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Divergence

Can Interest Rate Be Traded Or Invested?How can we participate in the rise and fall of interest rate? Firstly, we need to understand the difference between interest rate and yield. Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers whereas yield is for investors or lenders. • Interest rates are the fees charged, as a percentage from a lender for a loan. • Yield is the percentage of earnings a person receives for lending money. Both move in tandem together, meaning if yield moves higher, interest rates will follow. Discussion: • Direction of the Yield in the short-term and • Direction of the Yield in the long-term Divergence in a bull market means the bull is losing its momentum, keep a look-out for trigger points that may cause further stress to the market. Micro 10-Year Yield Futures 1/10 of 1bp = US$1 or 0.001% = US$1 3.000% to 3.050% = US$50 3.000% to 4.000% = US$1,000 Note: Micro Treasury futures are not micro-sized U.S. Treasury securities. They convey no rights of ownership, nor or they pay or accrue interest. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
TVC:US10YEducation
by konhow
GBP/USD Daily Descending Trend line Hi Traders, Have a look at GBP/USD on the 4-hour and daily chart today. Having a look at the Daily time frame, we can see that price has been respecting this bearish trend line since the 20th of February 2022. We've had 5 taps so far on this giant daily trend line. Currently, it looks like the price is pushing to print its 6th tap. Now, we don’t know whether or not this next tap will be the one to finally break us out of this bearish pressure that we have been in for the greater part of 2022. However, if we were analyzing a trend, we can see that this trend is not bullish. Our bias must remain bearish until proven otherwise. Now, I am no fortune teller and I am not one of those traders that say that they can pick out where the exact bottom is. I only trade setups that make sense to me. So having said that, let's go deeper into the 4-hour time frame. This chart shows that price has been pushing upwards, bouncing inside this ascending channel. What do we look for on ascending channels? Usually, we look for a break and retest of the channel bottom. This means we are waiting for a possible bearish break of this channel with a retest of the bottom of the channel. If we see that, we can open up a short position with our targets being previous support around the 1.176 price level. What's interesting to look for is that if this channel breaks to the downside and retests just as the price is touching or tapping the daily descending trend line, well then that gives us huge confluence to go short. To add to that confluence, we have divergence on the MACD Histogram. As price makes higher highs within the ascending channel, we can see the histogram make lower lows showing that the bulls that are there right now might start to run out of steam and the giant daily bears might be biding their time, waiting for that perfect moment to push price back down. To sum up my current thoughts .. Do nothing until shown a reason to jump in. I cannot force these charts and bend them to my will. Therefore, we wait until these patterns present themselves to us on a silver platter. Then, we jump in and take full advantage of the offering. Hope you all have a fantastic Tuesday. See you all on the next one. The Vortex Trader.
Short
by TheVortexTrader
Market Range - What are they trying to tell us?When the market range, it is telling us they are lost with the main direction. And we are seeing that between all the US major stock indices and many stocks since the second week of May. Prices basically still trading around the same price since then. In today’s tutorial, we will discuss: • How to identify when market started to enter into a range and • Which direction will it ultimately break away from a range market? The concept of “Less is More” When we trade into a contract that is within our means, we will be able to focus on trade set-up that is so helpful for entry, stop loss and profit taking than trying to manage our emotions as we have over traded. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by konhow
Double Top Pattern On GBP/USD - 4-hourHi Traders, Happy Wednesday. Today we are looking at GBP/USD. We are on the 4-hour time frame and we can see we have a double top playing out. Notice the two peaks of the double top ( I have placed arrows on each peak ) Notice the divergence of the histogram on the MACD across these two peaks. This indicates that the sellers are coming in hot and taking control because the buyers have been weakening. We also know that we are trading with the current market trend. There's no reason for us to look for long positions in most of the major pairs right now as the DXY is rocketing up and the Euro and Pound are struggling to form a bottom. So remember, if you want to give your strategy a further edge, trade with the trend. Our current market bias on this pair is short so we have been looking for short positions. I have highlighted the neckline zone in yellow. I was waiting for a retrace to the topmost point of this zone. I wanted the price to hit the resistance of that zone before opening up a short position. This gives me a higher risk to reward and I am looking for a risk to reward of one to three for this particular setup. Switching to the weekly time frame we can see that we have support around the 1.165 level. Price always seems to react around this level and there is technically no previous price structure to stop us on the way down. This is why I have chosen the 1.165 price level as my target for this double top. My short position opened early this morning whilst I was away from my computer so I decided to showcase this trade to you guys because it is always interesting to see how these things tend to play out. I am a patient swing trader and most of my entries occur within the 4-hour time frame. So let's wait and see if this pair is indeed going to move down even lower towards my target. Double tops and double bottoms are one of the most popular chart patterns to use and it's always a great tool to add to your bag of tricks when trading forex. Keep your eyes peeled! So on that note, let's watch and see what happens. I will be seeing you all in the next one. Hope you all have a great day! The Vortex Trader
Short
by TheVortexTrader
Double Top Pattern On AUD/USD - 4 Hour Hi Traders, Happy Tuesday. Today we are looking at AUD/USD Before we get into it, can we all just acknowledge the fact that the Euro and the US Dollar is officially one-to-one. The last time this was seen was in 2002. Twenty years ago. It's quite something to see. We are living in interesting times. The DXY is still rocketing upwards. Other markets are falling. As a trader, we love volatility right. That’s our bread and butter. And because we trade constantly, we’re the first people to see these moves before the rest of the world finds out. I think we should remember not to take this ability for granted. You’ve worked hard to be where you are and thankfully if you are a consistently profitable day trader, then you can take advantage of price swings like this. The rest of the world cant. So, let's remember to be grateful every day. Ok, let's move on to AUD/USD We are on the 4-hour time frame. The price has been bearish and still is. However, we may have a Double top playing out in this time frame. As you can see I have placed two arrows indicating where the tops are. I have also highlighted the neckline in yellow. The price moved straight through this neckline and is currently sitting way below it. We have very strong bearish volume at the same time. So what I would like to see is the price slowly come back up to the neckline, which is also the previous Support flipped resistance. This is a zone that has a lot of interest so I'm happy with it being a neckline zone. Moving to Volume, we have seen nothing but bearish volume, but what I would like to see with that possible retrace up to the neckline, is bullish volume, but we don’t want overpowering bullish volume with the retrace because that could indicate a possible reversal and we would most likely be stopped out. So we want to see bullish volume lower than this previous impulsive bearish volume we have been seeing. Moving to the MACD, we have divergence across the two tops of the Double Top. We can see this on the Histogram. Buyers were weakening and this just confirms our bearish bias because as we are trading with the trend remember. So we are looking for opportunities to go short. So on that note, let's watch and see what happens. I will be seeing you all on the next one. Hope you all have a great day! The Vortex Trader
Short
by TheVortexTrader
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