How to trade USD after the rate call? NZDUSD exampleLast night the FED raised their interest rate by 75 basis points.
When interest rates go up, the currency should strengthen right? However looking at NZDUSD from a technical standpoint the market was oversold. Therefore the market has no place to go but up!
Now the market it overbought and it is time to sell it again at 0.6260. There is nice consolidation and divergence happening now.
45 pip stop loss and targeting 90 pips.
Divergence
Bitcoin short-term view - correction overdueBitcoin short-term view - correction overdue
BTC with a further nice pump near price action resistance at $24.150
IMO the corrective movement near start
(a) bearish divergence in the game
(b) I guess we will meet $22.3662 - $21.873
Would be totally fine dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Bitcoin - Divergence (Live Example)Divergence:
Warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.
For confirmation the completion of the full 5 Wave Impulse cycle, we look for the 5th Wave to show signs of divergence. This is our first indicator that we might begin to see the ABC correction starting to form.
Price going higher, however the Stochastic RSI going lower.
NQ - Tweezer BottomI posted on 7th July that there was a potential bullish divergene on the monthly chart of Nasdaq, and it has since come true. What is interesting is that we are now seeing a potential "tweezer bottom" on the monthly as well (both bullish).
The daily chart has been trading within a rising channel. With FOMC out of the way, there is a good chance for NQ to reach 13000 in the near future. Has the market turned the corner for good after hitting a low of 11,000 on 16 June? We won't know for sure but I would be a bull rather than a bear in the near term. Watch for market reactions to earnings of the big boys (namely FAANG stocks and take the cue from there.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Ethereum - my bearish scenario - a healthy correctionEthereum - my bearish scenario - a healthy correction
On the 4h chart we have a bearish Stoch RSI cross, a bearish divergence on RSI and ETH is in a bear flag
All points teasing a possible correction - this correction is healthy to FIB golden pocket ($1.260 - $1.238) or even to FIB 78.6% ($1.146)
Prices below $1.146 should concern
What do you think Crypto Nation?
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Mahindra & Mahindra Finance - ALT Shark with Wolfe Wave M_mFin has alt shark along with wolfewave and rsi negative divergence on daily timeframe. Also a deep crab and Wolfewave at lower timeframe, Expecting a upside move till shark PRZ after hitting small TF ww target . IF sl taken then we can expect Gartley and can long till 272.
Forecast of gartley if broken B
Can Interest Rate Be Traded Or Invested?How can we participate in the rise and fall of interest rate? Firstly, we need to understand the difference between interest rate and yield.
Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers whereas yield is for investors or lenders.
• Interest rates are the fees charged, as a percentage from a lender for a loan.
• Yield is the percentage of earnings a person receives for lending money.
Both move in tandem together, meaning if yield moves higher, interest rates will follow.
Discussion:
• Direction of the Yield in the short-term and
• Direction of the Yield in the long-term
Divergence in a bull market means the bull is losing its momentum, keep a look-out for trigger points that may cause further stress to the market.
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures
1/10 of 1bp = US$1 or
0.001% = US$1
3.000% to 3.050% = US$50
3.000% to 4.000% = US$1,000
Note:
Micro Treasury futures are not micro-sized U.S. Treasury securities. They convey no rights of ownership, nor or they pay or accrue interest.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
GBP/USD Daily Descending Trend line Hi Traders,
Have a look at GBP/USD on the 4-hour and daily chart today.
Having a look at the Daily time frame, we can see that price has been respecting this bearish trend line since the 20th of February 2022. We've had 5 taps so far on this giant daily trend line. Currently, it looks like the price is pushing to print its 6th tap.
Now, we don’t know whether or not this next tap will be the one to finally break us out of this bearish pressure that we have been in for the greater part of 2022.
However, if we were analyzing a trend, we can see that this trend is not bullish. Our bias must remain bearish until proven otherwise. Now, I am no fortune teller and I am not one of those traders that say that they can pick out where the exact bottom is. I only trade setups that make sense to me. So having said that, let's go deeper into the 4-hour time frame.
This chart shows that price has been pushing upwards, bouncing inside this ascending channel.
What do we look for on ascending channels? Usually, we look for a break and retest of the channel bottom. This means we are waiting for a possible bearish break of this channel with a retest of the bottom of the channel. If we see that, we can open up a short position with our targets being previous support around the 1.176 price level.
What's interesting to look for is that if this channel breaks to the downside and retests just as the price is touching or tapping the daily descending trend line, well then that gives us huge confluence to go short.
To add to that confluence, we have divergence on the MACD Histogram. As price makes higher highs within the ascending channel, we can see the histogram make lower lows showing that the bulls that are there right now might start to run out of steam and the giant daily bears might be biding their time, waiting for that perfect moment to push price back down.
To sum up my current thoughts .. Do nothing until shown a reason to jump in. I cannot force these charts and bend them to my will. Therefore, we wait until these patterns present themselves to us on a silver platter. Then, we jump in and take full advantage of the offering.
Hope you all have a fantastic Tuesday.
See you all on the next one.
The Vortex Trader.
USD/CAD Shorts trade plan 25 July 2022Structure:
- H4 downstrend
- D divergence playing effect and break of prev daily low
- W stochs crossed down showing support to overall bias
1. Div - m30 /m5/ m3 (3)
2. stoch cross downs - M45, H1, H2 (3)
3. MA bounces - H3/H4 (2)
Enter with pending stops below prev higher low (HL) to be safe and go for a simple 1:3 or 1:4.
Note to self: >= 5 confluences to have the confidence to execute already, don't need to overthink it
NZD/USD Longs trade plan 25 July 2022Structure:
- H4 uptrend
- D candles broke all previous highs and showing momentum
- W stochs crossed up to show support to buy set ups along the way
1. Div - m3/m5 (2)
2. stoch cross ups - M45, H1, H2 (3)
3. MA bounces - M15, M30, H2 (3)
Enter with pending stops above prev lower high (LH) to be safe and go for a simple 1:3 or 1:4.
Note to self: >= 5 confluences to have the confidence to execute already, don't need to overthink it
NZDCAD moves higher The pair has one more resistance level - the 50 day MA - to clear opening up the 0.83xx last touched in June. Beyond that, the 0.84xx and 0.876xx comes into play
Supporting this view is the wedge pattern that has been forming over the past few months and divergence of the MACD, MACD histogram and RSI. The OBV has shown signs of convergence to support flows into the pair
I will be monitoring the pair to see whether a break will happen
⚡️ #ATOM/USDT - Potential 450% ⚡️⚡️ #ATOM/USDT - Potential 450% ⚡️
Entry Conditions:
Developer activity & social metric on-chains has spiked since July 7th, whilst supply held by whales is 43.8% and continuing to rise.
- Bullish Divergence
- RSI Daily Trendline Breakout
Entry: - 7.4 - 11
TP1: 14
TP2: 20
TP3: 33
Yolo: 43
SL: 5.1 or HOLD
BULLISH DIVERGENCEInteresting bullish divergence on daily tf, that just confirmed the bullish breakout of resistance on higher volume, suggesting a potential 3 R/R .
Bitcoin short-term view - bearish divergence - correction likelyBitcoin short-term view
(a) bearish divergence - correction likely
(b) IMO a correction to ~$21.000 would be fine - (volume support, EMA, SMA, FIB50%)
(c) Expect RSI to get in oversold area soon
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing