$TWO - REIT getting slammed with Rate Hikes / Bearish Bearish below $15
Looking to short it if it breaks support zone.
Good Dividends but unsure if it's worth buying at support level.
Swing Idea:
1. Short below $15 / Cover over $15.50
OR
2. Buy at support level and write a cover call when it gets to resistance level
I think it will fall more as the fed rate hikes will impact all the REIT.
I will monitor next week to see watch the daily chart. Only issue I have with TWO is they had a reverse split and have not been doing well. If it continues to fall in price, I think another reverse split will happen. Which is why I am bearish.
If you're an expert with REITS - please comment and advise with your thoughts on it. Thanks!
Dividend
Time to buy BMW? Day before ex-dividend dateBMW entered a bullish trend back in 13 May 2016, when it paid the dividend of 2016. Yesterday was at minimums of 2013 if we do not take into account Brexit effect on 2016. Today is the day before the ex-dividend date of 2019 and it offers a dividend yield of 5.12%. Nonetheless, it's worth reminding that BMW's 2018 Earnings where -16.9% YoY so in case you happen to buy shares today, do not hold them for long. A positive point for the auto sector is that Trump will delay tariffs on autos 6 months from now. Therefore, we might expierence some volatility with BMW stock and it could have a trend reversal right from today up to levels of 74-75€. So the final conclusion would be: Buy today, seize the dividend this month and sell in 5-6 months time depending on market news.
K Dividend Medium hold.Kellogg confirmed bounce off 17 year trend line.
Low beta Dividend KING with 56 years of YoY increases or level dividends.
Currently at a great entry for medium(Late 2019) and long term(5+year) holds.
Targets :
Medium $66
Long $90
At current levels a 15 year hold would be at approximately $38 cost basis using uncompounded dividends.
FTSE 100 Long Term Long, Dividend Yield > Financing The FTSE 100 is in a "bullish price channel" as it has a positive slope with the upper trend line marking resistance and lower trend line marking support.
We are long the FTSE 100 and the dividend yield for 2019 should be close to 5% which provides positive income for holding the position even through a leveraged product that incurs financing charges (ie: a CFD or spreadbet).
The financing for a leveraged FTSE 100 position is calculated as (Benchmark+spread)*daycount*market value Eg: (0.8185%+2.5%)*(1/365)*7450= 68p per day financing charge on a position of notional value GBP 7,450. This is using the benchmark rate at of GBP 3 month libor of 0.81850% as at the 05.04.19 and a spread of 2.5%.
Therefore holding the position could currently yield around 1.7% (5% dividend yield – 3.3% benchmark + spread). This is evidently not much but useful in building a long term long position and it is important to understand how financing is calculated as well as how it can impact returns.
Additionally, a further potential drop in GBPUSD due to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit could see further upside for the index. This is because such a large proportion of profits for FTSE 100 companies is made in dollars. If sterling weakens then dollar revenues, once converted back into sterling, are worth more.
Covered Strangle for Dividend Capture Enhancement (75% prob)Bought 100 RCL for 118.25
Ex-Dividend is tomorrow and dividend is .70, so If I have the stock by tomorrow I will receive the dividend.
To enhance the trade I also Sold the 115/119 Strangle for an additional $1.1 with 3 days to expiration (That's how long I will be in this trade)
Max win would be $185 for the covered strangle plus $70 for the dividend = $255
My break even counting the dividend is 116.45
So I have 1.5% protection to the downside.
This gives us about 75% probability to make money
TWO is a good REIT to considerI like this name because of its massive dividend yield. This isn't uncommon in REITs, but TWO carries one of the larger yields in the industry. Their financial statements are healthy and the primary risk here is the state of interest rates in the US. My harmonic analysis shows two sin waves: a red and a pink. The red represents a macro trend wave and until the FED raised rates incessantly in 2018 this curve fit well to the price action. However, we can see that the trend was disobeyed mid to late 2018, something I attribute almost entirely to the interest rate risk every investor was fretting about at the time. REITs were hit hard during this period. The pink wave represents a mico-trend and still fits very well with the price action. Rates have cooled significantly since their 2018 highs, and so I believe this ticker has room to the upside. This is a long term play, so if you don't intend to store this capital for 3+ years then avoid this name as the volatility for day trading and options plays is relatively non-existent. However, with a 10+ year horizon one can capture an outstanding dividend yield while adding to positions at the troughs of the sinusoidal pattern. Doing this successfully will likely bolster dividend yields with capital gains.
The primary risk here is that US interest rates are still near historic lows. Unless the FED sees need to continue quantitative easing the path of least resistance is up. This bodes ill for REITs and could invalidate the $5 trading range I've highlighted. Until then, however, I see no reason why this name would deviate from its historic price pattern.
As always, scale in near the lows.
$CODI - Been waiting for this long and it's here!CODI - Compass Diversified Holdings
CODI acts very similar to Berkshire Hathaway in how they pick and manage companies. This has been on my radar since high $17 range in late 2017. I'm really comfortable with this entry although I wished I could've picked them up earlier. I am, however, comfortable with my entry at 15.55 (500 shares) since we are back above major support levels. This play pays out an annual 8.5% dividend so I'll be holding this for a long time.
My entry of 500 shares was at $15.55 today, February 12th, 2019. More info at wingtrades.com
UTX: Modern Dividend Dog of the DowUTX posted a Valentine's Day dividend, and now it's time to consider buying back into them. Despite an earnings miss, they're going strong with high winds on the US Federal budget negotiations in Washington yielding to compromise and better news for their Carrier and Otis Elevator brands appearing stronger through higher revenues favoring better terms on their plan to spin those off in 2020 to form a more aerospace oriented firm. With strong fundamentals, and a good position in the Dow 30, the time to buy after ex-dividend dates is now.
Technicals show a strong but methodical plod upward with both MACD and ADX and directional movement showing no signs of the trend slowing down even if RSI appears slightly overbought hovering over 75 for the last two days, but that's OK around dividend payouts. The stochastic oscillator is very flat indicating that a strong breakout either up or down couple happen any day. Expect resistance at previous highs with strong signs of continuation if UTX can close and remain over the previous one of 132 and again at 140, 144 as well as potential profit taking swings from those that bought in post-earnings. Short interest is roughly 15% the average daily trading volume but appears to have no hold on the upward price momentum.
$WHF long term dividend playWHF - WhiteHorse Financial
This is one of my long term dividend holdings that I picked up today (400 shares). It pays a 10% annual dividend and is in the process of breaking above a major trendline after a multi-week double bottom.
I bought right under resistance in anticipation of a move higher.
My entry of 400 shares was at $14.20 today, February 12th, 2019. More info at wingtrades.com
$NLY long term dividend play!NLY - Annaly Capital
This is one of my long term dividend holdings that I picked up today (600 shares). It pays a 10% dividend on a mostly flat chart (9.70-10.00). I like the move back above the 200 daily moving average (red line).
My entry of 600 shares was at $10.47 today, February 12th, 2019. More info at wingtrades.com
$CPLP long term dividend play off the $2.00 support!CPLP - Capital Product
This is one of my long term dividend holdings that I picked up on Friday (4,000 shares). It pays a 15% annual dividend with a solid and mostly stable chart.
Biggest reason for my entry is this fantastic hold above 2 dollars. My true test is a move above $2.40 and that next wedge resistance, but I'm willing to risk the entry early.
My entry of 4,000 shares was at $1.27 on Friday, February 8th, 2019. More info at wingtrades.com
$NYMT long term dividend play!NYMT - New York Mortgage Trust
This is one of my dividend holdings that I picked up today (1,000 shares). Not only does it pay a fantastic dividend, but we are right on the cusp of a long-term breakout and constantly above earnings expectations. Multi-year hold.
My entry of 1,000 shares was at $6.33 on Friday, February 8th 2019. More info at wingtrades.com
$PSEC long term dividend. This is one of my dividend holdings that I picked up on Friday (1,000 shares). It pays an 11% annual dividend, but also enjoys movements of quick bearish drops and equally quick recoveries.
Full details of this play at https://wingtrades.com!
My entry of 1,000 shares was at $6.47 on Friday, February 8, 2019.
Dividend Capture Strategy for easy cash flowDividend Capture strategy for easy cash flow on XOM
Exxon Mobil pays .82 per share quarterly and the ex-dividend date is this Friday (2/8/2019) the dividend pay date is on 3/11/19. So yearly Will get $3.28 (.82x4)for a dividend yield of 4.4% not bad.
But by selling the ATM Put for $1.02 I will increase the premium plus dividend paid for the year to $4.30 and increase the yield to 5.77%. That alone is an improvement of 31%.
If I don't get assigned I get to keep the premium and make over $500 in a couple of days and if I do get assigned then I will sell some calls to keep reducing my basis and improve my yield even more.
The Trade: XOM
Sold 5 ATM Puts @ 74.5 for $1.02
4 days to expiration
NYSE:NOK NOKIA daily chart could be a good run NYSE:NOK price is above MA200 and I pay attention if is approaching resistance zone .
Resistance zone it is a TA point of view and I can say it is psychological level as well and it is proved that can influence price direction depends of circumstances .
Good time to buy FRED? Channel Support + Gap DownI like this setup. Good R/R. Entry around $5.75 stop loss around $5.50-5.60 - depending on position size and pain tolerance. Fred's is a solid company with descent dividends and call options look super cheap at the moment. A good a bet as any, especially with those gaps around $2.50. That would be my first target.
Don't get in a pickle!
The Shill Pickle