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Divergence

SPX & NQ - Still a mixed bagJust a quick update. SPX closed the year 2022 with a Diamond Pattern. This pattern is potentially a reversal pattern (potentially bearish if it occurs at Market Tops, and potentially bullish if it occurs at Market Bottoms). Where it is occuring now, it could be a bottoming process for the SPX. However, Nasdaq is still the weakest link right now and still looking bearish. A short term bounce could happen for NQ as a bullish divergence is seen but in the larger picture, any bounce right now could still be a "Bull Trap". Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:NDX
by Juliac
PEV | Good Entry Point | BouncePhoenix Motor Inc. designs, assembles, and integrates electric drive systems and light and medium duty electric vehicles. The company offers buses and trucks. It focuses on developing light and medium duty commercial electric vehicles for various service and government fleet markets, including city fleets, campuses, municipalities, and transit agencies; and serves a spectrum of commercial fleet customers, such as airport shuttle operators, hotel chains, transit fleet operators, seaports, last-mile delivery fleets, and large corporations. The company also markets and sells electric vehicle chargers for the commercial and residential markets; and operates a sales and leasing dealership in the United States. In addition, it sells various L2 and DC fast-charging solutions to its fleet customers at the point of sale for fleet vehicles. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California. Phoenix Motor Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Edisonfuture Inc.
NASDAQ:PEVLong
by DivergenceSeeker
5
Flawed concepts: divergences One of the reasons why a divergence on an "indicator" hasn't provided an expected result is because there was an info conflict with more data on lower resolution (aka higher timeframe was against it). The second reason is because these indicators don't know how to distinguish buying and selling waves properly, when they start and when they end, as explained in "Real waves". Even if you pass the correctly approximated typical wave size as a lookback window length, it won't change anything 4 real. The third reason is because these indicators actually are not supposed to be used for comparative analysis. They are what they are, they approximate slope aka direction aka gradient in given data, and some also calculate some sort of statistical limits for these historical slope values. If that's what you really need, you can simple calculate Z-scores of Close minus Open values over some lookback window, you'll do better. As explained in "Wave exhaustion", a wave (continuous directional movement) strength is understood based on: 1) How far the price gone; 2) How much time passed; 3) How much volume got traded during this wave. The indicators will show you a correct divergence when 2 waves have the same volume, same price range, but different time range. Volumes are completely disregarded. And most importantly, even if when volumes are the same, time is the same, but price ranges are different, it will Not show you a divergence at all. So effectively, even disregarding volume, price & time are combined in these indicators that way so comparative analysis of waves can not be done. Many have a wrong idea is that if prices move fast (they call it strong momentum) it means motive strength. It neither confirms strength nor denies it. Time, price & volume are used together to properly understand the order flow strength, in a way explained before.
SP:SPXEducation
by gorx1
1
NVDA - Why I'm buying this dipLike many stocks forming a base right now, NVDA is also a victim of false breakups and wild gyrations recently. One may wait to test the next breakup (again) or alternatively, "buy the dips". However we before we buy a dip, we want to check that the bullish bias for the stock is still intact, which is the case for NVDA right now: 1. pullback was within 38.2% fib retracement from its AB upswing since hitting bottom in early October (ie still within acceptable range of a "normal pullback") 2. higher hi's and higher lo's still intact 3. bullish divergence between price and RSI acting out (although I have to emphasize that bullish divergence is only predictive of short term price movement, usually next 2-3 candles) 4. lastly, a bullish morning star formation. Go long at the next candle as soon as we have price trading just above the close of yesterday's candle with initial stop placed just slightly below the low of the morning star pattern (~ 158). The trick to trading is not about being right most of the time but wining bigger when right and losing smaller when wrong. Hence money management (ie stop loss, position sizing etc) are also parts of equation. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Juliac
10
Dow Jones Index Outlook 21 Dec 2022TVC:DJI DJI is clearly moving in a downtrend direction in the 30m timeframe. However, it stopped making a lower low yesterday plus it has a bullish divergence signal between price and RSI. This bullish divergence is signaling a chance of trend change to either a sideway or uptrend direction, which we need to monitor the price action today. If the market opens within the range of 32650-33040, then it has a chance of trading in this range for today. However, if the market chooses to gap open above 33040 then it will test at 33163 and 333000 respectively. On the other hand, if the market gap opens below 32650 then it will test at 32470 and 32328 respectively
TVC:DJI
by ChartTrail
West Texas Crude(WTI )....Positive Swans, Bats and Wolfves Picking bottoms particularly recently in the oil (WTI) complex, sometimes produces sticky fingers. That said, one could build a technical analysis case for a bottom formation at current levels. A) Longer term we have a completion of a Harmonic Bat. (insert) B) Shorter term turn we have : 1) A completed Wolfe Wave 2) Black Swan harmonic formation 3) An ABCD formation going back to last August. 4) Oct/Nov double top target hit 5) Mildly positive momentum divergence So how do you play this. I would certainly give WTI a chance to find a bottom and advance upward A penetration of 3 of the Wolfe Wave provides an entry point at $73.65(marked) Then a Wolfe Wave Target is set up for late January at the $85 area. Using the Black Swan harmonic we get targets as marked. If this the best way to play bottoming oil ? Probably not but its a signpost to play your favorite horse. Please note... Fed activity next week, year end illiquidity and Eastern European events should magnify WTI's volatility going forward. Good Luck and I will update as needed. Not investment advice, do your own due diligence. S.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by Steve666
FOMC Economic Projections Effect on GoldOANDA:XAUUSD **Repost from Dec 14th 2022 since the original post disappeared** Hello all TradingView speculators, In my opinion, I think there was an overreaction from the market's participation on the CPI numbers that was announced to be lower than expected. In addition to this, some technical indicators are showing us some signals to be careful on the buy side from bearish divergence signal between the price and RSI on 4H timeframe. This indication does not mean that the trend will reverse immediately but it indicates that the current trend has chances of stopping and turn into either sideway or downtrend in short term. Based on the current price level, Risk to Reward Ratio seems to be in favor of the bears. However, I would wait to see the price action in 1H timeframe tries to test 1815 first and if it fails then I believe that follow sell position after this price action fails to go above 1815 and if price makes a lower low below 1804 can be a worthy trade
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartTrail
3
What Is the Best Divergence Trading Strategy? 👑 What Is Divergence? Divergence is a trading phenomenon that offers reliable and high-quality information regarding trading signals. It refers to when an asset’s price moves in the opposite direction to the momentum indicators or oscillators. Commonly used indicators include the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, Awesome Oscillator (AO), and moving average convergence divergence (MACD). Divergence is one of the many concepts that experienced traders use to the time when to enter or exit the market. To say a divergence occurs is to say that the price and momentum are out of sync. This signals that the market is preparing for a trend reversal or pullback, but it does not necessarily guarantee trend directions. There are mainly two types of divergence: 1) Regular divergence is where the price signal creates higher highs or lower lows while the indicator makes lower highs or higher lows respectively. 2) Hidden divergence, which is the opposite of regular divergence, is where the indicator makes higher highs or lower lows while the price action creates lower highs or higher lows respectively. Regular Divergence vs. Hidden Divergence What Is Regular Divergence? Regular divergence can be divided into two types: regular bearish divergence and regular bullish divergence. What is Regular Bearish Divergence? Regular bearish divergence occurs when the price action makes successively higher highs while the indicator makes consecutively lower highs. This suggests that the asset’s price is preparing for a reversal into a downtrend. The indicator signal means that the momentum is changing. Even though the price action has made higher highs, the uptrend may be weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go short, i.e., to sell the asset and repurchase it later at a lower price. What is Regular Bullish Divergence? Regular bullish divergence happens when the price action forms progressively lower lows while the indicator creates higher lows. This implies that the prices will move in an upward trend soon. The indicator action implies that the price needs to catch up with the indicator signal and that the downtrend is weak. In this scenario, traders should get ready to go long, i.e., to buy the asset. How to Trade Regular Divergence? Divergence only tells traders that the momentum of a price movement is weakening. This does not necessarily lead to a strong reversal, and the price movement may just be entering a sideways trend (horizontal price movement within a stable range). To create a more reliable divergence trading strategy, skilled traders combine indicators with various tools. Regular bullish divergence and regular bearish divergence have different entry rules. In any case, once a trader has spotted a divergence, they should consider how to enter or exit the market and place their Stop Loss or Take Profit orders. What’s a hidden divergence? Divergences not only signal a potential trend reversal but can also be used as a possible sign for a trend continuation (price continues to move in its current direction). Hidden bullish divergence happens when the price is making a higher low (HL), but the oscillator is showing a lower low (LL). Hidden Bearish Divergence occurs when price makes a lower high (LH), but the oscillator is making a higher high (HH). Keep in mind that regular divergences are possible signals for trend reversals while hidden divergences signal trend continuation. Regular divergences = signal possible trend reversal Hidden divergences = signal possible trend continuation Conclusion Trading divergence can be very profitable if traders can reliably identify divergence by making use of the trading tools in their arsenal. However, like all trading strategies, using divergence indicators involves a certain degree of risk. [
Education
by FOREXN1
24
GOING SHORT IN NZDUSD BY TRADING STRATEGYBullish Indications 1. Higher Highs and Lows 2. 8 out of 12 years December remains bullish 3. Trend is bullish on 1D TF Bearish Indications 1. Shooting Start at Higher High 2. Broken Trendline 3. Bearish Divergence on 4H and 1D 4. Price is exactly bounced back from the previous rally LH 5. Trend is mature enough Seasonal Data Dec 10 => Green Dec 11 => Red Dec 12 => Green Dec 13 => Green Dec 14 => Red Dec 15 => Green Dec 16 => Red Dec 17 => Green Dec 18 => Red Dec 19 => Green Dec 20 => Green Dec 21 => Green
Short
by hassamsaeed
How a possible tradeplan could look like #BTCHi @everyone, In this chart we explain how we could enter a trade if this scenario will occur. Its used for educational content (but based on a real plan) to show how to create a plan on a possible scenario. Always think a few steps ahead, its just like playing chess. Its not given that this scenario will play out but,,, : if this happen then we know how to anticipate. We should wait for conformation (divergence), if no divergence? Then wait till 2nd conformation, if we missed out? Then wait for 3th oppertunity to enter the position. Trading without having a plan, is like driving without hands on the wheel. It can go good for a while, but 100% for sure u will fail. Cheers, Team Quantistic
Short
by Quantistic
2
BTC short TradingplanHi @everone, i Added on top of previous chart i would like to share some pattern wavecouts on top of it. rule nr 1 : never short at a potential wave D ( this is often a huge trap) same for an falling wedge, its exact the opposite. rule nr 2 : now how to count your waves, you want to spot a 5 wave structure with higher highs and higher lows with an apex wich is declining. the first wave needs to be inpulsive and may not made an lower low. This would inval your wave count for an wedge. rule nr 3 : ONLY enter if you spotted an valid wave E with some bearish divergence on top of it! Everyone nows what is an wedge.. But almost no one seems to knows how to really trade them. Enjoy your new set of rules, If u found this valueble please put your comment below, Thanks! Goodluck, Team Quantistic
Short
by Quantistic
3
S&P 500 appears to be in a bottoming processThere's been many bullish divergence + higher low patterns happening on the daily chart of the S&P 500 leading to bear market rallies. It is now happening on the weekly chart which could suggest something more than just a bear market rally and instead an actual rally that leads to a bull market. To confirm the weekly bullish divergence, we want to see a higher low form in addition to the divergence, possibly around the 3600-3700 level. However, it is important to note that the market can actually make a new low and this pattern could still be in play except instead of having a low + lower low in price and a low + higher low on the MACD, you would have a low + lower low + lower low in price and a low + higher low + higher low in the MACD. If a higher low is unable to form this time around, I would suspect we would see the next low around the bottom 2, green dashed lines.
SP:SPX
by PSchoeff
1