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Divergence

PYPL - bullish divergencePYPL broke out of an Adam & Eve formation on 27 Jul, then gapped up strongly upon Earnings on 3 Aug. Since then, it has retraced about 38% of it's AB swing up and appear to find support @ 90 where the gap is closed. The stock could be ready to begin another up swing as we are seeing some bullish divergence between price and stochastic. Stops raised to just slightly below $89. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by Juliac
2
SPX - potential bullish divergenceThe divergence is more apparent on the 4hrly chart and the same is also seen on Nasdaq. Perhaps market is expecting a less hawkish FED speech tomorrow. Let's see! I have to emphasize that bullish divergences when it happen could materialise into a short term bounce (that may last a few candles) but may not translate into a longer term trend reversal (up). Best to wait for clearer signals or trade small and adhere to stop losses if wrong. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
SP:SPX
by Juliac
AUDUSD Falling Wedge And Double BottomLooking at Trading a possible falling wedge and double bottom on AUD/USD today in the 4-hour chart. My bias is still in fact, bearish. Prices are still moving lower and on the Daily chart, we can see we have a nice gap where prices can still fall right down to the 0,668 price level. So, looking for longs right now is all very well and good, however, we have to be careful and make sure we have bullish confirmation of a reversal before we go jumping into the deep end and going long right away. On the 4-hour chart, we have a falling wedge with price bouncing nicely in between the top and bottom of this wedge. Usually, we will see a breakout from a falling wedge, which will usually be to the upside. We also have a possible double bottom inside of this falling wedge. I have highlighted the neckline in yellow. We would need to see the price strongly break out of the wedge and straight through the yellow neckline. We would need to see bullish volume accompany this move to help confirm that the bulls are back. We have partial divergence on the MACD’s Histogram. This means that the sellers may weaken and the buyers may be getting ready to regain market control. My concern is the large gap in the daily time frame. We still have space to fall. And, if we do fall further, we can then look for further short entries, using that previous daily support level as a target. However, no short setups currently present themselves, at least to me. I am patiently waiting to see if the price will break to the upside and reclaim that yellow line as support. We have Bullish confluence all around: Falling Wedge, Double Bottom, Partial Divergence. But, as much as we would like to try and convince ourselves that the price will indeed reverse from this point, the truth is, that on higher time frames, the price movement is still bearish. We are still making lower lows. So, let's watch what happens today. Perhaps we will get a bullish breakout. See you on the next one. The Vortex Trader
by TheVortexTrader
1
EURGBP:Interesting level ahead as price approaches yearly highs EURGBP has ranged for the past 16 months, at times mindlessly and aimlessly. This has made many traders, especially trend traders lose interest in the pair. However, over the past month, price has shown some bullish intent and pushed towards multi year high at 0.8719. I personally believe this level would hold and send prices lower, however I am keeping an open mind in the case of a breakout. If that happens price could rally up to 0.8900 (2020 lows) The H4 has shown a bearish Stochastic divergence and if this kicks in, I will short for a few hundred pips
Short
by Autofx
3
SPX and NQ - short term bounce comingAfter retracing 61.8% of the recent AB up swing (that lasted 2 months from 17 June to 16 Aug), the market finally seem to be finding support yesterday, forming a bullish pin bar and a potential bullish divergence between price and stochastics. However note that a bullish divergence usually signify a SHORT TERM trend reversal (lasting only several candles) and may not translate into a longer term trend reversal. There is a chance we could be in a whipsaw market for a while more. Need to be nimble still until we see a clearer picture. Stay safe. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
TVC:NDQ
by Juliac
DAX40 Double Bottom Formation In The 4 Hour ChartI am looking at a possible double bottom formation on the DAX40 on the 4-hour chart. We have seen nothing but bearish price action since we hit the daily resistance level around the 1395 price point on the 17th of August. Since then we have been making lower lows and lower highs, forming a descending trend line. We have tested this descending trend line twice. What is interesting about the second time we touched the trend line is that the second tap coincided nicely with retesting previous support flipped resistance. I have highlighted the neckline in yellow and have extended this zone to the left and right and we can see that the top of the current double bottom neckline is testing resistance that was once support if we look to the left. So we have some nice confluences here lining up already. Looking at the two bottom peaks, we can see they are around the same price level but looking below at the MACD, we clearly can see full divergence. The Histogram is weakening and the MA lines are trending upwards as well. This means that the bears (sellers) are weakening and at some point, the bulls (buyers) should be stepping in and taking control. When trading double tops and double bottoms, we always look for full divergence because this adds confidence and confluence to the setup. Now, to confirm this double-bottom formation, we need the rest of the formation to play out. We need the price to move impulsively upwards pushing past the descending trend line, then push and close above the neckline. We also need to see strong bullish volume accompany that bullish move. If we see that, and only If we see that, I will then be looking at reasons to go long. I will be waiting for a retrace back into the neckline and enter somewhere inside of the neckline retest. My targets will be previous daily resistance. Currently, we are still ways away from something like this happening. However, I wanted to bring this to your attention because it is good to be able to see patterns begin to form early. This helps us keep an eye on it and set alerts if need be. This also trains our eyes and gives us the ability to spot these patterns in the smaller time frames where the action occurs much quicker and decisions need to be made must faster. Let's watch what happens. If the double bottom formation doesn’t form and the price continues to drop, we may look for further short opportunities and other pattern formations. We can only trade what the charts give us. Hope you all have a fantastic first of September. See you on the next one. The Vortex Trader
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by TheVortexTrader
2
BTC falling wedge4h chart Got falling wedge formed (bullish figure, more chance for move up from it) Multiple bull divergence RSI, SRSI, MACD histogram (if the price does not continue down hard pulling oscillators with it. Possible double bottom formed... Interesting point is that end of this wedge is more or less at the technical target of the big blue rising wedge... To resume, could go down some more, but in mid-term we have a nice chance for some kind of reversal in the days to come. Falling down from this figure, if it happens, could be very hard...
by PhilosophersStone