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Divergence

NKE - Could have bottomed?NKE tested bounced off a longer term horizontal support zone ($99 - $103) several times in the last 3 months and is now trading within a symmetrical wedge pattern. This could be both a continuation or reversal pattern depending on which side it broke out eventually. However, I suspect the eventual break will be more likely to the upside as the resistence turned support zone ($99-$103) has been holding up in the past few months, plus a bullish divergence can be seen in the monthly chart. Earnings expected on 29 Sep AMC. Guess we'll know by then where it is heading! Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:NKELong
by Juliac
1
Did BTC bottom out? Probably YES!Dear traders, It appears like BTC is forming a bottom here. There is strong Bullish Divergence (blue thick lines) formed on 1W timeframe. It is fiddling with EMA-100 on Monthly TF. It has already broken the resistance trendline (purple line) in Oct-22 and gave the retouch in the week of 7th Nov. The price is forming a falling wedge which is again bullish reversal pattern. I expect BTC to breakout above 18K and "RISE" in the new year. Then there's nothing stopping it till 29K-32K range. We visit the charts again there. In alternate scenario, it may trade sideways narrowing the trading range. However, I don't think it will invalidate the current formations entirely. It may dip towards ~12K and come back up giving a long wick followed by continued sharp upward move . But the dip must be in next couple of weeks for this bull story to remain intact. If not then it will drop slowly towards 8K range and it will be Q2-2023 before we see any hopes of reversal. Good luck.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MetaservCc
1
GOOG - Tide could be turningGOOG's monthly chart formed a bullish divergence and closed with a bullish "pin bar" in November. We are likely to see more upside momentum for this month, although it could pause and consolidate when it hits the near term horizontal resistence around 104-105, then may (or may not) dip back towards 93 (recently pivot low), before eventually breaking higher. Immediately support is currently at 93. Turn cautious if it dips below here. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by Juliac
1
QQQ setting up ReversalQQQ has been downtrending however- it broke through the mid-Fib levels which are now resistance the Momentum Oscillator shows bearish momentum decreasing to nearly zero the red dot on the center line suggests a squeeze is underway recent candles are small range and nearly Doji candles on the RSI Ichimoku are wide range and volatile in general relative strength is rising in bullish divergence Accordingly I will close the put options and open call options with 48 hours of time to expiration at a strike 1% above current price.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AwesomeAvani
NAS100 ReversalNAS has been falling in the past several sessions. On the chart , the fib levels are drawn from the recent past swing high to the swing low. An anchored VWAP is set at the swing high. Price is currently just above the VWAP and the 0.5 Fib level. These are both likely support for a reversal. I will look for volatility and enter a long trade upon confirmation. MACD and RSI are both showing bullish divergence ( Stop loss at the fib level below the entry. Frist target is the upper band of the VWAP and final target is the red line horizontal resistance)
NLong
by AwesomeAvani
US30 - Breakout SetupUS30 has been in a bullish trend on 1H. Price has recently bounced off an important Resistance Zone that may caused a trend reversal. The Bearish Bias is based on the following confluence: Price has stopped making HHs and HLs Resistance Zone (1W, 1D, 4H, 1H) rejection Horizontal Support breakout with Bullish Engulfing candle Rising support breakout with Bullish Engulfing candle Bearish Divergence on RSI (1D, 4H, 1H) OBV Divergence (1D, 4H) Trade safe. Hit like & follow for more analysis.
UShort
by yo_zubair
FTM/USDT4H Timeframe shows us a classic bearish divergence => For taking a short position I wanna see an extended bearish divergence, it's because we can see it more often while spotting the trend reverse ( wave 3 and wave 4 make classic bearish divergence, BUT then the wave 5 making a higher high and taking the stop loss liquidity of the waves 3 and 4, after that we can see an extended divergence) ! In between the waves 3,4 and the wave 5 usually there is a hidden bullish divergence! On our FTM USDT chart we could notice a bearish divergence but it didn't go well, because MACD histogram did lower low while the chart was making higher high in the up trend, so it's a very nice bullish signal for taking a BUY position. If you missed it, no worries, just wait for the extended bearish divergence and go short!
F
by STUKOVA
3
A glitch in the energy matrix?Something weird is bubbling in the energy space. Before we delve in, let us briefly explain what the S&P Energy Select Sector Index represents. Some of you might already be familiar with XLE, the ETF which tracks the S&P Energy Select Sector Index (IXE). This Index seeks to represent the Energy sector by aggregating a basket of names in the sector. A breakdown of the top 10 Index components shows the Oil & Gas majors taking up roughly 75.41% of the Index, and 91% of the total Index component being Oil & Gas exposure, while the other 9% being energy-related equipment and services. CME E-mini S&P Select Sector Futures, XAE, tracks the aforementioned energy index, with the added benefit of margin offset and deep liquidity. Now given that the S&P Energy Select Sector Index is made up of mostly big Oil & Gas names, we would expect some correlation between the prices of oil and the Index itself. A look at both from the depths of the low in March 2020 till now shows both products moving closely together up until recently, where zooming in we see… the glitch in the matrix.... The 2 have been trading generally in lockstep since the bottom in 2020, but have diverged in a peculiar fashion, since the middle of July, with the energy sector gaining roughly 28% since, while Oil tumbles close to 30%! Has the exuberance in energy stocks been overdone? In our opinion yes and we see a couple of headwinds for the Energy Sector in general: 1) The impressive rally from the depths of COVID has been driven by rising oil prices and share buybacks. Oil prices are now faltering, and tightening Financial conditions/Recession could slow or stop buybacks. 2) Political pressure to apply a ‘windfall tax’ on oil and gas companies could eat into energy companies’ earnings. 3) Stabilized tension from the Russian-Ukraine means lower uncertainty and pressure on oil prices, as supply and demand find equilibrium from alternative sources. 4) China’s continued zero COVID policy means low demand from the world’s largest importer. From a price action perspective, XAE is trading just slightly off the all-time high range, which could prove to be an area of resistance. All things considered, we think this presents an opportunity to trade this divergence either by; 1) Shorting the XAE outright, which means to take a directional view on the Energy Index. A riskier trade. 2) Pair the XAE with the Crude Oil contract, by shorting the XAE and taking a long on the Crude Oil contract. A more risk-controlled approach. Crude Oil Trades at a contract unit of 1000 barrels and the E-mini Energy Select Sector trades $100 x S&P Energy Select Sector Index. Each Index point is 100$ on the CME E-Mini Energy Select Sector Futures contract (XAE) and $1000 on the Crude Oil Futures. One way to construct this spread could be to calculate the contract value difference between the 2 products; Spread = 100 x XAE1! – 1000 x CL1! You can construct the chart on TradingView by typing the above into the product search bar. This will show the Chart of the spread between the 2 products, which is close to the all-time high now. As such we will lean on the short side of this spread, given the outperformance of the Energy Index relative to Crude Oil. We will also keep an eye on the upcoming OPEC meeting on December 4th to gauge the path forward for Oil Prices. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Sources: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com www.ssga.com oilprice.com
CME_MINI:XAE1!Short
by inspirante
16
TSLA - due for a bounce soonTSLA is now at a longer term horizontal support zone (168-180), after having retraced 61.8% of it's major AB upswing that had begun in March 2020(see monthly chart). A short term bounce looks to be due as we are now seeing a bullish divergence between price and RSI on it's daily chart, but whether this is "THE" low remains to be seen as the overall trend is still down at the moment. Having said that, the chance that it is bottoming is higher should we start seeing more of the FAANG stocks pivoting. Can only wait and see. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Juliac
4
DJI/ SPX - expect near term volatilityWith FOMC uncertainty coming up this week, and the indices hitting into near term trendline resistence, some volatility will not be surprising in the next few days. Among the 3 indices, DJI has been the strongest of late. On the monthly timeframe, we can see a few rather bullish signs: 1. a "tweezer bottoms" 2. bullish engulfing candlestick 3. bullish divergence between price and RSI playing out. However, divergences usually translate into just a short term reversal (lasting 1-3 candlesticks) and may not be a longer term trend reversal. Still, when seen on a monthly chart, this could mean 1-3 months of "upside"). A pullback at this junction is not unexpected but what is important is to watch for the amount of pullback. Any pullback that within 50% fibonacci retracement of it's recent strong upswing AB is within "acceptable" limits. However, anything is possible. Let's see how it will play out this week especially after FOMC this Wednesday. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
TVC:DJI
by Juliac
11