it. #1: Indicators (RSI and MACD) : MACD is showing a bullish divergence on the chart, that means the bearish momentum is getting weaker. It doesn't mean we're going up, but it means if any bullish power happens we can easily go up because Bears are weak now. Let's check RSI on the chart, the RSI is completely moving above a ascending trendline (Yellow line). Until we're above it, then BTC.D is good to go up. It looks like RSI is going to touch it's trendline again, if it does, I'll consider it as an important date to check my altcoins to swap with Bitcoin. #2: Consolidation channel for 1.5 year : This is a very strong and important channel for BTC.D because it has trapped BTC.D inside of it for more than 1.5 year, and many traders have used it to accumulate more BTC. How? Swap altcoins for Bitcoin in the bottom of the channel and the opposite in the top of the channel. Now that we're very close to the bottom of the channel so we have to consider swapping again, from Altcoins to Bitcoin. But be careful, you have to check each of your altcoin's chart one by one before making any decision. #3: Very strong support area (green area) : At the bottom of our consolidation channel, you can see a green area that is the strongest support area in BTC.D history. Because almost every time BTC.D had reached this level, it has forced BTC.D to move upwards. The overlap of this support area with the bottom of consolidation channel makes me seriously consider to swap most of my altcoins (with capital/risk management) with Bitcoin. SO TAKE BTC.D AROUND 40% SO SERIOUSLY. #4: BTC.D All Time Low : It is possible to have a downward fake breakout to 35.4%, because this is BTC.D ATL (all time low). It has happened before, so I'm still bullish on BTC.D unless this area is strongly broken downward. Other than that I believe we're in the BTC.D floor or at least close to it. It means, I prefer Bitcoin to Altcoin for long run as this is a weekly time-frame. #5: Comparing Bulls and Bears : I compared last two waves in the consolidation channel, greens from bottom to top and reds from top to bottom. As you can see on the chart, it took 20 candles (week) for bulls to go from bottom to top and 13 candles for bears to cove top to bottom. It means, in last two waves bears we're definitely stronger than bulls and we didn't see enough momentum in bulls. Although BTC.D is on the floor but my impression is that, BTC.D doesn't have enough momentum to break the channel upwards with one bullish wave. I think we need at least one strong correction in the middle of the road, before upward breakout. This will be my tough about breakout unless we see a super strong momentum when the bulls start pushing BTC.D. I wanted to add something else about this breakout, no matter when it happens, the target of BTC.D will be something around our green area (58%). So that date, will be a good time to check the market to swap Bitcoin for Altcoins. Well, this is my analysis on BTC.D, don't forget this is a weekly timeframe, so it is for long-term investors not short-term traders. Feel free to add up your ideas about my analysis in comment section, I do like to discuss different ideas with you guys to educate ourselves and take the best out of the market.💖
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by ArshiaZojaji
13
ALT Season about to start Well, USDT.D. has formed a massive divergence; there could be a last shakeout to eliminate the retail investors. It's a very good opportunity to start buying into some of the altcoins. I believe file, coin, dot, dash, and sushi are nearing or have already reached their bottoms. After breaking out of this massive rising wedge, we will see a huge pump. Today's dump was harsh, and there was a lot of fud about Binance. Binance isn't going anywhere, but I always suggest keeping only 20–30% of your holdings in the exchange so you can trade. So be careful while buying and do not use bigger levers, as leverage is designed to take your profits through fake wicks. There isn't any better opportunity to buy on the spot than now. Good luck, and hopefully next year we will see at least 2-3x in all major altcoins. Also, there is so much fear in the market right now; that's an indication we are much closer to the bottom.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Bitsleader
3
Divergence + Minor SNR + OrderblockI spot a divergence on 5M outlook, which then price seem to reject as well giving to a possible orderblock entry and as well as a minor SNR level could be into play as well. Although the SNR level is not so much clean but to stand more chance is the Divergence as the dominant Reason. Cons are the price is overall bullish and has just returned from mitigating a price structure and might push more to the upside to mitigate the minor extreme orderblock as AUDCAD mostly does.
Short
by Lavimystic