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Divergence

15% to 35% Upside Ahead for Corn (Divergence Strategy)Corn recently has had the monthly bullish divergence confirmed with Septembers monthly close. This has major implications for corn, as I anticipate corn to now trade up at least 15% from current prices, up to a max move of approximately 35%. Monthly divergence triggers such as this are signals that the prudent trader must pay attention to. This does not mean I anticipate this market to go straight up from here. However, it does mean that, in my opinion, dips are for buying in the Corn market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
15% to 30% Upside Ahead for Soybean Meal (Divergence Strategy)Soybean Meal recently confirmed the monthly bullish divergence with Septembers candle close. This is a significant signal that prudent traders should pay close attention to. What this signal implies is that there is a minimum 15% move to the upside from current price ahead for Soybean Meal. The high end target is a 30% upside move. This does not mean this market is going to go straight up from here. In my opinion, dips are for buying in the Soybean Meal market until we reach these upside targets. Have a great week.
CBOT:ZM1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
30% to 60% Upside Coming for Natty (Divergence Strategy)A powerful monthly bullish divergence just confirmed on natty. We see that the CCI had a monthly close which confirmed the bullish divergence setup. In this video I review how to determine targets with this strategy, and how to determine your risk. I anticipate a minimum 30% rally from current prices for natty, possibly heading up 60% from here. This doesn't mean this market won't have a pullback in the meantime. In my opinion, pullbacks are for buying until these price targets are reached. If you have any questions about this strategy, feel free to shoot me a message. Have a great week.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
18
Bearish divergence on GBPUSD daily chart; sterling overbought?GBPUSD has been in an uptrend since April 22, 2024, and has accumulated a 9.19% increase between April 22 and September 26. On August 27, the RSI indicator recorded a reading of 74.96, signalling a possible overbought situation. On September 26, the reading was at 71.68, which was slightly lower than the previous RSI reading. On the other hand, on August 27, GBPUSD was trading at 1.3264 before rallying to 1.3431 on September 26 – a marked gain over a monthly timespan. Sterling has since given up some of its recent gains, trading around the 1.33 mark. The pound has notably been the top performer among G10 currencies this year, rising over 5% against the dollar and 4% against the euro. Its strong rally began in late April, following a brief dip below $1.23. Sterling has appreciated by close to 10% against the U.S. dollar since last October. On a trade-weighted basis, sterling is now at its highest level since the UK's 2016 Brexit vote, just 2% below its pre-referendum level. Blistering rally for sterling on BoE, Fed rate divergence The currency's gains have been driven by expectations that UK interest rates will stay higher than those of other nations, due to persistent inflation in services and a surprisingly resilient economy. Technical indicators, however, indicate that there may be signs of a potential reverse in the trend for sterling. Some analysts have also noted that the sterling-to-dollar pair may start to look expensive soon as expectations for a 50-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to look misplaced. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently pushed back against forecasts of another outsized 50bps cut, saying he sees two more interest rate cuts, totalling 50 basis points, this year as a baseline “if the economy performs as expected.” Bearish divergence may be in play for GBPUSD A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price reaches a higher high than the previous one, while the oscillator forms a lower high. This pattern often indicates a potential for a stronger pullback or trend reversal. On October 1st, the price dipped below the 8-period Simple Moving Average, and with a classic bearish divergence currently in play, this suggests a potential bearish pullback in GBP/USD. The sterling-to-dollar pair may drop to the 1.3028 level, where a support zone is expected on the daily chart. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
2
US30 POTENTIAL BUYTrade Idea: US30 Buy on 15-Minute Chart Trade Setup: Entry Price: 42190 (buy stop) Stop Loss: 42120 (75 pips below entry) First Target: 42215 Second Target: 42240 Bullish Pressure: Recent price action shows increasing bullish momentum, confirmed by rising volume and positive indicators on the 15-minute chart. Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment is supportive of a bullish trend. Technical Levels: The price is approaching significant resistance at 42215 and 42240, with potential for a breakout given the current bullish momentum. Execution Plan: Enter long at 42190. Set stop loss around 42120. Monitor price action closely and adjust stop loss to break even once the first target is hit. This trade leverages bullish sentiment and technical analysis, aiming for a continued upward movement beyond 42240.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by BluezFxTraders
1
US30 Potential BuyTrade Idea: Buy US30 at 42,225 I'm looking to buy US30 around the 42,225 area due to a noticeable increase in bullish pressure. This zone appears to be a potential support level, aligning with recent price action on the 1-hour chart. Targets: - Target 1: 42,246 - Target 2: 42,270 - Extended Target 3: 42,290 Stop Loss: Set a stop loss around 80-90 pips from your entry point. However, I recommend adjusting your stop loss based on your account size and risk tolerance. Always ensure to manage your risk accordingly if you decide to enter. This is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by BluezFxTraders
2
Megaphone - BearishSPY weekly looking interesting heading into the week. Staying hedged with the SPY holding another megaphone. The SPY is being carried by buyer volume with some hidden bearish divergence on the RSI and nearing overbought territory yet again. With so many sectors and indexes flashing red and a massive bearish cipher on the weekly timeframe as further confirmation, looking forward to playing the downside. Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime (Accompanying Charts Attached Below)
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
AUDCAD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 AUDCAD Analysis on 1H chart - The current Trend is BULLISH - There is BEARISH divergences - Reversal pattern is present which is rising wedge 🔹 Trade Plan - Entry Level = 0.93494 - Stop Loss = 0.93746 - TP1 = 0.93264 - TP2 = 0.93008 🔹 Risk Management - First TP is 1:1 - Second TP is 1:2 🔹 How to Take Trade? - Only risk 2% of your portfolio - Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR - Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
Short
by Bountysoul
US30 POTENTIAL SELLTrade Idea: Sell on US30 30MIN CHART Trade Setup: - Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) - Trade Type: Sell - Entry Point: Sell when price crosses the 42320 level - Rationale: Anticipating a retracement after a bullish overnight movement. The bullish imbalances below support the idea of a temporary pullback. Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 42294 2. TP2: 42264 3. EXTENDED TP3: 42234 Stop Loss: 65 pips above entry point Analysis: - Market Context: Recent bullish movement suggests a potential for profit-taking or a short-term reversal. - Technical Levels: Monitor key support and resistance levels for additional confirmation. - Risk Management: Ensure position sizing is appropriate based on your risk tolerance. Execution Plan: - Wait for a confirmed break below the 42320 level before executing the sell order. - Adjust stop loss as needed based on market movement and volatility. Monitoring: - Keep an eye on price action around the take profit levels for possible exit adjustments. This trade setup is designed to capitalize on expected short-term price action while managing risk effectively. This is not investment advice.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by BluezFxTraders
Lucid Group Trip Down to Lower $3's Before Uplift?! - LCIDHere I have Lucid Group, Inc - LCID on the Weekly Chart! First, Technical. We see Price rock bottoms to its Lowest @ $2.29 on April 22 2024 and just after the Negative Earnings and Revenue report on May 6th 2024, Price creates an Equal High @ $3.35 followed by a Violation of Structure giving us a Higher Low @ $2.48 finding Support in the $2.50 Area to then make a Higher High @ $4.32! Turning this once looking Downtrend to an Uptrend. Prices Higher Highs and Lows are now being halted at the $4.20 - $4.40 Range where I suspect Price will need to find more Support before it can continue on to what I believe will be its next Target being the Next Swing High @ $5.31! *Divergence in the Highs of Price relative to the Highs on RSI show Bearish Signs The Bullish Rally in Price on August 19th left open quite a Gap to Fill from $3.83 - $3.30 and If Price is willing to fill it, the $3.46 - $3.13 Area looks very Valuable being there's: 1) - Equal High @ $3.35 being Potential Support 2) - Golden Fibonacci Zone @ $3.34 (55.9%) - $3.22 (61.8%) (Based from HL @ $2.48 to HH @ $4.43) 3) - RSI after Breaking EQH, starts Trading Above 50 4) BBTrend Printing Smaller, Dark, Red Bars All leading to Bullish Markers! Now, Fundamentals. Lucid Group announced that it is set to launch not only 3 new affordable EV's but that it also plans to unveil the Gravity SUV later in the year "highlighting the company's advanced technology and mileage range on electric vehicles." In competition with Tesla's long reign. www.tradingview.com The "Fastest Armored Car On The Planet" is sparking investor interest with Lucid Air Sapphire is giving serious challenges to Tesla! www.tradingview.com The past 2 Earnings & Revenue Reports have both been Disappointing for the company but the most recent Report on August 5th compared to May 6th tell a slightly different story .. May - Revenue Estimate (173.544M) / Reported (172.2M) = -844.404k Aug.- Revenue Estimate (190.303M) / Reported (200.6M) = +10.279M *Next Earnings and Revenue - November 5th 2024 LCID will be worth keeping a watch on .. Stay Tuned!!
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
1
NQ Bullish with Signs of a Potential Reversal in Early OctoberThe Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) futures continue to exhibit a strong uptrend, driven by market optimism and supportive economic factors. As seen on the chart, the Bonsai trend indicator remains bullish, signaling the ongoing upward momentum. However, caution is warranted as we approach a critical resistance zone, where multiple technical and external factors suggest the potential for a pullback. Key Technical Levels and Signals Resistance at 20,600 : The price is nearing a significant resistance zone between 20,500 and 20,600, where previous highs have been met with seller pressure. The market may struggle to break through this zone in the short term, leading to possible consolidation or retracement. Bearish Strength on Oscillators : The Bonsai OS is starting to signal an incoming bearish strength, where the oscillator fails to make new highs while the price continues to rise. This divergence suggests that the current bullish move may be losing momentum, increasing the probability of a reversal or correction in the near term. Short-Term Retracement : A retracement to the 19,800-20,000 region would be healthy for the overall trend, providing potential buying opportunities for traders waiting for a dip. This level aligns with previous support zones and retracement levels, making it a logical area for price to stabilize before another move upward. Geopolitical and Economic Factors Affecting NQ U.S. Elections and Tax Policy : The upcoming U.S. election between Vice President Harris and former President Trump is creating uncertainty around future tax policies, particularly regarding capital gains and unrealized gains taxation. Investors may start adjusting their portfolios as we get closer to October, historically a volatile month for the markets​. Global Conflicts and Economic Risks : Rising tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Taiwan add further geopolitical risk. Market participants are keeping a close eye on potential escalations, as these conflicts could shift sentiment toward a risk-off environment, impacting indices like the Nasdaq 100​. Fed Policy and Economic Data : The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut has temporarily buoyed the markets, but upcoming data releases—particularly around inflation and employment—could change the tone. Economic surprises in early October could lead to volatility, especially if the data fails to support the current bullish narrative​. Conclusion: Bullish But Cautious The overall Bonsai indicator continues to signal an uptrend, and the market looks poised to push higher if it can break through the 20,600 resistance zone. However, the oscillator's bearish divergence and external political risks suggest a potential reversal or at least a short-term correction in the first week of October. Traders should monitor these signals closely and consider adjusting their positions accordingly. Keep an eye on the VIX as well, which has been known to spike during periods of heightened uncertainty, offering opportunities to hedge against increased volatility​.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by bonsai_trade
US30 POTENTIAL SELLTrade Idea: Sell on US30 15M CHART Analysis: I anticipate a decline in the US30 index within the next two hours. I plan to place sell stops around the 42,162 level. My priority targets are set for a 25-50 pip move, aiming for exits between 42,137 and 42,111 as we have lots of bullish imbalances within and below these levels. For an extended target, I’m eyeing the 42,060 level, which aligns with expectations of heavy divergence bearish pressure. Risk Management: Although I won't use a hard stop loss, I recommend a mental stop loss above 42,220, considering the liquidity above this level. This allows for some market breathing room while still managing risk effectively. Keep an eye on market developments and adjust as necessary. Not investment advice. Please protect your capital.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by BluezFxTraders
1
SOYBEANS - Are We Close to a Major Bottom? Cycles Say YES.Here is what I am currently watching for SOYBEANS. -We need to be aware that there is a major bullish divergence setup (not trigger) developing on the quarterly & monthly charts. We need to pay close attention to this setup, because if triggered/confirmed, it implies a massive move up for Soybeans would be on the horizon. -Interestingly, the Weekly chart has confirmed bullish divergence. The first target (1090) has not yet been hit, but in my opinion, it looks probable that Soybeans will hit that target (and possibly go as high as the second target (1179). This implies that I believe Soybeans is likely to rally at least 5% in the near future, and possibly rally as much as 10% from current price levels. -I will be aggressive with taking profits on any short setups that present, due to the bullish weekly divergence that has triggered. -Utilizing the Weekly MAC & Valuation methods, I note that this market is in an area where we can look for H6/Daily short trades. As mentioned in previous paragraph, I will utilize more aggressive targets. -The cycles for Soybeans...wow, they are quite something. Decennial cycle suggests significant low being put in, APZ's suggest major low around October 4th, major 5 year cyclical low RIGHT NOW. Other temporary and permanent blended cycles suggest a major low right now. Composite of the 3 most similar years of price action also suggest a major low could happen soon, with a major rally to March 2025. -A combination of the cycles and the major timeframe bullish divergences have me leaning somewhat towards calling a possible major bottom in the Soybeans market. I would prefer to see commercials COT positioning support this idea, which makes me think maybe we get another nice selloff into the August lows before the real bottom is in. But time will tell.
CBOT:ZS1!
by Tradius_Trades
US30 POTENTIAL SELL Trade Idea: US30 Sell Position Time Frame: 1 Hour Chart Market: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) Trade Type: Sell Bearish price action observed during the London session indicates potential for further downside movement. The price is anticipated to tap into the level at 42,079, presenting an optimal entry point for a sell. Entry Point: - Sell Limit: 42,079 Target Levels: - Primary Target: 25-60 pips (around 42,055 - 42,031) - Extended Target: 75-100 pips (around 42,003 - 41,977) Stop Loss: - Placement: Approximately 60 pips above entry (around 42,139). This will be a flexible stop loss, allowing for market fluctuations. Risk Management: - Ensure that position size aligns with your overall risk tolerance. Monitor the trade closely, especially near key support and resistance levels. Additional Notes: - Keep an eye on market news and economic releases that may impact volatility. - Adjust targets and stop loss as necessary based on real-time price action. Disclaimer: This is a trading idea and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and trade responsibly.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by BluezFxTraders
5
META - Still Bullish, But Major Sell Signal LoomingHere is what I am watching on META. -Like many of the other high flying stocks in the US, the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts are flashing divergence sell setups. Bulls need not be too worried yet, as these divergence sell setups have not yet confirmed. However, the astute trader must be aware that these setups are looming, because if they confirm, they imply a minimum 15% move to the downside for Meta. -We are bullish on any pullbacks into the 446 to 495 range (Monthly & Weekly MAC lows). These are considered Buying opportunities and valid areas to look for entry triggers on entry timeframes. -Cycles suggest a cyclical high right around now, heading into a significant cyclical low in early to mid October (possibly into November). I'd like to see this cycle play out to have price trade down into the Monthly/Weekly MAC lows, where we will be ready to hunt entry triggers to the long side.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Tradius_Trades
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon. -We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price. -MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon. -Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Tradius_Trades
Google - Looking For Sell Triggers Around 171This video provides an overview of the things that I am watching for Google right now. -We need to monitor the quarterly, monthly & weekly divergences that are currently setup, but not yet confirmed. These are not actionable right now, but they definitely need our attention. If confirmed, they imply some very significant moves in this market. -We can see that the Monthly is still bullish, and we had a monthly MAC entry confirm on the Daily on September 13th. This trade still has not hit its targets, with the first being 169.69 (what a great number). The second target being 180. I would not be surprised to see Google trade up to 169.69 sometime soon. -The Weekly chart is confirmed bearish for the MAC strategy. What this means is that any rallies into the weekly MAC high are opportunities to sell on the H6 chart. I'll be looking for sell triggers if price trades into the 171 level (Weekly MAC high). -Threw in some cycles, for fun. Have a great week.
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by Tradius_Trades
1
NVDA - Still Bullish, But Major Potential Sell Signal LoomingThis week in NVDA I am paying attention to the following: -On the monthly timeframe, we see that there is a significant bearish divergence setup forming. This has not yet triggered, though, so the bulls can relax (for now). However, in 7 days when the Monthly candle closes, we need to pay close attention to the CCI divergence. If it confirms, it implies a MAJOR bearish correction for NVDA is on the horizon. -But in the meantime, everything is all systems go for the bulls. If you trade based on the Monthly, any pullbacks into the $88 region (Monthly MAC low) would be satisfactory spots to look for Buy triggers on the Daily timeframe. The Williams Acc/Dis is positioned well above its 57 period MA, which means we should look to buy any pullbacks into the low of the MAC. -Weekly analysis also implies all is good for the bulls. I will look for Buy triggers on the 6H chart if price pulls back into the $107 region (Weekly MAC low). -For fun, I throw some cyclical analysis into the mix. We see that NVDA has a strong seasonal cycle for an upmove from early October into November. Thank you for reading. Enjoy your week.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tradius_Trades
10
Apple - High & Intermediate Term AnalysisToday, we look at Apple utilizing a variety of techniques: Divergence, MAC & Cycles. We need to keep an eye on the quarterly, monthly & weekly bearish divergences that are occurring. They have not yet triggered, so bulls don't have to worry (yet). But we must keep our eyes on these divergences, because if they trigger, they imply significant downside ahead for Apples share value. We take a look at the MAC and see that there is a case to be made for some further upside this week, and based on todays state of the indicators, longs are favored on any pullbacks to the MAC on the Daily chart. Cycles show a bit of a mixed bag of possibilities. I'm most interested in the Decennial pattern and the APZ's. Let me know if you have any questions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Tradius_Trades