Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish TrendIntroduction
G old has always been an intriguing asset for investors, often seen as a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainty. In this analysis, we take a closer look at a chart showing the price of Gold (OZ) on the Gold-USD market compared to USD ($) to identify trends and potential scenarios for gold's future price movement. So, let's dive into the chart and explore the dynamics of the Gold market.
Bullish Momentum
T he chart reveals a powerful bullish trend in the Gold market, culminating in a local bullish double top pattern on October 27 and October 31, with the price reaching around $2010. This bullish momentum signals a robust demand for gold, driven by various factors like geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.
A Double Top Formation
T he double top formation represents a potential turning point in the market. While there are no immediate signs of a bearish reversal, the double top could trigger a consolidation phase. This consolidation might occur within the price range of $1952 (support line) to $2010, forming a support zone indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart.
T he consolidation period is depicted by the white arrow on the chart and could extend until December. This consolidation isn't necessarily a sign of weakness but can be seen as a sign of increasing investor interest and strengthened buying power.
Investor Opportunity
A prolonged consolidation provides an opportunity for both new and existing investors to consider buying into the market. It allows gold to gather sufficient funding, and as long as the investor sentiment remains positive, there's a chance that the price could break the resistance zone (purple rectangle on the chart) between $2002 and $2010.
Further Upside Potential
E ven if the price breaks through this resistance zone, it doesn't necessarily mark the end of the bullish trend. It could trigger further consolidation or higher resistance zones as potential targets. The next significant resistance zone to watch out for is between $2055 and $2065.
Bearish Concerns
H owever, if gold falls from the support zone, it raises doubts about the sustainability of the bullish trend. In such a scenario, the next support zone could be around $1904, where a possible bearish reversal might be considered.
Volume and Investor Sentiment
A part from price and technical indicators, the chart analysis also considers trading volume. In October and November, the volume has been consistently high, suggesting a global need for diversification with gold in portfolios containing indices and other assets. Investors continue to view gold as a valuable precious metal for diversifying complex portfolios, particularly in uncertain economic times.
Key Drivers for Gold Investment
S everal factors are driving investor sentiment towards gold. These include concerns about high inflation in national currencies, increasing oil prices, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and the long-standing belief that gold tends to rise during times of war.
Conclusion
W hile this analysis provides insights into the current gold market trends, it's essential to remember that investing in gold is a long-term strategy. The precious metal serves as a hedge in complex portfolios and aims for long-term appreciation rather than fast gains.
P lease note that this analysis is not investment advice, and historic results do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your research and consider various safety measures when making investment decisions.
Kind regards,
Ely
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an endorsement of any specific investment. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Diversify
QQQE to close the gap with QQQQQQE (equal-weighted) looks like its relative strength versus QQQ (market-cap weighted) is about to turn around. There is close to a 5% gap between QQQ and QQQE.
I believe that gap closes and then QQQE begins to outperform. The big names have seen their day in the sun, it's time for the rest of the tech stocks to shine.
This also gives equal weight to the small-cap stocks that tend to perform very well in periods of high economic growth.
Today is a Great Day to Hold + Buy DipsRight now people are unnecessarily panic selling stuff they likely don't need to panic sale. As Buffet says, the stock market is a tool for transferring money from the impatient to the patient. Today is a great day to buy dips, diversify and strategically invest so when the market rallies you can thank yourself later rather than unnecessarily panic selling stuff in ways where you can lose thousands upon thousands of dollars. That being said, everything I say is on the basis of opinion. Invest at your own risk and do your own due diligence.
Japan REITs: Hidden Gem to Diversify Your PortfolioJapan has long lost its charm to the international trading community. It has been a boring place to trade in for the past two decades, pretty much. In a mature market like Japan, you can't expect explosive growth like you can find in China.
However, this market offers a great source of diversification and income potential, if you know where you are looking.
The answer lies in Japan REITs. Properties in Japan, be it commercial, industrial, retail, hospitality, or residential, are coveted by mom-and-pop as well as institutional investors from the country and across the APAC region for their stable and (slowly) growing rental income.
The chart shows the largest REIT ETF listed in Japan (blue line) versus JPY and SP500 trendlines. You can clearly see the low correlation between JREIT and SPX.
In times of volatility in the US, and for those with international brokerage capabilities, why not consider this diversifier across the Ocean?
Disclaimers:
GMAS is long a few select names within the captioned ETF.
Investment carries risk.
Investment in foreign dividend stocks is subject to withholding tax. You may be able to claim better withholding tax rate based on your country's double taxation treaty status.
VVLU: Vanguards firstVanguards released its first actively managed ETF...
I've always wanted to invest in an ETF however, wanted an actively managed ETF with exposure to the global markets.
Now VVLU might be an answer for me so ill keep an eye on this one and see how it goes.
Until I jump in we will sit, watch and get a little more educated
Diversify holdings, see macd on 30min,1hr,4hr and daily chartsNo need to panic but some bearish signs emerging.
30min, hourly, 4hr all showing negative on macd. If that daily ever crosses on such an overextended price lookout! That said so many newbies into the market (bittrex not taking new people) most daily verification processes taking 2 weeks (at least here in Australia) it should easy hold on new money alone. I honestly also believe CME will also push up prices. CME can only move the price so far per day, so the best way for them to make as much money as possible is to just keep pushing it up. Once stable over 20k, it'll run to 25k, then hype/no major psychological resistance and I believe 50k is a lock.
That said if a whale/cme ever wanted to try for a big retracement it would be now. I'm happy enough that I have a few alts I'm very bullish on and have spreaded my money around. Even if BTC goes on strong I think these will accumulate wealth quicker. I will be watching very closely these coming days.
If this was anything other than BTC I would be very worried but BTC is a monster and won't be stopped imho.
Speaking of ALTS honestly just bought Vechain (less than 5% of my portfolio) without doing any TA. It just got news out of China of an official govt partnership. Check VeChain (apparently not on trading view).