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BOUNCE FOLLOWED BY LOWER PRICES FORECASTEDWhile the higher degree long-term outlook for this dividend giant is bullish, the short-term outlook is not likely to bring new all-time highs. Earlier this year we anticipated new all-time highs, but that changed when KO hit it’s 63.18 low last week. What changed the forecast was the technicals surrounding that low. While the price action is currently cooked to the downside, there are no clear indications of a reversal, with the weekly RSI indicating more room to the downside, and the MACD supporting that theory. This tells us to turn to the most telling indicator, which is volume, which indicates there is still strength to the downside. That said, we know the market does not move in straight lines and a strong bounce off the 63.18 low is likely. We currently forecast that bounce to target the round number zone of 70, forming a B-Wave rejection of higher prices, that will be followed by a C-wave, which will likely target the weekly point of control around 60. With that in mind, C-waves can truncate their targets, especially when the ticket involved is a popular long-term dividend target like KO, and we are talking about a long-term low that will create a significant buying opportunity. That said, if you can deal with the near-term volatility, the 63 zone may not be a bad entry zone.
NYSE:KOLong
by BlueLineTradingLLC
1
Opening (IRA): EWZ July 19th 31 Monied Covered Call... for a 30.31 debit. Comments: Decent 30-day IV at 34.0%, but I'm primarily looking to position myself to grab the June dividend. IV is skewed to the put side in this underlying, so the general go-to would be short put, but to grab the dividend, you have to be in stock. Because I want the extrinsic in the short call to exceed any dividend, I'm basically going at-the-money/slightly monied with the short call and will look to manage the position after the dividend drops. Unfortunately, the distribution has been wildly variant, so it's hard to tell how much extrinsic to keep in the short call to diminish the prospect of being called away early due to some dick exercising their long call early to grab the dividend. Metrics (Sans Dividend): Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 30.31 Max Profit: .69 ROC at Max: 2.28% ROC at 50% Max: 1.14%
AMEX:EWZLong
by NaughtyPines
Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile)Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotive industry is undergoing a transition to electric vehicles. These companies hold strong positions, but they need to successfully navigate this transformation against competitors like Tesla and Polestar (lol). Trading at 43.1% below estimate of its fair value Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Risk Analysis Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Dividend of 7.95% is not well covered by free cash flows
XETR:BMWLong
by Maximus20000
CMS Infosystem: Triangular Breakout with Dividend BoostChart Pattern: CMS Infosystem is forming a triangular pattern, a potential indicator of upcoming price movement. Support Levels: The stock has built a strong base at key support levels, suggesting a solid foundation for upward movement. Critical Resistance: A close above 435 could trigger a significant price increase, breaking out from the triangular pattern and signaling bullish momentum. Upcoming Catalyst: The upcoming dividend declaration could serve as a positive catalyst, potentially driving the stock price higher. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Consider initiating a long position if the stock closes above the 435 level, confirming the breakout. Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss below the lower trendline of the triangular pattern to manage risk. Target Levels: Identify initial targets at previous resistance levels. Adjust further targets based on the stock’s performance and market conditions. Disclaimer: Before taking any position, consult your financial advisor to ensure the trade aligns with your investment strategy and risk tolerance. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Happy Trading!
NSE:CMSINFOLong
by Shivam_Bhanot
Petrobras Uncovered: A Dividend Gem with Potential? Petrobras' ON N2 shares from Brazil are particularly interesting, notably due to their high dividend yield. As the largest oil producer in Brazil and one of the biggest in South America, this stock holds significant importance over the coming years. It has experienced a strong rise, with our Wave (2) starting at 2.2 Brazilian Reals. Since then, it has risen and completed Wave (3) at the 227.2% extension level. Now, we should be entering Wave (4) and ideally not fall below the level of 19 Brazilian Reals. For Wave (4), we expect a retracement level between 38,2% and 50%. Given that we're looking at the weekly chart, this represents a very long-term scenario. We'll definitely keep you updated and may provide short-term entry opportunities as they arise. In the coming months, we expect to develop Wave B and finally Wave C. After that, as previously mentioned, holding this stock long-term could be very beneficial due to the remarkably high and attractive dividend yield.
BMFBOVESPA:PETR3Long
by stromm_by_wmc
Opening (IRA): XLU April 19th 62 Covered Call... for a 60.31 debit. Comments: For lack of something better to do, looking to grab the March dividend here, which should be in the vicinity of .60/share. The top 5, options liquid dividend-yielding ETF's are: EWZ (10.90%) (paid twice a year in June and December); EFA (5.27%) (paid twice a year in June and December); XLE (3.78%) (paid in March, June, September, December); XLU (3.16%) (paid in March, June, September, December); EEM (3.10%) (paid in June and December); EWW (3.08%) (paid in June and December). Will look to roll out the short call on test of my break even, but will otherwise leave it mostly alone until the dividend drops into my account, which should occur sometime in the third week of March.
AMEX:XLULong
by NaughtyPines
Navigating a Downward Channel: A Journey to Potential UpsideWelcome to a comprehensive breakdown of the IGR setup – a compelling narrative rooted in technical analysis that may uncover a path to potential gains. Check out the video, as I delve into the reasons underpinning my decision to hold a current position in IGR, while keeping risk management in this turbulent market in mind. Firstly, we explore the mechanics of a downward channel, often considered a bullish indicator, which is poised for an upside breakout after several touches against resistance. I'll guide you through my anticipation of the stock's trajectory towards a target, accompanied by a strategic management of entry and exit points. My approach combines a tight stop loss coupled with a keen eye on partial profit targets, ensuring a balanced risk management. However, the analysis doesn't stop with patterns. The setup also encompasses fundamental factors that add another layer of interest – notably the stock's consistent history of dividend payments through market upheavals, even during the 2008 crisis and the tumult of 2020. We ponder the implications of a sizeable estimated dividend yield that provides not only trade value but also potential for long-term holding as a dividend stock. Additionally, insider buying acts as a crucial signal in our evaluation, hinting at the confidence held by those with intimate knowledge of the stock’s inner workings. The final piece of our analytical puzzle extends to examining the weekly chart, revealing a pattern that suggests bullish sentiment, supported by a strong trend line dating back 16 years – an invaluable insight for those studying long-term support levels. Remember, the choices traders make must be informed by rigorous research and consultation with financial advisors where necessary. This exploration is intended for educational purposes, offering a peek into the strategic thinking that informs intelligent trading decisions.
NYSE:IGRLong
by AcornWealthCorp
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Key numbers: Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17% P/B - 2.03 P/E - 5.41 Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD) Analyst estimates: Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price. Key information: FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years. Technical analysis: FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280. Strategy: I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment. If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
OSL:FROLong
by DonBboy
2
The Bank of Japan can’t let goThis week financial markets were dominated by central banks policy decisions. While the Federal Reserve (Fed) and Bank of England (BOE) kept rates on hold, the policy board of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to further increase the flexibility in its yield curve control policy. The BOJ previously set a strict cap of 1.0% for the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield. But it has now decided that 1% should be a “reference” (not a strict cap), which effectively allows the yield to rise above 1% when the BOJ thinks it is appropriate. The upper bound of 1% appears to be a level they can’t let go of. By doing so, the BOJ is choosing an exit path that gives them the maximum flexibility but minimum volatility around the Yen. We view this as a dovish move as consensus expectations were for the BOJ to move the cap to 1.25% rather than 1%. Japan’s remains on a narrow path One of the reasons holding back the BOJ from normalisation of policy rates, is they still believe Japan’s recovery since the re-opening in October 2022 remains on a narrow path as it relies heavily on tourism, while the broader services sectors have yet to pick up significantly and manufacturing activity has been hampered by soft exports. Japan’s flash PMI readings for October showed us a bifurcated economy where the services sector is stronger than the manufacturing sector. Manufacturing PMI clocked in at 47.6, which is in contraction territory. Services PMI was 51.1, which is down from last month’s reading of 53.8 but is still in expansion territory, no doubt helped by fiscal stimulus and the accommodative monetary policy environment. BOJ on the lookout for an intensified virtuous cycle between wages and prices BOJ governor Ueda indicated that the BoJ will be monitoring the upcoming spring union-employer wage negotiations. A strong outcome could catalyse the earlier attainment of sustained inflation in Japan, but overall, Japan’s recovery isn’t strong enough yet for employers, especially small enterprises, to meaningful support wage hikes in the broad economy. While headline inflation bolted north of 4% in January 2023, it appears to have peaked and has begun receding. While core inflation remains around the 4% mark. The Producer Price Index (PPI) slowed to 2% annually in September suggesting a stabilization or even drop in CPI ahead. The BOJ revised its outlook for core inflation (all items less fresh food and energy) to 3.8% in FY23, 1.9% for FY24 and 1.9% for FY25. The BoJ stated that the inflation uptick “needs to be accompanied by an intensified virtuous cycle between wages and prices”. The Yen is unlikely to appreciate under BOJ’s policy change owing to the large gap in interest rates between the US and Japan. The direction of the Yen matters for Japanese equities owing to Japan high export tilt. The exporters stand to benefit amidst a weaker Yen. Fire power abounds for Japanese equities Japanese equities had a strong first half in 2023, attaining 33-year highs. Yet valuations at 15.7x price to earnings ratio (P/E), still trade at a 30% discount to its 15-year average providing room to catch up. More importantly, earnings revision estimates in Japan are currently the highest among the major economies. Earnings yield at 4.07% for the Nikkei 225 Index has been trending above bond yields 0.947% for 10 Year JGBs , keeping the well-known TINA (There is no Alternative) trade alive in favour of Japanese equities. Tailwind from corporate governance reforms Tokyo Stock Exchange’s (TSE) call for listed companies to focus on achieving sustainable growth and enhancing corporate value is beginning to bear fruit. The call was aimed at companies with a price to book (P/B) ratio below one. Those companies were asked to develop a plan for improvement, disclose and then implement and track its progress. The progress has been encouraging with 31% of companies on the prime market making a disclosure of their plan . Large companies with a price to book ratio below one have been more proactive with disclosure. Historically cash-heavy Japanese companies face increasing pressure to improve their numbers, possibly by funnelling historically high excess cash reserves into increased buybacks or dividends. Conclusion Inflation has been missing in Japan for more than a decade. So now that it has arrived aided by the post pandemic pick up of the Japanese economy, policy makers are not in a rush to obliterate it. With wage growth lagging behind inflation, the Bank of Japan does not appear ready to wean itself from Yield Curve Control until a more intensified virtuous cycle is observed between wages and prices. The BOJ’s policy decision this week is unlikely to allow the appreciation of the Yen, which should continue to provide a competitive advantage to Japanese exporters. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by aneekaguptaWTE
PEAB - Great opportunity for a long-term holdPEAB is a construction company based in Sweden, if you are interested in dividend stocks this might be something for you. PEAB looks very promising in these areas. The housing market is on the verge of an upturn again, and interest rates are likely to start decreasing next year. I see no reason not to invest in the company right now, given its current valuation, and hold for many years to come. I have bought some shares at these levels. If you factor in the annual inflation we have, PEAB is not far from the 2008 low, and that bottom was extreme. In my opinion, we are currently very oversold.
OMXSTO:PEAB_BLong
by WealthNode
Is AAPL Worth Considering for Dividend?Introduction: As a trader, you constantly seek investment opportunities that offer promising returns. While Apple Inc. (AAPL) has long been known for its innovative products and market dominance, it's worth questioning whether it is equally attractive regarding dividend investing. In this article, we delve into the breakdown details of Apple's dividend and explore whether AAPL is worth considering for dividend-focused traders like yourself. Call-to-Action: Worth Considering AAPL for Dividend Considering the breakdown details of Apple's dividend, it becomes evident that AAPL is a stock worth considering for dividend-focused traders. Here's why: 1. Consistent Dividend Increases: Apple has a track record of consistently increasing its dividend payout, reflecting its commitment to rewarding shareholders. 2. Competitive Dividend Yield: With a dividend yield of , AAPL offers a competitive return compared to other dividend-paying stocks in the market. 3. Potential for Future Growth: Apple's commitment to dividend growth suggests that there is potential for further increases in the future, which could enhance your investment returns. 4. Strong Financial Position: Apple's relatively low payout ratio indicates its ability to sustain and potentially increase dividend payments in the long run, supported by its strong financial position. In conclusion, while Apple's primary focus may be on its product innovation, the breakdown details of its dividend program make AAPL a compelling option for dividend-focused traders. By considering AAPL for dividend investing, you can benefit from consistent dividend increases, competitive dividend yield, and the company's strong financial position. So, why not explore the potential of AAPL as a dividend investment opportunity? Disclaimer: It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
ALong
by bryandowningqln
Investment Thesis: StarbucksStarbucks has established itself as a dominant player in the specialty coffee industry, with a strong brand image, extensive global presence, and a diversified product portfolio. The company's successful business model, focused on providing high-quality coffee and a unique customer experience, positions it for continued growth. However, there are potential risks to consider, including increasing competition, changing consumer preferences, and potential supply chain disruptions. Overall, Starbucks presents an attractive investment opportunity with the potential for long-term value creation.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by BenSparham
3M Company (MMM) | Technically ready!3M Company (MMM) 3M is a multinational conglomerate that has operated since 1902, when it was known as Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing. The company is well known for its research and development laboratory and it leverages its science and technology across multiple product categories. As of 2020, 3M is organized into four business segments: safety and industrial, transportation and electronics, healthcare, and consumer. Nearly 50% of the company's revenue comes from outside the Americas, with the safety and industrial segment constituting a plurality of net sales. Many of the company's 60,000-plus products touch and concern a variety of consumers and end markets. A quite good dividend stock has arrived at the destination, hopefully :) MMM has come down from its all-time high of more than 60%. So, to buy this you need to make also a bit of work with fundamentals but technically, as said, it has arrived inside a possible buying zone. The technical criteria are: 1. Old resistance back in 2004 to 2012, starts to act as a support level. Yes, you can and actually you have to look back as far as possible to determine the strongest areas on the chart. The world has changed but human psychologic is still the same! 2. Mentioned many times that you have to keep an eye on the round numbers. Here is also the round number $100 and it matches with other criteria. 3. Channel projection, white lines. Typically the price moves inside the channels and sometimes it helps to find a decent support level. Currently, the projection runs nicely through the optimal buying zone. 4. Equal waves (AB=CD) and the D point, which completes the pattern, staying inside the buying zone. 5. All-time Fibonacci Golden ratio 62%. Basically draw from an all-time low to an all-time high and the Golden ratio is also there to add a bit of strength to the possible reversal area. Technically an optimal buying zone could be $80 - $102 First targets $135-$150 Good luck!
NYSE:MMMLong
by VaidoVeek
1
How I go about Dividends as a Trader!Q. “In your view how do you go about with dividends as a trader and as an investor? Do you buy to chase dividends when they are declared or not? A. As a position trader (short term holder), I'm not really interested in buying companies for the dividends released. That’s because I prefer to make money in the short term with the trades I take, according to my short term strategy and analysis. But if I did have an investor mentality and I wanted to take advantage of buying companies for dividends, I would do a number of things. These include: First I would do my own thorough research and due diligence on the company's overall financial health and performance. Second, I would look at the dividend history of each company to see more or less what I would have earned over the last couple of years. Also, if you look at the history of the dividend, it will help you determine whether it's a reliable company to buy. I personally don't believe it's a good idea to chase dividends with stocks. I have also never met anyone that makes money chasing dividends in the short term. The problem is when the dividend is released, the share price tends to drop quite significantly. And you could end up losing more money because of the share price drop, rather than the money you gain through the dividends. This means, you could be stuck holding onto the shares and positions for the next couple of weeks or even months, waiting for the price to recover. Reply: *Hey Timon, thanks for comprehensive respond. It cleared my confusion as a trader when it comes to dividends.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
WFC - Bearish but Dividend PendingWFC is up about 10% over the last month and even more since Dec of last year, however the weekly price closed down last week, and is now down two weeks in a row. Several bearish indications are suggesting a pull-back in price. However WFC will issue a dividend payment to shareholders on March 1st which is supporting the current price. Overall the WFC price appears to be breaking down/out of a multi-week wedge. I see limited upside and near term downside due to QT effects and overall liquidity issues in the market, and more specifically for WFC due to the reasons listed below. 1. High volume resistance associated with a significant +12% sell-off week of Feb 5th 2018. That week WFC had closing price of $47.57 and a low of $47.35. WFC has tried and failed to move through this area for the last three weeks. 2. Significant sell off at/near current price occurred in early 2020 - associated with 'global liquidity issues' a few months before the COVID crash. Week of Jan 13, 2020 WFC's price dropped over 6% on significant volume, falling from $48.35 to $45.28 adding significant resistance at/near current price range. 3. Trendline resistance - Trendline drawn off Jan 2018 and Nov 2021 highs and other significant trendlines continue to cap current price. Further, mid-line regression trend resistance is in-play as measured off the Oct 2020 low. 4. Potential double top formation. A double top with a re-test of the recent Nov 22 highs is currently in play/occurring for WFC. 5. Bearish Volume Trends - Buyers appear to be exiting in mass on the weekly timeframe. Similar trend as seen in late 2022 and early 2023 when the WFC price dropped by over 20%. Also of note - WFC was one of the stocks that dropped like a rock at the open on January 24th of this year and was "halted" with many trades being cancelled - not exactly sure what happened that day but I see it as a potential sign of things to come. Generally looking for WFC to move down during March 2023 after the $0.30 dividend payment on March 1st. NFA!
NYSE:WFCShort
by Akksujean